Lady and The Track Team BC Picks 2015
Friday, Oct. 30, 2015
Race 6: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf TRIXIE Winner: Azar My bet: #2 to win Why: Azar may not be the best of the bunch just yet, but I’ll take my chance on the Pletcher trainee in this race to get my blood pumping.
REINIER Winner: Airoforce My bet: Win #5, Daily Double #5 / #6 Why: Won by a comfortable margin over Keeneland’s turf course
LIZZY Winner: Manhattan Dan My bet: #3 to win Why: This horse reminds me of someone I met in Chinatown.
CASEY Winner: Hit It a Bomb (#14) Bet: Hit It a Bomb (#14) boxed with both Hollywood Don (#11) and Azar (#2) Why: Hit It a Bomb is in with the dynamic duo, Aiden O'Brien and Ryan Moore!
SIGI Winner: Airoforce My bet: Exacta Box 8,1 Why: Airoforce is unbeaten and showed heart in both starts.
JESSICA Winner: Airoforce My bet: Place #8 Why: He impressed me well enough at Keeneland with his Bourbon win. Race 7: Las Vegas Breeders' Cup Mile TRIXIE Winner: Red Vine My bet: Trifecta Box: 1, 3, 5 Why: Liam’s Map is impressive, but Red Vine will finish in the money, too.
REINIER Winner: #6 Street Strategy My bet: Win #6 or Exacta (or Trifecta) Backwheel #1, #5, #7, #8, #9, #11 / #6 Why: Undefeated at one mile
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. LIZZY Winner: Wicked Strong My bet: #8 to win Why: I believe in him!
CASEY Winner: Wicked Strong (#8) Bet: Wicked Strong (#8) boxed with Liam's Map (#3) and Lea (#5) Why: There is a lot more speed in this race than people see - Liam's Map likely won't get this easily.
SIGI Winner: Liam's Map My bet: Exacta Box: 3,8,5 Why: Liam's Map is a true miler, and he looks like the lone speed.
JESSICA Winner: Lea My bet: Exacta Box: 3 and 5 Why: I will forever love Lea, although I can't ignore Liam's Map here. Race 8: Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf TRIXIE Winner: Catch a Glimpse My Bet: #4 to win. Why: I simply want to see the Casse team bring this one home.
REINIER Winner: #12 Gliding By My bet: Unplayable Why: Jose Lezcano rides well on turf
LIZZY Winner: Ruby Notion My Bet: #5 to win. Why: Diamonds are a girl's best friend, but rubies will get you out of the friend zone.
CASEY Winner: Illuminate (#10) Bet: Illuminate (#10) boxed with Catch a Glimpse (#4) and Harmonize (#8) Why: Illuminate is a well-bred European who seems to be better, at least on paper, than the rest of this field.
SIGI Winner: Catch a Glimpse My Bet: #4 Catch a Glimpse to win. Why: She loves the grass and can beat the Euros.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. JESSICA Winner: Harmonize My Bet: Win #8 Why: She's already got a solid win over the Keeneland turf. Race 9: Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff TRIXIE Winner: Stellar Wind My Bet: #9 to win. Why: Stellar Wind may be outclassed, but I’ll give her one last shot to add a little value to my day.
REINIER Winner: #12 Got Lucky My bet: Unplayable Why: Won prep race over Keeneland
LIZZY Winner: I’m a Chatterbox My Bet: #1 to win. Why: I’ve always liked this horse and her sassy gossip.
CASEY Winner: Curalina (#8) Bet: Curalina (#8) boxed with I'm a Chatterbox (#1) and Stopchargingmaria (#4) Why: I honestly believe the favorite Wedding Toast is not as good outside New York.
SIGI Winner: I'm a Chatterbox My Bet: Exacta box 1, 4, 12 Why: I'm a Chatterbox looked professional in her Cotillion Stakes win.
JESSICA Winner: Stellar Wind My Bet: Exacta Box: 9 and 7 Why: I can't help but feel like Stellar Wind is on the improve, although Wedding Toast will be a tough beat at this distance.
Saturday, Oct. 31, 2015 Race 3: 14 Hands Winery Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Trixie Winner: Rachel’s Valentina My Bet: Exacta #8, #10 Why: Rachel’s Valentina and Songbird should really kick off the first BC race on Saturday in an exciting way.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. Reinier Winner: #2 Tap to It My bet: Unplayable Why: Won prep race over Keeneland
Lizzy Winner: Forever Darling My Bet: #5 to win. Why: It just sounds romantic.
Casey Winner: #9 or #10 (Rachel's Valentine or Songbird) Bet: Boxing both #9 and #10 Why: I cannot separate them. They are worlds ahead of the rest of the field
Sigi Winner: Songbird My Bet: #8 Dothraki Queen to place Why: Songbird offers no value, but she'll either win or finish off the board. I'm using Dothraki Queen to get some value.
Jessica Winner: Songbird My Bet: Exacta with 10 and 7 Why: West Coast juveniles are going to rock the Breeders' Cup. Race 4: TwinSpires Breeders' Cup Sprint Trixie Winner: Lady Shipman My Bet: #5 to place. Why: The field is huge in this race, so I’ll play Lady Shipman to place.
Reinier Winner: #12 Ready for Rye My bet: Unplayable Why: Loves turf sprints
Lizzy Winner: Jimmy Bouncer My Bet: #4 to win. Why: Who doesn’t like sprinkles on their ice cream?
Casey Winner: Lady Shipman (#5) Bet: Boxing the #5 with #10 The Great War and #1 Pure Sensation Why: Wide open field with a lot of fast horses. I'm going with Lady Shipman and a few longer shots in hopes of hitting the board with them.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. Sigi Winner: Undrafted My Bet: I'm using 3,5,12 in a pick 3 Why: Undrafted might take advantage of a pace meltdown.
Jessica Winner: Lady Shipman My Bet: Win with #5 Why: Lady Shipman rather towers over this field in my mind. Race 5: TwinSpires Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint Trixie Winner: Stonetastic My Bet: Exacta Box: #7, #11 Why: I like Stonetastic in this race, but my heart still goes with Judy the Beauty.
Reinier Winner: #7 Wavell Avenue My bet: Win #7, Exacta (or Trifecta) Backwheel #3, #5, #6, #14 / #7 Why: Closed against speed bias at Belmont Park
Lizzy Winner: Dame Dorothy My Bet: #2 to win. Why: That’s my grandma’s name.
Casey Winner: #11 Judy the Beauty Bet: Boxing #11 with Taris (#3) and Cavorting (#14) Why: While Cavorting may end up being the best female sprinter for the Eclipse Awards, Judy the Beauty has only lost one start at Keeneland due to traffic problems. I don't see that mistake happening again here.
Sigi Winner: Kiss to Remember My Bet: # 10 Kiss to Remember to win -place -show Why: Kiss to Remember just needs to repeat her Ballerina Stakes effort to be in the mix.
Jessica Winner: La Verdad My Bet: Place with #4 Why: I really want to see La Verdad grab her first Grade I!
Race 6: Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf Trixie Winner: Miss France My Bet: #9 to Show Why: Out of all of the Irish imports, Miss France looks to be the one to beat.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. Reinier Winner: #2 Sentiero Italia My bet: Win #2, Daily Double #2 / #11 Why: Wide trip cost her last time
Lizzy Winner: Sharla Rae My Bet: #4 to win. Why: I think Sharla Rae may surprise the narrow-minded folks in the office.
Casey Winner: Photo Call (#5) My Bet: Boxing #5 Photo Call with Stephanie's Kitten (#11) and (#9) Miss France Why: I love the Europeans here which is why I am not backing my usual favorite in Stephanie's Kitten. I was impressed by Photo Call last out.
Sigi Winner: Legatissimo My Bet: #11 Stephanie's Kitten to place Why: Legatissimo should be the heavy favorite. I'm using Stephanie's Kitten because she is a fighter.
Jessica Winner: Photo Call My Bet: Win with #5 Why: Denali is consigning Photo Call in the November sale after the Breeders' Cup, so I'd like for her to further improve her résumé before that! Race 7: TwinSpires Breeders' Cup Sprint Trixie Winner: Runhappy My Bet: #5 to win. Why: There may not be much value in betting social media sensation Runhappy, but it feels good to root for a winner!
Reinier Winner: #11 Barbados My bet: See previous Daily Double Why: Could get pace setup
Lizzy Winner: Runhappy My Bet: #5 to win. Why: If you don’t like Runhappy, don’t even speak to me.
Casey
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. Winner: Runhappy (#5) Bet: Putting $10 to win on #5 then playing a try box with Runhappy (#5), Private Zone (#13), Kobe's Back (#2), and, Wild Dude (#8) Why: Runhappy, simply put, is a freak!
Sigi Winner: Salutos Amigos My Bet: #10 Salutos Amigos to win-place Why: Salutos Amigos drew a good post position and will fly late if the pace collapses.
Jessica Winner: Runhappy My Bet: Win with #5. Why: He's Runhappy. Race 8: Breeders' Cup Mile Trixie Winner: Tepin My Bet: #7 to win. Why: Another Casse trainee that should make for an exciting patriotic pick!
Reinier Winner: #7 Tepin My bet: Exacta box #5, #7, #11 or Daily Double #5, #7, #11 / #7 Why: Won by seven lengths over Keeneland turf
Lizzy Winner: Mshawish My Bet: #10 to win. Why: My nail stylist/life coach likes the purple color.
Casey Winner: Tepin (#7) Bet: Boxing Tepin (#7), Grand Arch (#1), and Time Test (#12) Why: Tepin and Grand Arch both have fantastic races over thiz surface. The turf won't be as soft (I don't think) as some of the Euros may like, but I am including Time Test as I like his previous form.
Sigi Winner: Tepin My Bet: #7 Tepin to win Why: Tepin is unbeaten at one-mile races this year, and she looked marvelous in her last start.
Jessica Winner: Tepin My Bet: Win with #7 Why: With Beholder out of the Classic, Tepin has to win one for the girls.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. Race 9: Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Juvenile Trixie Winner: Nyquist My Bet: Exacta 13,5. Why: Everyone is hot for Nyquist. I’ll add Cocked and Loaded to my play for value.
Reinier Winner: #7 Brody’s Cause My bet: See previous Daily Double Why: Won local prep race over Keeneland dirt
Lizzy Winner: Conquest Big E My Bet: #1 to win. Why: Picking this longshot bet because Norman Casse a nice, good-looking guy.
Casey Winner: Brody's Cause (#7) Bet: Boxing Brody's Cause (#7), Exaggerator (#9), and Greenpointcrusader (#3) Why: I really believe that Nyquist has Juvenile Champion honors in the bag, win or lose here, and I really like what I saw from all three of these colts last out. Brody's Cause will definitely continue to improve with age and distance, which is why I have him on top here.
Sigi Winner: Swipe My Bet: #12 Swipe to win - place Why: With a clean trip, Swipe could be the winner at profitable odds.
Jessica Winner: Nyquist My Bet: Exacta Box with 13 and 9 Why: I've been a Nyquist fan since he broke his maiden, and I think he's the best juvenile at the moment. Race 10: Longines Breeders' Cup Turf Trixie Winner: Golden Horn My bet: Trifecta Box: 1,4,9 Why: I like all three to come in the money and feel confident in Golden Horn and Slumber.
Reinier Winner: #4 Slumber My bet: Unplayable Why: Pretty horse
Lizzy Winner: Cage Fighter My bet: #8 to win.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. Why: I like his name.
Casey Winner: Golden Horn (#1) Bet: Boxing #1 with The Pizza Man (#10) and Big Blue Kitten (#7) Why: It was hard leaving Red Rifle out here, but Golden Horn looks to be the best turf horse in the world. He defeated Treve and Flintshire, which is enough to think he can defeat this field with relative ease.
Sigi Winner: Golden Horn My bet: #12 Ordak Dan to show Why: He's a big horse and a strong galloper. He'll offer huge odds because he's unknown.
Jessica Winner: Slumber My bet: Win with #4 Why: I like Slumber simply because I had a weird dream revolving around his name. Race 11: Breeders' Cup Classic Trixie Winner: American Pharoah My Bet: Trifecta Box: 1,3,4 Why: Like the rest of America, I’d like to see American Pharoah go out with a bang, but the Triple Crown winner has his work cut out for him. Tonalist is a risky play, but I can’t resist the Clement trainee.
Reinier Winner: #2 Keen Ice My bet: Unplayable Why: Much improved colt
Lizzy Winner: American Pharoah My Bet: #4 to win.
Casey Winner: Honor Code (#9) Bet: Boxing #9 with American Pharoah (#5) and Frosted (#3) Why: Honor Code has been working a hole in the wind and acting like he never has before. I think we may see an Honor Code we have never seen before. As much as I want American Pharoah to win the "Grand Slam," I have been behind Honor Code since his debut, and I won't look back in what may be his final start.
Sigi Winner: Honor Code My Bet: Not playing this race. Why: The Kelso was just a prep, now we'll see the real Honor Code.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup. Jessica Winner: American Pharoah My Bet: Not betting this one. Why: He deserves to go out with an impressive, history-making win, and I'm pretty sure he will.
Kari Winner: Smooth Roller My Bet: Win/Place #7 Why: He is fresh and has a shot to hit the board.
Visit www.ladyandthetrack.com for updated news on the 2015 Breeders' Cup.