This report is intended for
[email protected]. Unauthorized publication, disclosure or other distribution is strictly prohibited. Redbubble Limited Software and Services Owen Humphries | Analyst | Canaccord Genuity (Australia) Ltd. |
[email protected] | Australian Equity Research +61.2.9263.2702 21 November 2018 BUY Raising Target Price unchanged PRICE TARGET A$2.25↑ from A$2.20 1Q19 beat (>10%), capital raise and Price (21-Nov) A$1.30 Ticker RBL-ASX transformational acquisition of Teepublic Redbubble (RBL) reported a positive 1Q19a result (GPAPA +11% beat) and completed 52-Week Range (A$): 0.61 - 2.07 Market Cap (A$M): 329 a A$60.6m institutional placement at A$1.50ps to fund the horizontal acquisition of Dividend /Shr (AUc): 0.0 TeePublic (www.teepublic.com) for US$41m (A$57.7m, $49.3m upfront, $8.4m deferred Dividend Yield (%) : 0.0 until FY21). We reiterate our BUY rating and increase our DCF-based TP to A$2.25 (from Enterprise Value (A$M): 283 A$2.20). Cash (A$M): 46.3 Long-Term Debt (A$M): 0.0 We consider the transaction transformational as it a) scales RBL to being the global leader serving independent artists (FY20 GTV >$450m, gross profit >$130m); b) FYE Jun 2018A 2019E 2020E 2021E spring loads the business into profitability (EBITDA FY19: $6m, FY20: $17m); and c) Sales (A$M) 182.8 274.8↑ 364.9↑ 451.9 bolsters the balance sheet into a strong net cash position (FY19 $32m, FY20 $41m). Previous - 237.6 296.9 - The company reaffirmed its FY19e guidance of constant currency revenue/GPAPA Gross Profit (A$M) 63.9 98.9 130.6 161.9 growth of >30% and opex growth of +19%.