Surface Wave Impact When Simulating Midlatitude Storm Development
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Use of the European Severe Weather Database to Verify Satellite-Based Storm Detection Or Nowcasting
USE OF THE EUROPEAN SEVERE WEATHER DATABASE TO VERIFY SATELLITE-BASED STORM DETECTION OR NOWCASTING Nikolai Dotzek1,2, Caroline Forster1 1 Deutsches Zentrum für Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR), Institut für Physik der Atmosphäre, Oberpfaffenhofen, 82234 Wessling, Germany 2 European Severe Storms Laboratory, Münchner Str. 20, 82234 Wessling, Germany Abstract Severe thunderstorms constitute a major weather hazard in Europe, with an estimated total damage of € 5-8 billion each year. Yet a pan-European database of severe weather reports in a homogeneous data format has become available only recently: the European Severe Weather Database (ESWD). We demonstrate the large potential of ESWD applications for storm detection and forecast or now- casting/warning verification purposes. The study of five warm-season severe weather days in Europe from 2007 and 2008 revealed that up to 47% of the ESWD reports were located exactly within the polygons detected by the Cb-TRAM algorithm for three different stages of deep moist convection. The cool-season case study of extratropical cyclone “Emma” on 1 March 2008 showed that low-topped winter thunderstorms can provide a challenge for satellite storm detection and nowcasting adapted to warm-season storms with high, cold cloud tops. However, this case also demonstrated how ESWD reports alone can still be valuable to identify the hazardous regions along the cold front of the cyclone. 1. INTRODUCTION Severe thunderstorms, with their attendant strong winds, hail, flooding, and tornadoes, are common phenomena in many European countries, leading to a total damage estimate of 5 to 8 billion euros per year (source: Munich Re Group). Extreme events like an F4 tornado in France and an F3 downburst in Austria in 2008 exemplify these damage totals. -
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PERILS PUTS INITIAL LOSS ESTIMATE FOR EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE XAVIER AT EUR 291M Zurich, 16 November 2017 – PERILS, the independent Zurich-based organisation providing industry-wide catastrophe insurance data, has today disclosed its initial loss estimate for Extratropical Cyclone Xavier, which primarily affected Germany on 5 October 2017. PERILS’ initial estimate of the insured property market loss for Xavier, based on loss data from affected insurers collected post-event, is EUR 291 million. In line with the PERILS reporting schedule, an updated estimate of the Xavier market loss will be made available on 5 January 2018, three months after the event start date. Xavier was a very fast-moving and violent storm which caused the deaths of seven people in Germany. It occurred very early in the European winter storm season which meant that many trees were still heavy with leaves and therefore were more prone to being blown over than had the same winds occurred during the winter months. Damaging gusts occurred along a narrow corridor approximately 250 km wide which ran ENE-WSW from Hamburg to Berlin and affected the states of Hamburg, Lower Saxony, Saxony-Anhalt, Brandenburg and Berlin. The duration of the intense winds experienced over northern and eastern Germany was approximately 14 hours, reflecting the extraordinarily rapid passage of Xavier. Extratropical Cyclone Xavier, maximum gust values in km/h: Xavier struck Germany on 5 October 2017 with violent gusts affecting a narrow corridor from Hamburg to Berlin. Xavier caused the deaths of seven people in Germany. PERILS AG Marktgasse 3 / 5 8001 Zurich Switzerland T: + 41 44 256 81 00 F: +41 44 256 8109 [email protected] Page 1 of 2 PERILS PUTS INITIAL LOSS ESTIMATE FOR EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE XAVIER AT EUR 291M Georg Andrea, Head of Data Management at PERILS, commented: “Given the storm’s early occurrence in the European winter storm season, a significant part of the damage was caused by falling trees which still had leaves on them. -
Extreme Weather Events in Europe: Preparing for Climate Change Adaptation
Extreme Weather Events in Europe: preparing for climate change adaptation October 2013 ISBN (print) 978-82-7144-100-5 ISBN (electronic) 978-82-7144-101-2 In cooperation with This report can be found at www.dnva.no Produced by the Norwegian Meteorological Institute Extreme Weather Events in Europe: preparing for climate change adaptation Øystein Hov, Ulrich Cubasch, Erich Fischer, Peter Höppe, Trond Iversen, Nils Gunnar Kvamstø, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Daniela Rezacova, David Rios, Filipe Duarte Santos, Bruno Schädler, Ottó Veisz, Christos Zerefos, Rasmus Benestad, John Murlis, M. Donat, Gregor C. Leckebusch, Uwe Ulbrich. Extreme Weather Events in Europe: preparing for climate change adaptation In cooperation with CONTRIBUTORS Professor Øystein Hov, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Norway† Professor Ulrich Cubasch, Free University of Berlin, Germany* Dr Erich Fischer, Institute for Atmospheric and Climatic Science, ETH Zurich, Switzerland* Professor Peter Höppe, Geo Risks Research/Corporate Climate Centre, Munich Re, Germany* Professor Trond Iversen, Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Norway* Professor Nils Gunnar Kvamstø, Department of Geophysics, University of Bergen, Norway* Professor Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland* Professor Daniela Rezacova, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Academy of Sciences of the Czech Republic, Prague, Czech Republic* Professor David Rios, Royal Academy of Sciences, Spain* Professor Filipe Duarte Santos, Lisbon University, Portugal* Dr Bruno Schädler, University of Berne, Switzerland* Professor Ottó Veisz, Agricultural Research Institute of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences, Budapest, Hungary* Professor Christos Zerefos, University of Athens, Greece* Dr Rasmus Benestad (Working Group Researcher), Norwegian Meteorological Institute, Oslo, Norway Professor John Murlis, EASAC Environment Programme Secretary Dr M. Donat, Institut für Meteorologie, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany; now at Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia Dr Gregor C. -
CSL Peer-Reviewed Publications 2015-2020
NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory 2015 – 2020 Peer-Reviewed Publications sorted by year of publication, then alphabetical by first author 2020 Akherati, A., Y. He, M. Coggon, A. Koss, A. Hodshire, K. Sekimoto, C. Warneke, J. de Gouw, L. Yee, J. Seinfeld, T. Onasch, S. Herndon, W. Knighton, C. Cappa, M. Kleeman, C. Lim, J. Kroll, J. Pierce, and S. Jathar, Oxygenated aromatic compounds are important precursors of secondary organic aerosol in biomass burning emissions, Environmental Science & Technology, 54(14), 8568-8579, doi:10.1021/acs.est.0c01345, 2020. Angevine, W.M., J.M. Edwards, M. Lothon, M.A. LeMone, and S. Osborne, Transition periods in the diurnally-varying atmospheric boundary layer over land, Boundary-Layer Meteorology, 177, 205-223, doi:10.1007/s10546-020-00515-y, 2020. Angevine, W.M., J. Olson, J. Gristey, I. Glenn, G. Feingold, and D. Turner, Scale awareness, resolved circulations, and practical limits in the MYNN-EDMF boundary layer and shallow cumulus scheme, Monthly Weather Review, 148(11), doi:10.1175/MWR-D-20-0066.1, 2020. Angevine, W.M., J. Peischl, A. Crawford, C. Loughner, I. Pollack, and C. Thompson, Errors in top-down estimates of emissions using a known source, Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 20, 11855-11868, doi:10.5194/acp-20-11855-2020, 2020. Archibald, A.T., J.L. Neu, Y. Elshorbany, O.R. Cooper, P.J. Young, H. Akiyoshi, R.A. Cox, M. Coyle, R. Derwent, M. Deushi, A. Finco, G.J. Frost, I.E. Galbally, G. Gerosa, C. Granier, P.T. Griffiths, R. Hossaini, L. Hu, P.Jöckel, B. Josse, M.Y. -
Title Author(S)
th 5 European Conference on Severe Storms 12 - 16 October 2009 - Landshut - GERMANY ECSS 2009 Abstracts by session ECSS 2009 - 5th European Conference on Severe Storms 12-16 October 2009 - Landshut – GERMANY List of the abstract accepted for presentation at the conference: O – Oral presentation P – Poster presentation Session 09: Severe storm case studies and field campaigns, e.g. COPS, THORPEX, VORTEX2 Page Type Abstract Title Author(s) An F3 downburst in Austria - a case study with special G. Pistotnik, A. M. Holzer, R. 265 O focus on the importance of real-time site surveys Kaltenböck, S. Tschannett J. Bech, N. Pineda, M. Aran, J. An observational analysis of a tornadic severe weather 267 O Amaro, M. Gayà, J. Arús, J. event Montanyà, O. van der Velde Case study: Extensive wind damage across Slovenia on July M. Korosec, J. Cedilnik 269 O 13th, 2008 Observed transition from an elevated mesoscale convective J. Marsham, S. Trier, T. 271 O system to a surface based squall line: 13th June, Weckwerth, J. Wilson, A. Blyth IHOP_2002 08/08/08: classification and simulation challenge of the A. Pucillo, A. Manzato 273 O FVG olympic storm H. Bluestein, D. Burgess, D. VORTEX2: The Second Verification of the Origins of Dowell, P. Markowski, E. 275 O Rotation in Tornadoes Experiment Rasmussen, Y. Richardson, L. Wicker, J. Wurman Observations of the initiation and development of severe A. Blyth, K. Browning, J. O convective storms during CSIP Marsham, P. Clark, L. Bennett The development of tornadic storms near a surface warm P. Groenemeijer, U. Corsmeier, 277 O front in central England during the Convective Storm C. -
Annu Al Repor T 201 1-201 2
ANNUAL REPORT 2011-2012 ANNUAL Goddard Earth Sciences Technology and Research Studies and Investigations GESTAR STAFF Abuhassan, Nader Jethva, Hiren Radcliff, Matthew Achuthavarier, Deepthi Jin, Jianjun Randles, Cynthia Anyamba, Assaf Jones, Randall Reale, Oreste Baird, Steve Jusem, Juan Carlos Retscher, Christian Barahona, Donifan Kekesi, Alex Reyes, Malissa Beck, Jefferson Kim, Dongchul Rousseaux, Cecile Bell, Benita Kim, Hyokyung Sayer, Andrew Belvedere, Debbie Kim, Kyu-Myong Schiffer, Robert Bindschadler, Robert Kniffen, Don Schindler, Trent Bridgman, Tom Korkin, Sergey Selkirk, Henry Brucker, Ludovic Kostis, Helen-Nicole Sharghi, Kayvon Brunt, Kelly Kowalewski, Matthew Shi, Jainn Jong (Roger) Buchard-Marchant, Virginie Kreutzinger, Rachel Sippel, Jason Burger, Matthew Kucsera, Tom Smith, Sarah Celarier, Edward Kurtz, Nathan Soebiyanto, Radina Chang, Yehui Kurylo, Michael Sokolowsky, Eric Chase, Tyler Lait, Leslie Southard, Adrian Chern, Jiun-Dar Lamsal, Lok Starr, Cynthia Chettri, Samir Laughlin, Daniel Steenrod, Stephen ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Colombo, Oscar Lawford, Richard Stoyanova, Silvia Corso, William Lee, Dong Min Strahan, Susan Cote, Charles Lentz, Michael Strode, Sarah Dalnekoff, Julie Lewis, Katherine Sun, Zhibin Damoah, Richard Li, Feng Swanson, Andrew De Lannoy, Gabrielle J. Li, Xiaowen Taha, Ghassan de Matthaeis, Paolo Liang, Qing Tan, Qian Diehl, Thomas Liao, Liang Tao, Zhining Draper, Clara Lim, Young-Kwon Tian, Lin Duberstein, Genna Lin, Xin Ungar, Stephen Eck, Thomas Lyu, Chen-Hsuan (Joseph) Unninayar, Sushel Errico, Ronald -
How Long Could We Survive Without It?
Urban Insight is an initiative launched by Sweco The theme for 2019 is Urban Energy, describing In our insight reports, written by Sweco’s 2019 to illustrate our expertise – encompassing both various facets of sustainable urban develop- experts, we explore how citizens view and local knowledge and global capacity – as the ment about energy usage, renewable energy use urban areas and how local circumstances URBAN ENERGY leading adviser to the urban areas of Europe. and energy efficiency – with future challenges can be improved to create more liveable, This initiative offers unique insights into and opportunities in the new energy land- sustainable cities and communities. REPORT sustainable urban development in Europe, scape. from the citizens’ perspective. Please visit our website to learn more: ELECTRICITY: swecourbaninsight.com HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? SWECOURBANINSIGHT.COM URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN ENERGY URBAN ENERGY ELECTRICITY: ELECTRICITY: HOW LONG COULD WE HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? ELECTRICITY: HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? ERKKI HÄRÖ SANNA-MARIA JÄRVENSIVU JUSSI ALILEHTO PASI HARAVUORI iii 1 URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN INSIGHT 2019 URBAN ENERGY URBAN ENERGY ELECTRICITY: ELECTRICITY: HOW LONG COULD WE HOW LONG COULD WE SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? SURVIVE WITHOUT IT? CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION 4 CLIMATE CHANGE IS 2 CASE STUDY: WAKING UP WITHOUT ELECTRICITY 6 3 CONSEQUENCES OF POWER FAILURE: SET TO INCREASE HOMES, OFFICES AND SCHOOLS 12 4 CONSEQUENCES OF POWER FAILURE: THE LIKELIHOOD OF GROCERY STORES AND HOSPITALS 18 5 CONSEQUENCES OF POWER FAILURE: SEVERE WEATHER POWER AND PRODUCTION PLANTS 22 6 CHALLENGES ON THE NATIONAL LEVEL 26 AND THEREBY MORE 7 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 36 8 ABOUT THE AUTHORS 40 FREQUENT DAMAGE 9 REFERENCES 42 TO ELECTRICAL SYSTEMS AFFECTING HUNDREDS OF MILLIONS OF PEOPLE. -
WINTER 2017 ISSUE 64 the Intelligent Quarterly from The
WINTER 2017 ISSUE 64 18 Cat 22 Alt. 30 Bullish modelling reinsurance Barbican What’s in a ILS put to 10 years number? the test of specialty The intelligent quarterly from the publishers of The Insurance Insider Strong Capitalisation. Sound Solutions. Sustainable Partnerships. www.asiacapitalre.com Singapore | China | Hong Kong | Taiwan | Japan | Korea | Malaysia | Vietnam | India | Dubai | Bahrain ACRG Ad2017_v2_FA.indd 1 15/11/17 9:49 AM COMMENT WEEKENDER Once in these pages I likened Some consequences are life- the noise were convinced to join the a prolonged soft market to a house changing. The stab victim’s scar is a party and are exuberantly displaying party that gets out of hand. permanent reminder of how things the full convert’s zeal. There had been It starts off as a lot of fun, with can go badly wrong. some bickering but peacemakers everyone socialising and having a Meanwhile, unnoticed by revellers stepped in and cooled it down just in good time. The music gets turned and police alike, the guest who passed time. up louder and louder and someone out has not and will never reawaken. A pizza delivery has come and decides it would be amusing to fill the He is dead from an unspecified gone. Everyone has a full stomach and fruit punch with vodka. overdose. is happy. There are only smiles and an The more experienced take this as Everyone swears they are never overall air of contentment reigns. their cue to call it a night. going to drink again and a period of Even more curious, given the all- Once they leave all hell breaks puritanical abstinence follows. -
Ucp Abstractbook.Pdf
Index Acquistapace, Claudia ................... 1 Henneberg, Olga ..........................67 Preissler, Jana ............................ 133 Adamidis, Panagiotis ..................... 2 Hernandez-Deckers, Daniel ........68 Pressel, Kyle ............................... 134 Adler, Bianca.................................. 3 Herzog, Michael ...........................69 Protat, Alain ............................... 135 Ament, Felix ................................... 4 Hohenegger, Cathy ......................70 Quaas, Johannes........................ 136 Baars, Holger ................................. 5 Holloway, Chris ............................71 Randall, Dave ............................. 137 Ban, Nikolina ................................. 6 Hoose, Corinna ............................72 Raschke, Ehrhard....................... 138 Bao, Jian-Wen................................ 7 Imamovic, Adel ............................73 Reichardt, Isabelle ..................... 139 Barthlott, Christian........................ 8 Jakob, Christian ............................74 Retsch, Matthias Heinz ............. 140 Baumgartner, Manuel................... 9 Jakub, Fabian ...............................75 Richard, Evelyne ........................ 141 Becker, Tobias ............................. 10 Jaruga, Anna.................................76 Romakkaniemi, Sami ................. 142 Beekmans, Christoph .................. 11 Jensen, Michael ...........................77 Romps, David ............................. 143 Behrendt, Andreas ..................... -
Alpine Forest Drought Monitoring in South Tyrol: PCA Based Synergy Between Scpdsi Data and MODIS Derived NDVI and NDII7 Time Series
remote sensing Article Alpine Forest Drought Monitoring in South Tyrol: PCA Based Synergy between scPDSI Data and MODIS Derived NDVI and NDII7 Time Series Katarzyna Ewa Lewi ´nska 1,2, Eva Ivits 3, Mathias Schardt 1,* and Marc Zebisch 2 1 Institute of Remote Sensing and Photogrammetry, Graz Technical University, Steyrergasse 30/I, Graz 8010, Austria; [email protected] 2 Institute for Applied Remote Sensing, European Academy of Bozen/Bolzano (EURAC), Viale Druso 1, Bolzano 39100, Italy; [email protected] 3 European Environment Agency (EEA), Kongens Nytorv 6, Copenhagen K 1050, Denmark; [email protected] * Correspondence: [email protected]; Tel.: +43-316-873-6330 or +43-316-876-1754 Academic Editors: Angela Lausch, Marco Heurich, Lars T. Waser and Prasad S. Thenkabail Received: 26 April 2016; Accepted: 27 July 2016; Published: 5 August 2016 Abstract: Observed alternation of global and local meteorological patterns governs increasing drought impact, which puts at risk ecological balance and biodiversity of the alpine forest. Despite considerable attention, drought impact on forest ecosystems is still not entirely understood, and comprehensive forest drought monitoring has not been implemented. In this study, we proposed to bridge this gap exploiting a time-domain synergetic use of medium resolution MODSI NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and NDII7 (Normalized Difference Infrared Index band 7) time series as well as on-station temperature and precipitation measures combined in the scPDSI (self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index) datasets. Analysis employed the S-mode Principal Component Analysis (PCA) examined under multiple method settings and data setups. The investigation performed for South Tyrol (2001–2012) indicated prolonged meteorological drought condition between 2003 and 2007, as well as general drying tendencies. -
Tropical Cyclone Emma 26 February – 1 March 2006
Tropical Cyclone Emma 26 February – 1 March 2006 Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre Bureau of Meteorology A. Summary Emma was a monsoonal-type low reaching category 1 intensity before crossing the coast near Mardie on 28 February, then moving to the south southeast and eventually passing near Esperance late on 1 March. The main impact was rainfall, initially in the Karratha/Dampier region and then over inland areas. The heavy rain in the headwaters of the Murchison River caused the highest recorded flood along the river. More than 20 pastoral properties reported significant damage and heavy infrastructure losses combined with significant scouring of the Murchison floodplain. Floodwaters peaked at Kalbarri at about midnight on 15 March. Although the sandbar was washed away and riverside and low-lying parts of the town were flooded, a significant sandbagging exercise protected the town centre from inundation. B. Meteorological Description A low developed within an active monsoon trough in the vicinity of 12S 114E well to the north of NW Cape on 25 February. Convection remained unorganised and pulsed diurnally peaking around 0000 UTC 26 February for example. Although day-time visible images showed increasing rotation, convection remained unorganised overnight. Quickscat at 2245 UTC 26 February showed the centre further to the south southwest than the previous day possibly suggesting some re-organising of the LLCC. Convection became more sustained to the south and east but quite removed from the centre. Quickscat at 0952 UTC 27 February indicated gales well to the south and east but marginally less than 50 per cent surrounding the centre and well removed. -
Program Summary
Sunday, September 22, 2013 Dinner (6:00 – 8:00 PM) ___________________________________________________________________________________________________ Monday, September 23, 2013 Breakfast (7:00 – 8:00 AM) Session 1: Midlatitude Cyclone Structure, Evolution and Processes (8:00 – 10:00 AM) Chair: Andrea Lang Time Presenter Title 8:00 – 8:20 Gyakum A Reanalysis of Extreme Cyclone Processes: Tropical, Extratropical, and Otherwise 8:20 – 8:40 Plante Storm Tracks across Eastern Canada Characteristics of Northeast Winter Cyclones Associated With Significant Upper Level 8:40 – 9:00 Mitchell Easterly Wind Anomalies 9:00 – 9:20 Ferreira Structure and Propagation of Midlatitude Cyclones in the Southeastern United States 9:20 – 9:40 Cohen The Evolution of Fronts and Cyclones over the U.S. 2012-2013 9:40 – 10:00 Hewson Why Rainfall May Reduce When the Ocean Warms Coffee Break (10:00 – 10:20 AM) Session 2: Jets, Fronts and Airstreams (10:20 AM – 12:20 PM) Chair: Steven Cavallo Time Presenter Title A Lagrangian Climatology of Tropical and Extratropical Forcing of the Northern 10:20 – 10:40 Martius Hemisphere Subtropical Jet 10:40 – 11:00 Griffin Examining Preferred Modes of Intraseasonal Variability of the North Pacific Jet A Potential Vorticity Perspective on the Motion of Midlatitude Surface Cyclones: 11:00 – 11:20 Rivière Theory and Real Case Studies 11:20 – 11:40 Attard A Climatology of Lower Stratospheric Fronts in North America 11:40 – 12:00 Christenson A Synoptic-Climatology of Northern Hemisphere Jet Superposition Events Investigation of the