Arewedoingenough?EvaluationoftheEradicationInitiative inadistrictofPakistan’sPunjabprovince:aLQASstudy

Muhammad Umair Mushtaq †§, Muhammad Ashraf Majrooh †, Mohsin Zia Sana Ullah †,JavedAkram †,ArifMahmoodSiddiqui †,MushtaqAhmadShad ‡,Muhammad Waqas †, Hussain Muhammad Abdullah †, Waqar Ahmad †, Ubeera Shahid †, Usman Khurshid †

†ResearchSociety,AllamaIqbalMedicalCollege,Lahore,Pakistan ‡DepartmentofHealth,GovernmentofPunjab,Pakistan §Correspondingauthor

Correspondenceto:

Dr.MuhammadUmairMushtaq Room71,Hostel3,PresidentResearchSociety AllamaIqbalMedicalCollege,Lahore54000,Pakistan Email:[email protected] Tel:(92-333)6733883,(92-300)5500321

Authors’Emails:

MushtaqMU [email protected] MajroohMA [email protected] UllahMZS [email protected] AkramJ [email protected] SiddiquiAM [email protected] ShadMA [email protected] WaqasM [email protected] AbdullahHM [email protected] AhmadW [email protected] ShahidU [email protected] KhurshidU [email protected]



 ABSTRACT

Background

ThesuccessoftheGlobalPolioEradicationInitiativewasremarkable,butfourcountries–

Afghanistan, Pakistan, India and Nigeria – never interrupted polio . Pakistan reportedly achieved all milestones except interrupting virus transmission. The aim of the study was to establish valid and reliable estimate for: routine oral polio vaccine (OPV) coverage, logistics management and the quality of monitoring systems in health facilities,

NIDsOPVcoverage,thequalityofNIDsservicedeliveryinstaticcentersandmobileteams, andtoultimatelyprovidescientificevidencefortailoringfutureinterventions.

Methods

Across-sectionalstudyusinglotqualityassessmentsamplingwasconductedintheDistrict

Nankana Sahib of Pakistan’s Punjab province. Twenty primary health centers and their catchmentareaswereselectedrandomlyas ‘lots’. Thestudyinvolvedtheevaluationof1080 children aged 12-23 months for routine OPV coverage, 20 health centers for logistics managementandqualityofmonitoringsystems,420householdsforNIDsOPVcoverage,20 staticcenters and20mobileteamsforqualityofNIDsservicedelivery. Studyinstruments weredesignedaccordingtoWHOguidelines.

Results

Fiveoutoftwentylotswererejectedforunacceptablylowroutinecoverage.

Thevalidityofcoveragewasquestionabletoextentthatalllotswererejected.Amongthe

54.1% who were able to present immunization cards, only 74.0% had valid immunization.



 Routine coverage was significantly associated with card availability and socioeconomic factors.Themainreasonsforroutineimmunizationfailurewereabsenceofavaccinatorand unawareness of need for immunization. Health workers (96.9%) were a major source of information.All of the 20lots were rejected for poor compliance in logistics management and quality of monitoring systems.Mean compliance score and compliancepercentagefor logistics management were 5.4 ± 2.0 (scale 0-9) and 59.4% while those for quality of monitoringsystemswere3.3±1.2(scale0-6)and54.2%.The15outof20lotswererejected forunacceptablylowNIDscoveragebyfinger-mark.Allofthe20lotswererejectedforpoor

NIDs service delivery (mean compliance score = 11.7 ± 2.1 [scale 0-16]; compliance percentage=72.8%).

Conclusion

Low coverage, both routine and during NIDs, and poor quality of logistics management, monitoringsystemsandNIDsservicedeliverywerehighlightedasmajorconstraintsinpolio eradicationandtheseshouldbeconsideredinprioritizingfuturestrategies.



 BACKGROUND

ThesuccessoftheGlobalPolioEradicationInitiative(GPEI),launchedafteraWorldHealth

Assemblyresolutionof1988,wasremarkableandnearly5millionchildrenwereprotected from being paralyzed by 2003 [1-2]. About 10 billion doses of polio vaccine have been administered since 1988 on hundreds of national and sub-national immunization days

(NIDs/SNIDs)atacostofUS$4.5billion[3-4].Butfourcountries–Afghanistan,Pakistan,

IndiaandNigeria–neverinterruptedwildpoliovirus(WPV)transmissionandre-infectionof

26countriesin2006-07raisedquestionsaboutthefeasibilityofpolioeradication.Bytheend of2007,polioincidencehaddecreasedby35%andpoliotransmissionhadstoppedinallbut

6 re-infected countries [5], yet polio eradication seems illusory as endemic countries are missingtargetsand1648caseswerereportedworldwidein2008[6].

Pakistan adopted the Polio Eradication Initiative (PEI) within the Expanded Program on

Immunization (EPI) in 1994 remarkably decreasing the number of cases to 32 by 2007 including19WPVtype1and13WPVtype3caseswithvirusfoundin18of120districts[2,

6-8].Butpolioresurgedin2008infecting49districtswith118casesincluding81WPVtype

1 and 37 WPV type 3 cases – highest amongst the previous six years [2, 6-8]. Pakistan reportedly achieved all targets set in the GPEI strategic plan but failed to interrupt virus transmission [5, 9-11], probably due to sub-district coverage gaps, low routine coverage, operational weaknesses in the quality of services and large numbers of children missed duringNIDs/SNIDs.Thescenariocallsforimmediateaction.

Ashealthprogramsmature,large-scalesurveysbecomelessuseful.Instead,datafromsmall- scale studies are required to evaluate different aspects of a program [12]. The aim of this study, in one district of Pakistan’s Punjab province, was to establish valid and reliable



 estimatefortheeffectivenessofpolioeradicationservicesandtoultimatelyprovidescientific evidencefortailoringfutureinterventions.Specificobjectivesweretheevaluationofroutine immunizationservicesincludingoralpoliovaccine(OPV)coverageandthecharacteristicsof vaccinatedandunvaccinatedchildren,theevaluationoflogisticsmanagementandthequality ofmonitoringsystems,andtheassessmentofnationalimmunizationdays(NIDs)including

NIDscoverageandthequalityofNIDsservicedelivery.

METHODS

DesignandSetting

A cross-sectional study using lot quality assessment techniques was conducted between

March02,2009andMarch22,2009inDistrictNankanaSahib,locatedinthecentralPunjab, with about100 health facilities and 2000 health personnelobliged to provide curative and preventive services to 1.8 million inhabitants of the district (administrative data, 2009).

[Additionalfiles1and2]

Sample

Asamplewastakenbythelotqualityassessmentsampling(LQAS)technique,usingWorld

HealthOrganization(WHO)guidelines,BrixtonhealthsoftwarepackagesandEpiInfo6[13-

15].AsamplewasseparatelytakenforassessmentofroutineandNIDscoverage,logistics managementandthequalityofmonitoringsystems,andthequalityofNIDsservicedelivery.

Forrandomselectionofthelotsofthe catchmentareasofprimaryhealthcenters,primary health centers, static centers and mobile teams; a line listing of all the respective areas / facilitieswasobtainedfromtheDistrictDepartmentofHealthandthesamplewasrandomly selectedbyusingtwo-digitrandomnumbertablegeneratedbyEpiInfo6.[Additionalfile3]



 SampleforroutineandNIDscoverage

ForroutineandNIDscoverage,20lotsofthecatchmentareasof20primaryhealthcenters

(PHCs)wererandomlyselected-havingapopulationof516,918andapproximatepopulation ineachlotwas20,000-30,000.

Study subjects for the routine OPV coverage assessment and the characteristics of routine immunization status included 1080 children aged 12 - 23 months from 20 lots. Statistical parametersincludedanaccuracylevelof±3,aconfidencelevelof95%,atotalsamplesizeof

1080children,atotalnumberof20lots,alotsamplesizeof54children,alowthreshold level of 80%, a high threshold level of 99% and a decision value for lot rejection of >3 unimmunizedchildren(P:99%=100%,P:80%=100%,Error=0%).

Subjects for the NIDs coverage assessment were all children under-five present in 420 householdsin20lots.Statisticalparametersincludedanaccuracylevelof±5,aconfidence levelof95%,atotalsamplesizeof420households,atotalnumberof20lots,alotsample size of 21 households, alow threshold level of 90%,ahigh threshold level of 99% anda decisionvalueforlotrejectionof>0householdshavingoneormoreunimmunizedchildren

(P:99%=81%,P:90%=89%,Error=30%).

Sampleforlogisticsmanagementandthequalityofmonitoringsystems

Out of 70 primary health centers (PHCs) in District Nankana Sahib, 20 randomly selected

PHCs were evaluated for logistics management and the quality of monitoring systems in healthfacilities.Withalowthresholdlevelof80%andahighthresholdlevelof99%,the decisionvalueforlotrejectionwas>0(P:99%=86%,P:80%=96%,Error=18%),andbasedon



 the compliance score for logistics management and the quality of monitoring systems

(scale=0-15)),thereforeactedasequivalenttothelotsamplesize.

SampleforqualityofNIDsservicedelivery

Staticcentersateachofthe20randomlyselectedPHCsandonerandomlyselectedmobile teamfromtheircatchmentareawereevaluatedforthequalityofNIDsservicedelivery.With alowthresholdlevelof80%andahighthresholdlevelof99%,thedecisionvalueforlot rejectionwas>0(P:99%=85%,P:80%=97%,Error=18%),andbasedonthecompliancescore forthequalityofNIDsservicedelivery(scale=0-16),thereforeactedasequivalenttothelot samplesize.

DataCollection

StudyinstrumentsweredesignedaccordingtoWHOguidelines[13,16-18],pre-testedinthe fieldandmodifiedaccordingly.[Additionalfile4]

For evaluating routine OPV coverage, a standardized questionnaire consisting of sociodemographic information, immunization status and related characteristics was used in face-to-faceinterviewinhouseholdsettings.Ittook10minutestofilloutthequestionnaire byresponseofchild’scaretaker(mother,ifpossible).Coveragewasmeasuredby“card”and by“cardplushistory”.AchildwhoreceivedallrequiredbytheEPIschedule was considered fully immunized. Valid immunization meant an immunization given atthe appropriateage(withinsixmonths),afteranappropriateintervaloftime(accordingtoEPI schedule)andrecordedonanimmunizationcard.

Alistofallthevillages/wardswasobtainedfromtheDistrictDepartmentofHealthandthree villages/wards in each lot were randomly selected as sampling point areas. As the 

 villages/wardshavedifferentsettlementdesignsinPakistan,themosquewasconsideredthe centerofeachvillage/ward.Interviewerswenttothemosque,spunabottleonlevel-ground, and the first household was selected by the direction in which the bottle pointed. The householdwasincludedinthesampleifachildaged12-23monthswaspresent.Subsequent householdswerechosenbyproximity.Onechildwasseenfromeachhouseholdandincase ofmorethanonechildrenaged12-23monthsinahousehold,theyoungestchildwasseen.In thisway,18householdswererandomlyselectedfromeachsamplingpointarea;therefore,54 childrenwereseenfromeachlot,makingatotalsampleof1080childrenfromthedistrict.

Forevaluatinglogisticsmanagementandthequalityofmonitoringsystems,structuredforms werefilledoutbyobservationandinspectionofPHCs.Datawereobtainedfromrespective point (the center from where vaccine was collected) for PHCs with a non- functioningrefrigerator.

For NIDs coverage, a standardized questionnaire was used in face-to-face interviews in householdsettings.Ittook5minutestofilloutthequestionnaire.Coveragewasmeasuredby

“finger-mark”. A household was considered unimmunized if one or more of the children presentwerenotimmunized.

The sampling point areas selected for routine coverage were surveyed again during NIDs

(March 16, 2009 -March20, 2009).The 7 households were randomly selected fromeach samplingpointareaandallchildrenineachhouseholdwereseen.The21householdswere visitedinthiswayfromeachlot,makingatotalsampleof420householdsfromthedistrict.

For evaluating the quality of NIDs service delivery, structured forms were filled out by observation,inspectionandexitinterviewsinstaticcentersandmobileteams.



 Verbal informed consent from respondents was deemed sufficient. Approval for the study wasgrantedbytheEthicalReviewBoardofAllamaIqbalMedicalCollege,Lahore,Pakistan andtheDepartmentofHealth,DistrictGovernmentNankanaSahib,Punjab,Pakistan.Data were collectedbymedicalstudentstrainedtocarryoutsurveysandthe entireprocesswas monitored by a field coordinator. Health education for children’s caretakers and technical assistanceforhealthworkerswasalsoprovidedduringthestudy.

Dataanalysis

DatawereenteredandanalyzedusingSPSSversion17(SPSSInc.ChicagoIL,UnitedStates:

2008). Weighted immunization coverage was calculated by using WHO guidelines for lot quality surveys [13]. For logistics management and the quality of monitoring systems in health facilities and the quality of NIDs service delivery, a weighted percentage was obtained. Each characteristic was equally weighed, a compliance score based on present/maintainedcharacteristicswascomputedforeachlot,andameancompliancescore wasthenobtained.Acompliancepercentagewascalculatedassumofcorrectanswers/total observations x 100. Bivariate analysis using the chi-square test was employed to independentlycorrelatevariables.StatisticalsignificancewasconsideredatP<0.05.

RESULTS

RoutineImmunizationServices

RoutineOPVCoverage andcharacteristicsofroutineimmunizationstatus

Of 1080 children aged 12 - 23 months, 54.7% were male and 45.3% were female. Many childrenhadilliterateparents(41.9%),1-3siblings(47.8%),amonthlyfamilyincomeof



 <5000PKR(47.7%),poorhousing(58.9%),andusedpublichealthfacilitieslessthanoncea year(32.5%).

The 95% children were fully immunized by card plus history (5 out of 20 lots rejected becauseofhavingunacceptablylowcoverageofbelow80%),52.0%werefullyimmunized bycard(alllotsrejectedbecauseofhavingunacceptablylowcoverageofbelow80%),and

42.0% had valid immunization (all lots were rejected because of having unacceptably low coverageofbelow80%).[Table1,Additionalfile5]Thedrop-outratebetweenOPVIand

OPVIIIwas4.0%bycardplushistoryand2.0%bycard.

The54.1%ofrespondentswereabletopresentimmunizationcardsandthiswassignificantly associated with better education (P=0.001), fewer siblings (P<0.001) and good housing

(P=0.001). Valid immunization among children having cards was 74.0%. The 93.0% of childrenhadreceivedsupplementaryOPVdosesduringpreviousNIDs.

Immunization coverage was significantly higher (P<0.001) among those having immunizationcards(96.1%,561/584)ascomparedtothoseassessedbyhistoryalone(94.6%,

469/496).Fullimmunizationstatuswassignificantlyassociatedwithsocioeconomicfactors

[Table 2]. The use of public health facilities was significantly associated with better education(P=0.049).

Healthworkerswerethesourceofimmunizationinallcases.Reasonscitedforimmunization failurewere:vaccinatorabsent(n=34),unawareoftheneedforimmunization(n=22),place ofimmunizationtoofar(n=15),timeofimmunizationinconvenient(n=15),unawareofthe needtoreturnforthenextdose(n=05),parentstoobusy(n=04),fearofsideeffects(n=04) andnofaithinimmunization(n=02).

 

 Health workers (96.9%) were the major source of information, including mosque announcements.Television(6.0%),brochures,postersandprintedmaterial(3.5%),religious leaders(2.3%),andothers(1.9%)wereadditionalsources.

Logisticsmanagementandthequalityofmonitoringsystemsinhealthfacilities

TwentyPHCs,including3RuralHealthCentersand17BasicHealthUnits,wereevaluated.

A medical officer was posted in 45.0% of health facilities. Syringes were being properly discardedin85.0%offacilities.Essentialmedicinesandequipmentwereavailablein75.0% offacilities.Thebuildingsandhygienewasgoodin25.0%offacilities,andsignboardswere properlyplacedin50.0%offacilities.

Allofthe20lotswererejectedforhavingpoorcomplianceregardinglogisticsmanagement andthequalityofmonitoringsystems(lessthan80%).[Table3]Thecompliancescoresfor logistics management andthe quality of monitoring systems for individual lots is given in

Table4.[Additionalfile6]

Themeancompliancescoreforlogisticsmanagementbasedon9characteristicswas5.4±

2.0,whilethecompliancepercentagewas59.4%.Forthequalityofmonitoringsystems,the mean compliance score based on 6 characteristics was 3.3 ± 1.2, while the compliance percentagewas54.2%.[Table3]

For each of the nine characteristics evaluated in logistics management in 20 PHCs, the qualitystatuswasacceptableforsufficientOPVstocksnotclosetoorpastexpirydateduring thepastmonth(n=20),andtheavailabilityofvehiclesforvaccinatorsinworkingcondition

(n=20). The quality status was poor for the functioning of refrigerators (n=11), up-to-date refrigerator temperature records in the correct range (n=14), vaccine storage in the correct



 partoftherefrigerator(n=15),theavailabilityoffrozenicepacks(n=12),theavailabilityand maintenanceofcoldboxes/vaccinecarriers(n=06),theavailabilityanduseofsafetyboxes

(n=07)andtheavailabilityofpowergenerators(n=02).[Table5]

For each of the six characteristics evaluated in the quality of monitoring systems, quality statuswasacceptableforvisitsbydistrictmanagerstohealthfacilities(n=19).Thequality status was poor for the maintenance of EPI registers (n=11), the maintenance of vaccine ledgers (n=08), the availability of meeting minutes (n=03), the display of graphs/charts depictingthehealthfacility’sEPI/PEIperformanceovertime(n=12),anddataaccuracyin

EPIregisters(n=12).[Table5]

NationalImmunizationDays(NIDs)

NIDsOPVcoverage

Thetotalnumberofchildrenunder-fiveinsampled420householdswas911.Thenumberof childrenunder-fiveperhouseholdwas2.2and86ofthechildreninsampledhouseholdswere notavailable,leavingatotalsampleof825children.TheNIDsOPVcoveragebyfinger-mark was 92.0% and 15 out of 20 lots were rejected for having unacceptably low coverage of below90%.[Table6,Additionalfile7]

QualityofNIDsservicedelivery

NIDsstaticcentersat20PHCsandoneNIDsmobileteaminthecatchmentareaofeachof the 20 PHCs was evaluated. The mean compliance score for the quality of NIDs service delivery based on 16 characteristics was 11.7 ± 2.1, while the compliance percentage was

72.8%.Allofthe20lotswererejectedforpoorcomplianceinthequalityofNIDsservice



 delivery (less than 80%). [Table 7] The compliance scores for NIDs service delivery for individuallotsaregiveninTable8.[Additionalfile8]

Foreachofthe16characteristicsevaluatedforthequalityofNIDsservicedeliveryinstatic centers and mobile teams, quality status was acceptable for immunization sessions being conductedinshade,inanorderlywaywithoutovercrowding(n=20),andkeepingunopened

OPVsatadequatetemperatures(n=20)instaticcenters,andthecoveringofmissedchildren on the same day (n=19) in mobile teams. In static centers, quality status was poor for the availabilityofrelevantstaff-twohealthworkers,includingoneladyhealthvisitorwhois trained for EPI/PEI activities at health facility (n=16), correct filling of field attendance, vaccine distribution and tally sheets (n=17),proper marking of immunization sites (n=15), theavailabilityofenoughfrozenice/icepacksforthecurrentsession(n=17),inquiriesabout thevaccinationofchildrenunder2years(n=15)andaboutacuteflaccidparalysisinchildren under 15 years (n=06), reminding the child’s caretaker for the next round of NIDs (n=0), explaining the end results of polio and the purpose of NIDs (n=05), and adequate health workers’ knowledge regarding vaccine vial monitors (VVMs) and unused OPV (n=18). In mobileteams,thequalitystatuswaspoorforcorrectstorageofOPV-keepingvialsdryand cold chain maintained as indicated by VVMs (n=18), correct administration of OPV - 2 drops/child (n=18), the presence of at least one female member (n=16), and supervisory checking(n=13).[Table9]

DISCUSSIONANDCONCLUSIONS

The historically used LQAS design is still an appealing technique for rapid evaluation of preventive programs, especially in rural areas of developing countries [19-23]. It is very efficientindeterminingtheperformanceofindividualsubunitsinaspecificarea[22-23].It



 wasobservedthatmosthealthpersonnelwereunawareofthistechniqueanditseffectiveness inlocalevaluations.

Fiveoutoftwentylotswererejectedforunacceptablylowroutineimmunizationcoverage, whilethevalidityofroutineoveragewasquestionabletotheextentthatalllotswererejected.

Weaknessinroutineimmunizationisthemainconstraintinpolioeradication[21].Anational immunization card program could significantly increase coverage and the validity of coverage[22-23].Knowledgegapsunderlielowcompliancewithvaccinationschedules,and the quality of interaction between health workers and caretakers is essential to ensure compliancewithvaccinationschedules[24].

Nearly half of the children sampled could not present a card. Coverage was significantly higher among those having cards, consistent with previous studies [19, 23, 25-26]. Card availability and immunization status were significantly associated with socioeconomic factors, consistent with previous studies [23, 26, 27-28]. Health workers were the major sourceofimmunizationandinformation.Outreachserviceshavebeenrecommendedasthe mostefficientwaytoincreasecoverage[27-29]andthereisaneedforinterventionsaimedat fosteringthecommunicationskillsofhealthworkers[30-31].Themainreasonsforroutine immunization failure were educational constraints and problems of accessibility and availability,inagreementwithpreviousliterature[19,21,23,32].

All 20 lots were rejected for poor compliance in logistics management and the quality of monitoring systems. Previous compliance studies have also indicated poor performance regardingcoldchainsandlogistics[32-37].Thefunctioningofrefrigeratorswaspoordueto securityandelectricityproblems.Maintenanceofrefrigeratortemperatureswithinthecorrect rangeand vaccine storagewere also poor, which can be attributed tothelack of technical



 skills among health workers and poor attitudes towards maintaining cold chain charts.

Maintenance of frozen icepacks and cold box/vaccine carriers was poor. This merits necessaryactionbecauseincaseofelectricityfailure,itwouldbetheonlywaytomaintain coldchains,aspowergeneratorswerenotavailableatmostofthefacilities.Previousstudies inIndiarevealedvaccinecarrierswerenon-compliantinaboutone-thirdfacilities,andpower failureswerealsoindicatedasmajorconstraint[34,36].Pooruseofsafetyboxesindicatesa lackofawarenessaboutsafetymeasures.Aholisticratherthanlogisticapproachshouldbe usedforvaccinesafety[38].

The quality of monitoring systems and data was poor in all aspects, in agreement with previousstudies[32,39-41].Thiswasattributedtothelackofsupervisionandknowledge amongthosewhowereresponsible,consistentwithpreviousstudies[42].Thereisaneedfor monitoring systems to be viewed with a broader perspective, not focusing only on technicalitiesbutalsoonthesupportmechanisms[32,41,43].InPakistan,EPI/PEIrecords arenotcomputerized;however,thefeasibilityoflinkedimmunizationdatabasesystemshas beenestablishedelsewhere[44],therefore,computerizingEPI/PEIrecordsandlinkingthem with health management information systems already in place might improve data quality.

The implications of a poor quality data system are reflected in the efficiency of health services. Previous experience has shown that significant improvements in data quality and monitoringsystemscanbemadebydataqualityself-assessment(DQS)andtheuseofdata for action [45-49]. This strategy is recommended in the Reaching Every District (RED) approachandGlobalFrameworkforImmunizationMonitoringandSurveillance(GFIMS)by theWorldHealthOrganization[48-51].

The15outof20lotswererejectedforunacceptablylowNIDscoveragebyfinger-mark.Poor coverageduringNIDswhichhadbeendesignedtodeliversupplementaryOPVdosestoall 

 childrenhasbeenindicatedasanunderlyingfactorforthecontinuedtransmissionofpolio[9,

52].

All 20 lots were rejected for poor NIDs service delivery. Poor technical skills of health workers, logistic problems, poor planning, and deficient communication skills were highlightedasthemainproblems.Similarfindingswerepreviouslyreportedandassociated with increased risk of non-vaccination [36, 53-56]. In particular, communication with the clients was very poor. Previous studies have revealed the importance of effective communicationtoimprovethecoverage[57-58].Decisionshavegenerallynotbeenbasedon studies of populations’ knowledge and attitudes about immunization. Had this datum been strategically used, interventions could have been more effective in reaching zero-dose children [54]. Poor planning and lack of technical skills accounted for service disruptions

[59], and supportive supervision could significantly increase the performance of immunizationsessions[36,46,60].

The study does have limitations. Since the status and validity of routine immunization obtained from cards was likely to be an underestimate, immunization by card plus history wasincluded.Itisanestablishedpracticetoestimatecoveragebymaternalhistory[61-62].

Some characteristics evaluated in the study were of subjective nature that might be a limitation in itself. Central selection rather than the random walk method was followed in coverageestimationbecauseofdifferentsettlementdesignsinvillages/wardsinPakistanand thatmaybealimitation.TheperloterrorforNIDscoveragewashighbecauseofthelow samplesizeasahighersamplewasnotlogisticallyfeasible;however,theerrorforoverall coveragewasnotaffectedbythat.



 AlthoughthestudywasconductedinaruraldistrictofPakistan’sPunjabprovince,someof findingsmaybegeneralizedtootherareaswithsimilarhealthsysteminfrastructure,socio- cultural environments and topography. The findings suggest that LQAS studies could be conductedinotherareastoassessperformanceonasub-nationallevel.

Short-comingsrevealedinpolioeradicationservicesarepotentiallyimportantduetolackof similarstudiesintheregionandthefailuretoachievepolioeradicationdespitecontinuous efforts by the global community over the past two decades. Following interventions are recommended:

• trainingofmid-levelhealthmanagersinLQAS,

• administrative measures to improve routine coverage and its validity, including the

appraisalofexcellentperformance,makingflexiblefieldplanstotrackmissedchildren,

initiatingImmunizationCardCrashProgram,constitutinglawforbirthregistrationwith

healthcenters,andimprovinglinkagebetweenpreventiveprograms,

• considerationofsocioeconomicstatusinprioritizinginterventionsespeciallyfocusingon

theilliterate,thoselivinginpoorhousesandhavinglargefamilies(indirectpredictorsof

poverty)andthosenotseekinghealthcareatapublichealthfacility,

• focus on advocacy and communication including involving local communities in

designing strategies, decentralizing resources, and training health workers in

communicationskills,

• up-gradating cold chain equipment including ensuring on-going availability and

maintenance of equipment, addressing electricity and security problems, making a

vaccinationpointateachPHC,andmaintainingreservestocksatdistrictstores,



 • capacity building of staff including establishing a training school for vaccinators,

supportivesupervision,andfocusedtrainingprogramsheldbi-annuallyforEPI/PEIstaff

atalllevels,whichshouldbemandatoryfortheirpromotion,

• computerizing EPI/PEI records integrated with district health management information

systemandencouragingrealisticreporting,

• practically-oriented training and micro planning for NIDs and accessing the quality of

NIDsservicedelivery,whichisoftenoverlookedinrapidcampaignevaluations,

• measures to address the extreme shortage of public health professionals in Pakistan,

which affects all preventive programs including the provision of incentives to medical

graduatesforjoiningpublichealth/preventivemedicineandestablishingnationalpublic

healthservices.

Furtherstudiesintheregiontoevaluatefindingsaresuggested.Poliocontinuestobeapublic health problem and we need to have a better understanding of the factors involved in achievingpolioeradication.

 

 COMPETINGINTERESTS

Nonedeclared.

AUTHORCONTRIBUTIONS

Allauthorscontributedsignificantlyinallphasesoftheprojectinaccordancewithuniform requirements established by International Committee of Medical Journal Editors (ICMJE) and contributors who do not meet authorship criteria are listed in acknowledgements. All authorsreadandapprovedthefinalversionofthemanuscript.

 

 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

WearehighlygratefulforthevaluablecommentsofJPartridge,KathrynAlberti and the editorial team on the earlier versions of the manuscript. We would like to thank Dina

Kakar, MD, MSc Global Health for her invaluable efforts. We are indebted to staff of

Department of Health, District Nankana Sahib, in particular Liaqut A Virk CDC

Officer, RiazAhmad DistrictSanitaryInspector,MukhtarADogarPSOtoExecutive

District Officer Health, A D Cheema Tehsil Sanitary Inspector, Tanvir Virk CDC

Inspector, and Muzammil Hussain. We acknowledge untiring efforts of our research associates especially M Qais Luqman, M Rizwan Afzal, Mahar M Shafique, Syed

RaziAbbas,FatimaOmer,SanaKifayat,ZaraZaheer,AnumSaeedKhan,Rohma

Ahmad,SarahRashid,TanzilaSaleh,KomalMushtaq and SaniaMoin. We would alsoliketothankvolunteerswhoworkedwithusespecially MHammadMushtaq and

HammasLiaqut.MushtaqMUlikestothank AndreaLyman,MD,MSc,MS .Weexpress ourappreciationforthemembersofsampledhouseholds for sharing information, and staff at primary health centers who generously devoted their time and resources to facilitatetheworkofthesurveyteam.

FUNDING

We acknowledge partial financial support from Allama Iqbal Medical College, Lahore,

Pakistan, and assistance fro Department of Health, District Government Nankana Sahib.

Authorshaveallrightsfortheuseofprimarydata.

 

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 Tables

Table1–RoutineOPVIIIcoverageamongchildrenaged12-23months(n=1080)

Weighted Lots Coverage n 95%CI rejected % (n=20)

Bycardplushistory 1030 95 93.9-96.5 5 Bycard 561 52 48.9-55.0 20 Valid 432 40 37.1-43.0 20





Table2-Predictorsofimmunizationstatusagainstpolioamong childrenaged12-23 months

Population Totalsample Fullyimmunized circumstances (n=1080)

Cardplushistory Card Valid (n=1030) (n=561) (n=432)

n(%) n(%) Sig. n(%) Sig. n(%) Sig.

Parentaleducation Illiterate 452(41.9) 424(93.8) P=0.054 202(44.7) P<0.001 147(32.5) P<0.001 Primary 321(29.9) 313(97.5) 190(59.2) 149(46.4) HighSchooland 307(28.4) 293(95.4) 169(55.0) 136(44.3) above Siblings No 213(19.7) 209(98.1) P=0.036 131(61.5) P<0.001 99(46.5) P<0.001 1-3 516(47.8) 493(95.5) 277(53.7) 222(43.0) >3 351(32.5) 327(93.4) 153(43.6) 111(31.6) Conditionofhouse Muddy/Mixed 636(58.9) 599(94.2) P=0.027 298(46.9) P<0.001 228(35.8) P=0.001 Cemented 444(41.1) 431(97.1) 263(59.2) 204(45.9) Healthseeking behavior Onceormorea 297(27.5) 287(96.6) 146(49.2) 119(40.1) P=0.048 P=0.253 P=0.942 month

Note:Thetableshowsrowpercentages.Pearsonchi-squaretestandFisher’sexacttestareemployedtoobtain2-sidedsignificance(sig.)

 





Table3–QualityofroutineservicesregardingthePolioEradicationInitiative

Mean Compliance Percentage Lots Characteristics compliance rejected scorescale compliance score (n=20)

Logisticsmanagementinhealth 0-9 5.4±2.0 59.4 20 facilities

Qualityofmonitoringsystemsinhealth 0-6 3.3±1.2 54.2 20 facilities

 

 Table4–Compliancescoresforindividuallotsregardinglogisticsmanagementandthe qualityofmonitoringsystems(Scale0-15) 

LotNo. Score LotNo. Score LotNo. Score LotNo. Score LotNo. Score

1 12 5 8 9 5 13 6 17 7

2 12 6 8 10 11 14 7 18 8

3 14 7 9 11 9 15 9 19 9

4 9 8 4 12 3 16 9 20 13

 

 Table5–Logisticsmanagementandthequalityofmonitoringsystemsinhealth facilities(n=20) 



Weighted Characteristics n %

Logisticsmanagement SufficientOPVstocknotclosetoorpastexpirydateduringpastmonth 20 95 Refrigeratorfunctionalandusedforvaccinestorageathealthfacility 11 65 Refrigeratortemperaturerecordup-to-dateandincorrectrange(0-8°C) 14 80 OPVstorageincorrectpartofrefrigerator 15 85 Availabilityoffrozenicepacks 12 70 Availabilityandmaintenanceofcoldbox/vaccinecarriers 6 45 Availabilityofpowergenerator 2 25 Availabilityanduseofsafetyboxesatallvaccinationsites 7 50 Functionalvehicleforvaccinator 20 95

Qualityofmonitoringsystems Visitofhealthfacilitybydistrictmanagersinpastthreemonthsandpresenceof 19 95 theirinspectionnotes AvailabilityandmaintenanceofEPIregistersondesk 11 65 Up-to-datevaccineledgerforOPV 8 55 Availabilityofmonthlyfacilitystaffmeetingminutesheldinpastthreemonths 3 30 Displayofgraphs/chartsdepictinghealthfacility’sPEIperformanceovertime 12 70 Dataaccuracy(numberofchildrenreceivingOPVIIIonEPIregistervs.monthly EPIreportmatched) 12 70





Table6–NIDsOPVcoverageamongchildrenunder-five(n=825)

Weighted Lots Coverage n 95%CI rejected % (n=20) Byfinger-mark 759 92 89.9-93.7 15







Table7–Quality ofNIDsservicedeliveryinstaticcentersandmobileteams

Compliancescorescale 0-16

Meancompliancescore 11.7±2.1

Percentagecompliance 72.8

Lotsrejected(n=20) 20



 Table8–CompliancescoresforindividuallotsregardingNIDsservicedelivery(Scale0- 16) 

LotNo. Score LotNo. Score LotNo. Score LotNo. Score LotNo. Score

1 13 5 12 9 12 13 10 17 5

2 13 6 13 10 14 14 11 18 12

3 14 7 10 11 11 15 12 19 11

4 13 8 9 12 13 16 14 20 11



 



Table 9 – Quality of NIDs service delivery in static centers and mobile teams (n=20)

Weighted Characteristics n %

Staticcenters Availabilityofrelevantstaff 16 90 Propermarkingofimmunizationsite 15 85 Conductionofimmunizationsessioninshade,orderly(clearflowofclients) 20 95 andwithoutovercrowding(<20under-fivechildrenwaiting) Correctfillingoffieldattendance,vaccinedistributionandtallysheets 17 95 UnopenedOPVkeptatadequatetemperature(0-8°C) 20 95 Availabilityofenoughfrozenicepacks/iceforcurrentsession 17 95 AdequateknowledgeofhealthworkersregardingVVMsandunusedOPV 18 95 Inquiryaboutvaccinationstatusofallchildren<2yearsfromchild’scaretaker 15 85 Inquiryaboutacuteflaccidparalysisinchildren<15yearsfromchild’s 6 45 caretaker Remindingchild’scaretakerfornextroundofNIDs 0 0 Adequateknowledgeofchild’scaretakeraboutendresultsofpolioand 5 40 purposeofNIDs Mobileteams CorrectstorageofOPV(keepingvialsdryandcoldchainmaintainedas 18 95 indicatedbyVVMs) CorrectadministrationofOPV(2drops/child) 18 95 Coveringofmissedchildrenonsameday 19 95 Presenceofatleastonefemalemember 16 90 Checkingbysupervisorystaff 13 75



 ADDITIONALFILES

Additionalfile1

Title:MapofPakistan’sPunjabprovinceshowingDistrictNankanaSahib

Description:ThisisthemapofPunjabprovinceofPakistanshowingDistrictNankanaSahib

Additionalfile2

Title:MapofDistrictNankanaSahibshowinglots

Description:ThisisthemapofDistrictNankanaSahibshowingthe20selectedlotswhere thestudywasconducted

Additionalfile2

Title:ListofLotsselectedfromDistrictNankanaSahibandsamplingpointareasfor coverageassessment

Description:ThistableenlistslotsselectedfromDistrictNankanaSahib,theirpopulationand samplingpointareasforcoverageassessment

Additionalfile3

Title:SurveyInstruments

Description:Thisdocumentcontainsinstrumentsusedinthestudy

Additionalfile5

Title:RoutineOPVcoverage



 Description:Thistableenlistsdetailedlot-visedataforroutineOPVcoverage

Additionalfile6

Title:Lot-visedetailoflogisticsmanagementandqualityofmonitoringsystem

Description:Thistableenlistsdetailedlot-visedataforlogisticsmanagementandqualityof monitoringinhealthfacilities

Additionalfile7

Title:NationalImmunizationDays(NIDs)OPVcoverage

Description:Thistableenlistsdetailedlot-visedataforNIDsOPVcoverage

Additionalfile8

Title:Lot-visedetailofqualityofservicesduringNIDs

Description:Thistableenlistsdetailedlot-visedataforqualityofservicesduringNIDs



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