Probability and Statistics

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Probability and Statistics

College Statistics Mr. Ted Linke Rm. 112

Teacher Contact: I have 3rd hour plan, 9:15 – 10:05. I am usually available before school, arriving by 6:40. I will also be available after school between golf seasons, from October 20 until March 1. Phone: 224-1315, ext. 50675 E-mail: [email protected]

Dual Enrollment: College Statistics is dual credit, obtaining both high school (1/2 unit) and college credit (three hours). College credit is obtained from Blue River Community College, under guidelines established by the Metropolitan Community College as Math 115. Students must pay MCC tuition ($142.50) and successfully complete the course.

Students must (1) apply for admission to Blue Rive CC on-line at www.mcckc.edu/apply, and (2) enroll for the course. Enrollment forms will be handed out in class the first week of school.

Course Description: This course will cover descriptive and inferential statistics, grouped and ungrouped data, elementary probability, discrete and continuous statistical inference, significance and distribution measures, and regression and correlation analysis.

Textbook: Elementary Statistics (Bluman)

Class Procedure: Students should keep a notebook containing class notes, book assignments, worksheets, and completed quizzes and tests. An orderly notebook will be beneficial when preparing for the comprehensive final, given at the end of the semester by MCC. Homework points will be earned from selected homework/review problems at the end of each chapter, as well as for the comprehensive review at the end of the semester. Quizzes may be given occasionally covering the material of that chapter. There will be nine unit tests, covering eleven chapters, given throughout the year. Formula sheets will be provided for each test and for the final exam.

Testing Procedures: Test days are very important in College Statistics. Chapter tests and quizzes will comprise 60% of your grade. The following guidelines will be followed on test days:

1. DO NOT be absent. If you are absent, you have one week to make up the test. Hardship cases will be handled on an individual basis. 2. Be ready for the test. Do not come to class on test days with questions. If you are struggling with the material, you need to come in before or after school for help prior to the test day. 3. No questions will be answered during the test. I will clarify directions, but that is all. 4. Tests must be completed during the allotted time. No exceptions unless specified by an IEP or 504 modification. Technology: The TI-83/84 will be used throughout the semester. Students MUST have a TI-83/84. Students are strongly encouraged to purchase their own TI-83/84, since it is used in many other advanced math classes as South, as well as most college math, business and science classes, and is allowed for the ACT and SAT exams. TI-83/84’s are also available on a first come-first served basis through the Math Department by agreeing to and signing a Lending Agreement.

Grading: Chapter Tests and Quizzes 65% Notebook checks and homework 10% Final Exam 25%

Scale: 90%-100% A 80%-89% B 70%-79% C 60%-69% D Below 60% F

Make-up policy: No late work or notebook check quizzes will be accepted unless you have been absent from school. There will be no test retakes.

Class Rules: Students are expected to follow all of the rules contained in the student handbook. One basic rule is that no student will be allowed to interfere with the learning or welfare of others. Parents will be notified if a tardy or discipline problem occurs. Use of electronic devices will be prohibited during lectures, quizzes and tests.

This is a college class. You are expected to act accordingly and will be treated similarly.

Course Outline:

Descriptive Statistics.(GLE: D2B, MA 3, 3.6)

Chapter One: The Nature of Probability and Statistics Descriptive and Inferential Statistics Variables Data Collection and Sampling Use and Misuse of Statistics

Chapter Two: Frequency Distributions and Graphs Organizing Data Histograms, Frequency Polygons, and Ogives Other graphical techniques

Chapter Three: Data Description Measures of Central Tendency Measures of Variation Measures of Position Boxplots Elementary Probability.(GLE: D4B MA 2,3,6 3.1,4.1)

Chapter Four: Probability and Counting Rules Sample Spaces and Probability Addition Rules for Probability Multiplication Rules for Probability Counting Rules

Chapter Five: Rules of Probability Probability Distributions Mean, Variance and Expectation Binomial Distribution Multinomial, Poisson, and Geometric Distributions

Chapter Six: The Normal Distribution Properties of the Normal Distribution The Standard Normal Distribution Applications of the Normal Distribution Central Limit Theorem

Inferential Statistics.(GLE: D4A MA 3, 3.1, 3.2, 3.3, 3.5, 4.1)

Chapter Seven: Confidence Intervals and Sample Size Confidence Intervals for the Mean Confidence Intervals and Sample Size for Proportions Confidence Intervals for Variances and Standard Deviations

Chapter Eight: Hypothesis Testing z Test for a Mean t Test for a Mean z Test for a Proportion χ2 Test for Variance or Standard Deviation

Chapter Nine: Testing the Difference Between Means, Variances, and Proportions Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Large Samples Testing the Difference Between Two Variances Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Small Independent Samples Testing the Difference Between Two Means: Small Dependant Samples Testing the Difference Between Two Proportions

Chapter Ten: Correlation and Regression Scatter Plots Correlation Regression Correlation Coefficients

Chapter Eleven: Other Chi-square Tests Test for Goodness of Fit Tests using Contingency Tables

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