Needham Market Town Council
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Social Infrastructure 05 Needham Market - Masterplan Feasibility Study 5. Social Infrastructure 5.1. Introduction Indicative Unit Type Split This short note provides an initial assessment of the existing social Flats Houses infrastructure provision within and surrounding Needham Market in Suffolk and sets out the potential infrastructure requirements Tenure 1 Bed 2 Bed 2 Bed 3 bed 4 Bed+ Total associated with a housing development to the west of Needham Market. Market 9.2% 20.0% 7.0% 35.1% 28.7% 100.0% This assessment is a desk based assessment and based upon publicly Affordable - Social Rented 23.8% 20.0% 6.0% 20.1% 30.1% 100.0% available data sets in February 2018. Affordable - Intermediate 23.9% 22.8% 10.0% 30.5% 12.8% 100.0% 5.2. Housing Proposals The existing number of households in Needham Market ward is 2,223. Resulting Indicative Housing Proposals for Assessment This assessment will consider the impact associated with a proposed Flats Houses masterplan with a theoretical capacity for 1,400 additional homes located directly to the west of Needham Market. This is illustrated in the Tenure 1 Bed 2 Bed 2 Bed 3 bed 4 Bed+ Total plan on the following page. Market 84 182 64 319 261 910 Affordable - Social Rented 83 70 21 70 105 350 Existing and Proposed Households Affordable - Intermediate 33 32 14 43 18 140 Existing Additional Homes Potential Future Total Units 200 284 99 402 357 1,400 Households Proposed Households 2,123 1,400 3,523 Source: ONS For the purpose of this assessment a number of assumptions are required with regards to the housing typologies of those new homes. This allows us to apply associated household profiles from the ONS Census to enable a refined estimate of population impacts. The assumptions set out in the table below are indicative only and do not represent the future proposals for this masterplan. Indicative Tenure Split Tenure % Market 65.0% Affordable - Social Rented 25.0% Affordable - Intermediate 10.0% 34 AECOM Needham Market - Masterplan Feasibility Study 5.3. Demographic Impacts Existing Population Profile and Projected Population from New Homes The existing population of Needham Market is 4,696. The proposed development of 1,400 new houses in the Needham Market Population Age Profile Existing Population Additional Population Potential Future neighbourhood locality and a projected 3,268 new occupants indicates from New Homes Population a significant increase in Needham Market’s population and a possible 0 - 3 202 153 355 significant impact on the existing infrastructures in the area. 4 – 10 230 284 514 Increasing population contributes to an increase in demand for goods 11 – 15 206 249 455 and services. However, new occupants bring a number of positive 16 - 19 235 165 400 effects, such as economic growth in terms of per-capita income, 20 - 24 230 148 378 innovation growth and favourable attitude motivation of younger population within the town. The generated population age profile 25 - 29 277 144 421 suggests a substantial future population of nursery and school aged 30 - 34 319 158 477 children with implications on existing education infrastructure. 35 - 39 239 185 424 40 - 44 267 217 484 45 - 49 314 232 546 50 - 54 347 214 561 55 - 59 310 200 510 60 - 64 319 244 563 65 - 69 319 194 513 70 - 74 277 151 428 75+ 605 330 935 TOTAL 4,696 3,268 7,964 Source: Suffolk Observatory & AECOM Analysis (application of ONS Census household characteristics) AECOM 35 Needham Market - Masterplan Feasibility Study 5.4. Education Facilities Existing Early Year Facilities The projected infrastructure need for nurseries indicates that 1.6 Facility Distance from Needham Market (miles) nurseries are required with the introduction of new homes. Currently, Robin’s Children’s Centre In Needham Market there is one nursery in Needham Market itself with 2 more facilities 2.64 Sunshine Children’s Centre 2.64 miles and 3.64 miles away respectively. It is recommended that a new Acorn Children’s Centre 3.64 facility should be provided to support the existing nurseries (Refer to Source: Edubase Section 3 for potential location of a new nursery). There will be an increase of 350 primary school children in Needham Existing Primary Schools Market with the proposed development. This requires an equivalent Distance from Needham Facility Capacity No. of Pupils Surplus Deficit of 1.7 form entries (FE) which would need an extra 2FE primary school Market (miles) within Needham Market itself, as the existing primary school in Bosmere Community Primary 315 349 -34 In Needham Market Needham Market is over capacity. Whilst there are existing primary Creeting St Mary Voluntary Aided 84 78 6 1.12 schools within 3 miles of Needham Market with surplus capacity, it is Primary recommended that a new 2FE primary school be provided to support the proposed development and form an integral part of the new Trinity CoE Voluntary Aided 315 77 238 2.36 community. Alternatively, an enlarged 3FE school to encompass the Primary* existing school could be considered. Combs Ford Primary 420 402 18 2.53 Cedars Park Community Primary 438 447 -9 2.93 The secondary school requirement for the proposed development is equivalent to 1.7FE with 252 new secondary school children projected Freeman Community Primary 210 211 -1 3.19 with the development. It is suggested that this requirement would need School to be met through the existing secondary schools 3.14 miles and 3.86 Abbot’s Hall Community Primary 420 378 42 3.24 miles from Needham Market respectively. These schools potentially School have the necessary capacity and sixth forms to meet the requirements Ringshall School 210 108 102 3.24 of 1,400 new homes. Chilton Community Primary 210 197 13 3.59 It is important to note however that additional housing proposals Stonham Aspal CoE Voluntary 210 178 32 3.98 are planned across Suffolk and within Mid Suffolk specifically. These Aided Primary planned developments will also look to utilise any surplus capacity as Wood Ley Community Primary 315 292 23 4.04 identified in this assessment and therefore cannot be wholly relied upon School without further investigation. Somersham Primary School 105 90 15 4.15 Claydon Primary School 420 417 3 4.41 Old Newton CoE Voluntary 73 67 6 4.77 Controlled Primary Finborough School 450 367 83 4.82 Great Finborough CoE Voluntary 150 139 11 4.85 Controlled Primary Source: Edubase *Abnormal figure for capacity with no information on the reason for this, cannot be relied upon. 36 AECOM Needham Market - Masterplan Feasibility Study Existing Secondary Schools Distance from Needham Facility Sixth Form Capacity No. of Pupils Surplus Deficit Market (miles) Stowupland High Yes 1100 1016 84 3.14 School Stowmarket High Yes 1203 933 270 3.86 School Claydon High No 675 n.a n.a School Source: Edubase Additional Requirements for Education Infrastructure Facility Planning Standard Requirement Early Year Places 78 Early Year Facilities 50 Place Nurseries 1.6 Early Year floor space (sq.m) 150 per nursery 234 Primary School Children 0.25 pupils per 100 homes 350 Primary School Form Entries (FE) 210 pupils per FE 1.7 Secondary School Children 0.18 pupils per 100 homes 252 Secondary School Form Entries 150 pupils per FE 1.7 (FE) Sixth Form Children 0.04 pupils per 100 homes 54 AECOM 37 Needham Market - Masterplan Feasibility Study 5.5. Health and Social Care Additional Requirements for Health and Social Care Facilities Facility Planning Standard Requirement Facilities General Practitioners 1800 patients per GP 2 The introduction of 1,400 new homes will require an extra 2 GP’s and Primary Care Centre Floorspace (sq.m) 165 per GP 299 2 Dentists within Needham Market. Currently, the Needham Market County Practice provides 7 GP’s with patient numbers in line with Dental Surgeons 2,000 patients per Dentist 2 expected limits. There are several GP Practices within neighbouring Dental Surgery Floorspace (sq.m) 50 per Dentist 82 wards that have capacity to accommodate some of this increased Hospital Beds 510 People per Bed 6 demand. The future requirements would be managed by the local Hospital Space (sq.m) 160 1,025 clinical commissioning group which may choose to consolidate this Mental Healthcare Beds 2,479 People per Bed 1 additional demand through this network of existing facilities but may also consider a new on site healthcare facility as part of the masterplan. Mental Healthcare Space 85 112 Nursing Home Beds 45 People over 75 Years per Bed 15 The extra requirement of 6 hospital beds would need to be Nursing Home Floorspace (sq.m) 824 accommodated by existing hospitals in Bury St Edmunds (West Suffolk Hospital) and Ipswich (The Ipswich Hospital). Residential Care Beds 65 People over 75 Years per Bed 21 Residential Care Facilities (sq.m) 1,190 An assessment of the existing provision of adult social care Extra Care Beds 25 People over 75 Years per Bed 8 accommodation has not been possible within this assessment but our analysis suggests an increased demand for nursing, residential and Extra Care Facilities (sq.m) 728 extra care beds which could be accommodated through a proportion of the proposed housing types. Existing Health and Social Care Facilities Practice Location Patients GPs Ratio of Patients to GPs Needham Market (Country 12,418 7 1,774 Practice) Surrounding Areas 53,282 36 1,480 The Barham & Claydon Surgery 2,838 3 946 Combs Ford Surgery 9,138 5 1,827 Stowhealth 19,391 12 1,616 Bildestone Health Centre 6,703 4 1,675 Hadleigh Boxford Group Practice 15,212 12 1,268 Source: HSCIC 38 AECOM Needham Market - Masterplan Feasibility Study Existing community Infrastructure 5.6.