Chad: Between Ambition and Fragility Africa Report N°233 | 30 March 2016 Translation from French International Crisis Group Headquarters Avenue Louise 149 1050 Brussels, Belgium Tel: +32 2 502 90 38 Fax: +32 2 502 50 38
[email protected] Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................... i I. Introduction ..................................................................................................................... 1 II. Linchpin in the Fight Against Terrorism ......................................................................... 3 A. Subregional Policeman .............................................................................................. 3 1. At the heart of a conflict-ridden region ................................................................ 3 2. Renewed military interventionism and its limits ................................................ 5 B. The Advantages of Military Diplomacy for the Regime ............................................ 8 III. An Illusory Stability .......................................................................................................... 10 A. The Economic and Budgetary Crisis: A Great Leap Backwards ................................ 10 1. Strangling a landlocked economy ........................................................................ 11 2. Repercussions of the oil shock ............................................................................. 14 3. From social