An Analysis of Grades and Placement in the Transition from Pre-Calculus To
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An Analysis of Grades and Placement in the Transition from Pre-Calculus to Calculus at the University of Manitoba by Darja Barr A Thesis submitted to the Faculty of Graduate Studies of The University of Manitoba in partial fulfillment of the requirements of the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY Faculty of Education University of Manitoba Winnipeg Copyright © 2019 by Darja Barr ii Declaration I, Darja Barr, declare this document to be my own unaided work, and where published sources are used, they are acknowledged. ______________________________ Darja Barr iii Abstract Recently, first-year mathematics instructors at universities across North America and around the globe have been noticing a decline in the mathematics skills and preparation of the incoming student body, and these students have been failing out of first-year mathematics courses at alarming rates (Crowther, Thompson & Cullingford, 2007; Hourigan & O’Donaghue, 2007; Kajander & Lovric, 2005; Rylands & Coady, 2009). Though some universities have implemented placement or diagnostic tests to measure the preparedness of their incoming students, many still use high school grades as the only indicator of students’ readiness for university mathematics. However, researchers have found mixed results in terms of the effectiveness of high school grades at predicting success in university mathematics courses (Finnie et. al, 2010; Geiser, 2007; Salim & Al-Zarooni, 2009) due to factors such as the miss-alignment of teaching methods, students’ entering knowledge, and skills, the curricula in high school and university, and high school grade inflation. This dissertation includes two studies. The first study analyzed the relationship between grade 12 Pre-Calculus grades and first-year university Calculus grades at a large Canadian university over the period from 2001-2015. The results show that the disconnect between high school grades in mathematics and university grades in mathematics has been growing over time, and is significant for students who are not performing well in university Calculus. Recommendations include the implementation of placement examination, and increased communication and collaboration between K-12 and university mathematics educators and administrators. iv The second study looked at the effectiveness of the ALEKS placement test at predicting students’ readiness for first-year Calculus. Results show that including this mathematics placement test along with high school grades and some demographic variables can help predict the students’ success in Calculus more validly. Recommendations include the implementation of the ALEKS placement test for entry into university Calculus courses, as well as some additional measures that could aid in placing underrepresented minority students more appropriately. Furthermore, the sharing of information between university and high school mathematics teachers is recommended. v Acknowledgements I would like to acknowledge the support of my Advisor, Dr. Robert Renaud, and committee members, Dr. Xikui Wang and Dr. Rodney Clifton. Their time, effort, and encouragement were critical to the completion of this work. I would also like to thank my colleagues Dr. Anna Stokke, Dr. Robert Craigen, and once again Dr. Rodney Clifton, who stood by my side through the difficult times in this doctoral process. Without their support, this work would never have come to fruition. In addition, I thank the teachers and administrators of the Winnipeg School Division, who not only listened to these research results, but also because they have been working for the past two years to implement the recommendations based on this research. This has truly been one of the most valuable parts of the doctoral process. Finally, I thank the never wavering support and encouragement of my parents and friends. Most of all my number one teammate, Myles Barr. Thank you for the many hours of help with reading, writing, and emotional support through the past years! vi Table of Contents Declaration ...................................................................................................................... ii Abstract.......................................................................................................................... iii Acknowledgements ......................................................................................................... v List of Tables .................................................................................................................. x List of Figures ................................................................................................................ xi Chapter 1: Introduction ................................................................................................... 1 Challenges in University Education ............................................................................. 3 Mathematics Achievement in University ..................................................................... 8 The Two Studies ....................................................................................................... 10 Study 1: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Pre-Calculus and Calculus Grades ................................................................................................................... 11 Study 2: Analyzing the Effectiveness of the ALEKS Mathematics Placement Test 12 Significance of the Studies ........................................................................................ 13 Contributions to the Field ...................................................................................... 13 Contributions to University Instructors and Students ............................................. 14 Limitations of the Studies .......................................................................................... 16 Overview of the Dissertation ..................................................................................... 18 References ................................................................................................................. 20 Connecting Section ....................................................................................................... 25 Chapter 2: An Analysis of the Relationship Between Pre-Calculus and Calculus Grades26 Predictors of University Achievement ....................................................................... 28 Grade Inflation in High School .............................................................................. 30 vii The “Mathematics Problem” ..................................................................................... 32 Predictors of University Mathematics Achievement .................................................. 38 Grade Inflation in Mathematics Courses ................................................................ 39 Factors Associated with Predictability ................................................................... 42 Pre-Calculus and Calculus in the Manitoba Context .................................................. 45 The Research Questions ............................................................................................ 46 Method ...................................................................................................................... 47 The Students .......................................................................................................... 47 The Courses........................................................................................................... 50 Variables ............................................................................................................... 51 Results ...................................................................................................................... 51 Research Question 1 .............................................................................................. 51 Research Question 2 .............................................................................................. 59 Research Question 3 .............................................................................................. 61 Research Question 4 .............................................................................................. 69 Discussion ................................................................................................................. 71 Limitations ............................................................................................................ 75 Conclusion ................................................................................................................ 76 References ................................................................................................................. 78 Connecting Section ....................................................................................................... 84 Chapter 3: Analyzing the Effectiveness of the ALEKS Mathematics Placement Test..... 85 Why Use Mathematics Placement Testing? ............................................................... 87 What is Mathematics Placement Testing? .................................................................. 89 viii Institutional Tests .................................................................................................. 92 ACCUPLACER .................................................................................................... 93 COMPASS ...........................................................................................................