The Role of Orbital Forcing in the Early Middle Pleistocene Transition
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To What Extent Can Orbital Forcing Still Be Seen As the “Pacemaker Of
Sophie Webb To what extent can orbital forcing still be seen as the main driver of global climate change? Introduction The Quaternary refers to the last 2.6 million years of geological time. During this period, there have been many oscillations in global climate resulting in episodes of glaciation and fluctuations in sea level. By examining evidence from a range of sources, palaeoclimatic data across different timescales can be considered. The recovery of longer, better preserved sediment and ice cores in addition to improved dating techniques have shown that climate has changed, not only on orbital timescales, but also on shorter scales of centuries and decades. Such discoveries have lead to the most widely accepted hypothesis of climate change, the Milankovitch hypothesis, being challenged and the emergence of new explanations. Causes of Climate Change Milankovitch Theory Orbital mechanisms have little effect on the amount of solar radiation (insolation) received by Earth. However, they do affect the distribution of this energy around the globe and produce seasonal variations which promote the growth or retreat of glaciers and ice sheets. Eccentricity is an approximate 100 kyr cycle and refers to the shape of the Earth’s orbit around the Sun. The orbit can be more elliptical or circular, altering the time Earth spends close to or far from the Sun. This in turn affects the seasons which can initiate small climatic changes. Seasonal changes are also caused by the Earth’s precession which runs on a cycle of around 23 kyr. The effect of precession is influenced by the eccentricity cycle: when the orbit is round, Earth’s distance from the sun is constant so there is not a hugely significant precessional effect. -
Downloaded 10/01/21 10:31 PM UTC 874 JOURNAL of CLIMATE VOLUME 12
MARCH 1999 VAVRUS 873 The Response of the Coupled Arctic Sea Ice±Atmosphere System to Orbital Forcing and Ice Motion at 6 kyr and 115 kyr BP STEPHEN J. VAVRUS Center for Climatic Research, Institute for Environmental Studies, University of WisconsinÐMadison, Madison, Wisconsin (Manuscript received 2 February 1998, in ®nal form 11 May 1998) ABSTRACT A coupled atmosphere±mixed layer ocean GCM (GENESIS2) is forced with altered orbital boundary conditions for paleoclimates warmer than modern (6 kyr BP) and colder than modern (115 kyr BP) in the high-latitude Northern Hemisphere. A pair of experiments is run for each paleoclimate, one with sea-ice dynamics and one without, to determine the climatic effect of ice motion and to estimate the climatic changes at these times. At 6 kyr BP the central Arctic ice pack thins by about 0.5 m and the atmosphere warms by 0.7 K in the experiment with dynamic ice. At 115 kyr BP the central Arctic sea ice in the dynamical version thickens by 2±3 m, accompanied bya2Kcooling. The magnitude of these mean-annual simulated changes is smaller than that implied by paleoenvironmental evidence, suggesting that changes in other earth system components are needed to produce realistic simulations. Contrary to previous simulations without atmospheric feedbacks, the sign of the dynamic sea-ice feedback is complicated and depends on the region, the climatic variable, and the sign of the forcing perturbation. Within the central Arctic, sea-ice motion signi®cantly reduces the amount of ice thickening at 115 kyr BP and thinning at 6 kyr BP, thus serving as a strong negative feedback in both pairs of simulations. -
The Global Monsoon Across Time Scales Mechanisms And
Earth-Science Reviews 174 (2017) 84–121 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Earth-Science Reviews journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/earscirev The global monsoon across time scales: Mechanisms and outstanding issues MARK ⁎ ⁎ Pin Xian Wanga, , Bin Wangb,c, , Hai Chengd,e, John Fasullof, ZhengTang Guog, Thorsten Kieferh, ZhengYu Liui,j a State Key Laboratory of Mar. Geol., Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China b Department of Atmospheric Sciences, School of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96825, USA c Earth System Modeling Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China d Institute of Global Environmental Change, Xi'an Jiaotong University, Xi'an 710049, China e Department of Earth Sciences, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA f CAS/NCAR, National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3090 Center Green Dr., Boulder, CO 80301, USA g Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, P.O. Box 9825, Beijing 100029, China h Future Earth, Global Hub Paris, 4 Place Jussieu, UPMC-CNRS, 75005 Paris, France i Laboratory Climate, Ocean and Atmospheric Studies, School of Physics, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China j Center for Climatic Research, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT Keywords: The present paper addresses driving mechanisms of global monsoon (GM) variability and outstanding issues in Monsoon GM science. This is the second synthesis of the PAGES GM Working Group following the first synthesis “The Climate variability Global Monsoon across Time Scales: coherent variability of regional monsoons” published in 2014 (Climate of Monsoon mechanism the Past, 10, 2007–2052). -
The Effect of Orbital Forcing on the Mean Climate and Variability of the Tropical Pacific
15 AUGUST 2007 T I MMERMANN ET AL. 4147 The Effect of Orbital Forcing on the Mean Climate and Variability of the Tropical Pacific A. TIMMERMANN IPRC, SOEST, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii S. J. LORENZ Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany S.-I. AN Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea A. CLEMENT RSMAS/MPO, University of Miami, Miami, Florida S.-P. XIE IPRC, SOEST, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, Hawaii (Manuscript received 24 October 2005, in final form 22 December 2006) ABSTRACT Using a coupled general circulation model, the responses of the climate mean state, the annual cycle, and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon to orbital changes are studied. The authors analyze a 1650-yr-long simulation with accelerated orbital forcing, representing the period from 142 000 yr B.P. (before present) to 22 900 yr A.P. (after present). The model simulation does not include the time-varying boundary conditions due to ice sheet and greenhouse gas forcing. Owing to the mean seasonal cycle of cloudiness in the off-equatorial regions, an annual mean precessional signal of temperatures is generated outside the equator. The resulting meridional SST gradient in the eastern equatorial Pacific modulates the annual mean meridional asymmetry and hence the strength of the equatorial annual cycle. In turn, changes of the equatorial annual cycle trigger abrupt changes of ENSO variability via frequency entrainment, resulting in an anticorrelation between annual cycle strength and ENSO amplitude on precessional time scales. 1. Introduction Recent greenhouse warming simulations performed with ENSO-resolving coupled general circulation mod- The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a els (CGCMs) have revealed that the projected ampli- coupled tropical mode of interannual climate variability tude and pattern of future tropical Pacific warming that involves oceanic dynamics (Jin 1997) as well as (Timmermann et al. -
Orbital Forcing of Climate 1.4 Billion Years Ago
Orbital forcing of climate 1.4 billion years ago Shuichang Zhanga, Xiaomei Wanga, Emma U. Hammarlundb, Huajian Wanga, M. Mafalda Costac, Christian J. Bjerrumd, James N. Connellyc, Baomin Zhanga, Lizeng Biane, and Donald E. Canfieldb,1 aKey Laboratory of Petroleum Geochemistry, Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, China National Petroleum Corporation, Beijing 100083, China; bInstitute of Biology and Nordic Center for Earth Evolution, University of Southern Denmark, 5230 Odense M, Denmark; cCentre for Star and Planet Formation, Natural History Museum of Denmark, University of Copenhagen, 1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark; dDepartment of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, Section of Geology, and Nordic Center for Earth Evolution, University of Copenhagen, 1350 Copenhagen K, Denmark; and eDepartment of Geosciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China Contributed by Donald E. Canfield, February 9, 2015 (sent for review May 2, 2014) Fluctuating climate is a hallmark of Earth. As one transcends deep tions. For example, the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), into Earth time, however, both the evidence for and the causes the region of atmospheric upwelling near the equator, shifts its of climate change become difficult to establish. We report geo- average position based on the temperature contrast between the chemical and sedimentological evidence for repeated, short-term northern and southern hemispheres, with the ITCZ migrating in climate fluctuations from the exceptionally well-preserved ∼1.4- the direction of the warming hemisphere (11, 12). Therefore, the billion-year-old Xiamaling Formation of the North China Craton. ITCZ changes its position seasonally, but also on longer time We observe two patterns of climate fluctuations: On long time scales as controlled, for example, by the latitudinal distribution scales, over what amounts to tens of millions of years, sediments of solar insolation. -
The Gelasian Stage (Upper Pliocene): a New Unit of the Global Standard Chronostratigraphic Scale
82 by D. Rio1, R. Sprovieri2, D. Castradori3, and E. Di Stefano2 The Gelasian Stage (Upper Pliocene): A new unit of the global standard chronostratigraphic scale 1 Department of Geology, Paleontology and Geophysics , University of Padova, Italy 2 Department of Geology and Geodesy, University of Palermo, Italy 3 AGIP, Laboratori Bolgiano, via Maritano 26, 20097 San Donato M., Italy The Gelasian has been formally accepted as third (and Of course, this consideration alone does not imply that a new uppermost) subdivision of the Pliocene Series, thus rep- stage should be defined to represent the discovered gap. However, the top of the Piacenzian stratotype falls in a critical point of the evo- resenting the Upper Pliocene. The Global Standard lution of Earth climatic system (i.e. close to the final build-up of the Stratotype-section and Point for the Gelasian is located Northern Hemisphere Glaciation), which is characterized by plenty in the Monte S. Nicola section (near Gela, Sicily, Italy). of signals (magnetostratigraphic, biostratigraphic, etc; see further on) with a worldwide correlation potential. Therefore, Rio et al. (1991, 1994) argued against the practice of extending the Piacenzian Stage up to the Pliocene-Pleistocene boundary and proposed the Introduction introduction of a new stage (initially “unnamed” in Rio et al., 1991), the Gelasian, in the Global Standard Chronostratigraphic Scale. This short report announces the formal ratification of the Gelasian Stage as the uppermost subdivision of the Pliocene Series, which is now subdivided into three stages (Lower, Middle, and Upper). Fur- The Gelasian Stage thermore, the Global Standard Stratotype-section and Point (GSSP) of the Gelasian is briefly presented and discussed. -
Evidence Suggests More Mega-Droughts Are Coming 30 October 2020
Evidence suggests more mega-droughts are coming 30 October 2020 of past climates—to see what the world will look like as a result of global warming over the next 20 to 50 years. "The Eemian Period is the most recent in Earth's history when global temperatures were similar, or possibly slightly warmer than present," Professor McGowan said. "The 'warmth' of that period was in response to orbital forcing, the effect on climate of slow changes in the tilt of the Earth's axis and shape of the Earth's orbit around the sun. In modern times, heating is being caused by high concentrations of greenhouse gasses, though this period is still a good analog for our current-to-near-future climate predictions." Researchers worked with the New South Wales Mega-droughts—droughts that last two decades or Parks and Wildlife service to identify stalagmites in longer—are tipped to increase thanks to climate the Yarrangobilly Caves in the northern section of change, according to University of Queensland-led Kosciuszko National Park. research. Small samples of the calcium carbonate powder UQ's Professor Hamish McGowan said the contained within the stalagmites were collected, findings suggested climate change would lead to then analyzed and dated at UQ. increased water scarcity, reduced winter snow cover, more frequent bushfires and wind erosion. That analysis allowed the team to identify periods of significantly reduced precipitation during the The revelation came after an analysis of geological Eemian Period. records from the Eemian Period—129,000 to 116,000 years ago—which offered a proxy of what "They're alarming findings, in a long list of alarming we could expect in a hotter, drier world. -
Early Pleistocene Glacial Cycles and the Integrated Summer Insolation Forcing
Early Pleistocene Glacial Cycles and the Integrated Summer Insolation Forcing The Harvard community has made this article openly available. Please share how this access benefits you. Your story matters Citation Huybers, Peter J. 2006. Early Pleistocene glacial cycles and the integrated summer insolation forcing. Science 313(5786): 508-511. Published Version http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1125249 Citable link http://nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:3382981 Terms of Use This article was downloaded from Harvard University’s DASH repository, and is made available under the terms and conditions applicable to Other Posted Material, as set forth at http:// nrs.harvard.edu/urn-3:HUL.InstRepos:dash.current.terms-of- use#LAA Early Pleistocene Glacial Cycles and the Integrated Summer Insolation Forcing Peter Huybers, et al. Science 313, 508 (2006); DOI: 10.1126/science.1125249 The following resources related to this article are available online at www.sciencemag.org (this information is current as of January 5, 2007 ): Updated information and services, including high-resolution figures, can be found in the online version of this article at: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/313/5786/508 Supporting Online Material can be found at: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/1125249/DC1 A list of selected additional articles on the Science Web sites related to this article can be found at: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/313/5786/508#related-content This article cites 12 articles, 5 of which can be accessed for free: http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/313/5786/508#otherarticles on January 5, 2007 This article has been cited by 1 article(s) on the ISI Web of Science. -
Resolving Milankovitch: Consideration of Signal and Noise Stephen R
[American Journal of Science, Vol. 308, June, 2008,P.770–786, DOI 10.2475/06.2008.02] RESOLVING MILANKOVITCH: CONSIDERATION OF SIGNAL AND NOISE STEPHEN R. MEYERS*,†, BRADLEY B. SAGEMAN**, and MARK PAGANI*** ABSTRACT. Milankovitch-climate theory provides a fundamental framework for the study of ancient climates. Although the identification and quantification of orbital rhythms are commonplace in paleoclimate research, criticisms have been advanced that dispute the importance of an astronomical climate driver. If these criticisms are valid, major revisions in our understanding of the climate system and past climates are required. Resolution of this issue is hindered by numerous factors that challenge accurate quantification of orbital cyclicity in paleoclimate archives. In this study, we delineate sources of noise that distort the primary orbital signal in proxy climate records, and utilize this template in tandem with advanced spectral methods to quantify Milankovitch-forced/paced climate variability in a temperature proxy record from the Vostok ice core (Vimeux and others, 2002). Our analysis indicates that Vostok temperature variance is almost equally apportioned between three components: the precession and obliquity periods (28%), a periodic “100,000” year cycle (41%), and the background continuum (31%). A range of analyses accounting for various frequency bands of interest, and potential bias introduced by the “saw-tooth” shape of the glacial/interglacial cycle, establish that precession and obliquity periods account for between 25 percent to 41 percent of the variance in the 1/10 kyr – 1/100 kyr band, and between 39 percent to 66 percent of the variance in the 1/10 kyr – 1/64 kyr band. -
From Isotopes to Temperature, & Influences of Orbital Forcing on Ice
ATM 211 UWHS Climate Science UW Program on Climate change Unit 3: Natural Climate Variability B. Paleoclimate on Millennial Timescales (Ch. 12 & 14) a. Recent Ice Ages b. Milankovitch Cycles Grade Level 9-12 Overview Time Required This module provides a hands-on learning experience where students Preparation 4-6 hours to become familiar with will review ice core isotope records to determine the isotope-temperature scaling Excel data, Online Orbital Applet, and their relationship to orbital variations. The objective of this module is for and PowerPoint students to learn how water isotopes are used to infer temperature changes back 3-5 hours Class Time (All three labs) in time, and how orbital variations (Milankovitch forcing) control the multi- 5 minute pre survey 25 min PowerPoint topic millennial scale climate variability. In addition, students will learn about how background & Lab 1 introduction climate feedbacks (CO2, sea ice, iron-fertilization) can amplify/moderate 25 min Lapse Rate exercise temperature changes that cannot be explained solely by orbital forcing. 40 min Compile class data and apply to Dome C ice core 30 min Lab 2 (Excel calculations for The module is divided into three independent parts, allowing teachers to Rayleigh Distillation) OPTIONAL pick and choose the sections they wish to cover when. An overview of the three 50 min Lab 3 Worksheets on Orbital changes and Milankovitch labs is described below. 30 min Lab 4 (Excel calculations for CO2 and Orbital temp changes) Lab 1: From Isotopes to Temperature: The students will begin by finding 5 minute post survey ice core/snow pit locations in Antarctica and making predictions about how temperature might change with elevation and distance from the ocean. -
The Impact of the AMO on Multidecadal ENSO Variability 10.1002/2017GL072524 Aaron F
Geophysical Research Letters RESEARCH LETTER The impact of the AMO on multidecadal ENSO variability 10.1002/2017GL072524 Aaron F. Z. Levine1 , Michael J. McPhaden1 , and Dargan M. W. Frierson2 Key Points: • The observed relationship between 1NOAA/PMEL, Seattle, Washington, USA, 2Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, ENSO and the annual cycle over decades cannot be captured by Washington, USA a change to only ENSO or the annual cycle • In response to forcing from the AMO, Abstract Multidecadal shifts in El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability have been observed, the observed changes to ENSO and but it is unclear if this variability is just a random variation in the ENSO cycle or whether it is forced by other the annual cycle are consistent with the two being linked modes of climate variability. Here we show a strong influence of the Atlantic on the multidecadal variability • A coupled model experiment of ENSO. The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is the dominant mode of multidecadal sea surface confirms that the AMO impacts ENSO temperature (SST) variability in the Atlantic Ocean. Changes in AMO-related tropical Atlantic SSTs are known both directly and through changes to the annual cycle to force changes in the Walker circulation in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Using conceptual and coupled model experiments, we show that these changes to the Walker circulation modify ENSO stability on both annual and multidecadal time scales leading to a distinctive pattern of multidecadal ENSO variability that we find in Supporting Information: • Supporting Information S1 observations and ocean reanalyses. Plain Language Summary El Niño events have significant global impacts. -
Ncc Preliminarypaleontologicalm
Abstract The California Department of Transportation (Caltrans), in cooperation with the North County Corridor Transportation Expressway Authority, proposes to construct the North County Corridor New State Route 108 in northern Stanislaus County, California. This project proposes to relocate the current alignment of SR 108 to a more southerly alignment. The California Environmental Quality Act and Caltrans guidelines require that impacts to nonrenewable paleontological resources be considered during project implementation. Therefore, a Paleontological Evaluation Report (PER) was prepared in order to determine the potential to encounter scientifically significant paleontological resources during ground-disturbing activities associated with the proposed project. The PER determined that the project area contains sediments of the Pleistocene Modesto, Riverbank, and Turlock Lake Formation as well as areas of Artificial Fill. While Artificial Fill has no paleontological sensitivity, all three Pleistocene formations have the potential to produce scientifically significant paleontological resources and therefore, have high paleontological sensitivity. Because the project area contains deposits with high paleontological sensitivity, the PER recommended that a Paleontological Mitigation Plan (PMP) be developed for the project. This preliminary PMP contains information necessary to mitigate impacts to paleontological resources during ground-disturbing activities associated with this project. It includes a discussion of area geology, the types of