Federal Reserve Districts: Governance, Monetary Policy, and Economic Performance
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Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Work
Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Work The Economics of Artifi cial Intelligence National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report The Economics of Artifi cial Intelligence: An Agenda Edited by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb The University of Chicago Press Chicago and London The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London © 2019 by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission, except in the case of brief quotations in critical articles and reviews. For more information, contact the University of Chicago Press, 1427 E. 60th St., Chicago, IL 60637. Published 2019 Printed in the United States of America 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 1 2 3 4 5 ISBN-13: 978-0-226-61333-8 (cloth) ISBN-13: 978-0-226-61347-5 (e-book) DOI: https:// doi .org / 10 .7208 / chicago / 9780226613475 .001 .0001 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Agrawal, Ajay, editor. | Gans, Joshua, 1968– editor. | Goldfarb, Avi, editor. Title: The economics of artifi cial intelligence : an agenda / Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb, editors. Other titles: National Bureau of Economic Research conference report. Description: Chicago ; London : The University of Chicago Press, 2019. | Series: National Bureau of Economic Research conference report | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifi ers: LCCN 2018037552 | ISBN 9780226613338 (cloth : alk. paper) | ISBN 9780226613475 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Artifi cial intelligence—Economic aspects. Classifi cation: LCC TA347.A78 E365 2019 | DDC 338.4/ 70063—dc23 LC record available at https:// lccn .loc .gov / 2018037552 ♾ This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/ NISO Z39.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper). -
IFFCBANO Symposium: Keeping Trade Moving
IFFCBANO Symposium: Keeping Trade Moving Adrienne C. Slack Regional Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta - New Orleans Branch The views expressed here are my own, and not necessarily those of the Atlanta Fed or the Federal Reserve System. The Fed’s Dual Mandate • The Fed is pursuing two objectives as given to us by Congress— maximum employment and price stability. • The maximum level of employment is largely determined by nonmonetary factors that affect the structure and dynamics of the job market, although a stronger economy does help with job creation. • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has chosen an inflation target of two percent per year over the medium term as measured by the annual change in the price index for personal consumption expenditures. 2 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Randal Quarles Jerome H. Powell Richard H. Clarida Lael Brainard Vice Chair for Chair Vice Chair Supervision Vacant Michelle W. Bowman Vacant 3 The Federal Reserve Bank Presidents Loretta Mester Charles Evans Neel Kashkari Patrick Harker Eric Rosengren Cleveland Chicago Minneapolis Philadelphia Boston 4th District 7th District 9th District 3rd District 1st District John Williams New York 2nd District Tom Barkin Richmond 5th District Mary Daly San Francisco Esther George Raphael Bostic Robert Kaplan James Bullard 12th District Kansas City Atlanta 10th District Dallas St. Louis 6th District 11th District 8th District 4 The Sixth District Information Flow Public Sixth Policy District Business Sixth FOMC District Research Sixth Atlanta District Board of President Directors 6 Summary of the Economic Environment: The May 2019 FOMC Policy Statement • Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the labor market remains strong and that economic activity rose at a solid rate. -
2021 Leg Agenda February 12
LEGISLATIVE COMMITTEE MEETING Committee Members Mayor Pro Tem Michael A. Cacciotti, Chair Council Member Joe Buscaino, Vice Chair Dr. William A. Burke Senator Vanessa Delgado (Ret.) Supervisor V. Manuel Perez Supervisor Janice Rutherford February 12, 2021 9:00 a.m. Pursuant to Governor Newsom’s Executive Orders N-25-20 (March 12, 2020) and N-29-20 (March 17, 2020), the South Coast AQMD Legislative Committee meeting will only be conducted via video conferencing and by telephone. Please follow the instructions below to join the meeting remotely. INSTRUCTIONS FOR ELECTRONIC PARTICIPATION AT BOTTOM OF AGENDA Join Zoom Webinar Meeting - from PC or Laptop https://scaqmd.zoom.us/j/99574050701 Zoom Webinar ID: 995 7405 0701 (applies to all) Teleconference Dial In +1 669 900 6833 One tap mobile +16699006833,, 99574050701# Audience will be able to provide public comment through telephone or Zoom connection during public comment periods. PUBLIC COMMENT WILL STILL BE TAKEN AGENDA Members of the public may address this body concerning any agenda item before or during consideration of that item (Gov't. Code Section 54954.3(a)). If you wish to speak, raise your hand on Zoom or press Star 9 if participating by telephone. All agendas for regular meetings are posted at South Coast AQMD Headquarters, 21865 Copley Drive, Diamond Bar, California, at least 72 hours in advance of the regular meeting. Speakers may be limited to three (3) minutes each. South Coast AQMD -2- February 12, 2021 Legislative Committee CALL TO ORDER - Roll Call DISCUSSION ITEMS (Items 1 through 2): 1. Update and Discussion on Federal Legislative Issues Gary Hoitsma (No Motion Required) Carmen Group Consultants will provide a brief oral report of Federal legislative pgs 5-12 activities in Washington DC. -
For Immediate Release: April 8, 2020 Contact: Emma Wells, [email protected], 215–622–8623
For Immediate Release: April 8, 2020 Contact: Emma Wells, [email protected], 215–622–8623 PENNINGTON, N.J., Apr.---Cecilia Rouse sworn in as Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers to President Biden On March 12, Cecilia Rouse was sworn in as Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) by Vice President Kamala Harris. Rouse was a member of the Pennington School Board of Trustees from 2017 until March 2021, Pennington’s 2020 Commencement speaker, and is a current Pennington School parent. Rouse was nominated by President Joe Biden in December to lead the CEA, an agency within the Executive Office of the President of the United States that is charged with offering the President objective economic advice on the formulation of both domestic and international economic policy. The Council bases its recommendations and analysis on economic research and empirical evidence, using the best data available to support the President in setting the nation’s economic policy. Rouse previously served on the CEA under President Obama, and will be only the fourth woman, and first Black, to lead this agency. Rouse is the former dean of Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs. She writes, “This is a moment of urgency and opportunity unlike anything we’ve faced in modern times. The urgency of ending a devastating crisis. And the opportunity to build a better economy in its wake—an economy that works for everyone, and leaves no one to fall through the cracks.” The Pennington School is an independent coeducational school for students in grades 6 through 12, in both day and boarding programs. -
About the Contributors
STRATEGIES for MONETARY POLICY EDITED BY JOHN H. COCHRANE JOHN B. TAYLOR About the Contributors JAMES “JIM” BULLARD is the president and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. In that role, he is a participant on the Fed- eral Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee, which meets regularly to set the direction of US monetary policy. He also oversees the Federal Reserve’s Eighth District, including activities at the St. Louis headquar- ters and its branches in Little Rock, Arkansas; Louisville, Kentucky; and Memphis, Tennessee. Bullard is a noted economist and scholar, and his positions are founded on research-based thinking and an intellectual open- ness to new theories and explanations. He is often an early voice for change. Bullard makes public outreach and dialogue a priority to help build a more transparent and accessible Fed. A native of Forest Lake, Minnesota, Bullard received his PhD in economics from Indiana University in Bloomington. He holds BS degrees in economics and in quantitative methods and infor- mation systems from St. Cloud State University in St. Cloud, Minnesota. RICHARD H. CLARIDA serves on the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System and has been vice chair since 2018, filling a term ending in 2022. Clarida previously served as the C. Lowell Harriss Professor of Economics and International Affairs and chaired the Department of Economics at Columbia University. In addition to his academic experience, Clarida was the assistant secretary for economic policy of the US Treasury, where he was awarded the Treasury Medal in recognition of his service; and served on the Council of Economic Advisers under President Reagan. -
Weekly Economic Commentary
LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH Weekly Economic Commentary December 10, 2012 Festive Fed FAQ John Canally, CFA Why Write About the Federal Reserve (Fed) This Week When the Economist Fiscal Cliff Is Looming? LPL Financial The Fed may deliver the most important policy announcement of the week, given the ongoing behind-the-scenes fiscal policy debate in Washington. The Fed continues to play a key role in markets and the economy, and that Highlights will continue into 2013 and beyond. Although Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke We expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to has said that the Fed cannot offset the impact of the fiscal cliff, Fed continue Operation Twist at this week’s policymakers are keenly aware that they remain the “only game in town” Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) when it comes to simulative policy. meeting. Before ending quantitative easing (QE), the Fed has repeatedly said it is looking What Is the Schedule of Events for the Fed This Week? for “sustained and substantial” improvement in the labor market. The Fed holds its eighth and final Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting of 2012 this Tuesday and Wednesday, December 11 – 12. The The Fed’s communication policy is likely to be at the heart of the agenda. meeting will be followed by an FOMC statement at 12:30 PM ET, the FOMC’s latest economic and Fed funds projections at 2:00 PM ET, and Looking ahead, the rotation to new FOMC members in January 2013 is unlikely to Chairman Bernanke’s final press conference of 2012 begins at 2:15 PM ET. -
THE RIDE Larger, Less Crowded Areas Seeing Faster Growth
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY / SPRING 2019 ENJOYING THE RIDE Larger, less crowded areas seeing faster growth ANNUAL REPORT EDITION Stability and Stewardship Why Is Wage Growth Low? | Diversity and Inclusion Report | New Tenth District Directors TEN MAGAZINE | | SPRING 2019 A FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY / SPRING 2019 FEATURES VOLUME 14 • ISSUE 4 • ISSN 1554-7469 SENIOR VICE PRESIDENT Diane Raley VICE PRESIDENT Krissy Young ASSISTANT VICE PRESIDENT & PRODUCTION ADVISOR Lowell Jones 20 ASSISTANT VICE PRESIDENT & FASTER GROWTH Year-over-year percent change, seasonally adjusted PUBLIC INFORMATION OFFICER Over several years, locations with populations of 500,000 Bill Medley6 to 3 million often grew faster than the national6 rate. EDITOR4 4 Stan Austin MAGAZINE2 DESIGNER 2 Alison Reichert 0 WHY IS WAGE GROWTH0 SO LOW? MANAGING EDITOR Despite continued improvement Rick Babson-2 in labor market -conditions,2 low productivity growth affects CREATIVE DIRECTOR compensation. Angela -Anderson4 12 -4 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 CONTENT CONTRIBUTORS Real compensation per hour Su Bacon, Gary Barber, Sam Chapman, Cynthia Edwards, David McNeese, Sarah Pope, Marlina Yates DIVERSITY AND INCLUSION In its yearly report to Congress, the RESEARCH CONTRIBUTORS Kansas City Fed outlines how its Jun Nie, Jordan Rappaport, business practices represent the range Willem Van Zandweghe of backgrounds and experiences 30 across the Tenth District. TEN magazine is a quarterly publication of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City focused on the connection between the Bank’s research and the Tenth Federal Reserve District. TEN features articles on the Federal Reserve’s history, structure and operations. The views and opinions expressed in TEN are not 2018 ANNUAL REPORT necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank A detailed look at Bank operations, of Kansas City, the Federal Reserve System, its Tenth District officers, directors, advisory governors, officers or representatives. -
NY Fed President ❖ Lael Brainard – Governor ❖ Randall Quarles – Vice Chair for Supervision ❖ Michelle Bowman-Governor
1 2 Interest Rates – from 3000 BC Source: Business Insider 3 Yield Curve 101 ❖ Fed Funds – 2.40% (2.25%-2.50%) ❖ +75 bps ❖ =3.15% 2-year note yield (2.52%) ❖ +100 bps ❖ =4.15% 10-year note yield (2.66%) ❖ +50 bps ❖ =4.40% 30-year bond yield (3.00%) ❖ Yield Curve is Flat 4 Treasury Yield Curve-2018-2019 Source: Bloomberg 5 Treasury Yield Curve 2018-2019 Source: Bloomberg 6 U.S. vs. German Yield Curves Source: Bloomberg 7 Source: Walt Handelsman - Newsday 8 Economic Growth – 2004-2018 Source: BEA & Bloomberg 9 Economic Growth – 1947-2018 Source: BEA & Bloomberg 10 11 Key to Economy – Innovative New Jobs 12 Beneficiaries of Economic Innovation 13 Measures of Unemployment Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics •U-3: Total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force (this is the definition used for the official unemployment rate). •U-6: Total unemployed, plus all marginally attached workers, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percent of the civilian labor force plus all marginally attached workers. 14 U.S. Unemployment Rate U-3 Source: BLS and Bloomberg 15 U.S. Unemployment Rate U-6 Source: BLS and Bloomberg 16 U.S. Non-farm Payrolls (2009-Present) Source: BLS and Bloomberg 17 U.S. Non-farm Payrolls (1939-Present) Source: BLS and Bloomberg 18 Weekly Initial Jobless Claims(2009-Present) Source: DOL and Bloomberg 19 Weekly Initial Jobless Claims(1967-Present) Source: DOL and Bloomberg 20 21 German Inflation – 1918-1923 Source: BEA & Bloomberg 22 Wages vs Inflation (PCE Core YoY) – 2007-2019 Source: BEA, BLS & Bloomberg -
President-Elect Biden Transition: Second Update December 1, 2020
1 RICH FEUER ANDERSON President-elect Biden Transition: Second Update December 1, 2020 TRANSITION Since announcing his Chief of Staff, the COVID-19 Task Force, and members of the agency review teams, President-elect Biden has made weekly announcements regarding senior White PDATE U House staff and Cabinet nominations. We expect an announcement on Director of the National Economic Council (not Senate confirmed) to come shortly, followed by other Cabinet heads in the coming weeks such as Attorney General, Commerce Secretary, HUD Secretary, DOL Secretary and US Trade Representative. Biden has nominated and appointed women to serve in key positions in his Administration, including the nomination of Janet Yellen to be Treasury Secretary. And while Biden continues to build out a Cabinet that “looks like America,” the Congressional Black Caucus, Congressional Hispanic Caucus and the Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus continue to push for additional racial diversity at the Cabinet level.” Key appointments and nominations to the White House Senior Staff and economic and national security teams are included below, many of whom served in the Obama Administration (*). White House Senior Staff: Ron Klain, Chief of Staff* Jen O’Malley Dillon, Deputy Chief of Staff Mike Donilon, Senior Advisor to the President Dana Remus, Counsel to the President* Steve Richetti, Counselor to the President* Julissa Reynoso Pantaleon, Chief of Staff to Dr. Jill Biden* Anthony Bernal, Senior Advisor to Dr. Jill Biden* Cedric Richmond, Senior Advisor to -
2018 NAFCU Economic Presentation Karen Gilmore VP & Regional Executive
2018 NAFCU Economic Presentation Karen Gilmore VP & Regional Executive The views expressed are my own, and not necessarily those of the Atlanta Fed or the Federal Reserve System. Janet Yellen Jerome Powell 3 Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Jerome H. Powell Richard H. Clarida Lael Brainard Randal Quarles Chair Vice Chair Vice Chair for Supervision Vacant Vacant Vacant 4 The Federal Reserve Bank Presidents Loretta Mester Charles Evans Neel Kashkari Patrick Harker Eric Rosengren Cleveland Chicago Minneapolis Philadelphia Boston 4th District 7th District 9th District 3rd District 1st District John Williams New York 2nd District Tom Barkin Richmond 5th District Raphael Bostic Mary Daly Esther George Robert Kaplan James Bullard Atlanta San Francisco Kansas City Dallas St. Louis 6th District 12th District 10th District 11th District 8th District 5 Summary of Economic Projections Midpoint of target range or target level for the Federal Funds Rate Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System September 26, 2018 6 The Fed’s Dual Mandate • The Fed is pursuing two objectives as given to us by Congress—maximum employment and price stability. • The maximum level of employment is largely determined by nonmonetary factors that affect the structure and dynamics of the job market, although a stronger economy does help with job creation. • The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has chosen an inflation target of two percent year-over-year growth over the longer term. 7 Payroll Employment Changes Payroll Employment Changes thousands, -
Populism, Economic Policies and Central Banking
Populism, Economic Policies and Central Banking Edited by Ernest Gnan and Donato Masciandaro Contributions by Itai Agur • Carola Binder • Cristina Bodea • Claudio Borio • Italo Colantone • Federico Favaretto • Ana Carolina Garriga • Stefan Gerlach • Ernest Gnan 0DVDDNL +LJDVKLMLPD 5\V]DUG .RNRV]F]\ĔVNL -RDQQD 0DFNLHZLF]à\]LDN 1LFROiV (UQHVWR Magud • Donato Masciandaro • Luljeta Minxhozi • Massimo Morelli • Francesco Passarelli • Antonio Spilimbergo • Piero Stanig • Alejandro M. Werner A joint publication with the Bocconi University DQG%$)),&$5(),1 Supported by SUERF – Société SUERF Universitaire Européenne Conference Proceedings de Recherches Financières 2020/1 Populism, Economic Policies and Central Banking POPULISM, ECONOMIC POLICIES AND CENTRAL BANKING Edited by Ernest Gnan and Donato Masciandaro Contributions by Itai Agur, Carola Binder, Cristina Bodea, Claudio Borio, Italo Colantone, Federico Favaretto, Ana Carolina Garriga, Stefan Gerlach, Ernest Gnan, Masaaki Higashijima, Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak, Nicolás Ernesto Magud, Donato Masciandaro, Luljeta Minxhozi, Massimo Morelli, Francesco Passarelli, Antonio Spilimbergo, Piero Stanig, Alejandro M. Werner A joint publication with the Bocconi University and BAFFI CAREFIN Supported by SUERF – The European Money and Finance Forum Vienna 2020 SUERF Conference Proceedings 2020/1 CIP Populism, Economic Policies and Central Banking Editors: Ernest Gnan and Donato Masciandaro Authors: Itai Agur, Carola Binder, Cristina Bodea, Claudio Borio, Italo Colantone, Ana Carolina Garriga, Stefan Gerlach, Ernest Gnan, Federico Favaretto, Masaaki Higashijima, Ryszard Kokoszczyński, Joanna Mackiewicz-Łyziak, Nicolás Ernesto Magud, Donato Masciandaro, Luljeta Minxhozi, Massimo Morelli, Francesco Passarelli, Antonio Spilimbergo, Piero Stanig, Alejandro M. Werner Keywords: Behavioural economics, Banking policy, Populism, Economic Policy, Central bank Independence, Financial Inequality, Political Economics, Political Economy, Fiscal policy, Populism, Latin America, Institutions. -
What a Biden Harris Administration Could Look Like
President Biden’s Team Confirmed choices of the 46th President Secretary of Secretary of State Secretary of Treasury Homeland Security Antony Blinken Janet Yellen Alejandro Mayorkas Former Deputy Former Chairwoman of Former Deputy Secretary of State the Federal Reserve Secretary of Homeland Board Security Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra Current Attorney General of California President Biden’s Team Rumored choices of the 46th President Secretary of U.S. Attorney Secretary of Defense General Interior Lloyd Austin Xavier Becerra Steve Bullock Retired General, former head of U.S. Central Current Attorney General of California Governor of Montana and former presidential Command candidate Tammy Duckworth Raul Grivalja Member of the Armed Services Committee Amy Klobuchar Congressman from Arizona and Chair of the and former U.S. Army Lieutenant Colonel Senator from Minnesota and former Committee on Natural Resources presidential candidate that gave key Michele Flournoy endorsement to Biden in the primaries Deb Haaland Former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Congresswoman from Arizona, one of the first Doug Jones Jeh Johnson Native American women elected to Congress Former Senator from Alabama and former U.S. Former Secretary of Homeland Security, and Attorney Martin Heinrich former General Counsel of the Department of Junior Senator from New Mexico Defense Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall Sally Yates Tom Udall Former Coordinator for Defense Policy, Former acting AG under Obama and outspoken Retiring Senator from New Mexico and son of Countering WMDs, and Arms Control under critic of Trump’s Department of Justice the former U.S. Secretary of Interior in the Obama 60’s, Stewart Udall Secretary of Secretary of Secretary of Agriculture Commerce Labor Marcia Fudge Ursula Burns Andy Levin Congresswoman from Ohio, Chair of the Member of the Board of Directors of Uber Congressman from MI, former labor organizer House Ag.