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Dropsonde Observations of Intense Typhoons in 2017 and 2018 in the T-PARCII
EGU General Assembly 2020 May 6, 2020 Online 4-8 May 2020 Tropical meteorology and tropical cyclones (AS1.22) Dropsonde Observations of Intense Typhoons in 2017 and 2018 in the T-PARCII Kazuhisa TSUBOKI1 Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University Hiroyuki Yamada2, Tadayasu Ohigashi3, Taro Shinoda1, Kosuke Ito2, Munehiko Yamaguchi4, Tetsuo Nakazawa4, Hisayuki Kubota5, Yukihiro Takahashi5, Nobuhiro Takahashi1, Norio Nagahama6, and Kensaku Shimizu6 1Institute for Space-Earth Environmental Research, Nagoya University, Nagoya, 464-8601 Japan 2University of the Ryukyus, Okinawa, Japan 3National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba, Japan 4Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan 5Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan 6Meisei Electric Co. Ltd., Isesaki, Japan Violent wind and heavy rainfall associated with a typhoon cause huge disaster in East Asia including Japan. For prevention/mitigation of typhoon disaster, accurate estimation and prediction of typhoon intensity are very important as well as track forecast. However, intensity data of the intense typhoon category such as supertyphoon have large error after the US aircraft reconnaissance was terminated in 1987. Intensity prediction of typhoon also has not been improved sufficiently for the last few decades. To improve these problems, in situ observations of typhoon using an aircraft are indispensable. The main objective of the T-PARCII (Tropical cyclone-Pacific Asian Research Campaign for Improvement of Intensity estimations/forecasts) project is improvements of typhoon intensity estimations and forecasts. Violent wind and heavy rainfall associated with a typhoon cause huge disaster in East Asia including Japan. Payment of insurance due to disasters in Japan Flooding Kinu River on Sept. -
Environmental Influences on Sinking Rates and Distributions Of
www.nature.com/scientificreports OPEN Environmental infuences on sinking rates and distributions of transparent exopolymer particles after a typhoon surge at the Western Pacifc M. Shahanul Islam1,3, Jun Sun 2,3*, Guicheng Zhang3, Zhuo Chen3 & Hui Zhou 4 A multidisciplinary approach was used to investigate the causes of the distributions and sinking rates of transparent exopolymer particles (TEPs) during the period of September–October (2017) in the Western Pacifc Ocean (WPO); the study period was closely dated to a northwest typhoon surge. The present study discussed the impact of biogeophysical features on TEPs and their sinking rates (sTEP) at depths of 0–150 m. During the study, the concentration of TEPs was found to be higher in areas adjacent to the Kuroshio current and in the bottom water layer of the Mindanao upwelling zone due to the widespread distribution of cyanobacteria, i.e., Trichodesmium hildebrandti and T. theibauti. The positive signifcant regressions of TEP concentrations with Chl-a contents in eddy-driven areas (R2 = 0.73, especially at 100 m (R2 = 0.75)) support this hypothesis. However, low TEP concentrations and TEPs were observed at mixed layer depths (MLDs) in the upwelling zone (Mindanao). Conversely, high TEP concentrations and high sTEP were found at the bottom of the downwelling zone (Halmahera). The geophysical directions of eddies may have caused these conditions. In demonstrating these relations, the average interpretation showed the negative linearity of TEP concentrations with TEPs (R2 = 0.41 ~ 0.65) at such eddies. Additionally, regression curves (R2 = 0.78) indicated that atmospheric pressure played a key role in the changes in TEPs throughout the study area. -
Supporting Shine (School Hydrological Information Network) Increasing Children’S Awareness and Participation in Disaster Risk Reduction
Project ENCORE Enhancing Community Resilience to Disasters Supporting SHINe (School Hydrological Information Network) Increasing children’s awareness and participation in disaster risk reduction On September 26, 2011, Typhoon Nesat (Pedring) hit close to 3,500 communities in the northern region of the Philippines. Typhoon Nalgae (Quiel) hit on October 1, taking the same route. About 4 million were affected by the typhoons, destroying agricultural lands, road and water systems, health centers and 914 schools. A total of 101 people died, including 42 children. Save the Children’s Project ENCORE (Enhancing Community Resilience to Disasters) builds on the Nesat/Nalgae emergency as well as other programs’ experience to increase the understanding of the hazards the province of Bulacan faces. Through an innovative urban disaster risk reduction approach, the project aims to facilitate the organizing of child-led groups to disseminate DRR/mitigation messages and implement DRR/mitigation activities supporting the province's SHINe (School Project ENCORE aims to: Hydrological Information Network) program. Increase the capacity of children In coordination with Ms. Liz Mungcal, Bulacan’s Provincial and youth to identify risks, Disaster Risk Reduction Management Officer, Mr. Hilton solutions, and initiate action on Hernando, Assistant Weather Services Chief of the Pampanga River Basin Flood Forecasting and Warning DRR within their communities; Center/PAGASA which is under the Department of Science and Technology, and the Department of Education Improve the capacity of Division of Bulacan, SHINe orientation sessions were households to adopt appropriate conducted for nine (9) schools covered by ENCORE. waste management and The high school batch was conducted on February 8 at Sta. -
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR Sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ Updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET
Typhoon Neoguri Disaster Risk Reduction Situation Report1 DRR sitrep 2014‐001 ‐ updated July 8, 2014, 10:00 CET Summary Report Ongoing typhoon situation The storm had lost strength early Tuesday July 8, going from the equivalent of a Category 5 hurricane to a Category 3 on the Saffir‐Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which means devastating damage is expected to occur, with major damage to well‐built framed homes, snapped or uprooted trees and power outages. It is approaching Okinawa, Japan, and is moving northwest towards South Korea and the Philippines, bringing strong winds, flooding rainfall and inundating storm surge. Typhoon Neoguri is a once‐in‐a‐decade storm and Japanese authorities have extended their highest storm alert to Okinawa's main island. The Global Assessment Report (GAR) 2013 ranked Japan as first among countries in the world for both annual and maximum potential losses due to cyclones. It is calculated that Japan loses on average up to $45.9 Billion due to cyclonic winds every year and that it can lose a probable maximum loss of $547 Billion.2 What are the most devastating cyclones to hit Okinawa in recent memory? There have been 12 damaging cyclones to hit Okinawa since 1945. Sustaining winds of 81.6 knots (151 kph), Typhoon “Winnie” caused damages of $5.8 million in August 1997. Typhoon "Bart", which hit Okinawa in October 1999 caused damages of $5.7 million. It sustained winds of 126 knots (233 kph). The most damaging cyclone to hit Japan was Super Typhoon Nida (reaching a peak intensity of 260 kph), which struck Japan in 2004 killing 287 affecting 329,556 people injuring 1,483, and causing damages amounting to $15 Billion. -
Efforts for Emergency Observation Mapping in Manila Observatory
Efforts for Emergency Observation Mapping in Manila Observatory: Development of a Typhoon Impact Estimation System (TIES) focusing on Economic Flood Loss of Urban Poor Communities in Metro Manila UN-SPIDER International Conference on Space-based Technologies for Disaster Risk Reduction – “Enhancing Disaster Preparedness for Effective Emergency Response” Session 4: Demonstrating Advances in Earth Observation to Build Back Better September 25, 2018 Ma. Flordeliza P. Del Castillo Manila Observatory EMERGENCY OBSERVATION MAPPING IN MANILA OBSERVATORY • Typhoon Reports • Sentinel Asia Data Analysis Node (2011-present) • Flood loss estimation for urban poor households in Metro Manila (2016-present) 1. Regional Climate Systems (RCS) – Hazard analysis (Rainfall and typhoon forecast) 2. Instrumentation and Efforts before typhoon arrives Technology Development – Automated Weather Stations 3. Geomatics for Environment and Development – Mapping and integration of Hazard, Exposure and Vulnerability layers Observing from space and also from the ground. Efforts during typhoon event Now, incorporating exposure and vulnerability variables Efforts after a typhoon event Data Analysis Node (Post- Disaster Event) Image Source: Secretariat of Sentinel Asia Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency, Sentinel Asia Annual Report 2016 MO Emergency Observation (EO) and Mapping Protocol (15 October 2018) Step 1: Step 2: Step 3: Establish the Apply for EMERGENCY Elevate status to LOCATION/COVERAGE of OBSERVATION to International Disaster EOR Sentinel Asia (SA) Charter (IDC) by ADRC Step 6: Step 5: Step 4: Upload maps in MO, SA MAP Download images & IDC websites PRODUCTION Emergency Observation Mapping Work • December 2011 – T.S. Washi “Sendong” • August 2012 – Southwest Monsoon Flood “Habagat” • ” Emergency Observation Mapping Work • December 2011 – T.S. Washi “Sendong” • August 2012 – Southwest Monsoon Flood “Habagat” • December 2012 – Bopha “Pablo” • August 2013 – Southwest Monsoon Flood and T.S. -
OCHA PHL TY Sarika Haima 17Oct2016
Philippines: Typhoons Sarika (Karen) and Haima (Lawin) (17 October 2016) Typhoon Sarika Japan Typhoon Haima Typhoon category Typhoon Sarika (Karen) made landfall in (Saffir-Simpson Scale) Typhoon Haima (Lawin) has intensified 22 October 2016 Baler, Aurora province, at 2:30 a.m. on Category 1: 119-153 km/hr from a severe tropical storm. It was last 16 October. It slightly weakend while spotted 1,265 km east of the Visayas with China Category 3: 178-208 km/hr crossing Central Luzon but slightly maximum sustained winds of up to 150 intensified as it moves away from the Category 4: 209-251 km/hr km/h and gusts of up to 185 km/h. It is Philippines. As of 6am 17 October 2016, Taiwan moving west northwest at 22 km/h and is Typhoon Sarika is out of the Philippines Category 5: > 252 km/hr expected to enter PAR by the afternoon Area of Responsibility (PAR) and all PAGASA category of 17 October. The typhoon is projected Tropical Cyclone Warning Signals Hong Kong Typhoon Karen (SARIKA) to intensify into a category 5 as it moves Macao (TCWS) have been lifted. Tropical depression closer to northern Philippines. 21 October 2016 Lawin (HAIMA) Tropical storm EFFECTS Forecasted to make landfall Severe tropical storm PROFILE Regions I, II, III, IV-A, V and CAR in Northern Cagayan Typhoon within the 100 km radius of typhoon track affected areas 20 October 2016 P.A.R. 4 47 Actual typhoon track provinces cities/municipalities 75,000 Typhoon Haima people affected Forecasted track 17 October 2016 1.9 Million 406,000 19 October 2016 people households 70,800 LUZON people displaced 18 October 2016 Lawin (HAIMA) Forecasted to enter P.A.R. -
Chapter 7. Building a Safe and Comfortable Society
Section 1 Realizing a Universal Society Building a Safe and Comfortable Chapter 7 Society Section 1 Realizing a Universal Society 1 Realizing Accessibility through a Universal Design Concept The “Act on Promotion of Smooth Transportation, etc. of Elderly Persons, Disabled Persons, etc.” embodies the universal design concept of “freedom and convenience for anywhere and anyone”, making it mandatory to comply with “Accessibility Standards” when newly establishing various facilities (passenger facilities, various vehicles, roads, off- street parking facilities, city parks, buildings, etc.), mandatory best effort for existing facilities as well as defining a development target for the end of FY2020 under the “Basic Policy on Accessibility” to promote accessibility. Also, in accordance with the local accessibility plan created by municipalities, focused and integrated promotion of accessibility is carried out in priority development district; to increase “caring for accessibility”, by deepening the national public’s understanding and seek cooperation for the promotion of accessibility, “accessibility workshops” are hosted in which you learn to assist as well as virtually experience being elderly, disabled, etc.; these efforts serve to accelerate II accessibility measures (sustained development in stages). Chapter 7 (1) Accessibility of Public Transportation In accordance with the “Act on Figure II-7-1-1 Current Accessibility of Public Transportation Promotion of Smooth Transportation, etc. (as of March 31, 2014) of Elderly Persons, Disabled -
6 2. Annual Summaries of the Climate System in 2009 2.1 Climate In
2. Annual summaries of the climate system in above normal in Okinawa/Amami because hot and 2009 sunny weather was dominant under the subtropical high in July and August. 2.1 Climate in Japan (d) Autumn (September – November 2009, Fig. 2.1.1 Average surface temperature, precipitation 2.1.4d) amounts and sunshine durations Seasonal mean temperatures were near normal in The annual anomaly of the average surface northern and Eastern Japan, although temperatures temperature over Japan (averaged over 17 observatories swung widely. In Okinawa/Amami, seasonal mean confirmed as being relatively unaffected by temperatures were significantly above normal due to urbanization) in 2009 was 0.56°C above normal (based the hot weather in the first half of autumn. Monthly on the 1971 – 2000 average), and was the seventh precipitation amounts were significantly below normal highest since 1898. On a longer time scale, average nationwide in September due to dominant anticyclones. surface temperatures have been rising at a rate of about In contrast, in November, they were significantly 1.13°C per century since 1898 (Fig. 2.1.1). above normal in Western Japan under the influence of the frequent passage of cyclones and fronts around 2.1.2 Seasonal features Japan. In October, Typhoon Melor (0918) made (a) Winter (December 2008 – February 2009, Fig. landfall on mainland Japan, bringing heavy rainfall and 2.1.4a) strong winds. Since the winter monsoon was much weaker than (e) December 2009 usual, seasonal mean temperatures were above normal In the first half of December, temperatures were nationwide. In particular, they were significantly high above normal nationwide, and heavy precipitation was in Northern Japan, Eastern Japan and Okinawa/Amami. -
Consecutive Extreme Flooding and Heat Wave in Japan: Are They Becoming a Norm?
Received: 17 May 2019 Revised: 25 June 2019 Accepted: 1 July 2019 DOI: 10.1002/asl.933 EDITORIAL Consecutive extreme flooding and heat wave in Japan: Are they becoming a norm? In July 2018, Japan experienced two contrasting, yet consec- increases (Chen et al., 2004). Putting these together, one could utive, extreme events: a devastating flood in early July argue that the 2018 sequential events in southern Japan indicate followed by unprecedented heat waves a week later. Death a much-amplified EASM lifecycle (Figure 1a), featuring the tolls from these two extreme events combined exceeded strong Baiu rainfall, an intense monsoon break, and the landfall 300, accompanying tremendous economic losses (BBC: July of Super Typhoon Jebi in early September. 24, 2018; AP: July 30, 2018). Meteorological analysis on The atmospheric features that enhance the ascent and insta- these 2018 events quickly emerged (JMA-TCC, 2018; bility of the Baiu rainband have been extensively studied Kotsuki et al., 2019; Tsuguti et al., 2019), highlighting sev- (Sampe and Xie, 2010); these include the upper-level westerly eral compound factors: a strengthened subtropical anticy- jet and traveling synoptic waves, mid-level advection of warm clone, a deepened synoptic trough, and Typhoon Prapiroon and moist air influenced by the South Asian thermal low, and that collectively enhanced the Baiu rainband (the Japanese low-level southerly moisture transport associated with an summer monsoon), fostering heavy precipitation. The com- enhanced NPSH. These features are outlined in Figure 1b as prehensive study of these events, conducted within a month (A) the NPSH, and particularly its western extension; (B) the and released by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) western Pacific monsoon trough; (C) the South Asian monsoon; (JMA-TCC, 2018), reflected decades of knowledge of the (D) the mid-latitude westerly jet and quasistationary short Baiu rainband and new understanding of recent heat waves waves, as well as the Baiu rainband itself; these are based on in southern Japan and Korea (Xu et al., 2019). -
Fast Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction Using Searching Optimization of a Numerical Scenario Database
OCTOBER 2021 X I E E T A L . 1629 Fast Storm Surge Ensemble Prediction Using Searching Optimization of a Numerical Scenario Database a,b,c a,b,c a a a,b,c a,b,c YANSHUANG XIE, SHAOPING SHANG, JINQUAN CHEN, FENG ZHANG, ZHIGAN HE, GUOMEI WEI, a,b,c d d JINGYU WU, BENLU ZHU, AND YINDONG ZENG a College of Ocean and Earth Sciences, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China b Research and Development Center for Ocean Observation Technologies, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China c Laboratory of Underwater Acoustic Communication and Marine Information Technology, Ministry of Education, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China d Fujian Marine Forecasts, Fuzhou, China (Manuscript received 6 December 2020, in final form 10 June 2021) ABSTRACT: Accurate storm surge forecasts provided rapidly could support timely decision-making with consideration of tropical cyclone (TC) forecasting error. This study developed a fast storm surge ensemble prediction method based on TC track probability forecasting and searching optimization of a numerical scenario database (SONSD). In a case study of the Fujian Province coast (China), a storm surge scenario database was established using numerical simulations generated by 93 150 hypothetical TCs. In a GIS-based visualization system, a single surge forecast representing 2562 distinct typhoon tracks and the occurrence probability of overflow of seawalls along the coast could be achieved in 1–2 min. Application to the cases of Typhoon Soudelor (2015) and Typhoon Maria (2018) demonstrated that the proposed method is feasible and effective. Storm surge calculated by SONSD had excellent agreement with numerical model results (i.e., mean MAE and RMSE: 7.1 and 10.7 cm, respectively, correlation coefficient: .0.9). -
Weekly Update on Asean Plus Three Food Security
return to their homes as water levels were still rising. As water levels in the Mekong River are projected to increase in the next few days, relevant ministries and officers are called to be alert for preventing any incidences. Source: Khmer Times (2018, Jul 31). Stung Treng floods displace more families. WEEKLY UPDATE ON ASEAN PLUS THREE Indonesia FOOD SECURITY The 6.4-magnitude earthquake occurred on 29 July 2018 with epicenter RELATED INFORMATION at the northeast of Mataram City of West Nusa Tenggara Province. Although there No. 80 were no tsunamis, the earthquake was felt in Lombok, Bali and Sumbawa Island with 18 – 31 July 2018 a total exposed population of around 14 million people. Due to the local disaster management agency, there were totally 15 Brunei Darussalam deaths, at least 40 injuries, 6,237 displaced people and above 1,000 damaged houses. The country is at the peak of the East Lombok Regency was hardest hit southwest monsoon season according due to 11 deaths and 398 heavily damaged to the Meteorological Department. This houses. Related officers started to search monsoon tends to be quite stable with less and rescue missing people, to provide tendency of rainfall, causing temperature to health assistance and relief items and to exceed 34 Celsius. The country is likely to set up evacuation camps. Yet, there is no experience hazy conditions as well due to indication that international assistance will dry weather cross the Southeast Asia. The requested or welcomed. monsoon will last until September 2018. Source: ASEAN Humanitarian Coordinating Centre for When this monsoon coincides with storm Humanitarian Assistance on Disaster Management (AHA and typhoon seasons, the country will face Centre) (2018, Jul 30). -
East Asia and Pacific
28 EAST ASIA AND PACIFIC 5 COUNTRIES WITH MOST NEW DISPLACEMENT (conflict, violence and disasters) Philippines 3,990,000 China 3,762,000 Indonesia 857,500 Conflict 236,000 Disasters 9,332,000 Myanmar 340,000 34.2% of the global total Japan 146,000 As in previous years, the East Asia and Pacific region There were 301,000 people living in displacement as accounted for most of the internal displacement asso- a result of conflict in the Philippines as of the end of ciated with disasters recorded worldwide in 2018 the 2018 They include around 65,000 in Marawi who Typhoons, monsoon rains and floods, earthquakes, have been unable to return to their homes more than tsunamis and volcanic eruptions triggered 9 3 million a year after the country’s military retook the city from new displacements From highly exposed countries such affiliates of ISIL, because of the extent of the damage as the Philippines, China, Indonesia and Japan, to small and presence of unexploded ordnance (see Philippines island states and territories such as Guam, Northern spotlight, p 32) Mariana Islands and Vanuatu, the impacts varied signifi- cantly across the vast region Almost 3 8 million new displacements associated with disasters were recorded in China, particularly in south- The Philippines alone recorded 3 8 million new displace- eastern provinces that were hit by typhoons Despite ments associated with disasters, more than any other the fact that some of the storms were severe, including country worldwide Pre-emptive evacuations organised the category five typhoon Maria,