WEST GARIOCH STATISTICAL SUMMARY .

Overall Vulnerability per Theme MMW Summary

Ward 10– West Garioch is one of the less vulnerable COVID vulnerable Wards Overall COVID Vulnerability Spectrum (Based on 2 major studies) in Aberdeenshire. As can be seen on the slider graphs on the left, the sliders 26.3 lie more towards the less vulnerable end of the spectrum. West Garioch is th Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable the 5 least vulnerable Ward in Aberdeenshire.

The percentage of residents aged 65+ relative to the total population in Ward 10 ranges from 11.6% in Durno - Chapel of Garioch to Kemnay at 20.9%. Durno - Chapel of Garioch has the lowest percentage of residents 65+ relative Overall Age Vulnerability Spectrum (Based on 2 indicators) to Attendance Allowance (AA) cases with entitlement which gives it a higher 26.3 weighted rank percentage of 65+ pop relative to Total Population and 65+ pop receiving AA. The values range from 3.2% to 9.9% In Insch, Oyne and Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable Ythanwells. Taking into consideration both these indicators (the proportion of the population who are 65+ and have social care needs and are receiving Attendance Allowance) it decreases the overall age vulnerability of the Ward.

th Overall Health Vulnerability Spectrum (Based on 28 indicators) In terms of Health vulnerability Ward 10 is the 8 least vulnerable health wise in Aberdeenshire. To put it into context it has a value of 42.1, East Garioch 42.1 21.1, Westhill and District 57.9 and Inverurie and District 73.7. As of 31st July, Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable there have been six COVID-19 deaths reported in the Ward – below the Aberdeenshire average (8).

Ward 10 is ranked below average when looking at economic vulnerability in Aberdeenshire. There are differences across the Ward. Kemnay IZ has the Overall Economic Vulnerability Spectrum (Based on 15 indicators) lowest median income at £35,389 putting it among the bottom 40% in 36.8 Aberdeenshire. The highest median income is for Durno-Chapel of Garioch at Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable £51,525 among the top 10%.

The socio-economic vulnerability indicators rank Ward 10 as 12th highest. As seen on page 7, the average drive time by car is above average and bus accessibility is poor. A large % of households have access to a vehicle Overall Other Socio-Economic Vulnerability Spectrum (Based on 30 indicators) particularly in the more rural areas. The Digital vulnerability score is one of the lowest in Aberdeenshire. The percentage of premises without access to 42.1 superfast broadband is 25.8%. In terms of Housing/environment, the % of Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable houses with private outdoor space is 90.2% and the average distance to the nearest green space is 1.24km. At Ward level, the Prescription Loneliness Index score is low however for IZ Durno-Chapel of Garioch it is second highest 100 = Most Vulnerable MMW in Aberdeenshire at 58.4%.

West Garioch Multi-Member Ward Overall COVID Vulnerability Spectrum 100 = Most Vulnerable MMW in Aberdeenshire COVID Vulnerability Indices - Two Major Studies 26.3 Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable

COVID Vulnerability Rankings - Aberdeenshire Intermediate Zones in a UK Context COVID-19 Vulnerability Indices - British Red Cross (Oxford Analytics) and ScotPHO

3rd Most Vulnerable Quadrant Most Vulnerable Quadrant

Relatively good British Red Cross ranking Poor British Red Cross Ranking and but relatively poor ScotPHO ranking poor ScotPHO ranking

(Most Vulnerable) Kemnay

Howe of Alford Insch, Oyne and Ythanwells

Durno-Chapel of Garioch (Least Vulnerable)

Good British Red Cross ranking and good Poor British Red Cross ranking but ScotPHO ranking relatively good ScotPHO ranking

Least Vulnerable Quadrant 2nd Most Vulnerable Quadrant

Summary

On the Covid Vulnerability spectrum Kemnay is the most vulnerable IZ and Howe of Alford is the least vulnerable IZ. West Garioch is among the least vulnerable Wards in Aberdeenshire.

Howe of Alford is also among the least vulnerable areas in Aberdeenshire.

West Garioch Multi-Member Ward Age Vulnerability Spectrum 100 = Most Vulnerable MMW in Aberdeenshire Demographics & Age-Related Vulnerability 26.3 Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable

Map of Multi-Member Ward Intermediate Zones – 65+ population, 2018 Age Vulnerability / Underlying Health Condition per Intermediate Zone (65+ Age Group)

3rd Most Vulnerable Quadrant Most Vulnerable Quadrant High Proportion Larger 65+ pop. but lower % of over 65's Larger 65+ pop. and higher % of over with underlying health condition(s) 65's with underlying health condition(s)

Low Proportion

Kemnay

Howe of Alford Insch, Oyne and Ythanwells Percentage of population per age group, Aberdeenshire and MMW, 2018 Durno-Chapel of Garioch

Aberdeenshire MMW

90+ 0.7% 0.6% Pensionable Age (65+ yrs) 85-89 1.4% 1.1% 3,667 (17%) 80-84 2.4% 2.0% Smaller 65+ pop. and lower % of over 65's Smaller 65+ pop. but higher % of over 75-79 3.5% 3.1% with underlying health condition(s) 65's with underlying health condition(s) 70-74 5.2% 4.4% 65-69 5.9% 5.7% Least Vulnerable Quadrant 2nd Most Vulnerable Quadrant 60-64 6.5% 6.1% 55-59 7.2% 6.8% Summary Working Age (16-64yrs) 50-54 7.8% 7.9% 45-49 7.6% 8.1% The Intermediate Zones within this Ward are spread across the quadrants. Kemnay is

Age Group Age 13,476 (62%) 40-44 6.5% 7.2% amongst the most vulnerable in West Garioch, according to the age vulnerability 35-39 6.6% 7.3% indicators and Durno-Chapel 0f Garioch is the least vulnerable. 30-34 5.8% 5.9% 25-29 5.1% 4.7% Kemnay is home to the highest proportion of people aged 65+ (20.9%) in Aberdeenshire 20-24 4.9% 4.4% but only 7.7%of population relative to AA cases with Entitlement. Rates range from 3.2% 15-19 5.3% 5.2% Children (0-15yrs) in Durno-Chapel of Garioch to 9.9% in Insch, Oyne and Ythanwells (Kemnay has 7.7%). 10-14 5.9% 6.2% Across the Council area rates vary from 3.2% to 13.5%. West Garioch is one of the least 5-9 6.2% 6.8% 4,490 (21%) vulnerable in terms of Demographics and Age vulnerability. 0-4 5.6% 6.5% West Garioch Multi-Member Ward Health Vulnerability Spectrum 100 = Most Vulnerable MMW in Aberdeenshire General Health / COVID Proxy Health Indicators 42.1 Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable

Map of Multi-Member Ward Intermediate Zones – Overall Health Ranking Cumulative COVID-19 Deaths (1st March 2020 to 31st July 2020)

4 More vulnerable

1 1 Less vulnerable 0

1 2 3 4

Attendance Allowance: Cases with Entitlement (Aged 65+ with Underlying Health Condition)

Approximate % of 65+ population in receipt of AA benefits

6.7%

Summary Universal Credit (Limited Work Capability) Personal Independence Payments (PIP)

No. of Households in receipt of Universal Credit (2020) No. of Cases with Entitlement Most health-related indicators suggest the general population within the Ward is relatively Limited Work Capability healthy. A relatively small proportion of the 65+ population receive Attendance Allowance All other households 69 benefits (6.5%), and a small proportion of the working age population receive Personal 65 Independence Payments (3.0% - just below the average in Aberdeenshire). 46 45 65

479 559 Approximately 69 households in the area receive Universal Credit based on Limited Work 274 294 316 Capability (due to physical or mental health issues). This equates to 11.0% of total households that receive Universal Credit Payments, which is about the average rate. Jan Feb Mar Apr May

West Garioch has recorded 6 COVID-related deaths so far, with four in one IZ and this is % of Households where at least 1 occupant has % of Working Age Population (16-64) limited work capability below the average in Aberdeenshire. The Ward scores well in relation to the Health theme Receiving PIPs relative to most other themes in this report. The location of a care home or other institutional 11.0% 3.0% setting may have effected this outcome. West Garioch Multi-Member Ward Economic Vulnerability Spectrum 100 = Most Vulnerable MMW in Aberdeenshire Economic Indicators (1 of 2) 36.8 Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable

Median Household Income per Income Band - Percentage of Households (2019) Alternative Claimant Count* per Benefit Group - 'Unemployment Rate'(2020)

Additionals Aberdeenshire MMW Universal Credit Searching for Work Claimant Count as % of Working Age Population Jobseeker's Allowance 3.1% 200K+ 0.1% 0.2% 180-200K 0.2% 0.2% 160-180K 0.4% 0.7% 39 140-160K 0.8% 1.4% 120-140K 1.5% 1.9% Changes in the Effective Unemployment Rate 100-120K 3.8% 4.1% 95-100K 0.8% 1.6% 48 Jan 2020 May 2020 90-95K 1.4% 1.7% 85-90K 1.9% 2.8% 80-85K 2.1% 3.3% 1.5% 3.1% 75-80K 1.9% 2.4% 303 70-75K 2.4% 3.1% 41 65-70K 3.1% 3.4% 39 41 Change 242 60-65K 3.9% 4.4% 55-60K 4.2% 4.8% + 1.6% 50-55K 5.0% 5.3% 112 108 119 45-50K 5.1% 6.0% 40-45K 6.3% 6.4% *According to the Department for Work & Pensions 35-40K 6.6% 6.7%

Household Income Band Income Household 73 (DWP), the Alternative Claimant Count statistics 53 50 50 30-35K 7.7% 7.3% 45 provide a consistent measure of local levels of 25-30K 8.0% 7.2% claimant unemployment over time and across areas 20-25K 8.4% 7.4% Jan Feb Mar Apr May and a better indication of labour market change. 15-20K 8.9% 7.3% 10-15K 8.0% 5.9% People on Universal Credit - In Employment & Not in Employment (2020) 5-10K 5.8% 3.8% 0-5K 1.5% 0.8% In Employment June Data in an Aberdeenshire Context © CACI Limited 1996 - 2017 This report shall be used solely for academic, personal and/or non- Not in Employment commercial purposes. The applicable copyright notices can be found at % of Working Age Population on Universal Credit https://www.caci.co.uk/copyrightnotices.pdf and In Employment 2.7% Median Household Income (2019) % of Households Earning <£20k (2019) 488 486 370

£ £42,219 17.8% 239 222 231 % of Working Age Population on Universal Credit 363 and Not In Employment 290 331 £42,219 17.8% 133 160 165 3.6%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun West Garioch

Economic Indicators (2 of 2)

Map of Multi-Member Ward Intermediate Zones - Overall Economic Ranking Percentage of Children in Low Income Families (Relative Poverty), 2014/15 to 2018/19

Each bar in the graph represents a single year, 2014/15 to 2018/19 More vulnerable 17.2% 17.2% 15.8% 13.8% 14.1% 11.8% 11.1% 11.0% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 9.0% 8.5% Less vulnerable 8.0% 7.8%

Aberdeenshire Scottish LA Average West Garioch Relative child poverty rate, 2018/19 (MMW average) 11.0%

Pension Credit Benefits - Proxy Indicator for 'Pensioner Poverty' (February 2020) Percentage of People Income Deprived per MMW Intermediate Zone (SIMD 2020)

Average Weekly Amount (£) Cases as a % of 65+ population 9.2% £39.84 5.6%

Summary 4.2% 4.4% In economic terms, this Ward is average in terms of Aberdeenshire with various indicators near the Aberdeenshire average or below. The proportion of households earning less than 2.1% £20,000 is below the average as is the income deprivation rate and the unemployment rate (May 2020). Median household income is £3k above the average along with the child poverty rate in West Garioch. Pensioner poverty, as defined above is very low and the amount of pension credit paid per week is the lowest in Aberdeenshire. proportion of people 1 2 3 4 on Universal Credit suggests the area is very much on the affluent end of the spectrum.

This is to some extent reflected in the indicators on the next page. Overcrowding, and the percentage of households without access to a car or van is low. There are some geographical assess issues – longer drive times (5.9 mins) and poor bus accessibility. % of population income deprived (MMW average)

5.0% At Ward level, the Prescription Loneliness Index score is low however for IZ Durno-Chapel of Garioch it is second highest at 58.4%.

West Garioch Multi-Member Ward Other Socio-Economic Vulnerability Spectrum 100 = Most Vulnerable MMW in Aberdeenshire Other Socio-Economic Data 42.1 Less Vulnerable More Vulnerable

Geographic Access / Digital Connectivity / Food Vulnerability / Loneliness Proxy Housing / Environment

Average drive time to various local amenities by car (in minutes) % of overcrowded households 5.9 5.0% SIMD 2020 SIMD 2020 Average drive time to various local amenities by public transport (in minutes) % of single person households relative to total households 14.3 28.1% SIMD 2020 2019

Bus Accessibility score (the higher the score, the better) % of 16+ population in receipt of Housing Benefits 2.9 2.8% 2019 MAY 2020

% of households without access to a car or van % of addresses with private outdoor space 8.6% 90.2%

2011 APR 2020

% of premises without access to superfast broadband (30Mb/s+ download speed) Average distance to nearest Park, Garden, or Public Playing Field (in metres) 25.8% 1,244 SIMD 2020 APR 2020

Digital Vulnerability score (The higher the score, the greater the vulnerability) At Risk Sectors / Workers -0.66 2020 % of jobs in arts, entertainment, recreation and other services Longest distance to food bank (km) 4.9% 20.8 2018 2020

Food Vulnerability score (The higher the score, the greater the vulnerability) % of jobs in accommodation and food services (hospitality) 153.6 5.9% 2020 2018

Loneliness Prescription Index* (the higher the score, the greater the risk) % of jobs in retail -0.27 6.2% 2020 2018