CAPITAL PLAN 2016
Table of Contents Executive Summary ...... 2 Near North District School Board Boundary ...... 4 Demographic Analysis ...... 5 Our Community Partners ...... 8 Student Enrolment ...... 10 Facilities...... 11 Grade Configuration and Programs ...... 14 Facility Condition ...... 15 School Capacity Utilization ...... 16 Analyzing Capacity Utilization Rate and Facility Condition Index ...... 17 Excess Capacity by School Configuration ...... 19 Establishing Geographic Planning Areas ...... 19 School Facility Operations and Renewal Grant ...... 21 North Bay Planning Area ...... 24 School Enrolment ...... 26 Planning Area Observations ...... 27 Recommended Next Steps ...... 27 Almaguin Highlands Planning Area ...... 28 School Enrolment ...... 30 Planning Area Observations ...... 31 Recommended Next Steps ...... 31 Mattawa Planning Area ...... 32 School Enrolment ...... 34 Planning Area Observations ...... 34 Recommended Next Steps ...... 34 West Nipissing Planning Area ...... 35 School Enrolment ...... 37 Planning Area Observations ...... 37 Recommended Next Steps ...... 37 Parry Sound Planning Area ...... 38 School Enrolment ...... 40 Planning Area Observations ...... 40 Recommended Next Steps ...... 40 Inventory of Non-School Properties ...... 41 Glossary of Terms ...... 42 1 | P a g e
Executive Summary The Near North District School Board (NNDSB) is located in North East Ontario and encompasses the Districts of Nipissing and Parry Sound. The NNDSB currently operates 31 elementary schools, 7 secondary schools, an Adult and Continuing Education Centre as well as two Alternative Schools within its jurisdiction. Shifts in school-age population, escalating operating costs, prohibitive building renewal costs, aging buildings, and demands for relevant programming topped by changes to the capital funding model, have caused school boards to re-examine their long-term capital priorities. The Ministry of Education, through the School Board Efficiencies and Modernization Initiative-Consultation Summary (2014) has identified effective utilization of schools as an area of Capital Planning focus.
Not unlike many other Boards in the Province, the NNDSB is experiencing declining enrolment. “The number of school aged children in Ontario has been decreasing in recent years, and enrolment is declining in 53 of 72 school boards.”1 In the NNDSB, the decline is slowing down in the elementary panel however; secondary facilities are now experiencing a sharper decline in student enrolment. Total enrolment for the 2015-2016 academic year was; 6,675 elementary students, with 3,529 secondary students, for a total number of 10,204 students in the Board. For the purpose of this Capital Plan, enrolment includes all students of the Board as well as First Nations students and tuition paying students attending the NNDSB schools.
The NNDSB is an English language public school board that also provides, French Immersion and Extended French as well as First Nations programs in some elementary and secondary schools. Secondary Schools also offer a diverse range of Specialist High Skills Majors (SHSM) courses. In addition, the Board provides alternative, adult and community based programs. Due to declining enrolment, secondary schools throughout the board have found it increasingly difficult to continue offering the wide range of programming that had been offered in the past. A potential benefit of having larger schools with larger staffs is that more diverse programming could be offered to students.
The Capital Plan provides background information regarding right-sizing our board, by comparing student spaces against projected enrolment data. Currently, the Board has 5,908 surplus spaces and the utilization rate is 64.2% based on the 2015-16 enrolment. Additionally, the Capital Plan will provide a picture of areas within the Board that are experiencing enrolment growth and decline. The Plan also includes enrolment projections, school renewal needs, school utilization, possible building consolidations and future recommendations for construction of new facilities and additions and/or renovations to existing facilities.
Based on the data, the Capital Plan will, “forecast where new schools or additions may be needed; which schools will remain well utilized into the future; which open and operating schools may have unused space; and which schools may be candidates for consolidation or closure.”2 As part of the planning process, this information will also assist in identifying facilities that may be suitable for facility partnerships with respect to new construction and unused space in schools.
Currently, the NNDSB operates 31 elementary schools. There are 3 projects underway that will reduce some of the Board’s surplus spaces and demonstrate the need to address underutilization of space and right-size the board. To begin the 2016-2017 academic year, the Board will consolidate three elementary schools (Dr. MacDougall Public School, King George Public School, and J.W. Trusler Public School) and will open the new Woodland Public School in the same catchment area.
Land of Lakes Public School in Burks Falls will close for the year 2016-17 for renovations. The JK-8 students from Land of Lakes Public School will attend M.A. Wittick Public School (also in Burks Falls) and students from surrounding elementary schools will welcome their grade 8 students back to their schools, once again becoming JK-8 schools. In the 2017-2018
1 Ministry of Education, School Board Efficiencies and Modernization, 2014 2 Community Planning & Partnerships Guidelines, 2015 2 | P a g e
school year, Land of Lakes Public School will re-open as a JK-8 (and Extended French) school, and M.A. Wittick Public School will close permanently. This will bring the number of operating elementary schools to 27 and reduce surplus spaces by 351.
Finally, Nobel Public School, McDougall Public School and the Parry Sound High School completed an ARC process in 2013 and are slated to close. Once the site is selected the new JK to 12 build will be underway. All three of the aforementioned schools will combine into the brand new school. Once this process is complete the Board will operate 25 elementary schools, 6 secondary schools and a combined JK-12 school and 2 Alternative/Continuing Education Schools. Overall, when these three projects are completed, the total number of surplus spaces in the Board will be reduced by 1,475 (from the original 5,908 surplus spaces). This will leave 4,433 surplus spaces remaining (based on the 2015 enrolment numbers).
To accommodate the large geographic area of the board, for Capital Planning purposes, the Board has been divided into five “Planning Areas,” they are as follows;
1) North Bay 2) Almaguin Highlands 3) West Nipissing 4) Mattawa 5) Parry Sound
Each Planning Area includes comparative data on: enrolment, utilization, surplus/deficit spaces, on the ground capacity (OTG), and the condition of each facility. Additionally, observations and recommendations are displayed in each of the Planning Areas.
The Capital Plan is intended to provide the Board with clear directions to right-size our system to comply with the funding model and to ensure that students are accommodated in facilities that are safe and healthy, and that promote an optimal learning environment and offer optimal programming options. This can be achieved through one of the following end points; consolidate to a new build, consolidate to an existing build, consolidate to a renovation, demolition, or partial demolition and partnership.
The Capital Plan is intended to be a “living document” that will be updated at a minimum, annually or as necessary to reflect the changes in data.
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Near North District School Board Boundary The following is the legal description of the Near North District School Board’s boundary.
The area of jurisdiction of the Near North District School Board consists of, i. the portion of the Territorial District of Parry Sound that is not included in the geographic area of the local municipality of Killarney, ii. the geographic areas of the following local municipalities: Bonfield, Calvin, Chisholm, East Ferris, Kearney, Mattawa, Mattawan, North Bay, Papineau-Cameron and West Nipissing, iii. the Freeman Ward of the local municipality of Georgian Bay, and iv. the following geographic townships in the Territorial District of Nipissing: Blyth, Boyd, Clarkson, Commanda, Deacon, Eddy, French, Jocko, Lauder, Lyman, Merrick, Notman, Pentland, Phelps, Poitras and Wyse. 3
The boundary of the Near North District School Board covers the majority of the Parry Sound and Nipissing Districts, along with a small portion of the Muskoka District. The board’s western boundary is represented by the western border of West Nipissing to the French River. Bordering on Georgian Bay to the west, the board boundary runs east along the southern borders of McMurrich/Monteith, Perry and Kearney around Algonquin Park to the township of Head, Clara and Maria. The east boundary follows the Quebec border along the Ottawa River. The board’s northern boundary runs across numerous unorganized townships south of Temagami. The area the region covers is approximately 17,020 km2, with a perimeter of 958 km.
3 Education Act. Ontario Regulation 486/01 Continuation, Areas of Jurisdiction and Names of District School Boards. 4 | P a g e
Demographic Analysis The Near North Region is comprised of a variety of types of communities. The following chart identifies the various types of communities the Near North District School Board serves based on the 2011 Census.
Parry Sound District Nipissing District First Nation Reserves (7) Townships (12) Cities (1) o Dokis 9 o Armour o North Bay o French River 13 o Carling First Nation Reserves (1) o Henvey Inlet 2 o Joly o Nipissing 10 o Magnetawan 1 o Machar Municipalities (1) o Moose Point 79 o McKellar o West Nipissing / Nipissing Ouest o Parry Island First Nation o McMurrich/Monteith Towns (1) o Shawanaga 17 o Nipissing o Mattawa Municipalities (5) o Perry Townships (6) o Callander o Ryerson o Bonfield o Magnetawan o Seguin o Calvin o McDougall o Strong o Chisholm o Powassan o The Archipelago o East Ferris o Whitestone Unorganized Areas (2) o Mattawan Towns (2) o Parry Sound, Unorganized, Centre Part o Papineau-Cameron o Kearney (Britt, Byng Inlet, Mowat, Loring, Unorganized Areas (1) o Parry Sound Port Loring, Arnstein, Golden Valley, o Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part Villages (3) Restoule) (Phelps, Eldee, Thorne, Tilden Lake) o Burk's Falls o Parry Sound, Unorganized, North East Muskoka District o South River Part (Laurier Township) Townships (1) o Sundridge o Georgian Bay
The population of the communities served by the Near North District School Board continues to age when 2006 Census data is compared to 2011. By 2006 Baby Boomers are captured in the 40 to 59 age brackets. A smaller cohort of the population is currently passing NNDSB Communities Population Age Profile through their child bearing years 85 years and over resulting in fewer children born than 80 to 84 years in the past. This reflects the school 75 to 79 years board’s trend in declining enrolment. 70 to 74 years 65 to 69 years The baby boom echo generation is 60 to 64 years noticeable within the Population Age 55 to 59 years 50 to 54 years Profile and this cohort is entering 45 to 49 years 2011 their child bearing years. One could 40 to 44 years 2006 predict an increase in births based on 35 to 39 years this trend, however recent birth data 30 to 34 years does not support this prediction. 25 to 29 years 20 to 24 years 15 to 19 years 10 to 14 years 5 to 9 years 0 to 4 years 0 3000 6000 9000 12000 5 | P a g e
Based on birth data from the past 10 years provided by the North Bay and Parry Sound Health Unit, the number of births in the Nipissing and Parry Sound Districts has shown minimal increases and decreases over that period. The lowest number of births in one year was in 2005 with 3,021 births. The maximum in the 10-year period occurred in 2008 with 3,166 births. The most recent year, 2014 there were 3,061 births. This data does not support a trend for a significant increase or decrease in the school age population within the Nipissing and Parry Sound Districts. This relative stability in the number of births reflects recent enrolment figures of Junior and Senior Kindergarten aged students across Near North District School Board elementary schools.
Total Births in Nipissing and Parry Sound Districts Over Last 10 Years 3400
3200 Maximum, 3166
3000 Minimum, 3021
2800
2600
2400
2200 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
When comparing 2006 Median Age Census data to 2011, all but four communities or 90.2% of the communities within the Near North District School Board median age increased. To further emphasize the trend that the population of our communities are increasing in age, when comparing our communities to the Median Age of the Province in of Ontario, three communities are younger than the provincial median in 2011.
Median Age
2006 2011 Ontario 2011 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25
20
Joly
Perry
Calvin
Strong
Seguin
Carling
Dokis 9 Dokis
Machar
Armour
Ryerson
Kearney
Bonfield
Mckellar
Nipissing
Mattawa
Chisholm
Callander
Powassan
NorthBay
Sundridge
East Ferris East
Mattawan
Mcdougall
Burk'S Falls Burk'S
South River South
Whitestone
Nipissing 10 Nipissing
Parry Sound Parry
Magnetawan
Georgian Bay Georgian
Shawanaga 17 Shawanaga
Magnetewan 1 Magnetewan
French River13 French
The Archipelago The
Papineau-Cameron
Mcmurrich/Monteith
Parry Island First Nation First Island Parry
West Nipissing / Nipissing / Ouest Nipissing West
Parry Sound, Unorganized, North… Unorganized, Sound, Parry Nipissing, Unorganized, North Part North Unorganized, Nipissing,
Parry Sound, Unorganized, Centre Part Centre Unorganized, Sound, Parry
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The populations of communities served within the boundary of the Near North District School vary from under 100 people in First Nation Reserves to the City of North Bay with 53,651 people. The three largest communities are North Bay, West Nipissing and Parry Sound. The ten largest Census Subdivisions represented over 75% of the population across the Near North District in the 2011 Census.
Largest Census Subdivisions Based on Population: 1. North Bay 4. East Ferris 7. Powassan 10. Parry Sound 2. West Nipissing 5. Seguin 8. McDougall Unorganized Centre Part 3. Parry Sound 6. Callander 9. Perry 7 | P a g e
The Ontario Ministry of Finance generates long term population projections for the province and its 49 census divisions. The Near North District School Board serves all of the Parry Sound census division and most of the Nipissing census division with the exception of the Nipissing Unorganized South area which cover Algonquin Park and some surrounding unorganized townships. The current Ontario population projections are based on the 2011 census and run from 2013 to 2041. Upon review of projected population for the next 10 years, from 2016 to 2025 of Parry Sound and Nipissing census divisions, there is a decline in population amongst all four school age population groups for Parry Sound, where Nipissing is projected an increase in three of four groups. It is important to consider the population size of the age group when considering percentage increase or decrease. For example, the 5-9 age group has a projected increase of 7.14% from 2016 to 2025 which only represents an additional 301 children.
District of Parry Sound and Nipissing, 10 Year Population Projection by School Age Group from 2016 to 2025
10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% -2% 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 -4% -6% Populationchange -8% -10% -12% Nipissing Parry Sound
*Source: Ontario Ministry of Finance long term population projections based on 2011 Census.
Our Community Partners Over a period of several months, members of the Near North District School Board’s Capital Planning Team visited most of the municipal partners at their local offices. The purpose of these visits was to: begin to build relationships with community partners, share the upcoming Capital Planning process, inquire as to future and long-term residential and economic development that could potentially affect the school’s enrolment over the long term, and begin to explore the possibility of developing suitable partnerships with communities.
For this purpose, the Near North District School Board can be characterized by describing its layout as; one main City (North Bay); the Town of Parry Sound, the West Nipissing Area (similar in size to Parry Sound with a much broader layout), the Town of Mattawa to the east, and several small communities comprised of Towns, Villages, Municipalities and Townships along the southern and western corridors of the board. It was not unusual to have a single small elementary school represented by two or even three different townships and one town or village, while for instance the City of North Bay represented several schools that are located within the city limits. Despite the perceived disparity in representation, what the team found everywhere they went, were a number of common themes.
At every municipal meeting it was clearly stated that the schools were the lifeblood of every community, and that schools are necessary for communities to grow. This was especially evident and shared as a concern in the smaller communities. Some communities had their recreational and municipal buildings clustered together, often at one location. It was not unusual to see the Municipal Offices on the same property as the Community Centre/Hall, the Outdoor (partially covered) rink, a Fire Hall, Public Library, Seniors Centre and sometimes a Nursing Station. Schools in
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these communities were often located close by and were able to use the recreational facilities year round during the school day.
The Capital Planning Team visited more than 30 municipal partners in its quest to gather data for the Capital Plan, and to gain insight into the communities where the Near North District School Board’s schools were located. During these municipal meetings, each community shared that their area was unique and possessed a character and charm that was unlike any other community. As well it was shared that generations of residents had settled in areas historically bustling with railway lines, mills and mines providing work for residents and a prosperous place to settle and raise a family. These individual narratives were echoed and their importance stressed in each municipal visit.
The communities in the southern and western corridors of the board through and beyond Parry Sound swell in size during the summer months with seasonal cottage residents. These residents contribute to the local tax base. There has been a growing trend recently as these cottagers retire, for these cottages to be converted into permanent residences. This has increased the number of building permits as well as the population in these areas, bringing additional stimulus to the local economy.
In all the communities that were visited, it was continually mentioned, (based on the 2011 census) that the population is growing with seniors and that the median age is steadily increasing. Several communities boast a median age between 50-54. The need for assisted living and senior’s housing, access to medical centres and being in close proximity to a hospital are on the minds of residents and municipalities as they decide what is most important for them to have in the community where they live.
Several communities indicated that they were optimistic that fibre optics would be available to them soon and that this alone could potentially create opportunities for business entrepreneurs to live in a beautiful, slower paced environment while running their business from home and connecting to the world. Community leaders strongly feel that this alone could be the game changer they need to attract young families back to their home towns, run their businesses and reduce youth out-migration.
In some of the communities where housing is very affordable compared to large urban Canadian centres, they are observing new people moving into their communities, buying older homes (generally situated on large lots) and renovating and modernizing these homes. These new residents are participating in their communities and they are expecting services that they want for their children. They want schools with programs that are authentic and relevant, medical services, and access to recreation programs in their communities.
Growth in many of the communities has been slow and steady, mostly attributable to the tourism and recreation industry. A few communities indicated that they have businesses in their communities that attract international tourists for ecotourism and specifically dog sledding adventures. As well, there are some businesses that manufacture items that are shipped around the world. These businesses are growing and are hiring skilled workers to their labour force.
While there is slight growth in populations in many of the communities, the growth has been in the group of the population that are now retired and looking to relax and enjoy the beauty of their surroundings. Economically, communities while each unique, did not indicate that there was any economic development on the horizon that could potentially affect future additional enrolment at our schools. In talking to the communities, the story that the enrolment data tells us aligns very closely to what we heard and saw in each of the communities that were visited and remains coupled against a narrative of less prosperous conditions for work and opportunity throughout remote regions.
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Student Enrolment Over the past 10 years, overall board enrolment has decreased from year to year, with the exception of 2014 to 2015 where enrolment increased by 67 students. From a high in 2006 of 12,464 students to a current enrolment in 2015 of 10,204, over a 10-year period, enrolment decreased by 18.1%. Recent trends indicate that enrolment decline has slowed. Over the next 10 years, enrolment is projected to drop by 653 students or 6.4% to the 2025-26 school year.
10 Year Historic and 10 Year Projected Enrolment 14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000
NumberStudents of 2000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 School Year - 2016 to 2025 are Projected
The board’s enrolment projections are completed on an annual basis. Projected enrolment values represent the foundation for budgets and staffing levels one year in advance. Projected values up to three years in advance are provided to the Ministry of Education on an annual basis. Projections are calculated using a four year weighted average at the grade and school level along with local information. Beyond three years in advance, enrolment projections represent a forecast for planning purposes and accuracy decreases as the number of years in advance increase.
10 Year Historic and 10 Year Projected Enrolment by Panel 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000
NumberStudents of 2000 1000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 School Year - 2016 to 2025 are Projected
Elementary Secondary
When reviewing the enrolment by panel, it is evident that the recent (2009 to 2014) decline in secondary enrolment is similar to the decline in elementary enrolment in prior years (2006 to 2010). Since 2010, the elementary enrolment has stabilised ranging from 6,659 students in 2010 to 6,675 students in 2015. The pattern of stable secondary enrolment seems to be developing over the past two years with totals of 3,533 secondary students in 2014 and 3,529 secondary students in 2015.
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Facilities As of the 2015-16 school year, there are 40 facilities active with programs for students being delivered within these schools. One of those facilities, Parry Sound Alternative School is a location that is leased space. The combined Gross Floor Area of all schools is 168,109.8 square meters, or 1.8 million square feet. Based on the Ministry of Education’s On the Ground Capacity definition, the 40 active schools are able to host 16,112 students. The current list of Renewal Needs, the cost of repairs necessary to keep schools operational, totals $150.1 million.
Age of Schools as of 2015
Over 75 Years Old 5 61 to 75 Years Old 2 46 to 60 Years Old 18 31 to 45 Years Old 5 16 to 30 Years Old 4 15 Years or Less 5
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20
The average age of Near North District School Board schools is just over 48 years old. The bulk of the school inventory, 18 of 39 schools, fall within the 46 to 60 year-old range, meaning they were built between 1955 and 1969 as a reflection of the Baby Boom era. The age of schools was calculated based on a weighted average method that incorporates additions or demolitions to buildings and the Gross Floor Area of the renovation and the original build.
Gross Floor Area of Schools by Age
Over 75 Years Old 14,504 15 Years or Less 17,527
61 to 75 Years Old 16 to 30 Years Old 18,673 11,498
31 to 45 Years Old 32,747
46 to 60 Years Old 68,370
With the bulk of the Near North District School Board schools being in the 46 to 60 year-old range, we can expect that a significant portion of the Gross Floor Area of these schools fall into this range was well. 42% of the gross floor area is represented by schools 46 to 60 years old.
Gross floor area is an important measurement when considering the costs associated with maintenance, operations and capital. The majority of school board funding is based on a per pupil allocation not on a per square foot basis.
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To quantify the capacity of a school in terms of the number of students that can attend the school, the Ministry of Education uses a calculation called On the Ground Capacity (OTG). Representing the permanent structure of a school building, the OTG denotes how many students can be accommodated in the school. The Ministry of Education defines spaces within the buildings as instructional space and assigns how many students can be loaded into these spaces. The loading values vary by panel, Elementary (JK to Grade 8) and Secondary (Grade 9 to 12). The following charts represents how the majority of instructional spaces in schools are loaded by panel.
Instructional Space Type Elementary Loading Secondary Loading Kindergarten Room 26 - Classroom 23 21 Special Education Room 9 9 Resource Room 12 12
A school’s OTG is calculated by adding together the loading of the instructional rooms in the school. The Near North District School Board’s inventory of school’s has a current total OTG of 16,112 pupil places. Over the past three years, the Near North District School Board has completed three Accommodation Review Committee (ARC) processes resulting in consolidations into new schools and renovated schools, along with boundary revisions for existing schools. The following describes the results of these ARCs:
o 2016-17 opening of the new Woodland Public School is a result of consolidating the students of Dr. MacDougall Public School, King George Public School, and a portion of J.W. Trusler Public School with the remaining J.W. Trusler students attending Vincent Massey Public School. o 2017-18 re-opening of a renovated Land of Lakes Public School from a current Grade 5 to 8 school to a JK to Grade 8 facility with students from M.A. Wittick Public School attending Land of Lakes. o 2019-20 opening of the new Parry Sound JK to Grade 12 school is a result of consolidating the students of Nobel Public School, McDougall Public School and Parry Sound High School.
The three consolidations represent a total reduction in OTG of 1,475 spaces, by bringing the current total OTG of 16,112 spaces to 14,637 spaces board wide.
Reviewing the Surplus or Deficit spaces available at a school is an important indicator to determine the appropriate size of a facility to house the students attending that school. Surplus or Deficit Spaces is determined through subtracting the student enrolment from the OTG of the school.
Board Total OTG and Enrolment 20,000
15,000 Surplus: 5908 Surplus: 4903 Surplus: 5086 10,000
5,000
0 2015 2020 2025
OTG Enrollment
Based on the facilities in use, the Near North District School Board currently has 5,908 surplus spaces and is anticipating 4,903 and 5,086 surplus spaces in 2020-21 and 2025-26 respectively. These anticipated surplus spaces are based on the schools currently planned to be open and projected enrolments.
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Surplus or Deficit Student Spaces by School for School Years 2015-16, 2020-21 and 2025-26
School OTG Enrolment Surplus/Deficit OTG Enrolment Surplus/Deficit OTG Enrolment Surplus/Deficit 2015 2015 Spaces 2015 2020 2020 Spaces 2020 2025 2025 Spaces 2025 Alliance 527 564 -37 527 637 -110 527 607 -80 Almaguin Highlands 732 490 242 732 463 269 732 456 276 Argyle 161 48 113 161 56 105 161 59 102 Britt 187 30 157 187 30 157 187 48 139 Chippewa 7-12 1,200 816 384 1,200 1,048 152 1,200 1,240 -40 Dr MacDougall 210 214 -4 0 0 0 0 0 0 E T Carmichael 282 218 64 282 205 77 282 216 66 E W Norman 374 133 241 374 86 288 374 60 314 Evergreen Heights 338 217 121 338 201 137 338 152 186 F J McElligott 7-12 363 144 219 363 173 190 363 227 136 Ferris Glen 338 172 166 338 129 209 338 105 233 Humphrey 305 266 39 305 265 40 305 264 41 J W Trusler 262 147 115 0 0 0 0 0 0 King George 303 200 103 0 0 0 0 0 0 Land of Lakes 340 115 225 340 231 109 340 174 166 Laurentian 210 144 66 210 130 80 210 130 80 M A Wittick 351 193 158 0 0 0 0 0 0 M T Davidson 314 149 165 314 120 194 314 124 190 MacTier 199 133 66 199 122 77 199 147 52 Magnetawan 101 54 47 101 62 39 101 58 43 Mapleridge 325 229 96 325 250 75 325 272 53 Mattawa 256 137 119 256 175 81 256 198 58 McDougall 302 194 108 0 0 0 0 0 0 Nobel 334 142 192 0 0 0 0 0 0 Northern 630 264 366 630 178 452 630 180 450 Parry Sound Alt. 63 0 63 63 0 63 63 0 63 Parry Sound 7-12 1,314 832 482 0 0 0 0 0 0 Parry Sound K-12 0 0 0 1,085 1,110 -25 1,085 1,035 50 Parry Sound Public 504 419 85 504 420 84 504 416 88 Phelps 207 86 121 207 81 126 207 70 137 Silver Birches 349 256 93 349 238 111 349 212 137 South River 236 163 73 236 118 118 236 86 150 South Shore 245 97 148 245 114 131 245 129 116 Sundridge 282 189 93 282 218 64 282 228 54 Sunset Park 504 409 95 504 472 32 504 489 15 Vincent Massey 386 253 133 386 272 114 386 236 150 W J Fricker 357 294 63 357 242 115 357 179 178 West Ferris 7-12 1,099 674 425 1,099 535 564 1,099 490 609 White Woods 305 261 44 305 235 70 305 215 90 Whitestone Lake 153 45 108 153 24 129 153 10 143 Widdifield 1,164 813 351 1,164 534 630 1,164 449 715 Woodland 0 0 0 516 560 -44 516 590 -74 Board Total 16,112 10,204 5,908 14,637 9,734 4,903 14,637 9,551 5,086
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Grade Configuration and Programs Schools within the Near North District School Board operate under a variety of grade configurations. Changing grade configurations of schools has been a strategy used in multiple Accommodation Review Committee solutions. The most common change has been the move from a traditional grade 9 to 12 secondary school to a grade 7 to 12 school. Number of Schools by Grade The majority of elementary schools operate under a JK to Configuration grade 6 or JK to grade 8 model. Intermediate schools have slowly been reconfigured with two grade 5 to 8 Grade 9 to 12 5 schools currently in operation. As of 2016-17, only one Grade 7 to 12 4 grade 5 to 8 school will be in operation as the other is Grade 5 to 8 2 renovated to accommodate a JK to grade 8 structure. JK to Grade 8 16 The boards first JK to grade 12 school will open in 2019 in JK to Grade 6 13 Parry Sound. 0 5 10 15 20
Multiple programs are offered across Near North District School Board schools including:
o Extended French: from Grade 5 to Grade 12, o French Immersion: from Junior Kindergarten to Grade 12, o Regular Program: from Junior Kindergarten to Grade 12, and o System Special Education Programs: from Junior Kindergarten to Grade 12.
Number of Schools by Programs Offered
Regular, Special Education 5 Regular, French Immersion, Special Education 1 Regular, French Immersion 2 Regular, Extended French, Special Education 4 Regular, Extended French, French Immersion, Special Education 1 Regular, Extended French 3 Regular 21 French Immersion 1 Alternative 2
0 5 10 15 20 25
At the secondary level, more specialized programs are also offered including:
o Various Specialist High Skills Majors (SHSM): Grade 11 to 12, o Alternative Program: from Grade 9 to 12, o International Baccalaureate, o STEAM (Science, Technology, Engineering, Arts and Mathematics), and o Arts Nipissing.
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Facility Condition The Ontario Ministry of Education has tasked VFA Canada, a company specializing in facility assessment services, with assessing the conditions of all schools. Facility Condition Assessment reports completed by VFA capture the condition of system components in a school building. Systems include architectural, mechanical, electrical and plumbing elements of a building. The components of these elements are inspected and assessed to identify the remaining service life to determine when a component’s life cycle will be completed and replacement necessary. This process determines when components of a school building will require replacement and the estimated costs associated with that replacement. These replacement costs represent the renewal needs of the building.
Condition Assessment Reports and an inventory of renewal needs by school year are stored in a database called TCPS that VFA Canada hosts and Near North District School Board maintains as renewal projects are completed. Renewal needs are rolled forward from year to year in the database if they are not addressed to create a backlog of renewal needs. As of 2015-16, the Near North District School Board has $150,173,670.26 in renewal needs spread across its 40 facilities.
For the purposes of planning, the inventory of renewal needs 5 years out are referenced in this report. This value is the cost to keep a building open in terms of replacing or repairing the components of a school with 5 or fewer years remaining service years including the renewal needs rolled forward from past years. To put the renewal needs of the building into perspective, a Facility Condition Index (FCI) is calculated to compare the Renewal Needs renewal needs of the building to the replacement cost of the building having the same FCI % = OTG capacity. The replacement cost is calculated based on the Ministry of Education’s Replacement Cost current standards for building schools.
Replacement Cost is calculated by multiplying: OTG x Area (m2) required per student x New Construction Benchmark per m2 x Geographic Area Factor
The Facility Condition Index (FCI) represents a tool for identifying the relative condition of a building with respect to its size. The higher the percentage FCI, the worse the condition of the building based on its renewal needs. When reviewing school’s FCI rating, it’s important to remember that the FCI does not include items such as: asbestos abatement, accessibility needs, air condition, safe schools’ initiatives, requirements due to upgrades to the building code or program needs.
5 Year 5 Year 5 Year School FCI School FCI School FCI Alliance 35% Laurentian 43% South River 56% Almaguin Highlands 0% M T Davidson 37% South Shore 29% Argyle 42% MacTier 48% Sundridge 29% Britt 16% Magnetawan 40% Sunset Park 32% Chippewa 72% Mapleridge 45% Vincent Massey 38% E T Carmichael 55% Mattawa 54% W J Fricker 81% E W Norman 56% Northern 59% West Ferris 69% Evergreen Heights 17% Parry Sound Alternative 0% White Woods 4% F J McElligott 63% Parry Sound K-12 0% Whitestone Lake 26% Ferris Glen 36% Parry Sound Public 0% Widdifield 66% Humphrey 37% Phelps 59% Woodland 0% Land of Lakes 18% Silver Birches 47% 15 | P a g e
School Capacity Utilization A key indicator of use of space within schools is the School Capacity Utilization rate which calculates the enrolment as a percentage of the On the Ground Capacity. The On the Ground capacity does not include portables. School Capacity Utilization is a true reflection of how many students occupy the spaces available in a school. As of the 2014-15 school year, the Enrolment Ministry of Education revised its grant structure in terms of Utilization Rate % = financial supports for underutilized schools, and began the process On the Ground Capacity to reduce the funds to support underutilized schools.
The Near North District Schools Board’s schools are operating at 64.2% utilization based on the 2015-16 enrolment. The Ministry of Education defines underutilized schools as those with a utilization rate of 60% or less. Based on their Facility Partnership Guideline, the Ministry of Education encourages partnerships with underutilized schools. The Near North District School Board currently has 16 schools underutilized. Based on enrolment projections, there will be 13 schools under 60% utilization in 2020-21.
School Capacity Utilization Based on 2020-21 Enrolment Projection 140.0%
120.0%
100.0%
80.0%
60.0%
40.0%
20.0%
0.0%
Britt
Argyle
Phelps
Alliance
MacTier
Mattawa
Northern
Sundridge
Widdifield
Woodland
Humphrey
Laurentian
FerrisGlen
WFricker J
Mapleridge
South River South
Sunset Park Sunset
South Shore South
E W Norman EW
Magnetawan
Silver Birches Silver
Land of Land Lakes
M T M Davidson
White Woods White
E T Carmichael ET
Chippewa 7-12 Chippewa
VincentMassey
West Ferris7-12 West
WhitestoneLake
Parry Sound K-12 Sound Parry
F J McElligott 7-12 McElligott J F
EvergreenHeights Parry Sound Public Sound Parry Almaguin Highlands Almaguin
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Analyzing Capacity Utilization Rate and Facility Condition Index Two key indicators help identify where schools are underutilized and/or in poor condition are, the Capacity Utilization Rate, and the Facility Condition Index. When we chart both these percentage values for all schools on an X – Y scatter chart we can begin to identify schools requiring attention from a capital perspective.
Capacity Utilization vs Facility Condition Index for the Year 2020-21
120% Alliance
110% Woodland Parry Sound K-12 100% Sunset Park 90% Mapleridge Humphrey Chippewa 7-12 Parry Sound Public 80% Silver Birches White Woods Sundridge E T Carmichael Land of Lakes 70% Mattawa Vincent Massey W J Fricker Almaguin Highlands MacTier 60% Evergreen Heights F J McElligott 7-12
Magnetawan Laurentian UtilizationRate 50% West Ferris 7-12 South Shore South River 40% Ferris Glen Phelps Argyle Widdifield 30% M T Davidson
20% Northern Britt Whitestone Lake 10% E W Norman
0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Facility Condition Index
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For planning purposes to identify schools below 70% Capacity Utilization, and schools with a Facility Condition Index above 50%, the X – Y scatter chart is divided into quadrants. The lower right quadrant identifies schools with an FCI above 50% and a Capacity Utilization rate below 70%, the highest priority schools requiring attention from a Capital Planning perspective. The lower left and upper right quadrants identify slightly lower priority schools as they are either underutilized or the facility is in poor condition. The upper left quadrant represents schools with facilities in good condition and operating near or above Capacity Utilization.
Utilization vs Facility Condition Index for the Year 2020
120% Alliance
110% Priority Woodland Parry Sound K-12 100% Sunset Park Humphrey
90% Mapleridge Chippewa 7-12 Parry Sound Public Sundridge 80% Vincent Massey White Woods E T Carmichael W J Fricker Land of Lakes Silver Birches 70% Mattawa Almaguin Highlands Magnetawan 60% F J McElligott 7-12 South River Laurentian UtilizationRate Evergreen Heights MacTier 50% West Ferris 7-12 South Shore 40% Ferris Glen Phelps Priority Argyle Widdifield 30% M T Davidson Northern
20% High Britt Whitestone Lake Priority 10% E W Norman
0% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% Facility Condition Index
High Priority Schools Priority Schools EW Norman Almaguin Highlands MacTier FJ McElligott 7-12 Argyle Magnetawan Mattawa Britt MT Davidson Northern Chippewa 7-12 Silver Birches Phelps ET Carmichael South Shore South River Evergreen Heights Whitestone Lake WJ Fricker Ferris Glen West Ferris 7-12 Land of Lakes Alliance* (Over Capacity) Widdifield Laurentian Woodland* (Over Capacity)
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Excess Capacity by School Configuration When reviewing the excess capacity by schools’ grade configurations, identifying areas of priority with respect to the secondary schools becomes evident. By the year 2020-21, just under half of the excess capacity within Near North District schools will be in schools currently configured as grade 7 to 12, or grade 9 to 12. By the year, 2020-21, the new Parry Sound JK to grade 12 facility will be operational resulting in the right sizing of facilities in the Parry Sound area. The following chart displays the proportion of excess capacity by grade configuration.
Excess Capacity Spaces by School Grade Configuration for 2020-21 Grade 5 to 8 5% JK to Grade 8 26% Grade 7 to 12 18%
JK to Grade 6 21%
Grade 9 to 12 JK to Grade 12 30% -2%
Establishing Geographic Planning Areas Based on the larger population areas and their distance from each other, the district could be divided into five geographical planning areas to analyze the capacity of schools within the Near North District School Board. Some of these regions already fall into current family of schools regions which is defined by the catchment areas of the feeder elementary schools, such as the Almaguin Highlands and Parry Sound areas. The family of schools approach is not feasible for the North Bay area due to the close proximity of the schools. West Nipissing represents the second largest community from a population perspective, and Mattawa is a significant distance from other larger populations.
The following table describes the number of surplus pupil spaces by planning area projected for 2020-21.
PLANNING AREA SURPLUS SPACES ALMAGUIN 1,047 MATTAWA 271 NORTH BAY 2,538 PARRY SOUND 525 WEST NIPISSING 522 TOTAL 4,903
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Based on the projected surplus spaces, the following chart indicates the number of surplus spaces projected in 2020-21 by planning area.
2020-21 Excess Capacity by Planning Area West Nipissing 11% Almaguin 21% Parry Sound 11% Mattawa 5%
North Bay 52%
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School Facility Operations and Renewal Grant The Ministry of Education provides the majority of its annual funding to school boards based on a per pupil method. Recognizing Top-up Allocation for School Operations Based on 2016-17 Estimates circumstances where school boards may have School Old Model New Model school facilities that had surplus space, and Alliance $0 $0 N/A funding on a per pupil basis was not always Almaguin Highlands $318,775 $331,451 sufficient to operate and maintain facilities. Argyle $88,017 $91,517 As a result, Top-up funding was provided to Britt $141,627 $147,258 supplement these scenarios. Funding of Top- Chippewa 7-12 $127,747 $0 up for School Facility Operations and Renewal E T Carmichael $33,126 $0 has recently undergone a change effective E W Norman $29,926 $0 2015-16. Evergreen Heights $92,818 $96,509 F J McElligott 7-12 $240,673 $224,451 In 2015-16, the Ministry of Education Ferris Glen $176,834 $0 broadened the School Board Humphrey $27,205 $28,287 Efficiencies and Modernization Land of Lakes $0 $0 N/A initiative with further measures to Laurentian $24,840 $0 encourage the management of underutilized schools, while M A Wittick $73,614 $0 maintaining support for the schools M T Davidson $140,027 $0 that need it most, and measures to MacTier $85,617 $89,021 update and modernize the funding Magnetawan $32,806 $34,111 formula. These changes, as a whole, Mapleridge $77,615 $80,701 will continue to encourage boards to Mattawa $89,617 $0 focus on using education resources McDougall $74,415 $0 and facilities to support students Nobel $154,429 $0 rather than supporting school space Northern $64,583 $424,921 that may be surplus to students’ Parry Sound Alternative $17,151 $0 education needs.4 Parry Sound 7-12 $685,455 $0 Parry Sound Public $0 $0 N/A The revised funding model is being phased in Phelps $98,419 $102,333 over a three-year period. The phase in allows Silver Birches $38,647 $0 school boards to adjust to the revised formula South River $48,009 $0 through allocating funds in: South Shore $114,421 $118,971 2015-16 one third of the budget Sundridge $48,809 $0 being allocated under the new model, Sunset Park $39,847 $0 and two thirds under the old model, Vincent Massey $51,850 $0 2016-17 two thirds of the budget W J Fricker $42,848 $0 allocated under new model, one third West Ferris 7-12 $109,503 $0 under old model, and White Woods $36,607 $54,910 2017-18 full implementation with Whitestone Lake $67,212 $69,885 100% of the funding via the new Widdifield $180,442 $0 model. Woodland $0 $0 N/A
4 Ontario Ministry of Education, Memorandum 2015: B07, Grants for Student Needs Funding for 2015-16 21 | P a g e
This change in funding significantly impacts the Near North District School Board. Based on 2016-17 estimates the Near North District School Board would receive $3,673,531 under the old model and receive $1,894,326 after full phase-in of the new reform model by year 2017-18, a loss of $1,779,205. This represents a decrease of 48% in Top-Up Allocation for School Operations by 2017-18. Top-up Top-up Allocation for School Renewal with Geographic Adjustment Allocation for School Operations is based Based on 2016-17 Estimates on a school by school basis. As a result of School Old Model New Model the New Model, allocations for specific Alliance $0 $0 N/A schools will either be eliminated Almaguin Highlands $52,333 $52,531 completely, reduced or in some cases increased. Schools with an increase in Argyle $13,535 $14,265 Top-up funding will be as a result of the Britt $21,779 $22,955 Enhanced Top-up funding for isolated Chippewa 7-12 $20,971 $0 schools. The new criteria for determining E T Carmichael $5,094 $0 isolated schools include: E W Norman $4,602 $0 Evergreen Heights $14,274 $15,044 Any elementary school facility F J McElligott 7-12 $39,225 $35,572 that is at least 10 km away from Ferris Glen $27,193 $0 the next closest school facility Humphrey $4,183 $4,408 (elementary or secondary) of the Land of Lakes $0 $0 N/A board will qualify for Enhanced Laurentian $4,078 $0 Top-up funding. M A Wittick $11,320 $0 Any Secondary School facility that M T Davidson $21,533 $0 is at least 20 km away from the MacTier $13,166 $13,877 next closest secondary school Magnetawan $5,046 $5,317 facility of the board will also Mapleridge $11,936 $12,580 qualify for Enhanced Top-up Mattawa $13,781 $0 funding. McDougall $11,443 $0 At the same time, the Ministry will Nobel $23,748 $0 begin phasing out the use of some of Northern $10,603 $67,345 the current criteria used to determine Parry Sound Alternative $2,816 $0 eligibility for Enhanced Top-up Parry Sound 7-12 $112,529 $0 funding. These criteria are: (1) a Parry Sound Public $0 $0 N/A school facility that part of a Phelps $15,134 $15,951 “supported” school; or (2) a school Silver Birches $5,943 $0 facility meets one of two criteria that South River $7,383 $0 qualify it as “rural”. These criteria are South Shore $17,595 $18,545 either that the second character of Sundridge $7,507 $0 the facility’s postal code is zero (0), or Sunset Park $6,129 $0 that the school facility is listed as a Vincent Massey $7,974 $0 rural school in a table in the GSN W J Fricker $6,589 $0 regulation. All other existing West Ferris 7-12 $17,913 $0 eligibility criteria for Enhanced Top-up White Woods $5,630 $8,560 remain in place.5 Whitestone Lake $10,336 $10,893 Widdifield $29,623 $0 Woodland $0 $0 N/A 5 Ontario Ministry of Education Memo B07: Grants for Student Needs Funding for 2015-16, March 26, 2015 22 | P a g e
As a result of the reduction in Base Top-Up funding, the Ministry of Education is increasing the benchmark costs used for calculating operating and renewal funds on a per pupil basis. The benchmark increases reflect increases in utility costs and renewal for schools above and under 20 years of age. This reinvestment is intended to redirect funding from underutilized space to serve pupils in all schools across the province.6
These funding allocation changes and others listed under the School Board Efficiencies and Modernization strategy represent incentives for school boards to right-size their facilities by reducing the surplus space in schools that do not fit the criteria of isolated schools. The New Funding Model being phased in over three years directs funding based on schools that are either fully utilized or isolated.
6 Ontario Ministry of Education Memo B07: Grants for Student Needs Funding for 2015-16, March 26, 2015 23 | P a g e
North Bay Planning Area
Surplus/Deficit Top-up for School Top-up for School
Enrolment Spaces Utilization Rate Operations - Renewal
16 21 26 16 21 26 16 21 26
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5
015
Grades
2 2020 2025 201 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025
Old Model Old Model Old
Index (FCI) Index
NewModel NewModel
On the Ground Ground the On (OTG) Capacity School Condition Facility Alliance JK to 6 527 35% 564 637 607 -37 -110 -80 107% 121% 115% $0 $0 $0 $0 Chippewa 7 to 12 1,200 72% 816 1,048 1,240 384 152 -40 68% 87% 103% $127,747 $0 $0 $0 Dr MacDougall JK to 6 210 74% 214 0 0 -4 0 0 102% 0% 0% $0 $0 $0 $0 E T Carmichael JK to 6 282 55% 218 205 216 64 77 66 77% 73% 77% $33,126 $0 $5,094 $0 E W Norman JK to 6 374 56% 133 86 60 241 288 314 36% 23% 16% $29,926 $0 $4,602 $0 Ferris Glen JK to 6 338 36% 172 129 105 166 209 233 51% 38% 31% $176,834 $0 $27,193 $0 J W Trusler JK to 6 262 97% 147 0 0 115 0 0 56% 0% 0% $0 $0 $0 $0 King George JK to 6 303 75% 200 0 0 103 0 0 66% 0% 0% $0 $0 $0 $0 Laurentian 9 to 12 210 43% 144 130 130 66 80 80 69% 62% 62% $24,840 $0 $4,078 $0 M T Davidson JK to 8 314 37% 149 120 124 165 194 190 47% 38% 39% $140,027 $0 $21,533 $0 Phelps JK to 8 207 59% 86 81 70 121 126 137 42% 39% 34% $98,419 $102,333 $15,134 $15,951 Silver Birches JK to 6 349 47% 256 238 212 93 111 137 73% 68% 61% $38,647 $0 $5,943 $0 Sunset Park JK to 6 504 32% 409 472 489 95 32 15 81% 94% 97% $39,847 $0 $6,129 $0 Vincent Massey JK to 6 386 38% 253 272 236 133 114 150 66% 70% 61% $51,850 $0 $7,974 $0 W J Fricker 5 to 8 357 81% 294 242 179 63 115 178 82% 68% 50% $42,848 $0 $6,589 $0 West Ferris 7 to 12 1,099 69% 674 535 490 425 564 609 61% 49% 45% $109,503 $0 $0 $0 Widdifield 9 to 12 1,164 66% 813 534 449 351 630 715 70% 46% 39% $180,442 $0 $29,623 $0 Woodland JK to 6 516 0% 0 560 590 0 -44 -74 0% 109% 114% $0 $0 $0 $0 Planning Area Total: 5,542 5,289 5,197 2,544 2,538 2,630 64% 61% 60% $1,094,056 $102,333 $133,892 $15,951
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School Enrolment
Current Projected Enrolment Enrolment Capacity 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Alliance 527 564 585 596 612 631 637 635 623 616 612 607 Chippewa 1,200 816 878 959 989 1,013 1,048 1,087 1,122 1,163 1,215 1,240 Dr MacDougall 210 214 ------E T Carmichael 282 218 216 208 205 201 205 208 212 212 214 216 E W Norman 374 133 120 107 101 92 86 76 70 64 64 60 Ferris Glen 338 172 163 164 148 141 129 126 119 116 110 105 J W Trusler 262 147 ------King George 303 200 ------Laurentian 210 144 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 130 M T Davidson 314 149 136 128 127 121 120 116 121 121 122 124 Phelps 207 86 84 87 84 84 81 69 67 68 69 70 Silver Birches 349 256 245 240 240 239 238 228 222 218 214 212 Sunset Park 504 409 429 442 454 470 472 482 493 490 489 489 Vincent Massey 386 253 335 310 306 294 272 265 247 244 239 236 W J Fricker 357 294 281 276 245 222 242 233 225 209 182 179 West Ferris 1,099 674 619 591 563 554 535 517 496 495 489 490 Widdifield 1,164 813 734 716 712 617 534 515 499 451 478 449 Woodland 516 - 491 518 533 547 560 567 588 592 590 590
Total Enrolment 5,542 5,446 5,472 5,449 5,356 5,289 5,254 5,234 5,189 5,217 5,197 Total Utilization 69% 70% 70% 70% 68% 68% 67% 67% 66% 67% 66%
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Planning Area Observations 10000 Enrolment pressure at Alliance is increasing due to growth of French Immersion 9000 program. Accommodation needs have been temporarily satisfied with six 8000 portables. Traffic congestion and parking issues remain a concern. Facility is in 7000 good condition. 6000 Chippewa, West Ferris and Widdifield are in poor condition requiring significant 5000 renewal and will lose their base top-up allocation for school renewal and 4000 operations by 2017-18. 3000 Decrease in enrolment at West Ferris and Widdifield is a concern. 2000 Sunset Park and Vincent Massey have stable enrolments and facilities are in good 1000 condition and will lose their base top-up allocation for school renewal and 0 operations by 2017-18. E.W. Norman’s declining population is a concern. Laurentian, Silver Birches, E.T. Carmichael and E.W. Norman are in fair condition Historic Enrolment Projected Enrolment Capacity and will lose their base top-up allocation for school renewal and operations by 2017-18. Phelps is in fair condition and will have increased base top-up allocation for school renewal and operations by 2017-18. M.T. Davidson and Ferris Glen are in good condition however their declining populations are of concern and will lose their base top-up allocation for school renewal and operations by 2017-18. W.J. Fricker is in poor condition and will lose their base top-up allocation for school renewal and operations by 2017-18.
Recommended Next Steps Complete an accommodation review for secondary schools in the North Bay Planning Area to reduce surplus spaces by 1,346 including the development of a business case for the consolidation of the current three schools to a new build of one school. Complete an accommodation review for under utilized elementary schools in the North Bay Planning Area to reduce surplus spaces by 480 including the development of a business case for the consolidation of three schools to a new build of one school. Replace portables at an over utilized North Bay Planning Area school with permanent construction and enhancements to parking and traffic infrastructure. Monitor for potential enrolment pressures and adjust boundaries if necessary. Explore partnership and other opportunities for isolate schools.
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Almaguin Highlands Planning Area
Top-up for School Top-up for School
Enrolment Surplus/Deficit Spaces Utilization Operations Renewal
16 21 26 16 21 26 16 21 26
------
(FCI)
Grades Facility
2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025
Old Model Old Model Old
New Model New Model
Capacity(OTG) Onthe Ground School ConditionIndex Almaguin Highlands 9 to 12 732 0% 490 463 456 242 269 276 67% 63% 62% $318,775 $331,451 $52,333 $52,531 Argyle JK to 8 161 42% 48 56 59 113 105 102 30% 35% 37% $88,017 $91,517 $13,535 $14,265 Evergreen Heights JK to 8 338 17% 217 201 152 121 137 186 64% 59% 45% $92,818 $96,509 $14,274 $15,044 Land of Lakes JK to 8 340 18% 115 231 174 225 109 166 34% 68% 51% $0 $0 $0 $0 M A Wittick JK to 8 351 31% 193 0 0 158 0 0 55% 0% 0% $73,614 $0 $11,320 $0 Magnetawan JK to 8 101 40% 54 62 58 47 39 43 53% 61% 57% $32,806 $34,111 $5,046 $5,317 Mapleridge JK to 8 325 45% 229 250 272 96 75 53 70% 77% 84% $77,615 $80,701 $11,936 $12,580 South River JK to 8 236 56% 163 118 86 73 118 150 69% 50% 36% $48,009 $0 $7,383 $0 South Shore JK to 8 245 29% 97 114 129 148 131 116 40% 47% 53% $114,421 $118,971 $17,595 $18,545 Sundridge JK to 8 282 29% 189 218 228 93 64 54 67% 77% 81% $48,809 $0 $7,507 $0 Planning Area Total: 1,795 1,713 1,614 1,316 1,047 1,146 58% 62% 58% $894,884 $753,260 $140,928 $118,282
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School Enrolment
Current Projected Enrolment Enrolment Capacity 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Almaguin Highlands 732 490 480 445 471 457 463 502 486 477 477 456 Argyle 161 48 51 52 56 55 56 57 57 58 59 59 Evergreen Heights 338 217 222 225 216 210 201 194 180 169 160 152 Land of Lakes 340 115 0 257 245 237 231 214 208 201 182 174 M A Wittick 351 193 259 ------Magnetawan 101 54 60 66 68 70 62 61 58 59 57 58 Mapleridge 325 229 228 229 231 237 250 255 259 266 269 272 South River 236 163 170 163 142 128 118 112 101 96 86 86 South Shore 245 97 102 106 109 113 114 121 124 129 129 129 Sundridge 282 189 207 210 214 218 218 214 221 224 227 228
Total Enrolment 1,795 1,779 1,753 1,752 1,725 1,713 1,730 1,694 1,679 1,646 1,614 Total Utilization 58% 57% 56% 56% 55% 55% 56% 54% 54% 53% 52%
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Planning Area Observations Nine of ten schools in Almaguin Highlands area are significantly underutilized (under 3500 70%). 3000 Almaguin Highlands, Evergreen Heights, Land of Lakes, South Shore and Sundridge are 2500 in good to average condition. Argyle, Magnetawan, Mapleridge and South River are in fair condition. 2000 Declining population at South River is a concern. 1500 South River and Sundridge will lose their base top-up allocation for school renewal and 1000 operations by 2017-18. 500 Almaguin Highlands, Argyle, Evergreen Heights, Land of Lakes, Magnetawan, 0 Mapleridge and South Shore will have increased base top-up allocation for school renewal and operations by 2017-18. Low utilization at South Shore is a concern. Historic Enrolment Projected Enrolment Capacity Recommended Next Steps Complete an accommodation review of underutilized elementary and secondary schools by reducing surplus spaces by 451 including the completion of a business case to consolidate with a new addition to accommodate JK to grade 12. Explore partnerships and other opportunities for isolate schools.
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Mattawa Planning Area Enrolment Surplus/Deficit Utilization Top-up for School Top-up for School
Spaces Operations Renewal
16 21 26 16 21 26 16 21 26
------
Grades
2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025
Old Model Old Model Old
Index(FCI)
New Model New Model
Capacity(OTG) Onthe Ground
School Condition Facility F J McElligott 7 to 12 363 63% 144 173 227 219 190 136 40% 48% 63% $240,673 $224,451 $0 $0 Mattawa JK to 6 256 54% 137 175 198 119 81 58 54% 68% 77% $89,617 $0 $13,781 $0 Planning Area Total: 281 348 425 338 271 194 45% 56% 69% $330,290 $224,451 $13,781 $0
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School Enrolment
Current Projected Enrolment Enrolment Capacity 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 F J McElligott 363 144 153 145 161 165 173 182 181 205 214 227 Mattawa 256 137 144 158 167 173 175 177 192 193 194 198
Total Enrolment 281 297 303 328 338 348 359 373 398 408 425 Total Utilization 45% 48% 49% 53% 55% 56% 58% 60% 64% 66% 69%
Planning Area Observations Enrolment at both Mattawa and F.J. McElligott are slowly increasing. This 700 increase is due somewhat to the introduction of a French Immersion 600 program. F.J. McElligott is an aging building in poor condition will have decreased base 500 top-up allocation for school renewal and operations by 2017-18. 400 Mattawa is in fair condition and will lose their base top-up allocation for 300 school renewal and operations by 2017-18. 200 Recommended Next Steps 100 Continue to revisit partnership opportunities with co-terminus school boards to share facilities in Mattawa. 0 Complete an accommodation review for Mattawa Planning Area schools including the development of a business case for the consolidation of the
current schools to a new build of one JK to grade 12 school. Historic Enrolment Projected Enrolment Capacity
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West Nipissing Planning Area Surplus/Deficit Top-up for School Top-up for School
Enrolment Spaces Utilization Operations Renewal
16 21 26 16 21 26 16 21 26
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Grades
2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025
Old Model Old Model Old
Index(FCI)
New Model New Model
Onthe Ground Capacity(OTG) School Condition Facility Northern 9 to 12 630 59% 264 178 180 366 452 450 42% 28% 29% $64,583 $424,921 $10,603 $67,345 White Woods JK to 8 305 4% 261 235 215 44 70 90 86% 77% 70% $36,607 $54,910 $5,630 $8,560 Planning Area Total: 525 413 395 410 522 540 56% 44% 42% $101,190 $479,831 $16,233 $75,905
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School Enrolment
Current Projected Enrolment Enrolment Capacity 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Northern 630 264 233 219 196 201 178 156 163 155 180 180 White Woods 305 261 255 244 236 232 235 230 222 224 214 215
Total Enrolment 525 488 463 432 433 413 386 385 379 394 395 Total Utilization 56% 52% 50% 46% 46% 44% 41% 41% 41% 42% 42%
1000 Planning Area Observations 900 Northern is in fair condition and its decreasing enrolment is of concern. 800 White Woods is in good condition. 700 Utilization at White Woods is projected to fall below 80% in five years. 600 Northern and White Woods will have increased base top-up allocation for school 500 renewal and operations by 2017-18. 400 300 Recommended Next Steps 200 Review partnership agreement with co-terminus board at Northern to reflect 100 updated enrolments and usage. 0 Consider extending program offerings at both schools.
Historic Enrolment Projected Enrolment Capacity
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Parry Sound Planning Area
Surplus/Deficit Top-up for School Top-up for School
Enrolment Spaces Utilization Rate Operations Renewal
16 21 26 16 21 26 16 21 26
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Grades
2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025 2015 2020 2025
Old Model Old Model Old
New Model New Model
Capacity(OTG) Condition Facility Index(FCI) School Onthe Ground Britt JK to 8 187 16% 30 30 48 157 157 139 16% 16% 26% $141,627 $147,258 $21,779 $22,955 Humphrey JK to 8 305 37% 266 265 264 39 40 41 87% 87% 87% $27,205 $28,287 $4,183 $4,408 MacTier JK to 8 199 48% 133 122 147 66 77 52 67% 61% 74% $85,617 $89,021 $13,166 $13,877 McDougall JK to 8 302 24% 194 0 0 108 0 0 64% 0% 0% $74,415 $0 $11,443 $0 Nobel JK to 8 334 34% 142 0 0 192 0 0 43% 0% 0% $154,429 $0 $23,748 $0 Parry Sound HS 7 to 12 1,314 53% 832 0 0 482 0 0 63% 0% 0% $685,455 $0 $0 $0 Parry Sound Alternative 9 to 12 63 0% 0 0 0 63 63 63 0% 0% 0% $17,151 $0 $2,816 $0 Parry Sound K-12 JK to 12 1,085 0% 0 1,110 1,035 0 -25 50 0% 102% 95% $0 $0 $0 $0 Parry Sound Public JK to 6 504 0% 419 420 416 85 84 88 83% 83% 83% $0 $0 $0 $0 Whitestone Lake JK to 8 153 26% 45 24 10 108 129 143 29% 16% 7% $67,212 $69,885 $10,336 $10,893 Planning Area Total: 2,061 1,971 1,920 1,300 525 576 61% 79% 77% $1,253,111 $334,451 $87,471 $52,132
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School Enrolment
Current Projected Enrolment Enrolment Capacity 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 2023-24 2024-25 2025-26 Britt 187 30 31 28 29 29 30 32 36 38 44 48 Humphrey 305 266 265 265 269 265 265 268 264 262 261 264 MacTier 199 133 128 126 125 126 122 128 133 141 146 147 McDougall 302 194 186 182 ------Nobel 334 142 148 152 ------Parry Sound HS 1,314 832 827 811 ------Parry Sound Alt. 63 ------Parry Sound K-12 1,085 - - - 1,128 1,116 1,110 1,042 1,027 1,022 1,012 1,035 Parry Sound Public 504 419 413 414 411 420 420 435 434 430 424 416 Whitestone Lake 153 45 43 36 35 29 24 21 16 9 10 10
Total Enrolment 2,061 2,041 2,014 1,997 1,985 1,971 1,926 1,910 1,902 1,897 1,920 Total Utilization 61% 61% 60% 80% 80% 79% 77% 77% 76% 76% 77%
4500 Planning Area Observations 4000 Significant underutilization at Britt and Whitestone is a concern. 3500 Humphrey and Whitestone are in average condition. 3000 MacTier is in fair condition with stable enrolment. 2500 Humphrey’s enrolment is stable. 2000 Parry Sound Alternative School’s lease expires August 31, 2016. 1500 Britt, Humphrey, MacTier and Whitestone will have increased base top-up 1000 allocation for school renewal and operations by 2017-18. 500 0 Recommended Next Steps Explore partnerships for isolate schools. Monitor MacTier in preparation for replacement in the future. Historic Enrolment Projected Enrolment Capacity
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Inventory of Non-School Properties The Near North District School Board has a few properties that are not being used for school facilities.
38 Joseph Street – Parry Sound
Located adjacent to Parry Sound High School property. Currently leased to Community Living Parry Sound.
111 Lavase Road – North Bay
Former Trout Mills Public School. Currently used as Maintenance Shop for five staff serving schools in the north portion of the school board. Size: 1.55 acres.
963 Airport Road – North Bay
Former Vincent Massey Public School Currently used as Board Office. Size: 3.1 acres.
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Glossary of Terms Accommodation Review Any review of a school or group of schools where accommodation issues have been identified. Accommodation issues may arise from enrolment pressures, excess pupil spaces, building condition concerns, program changes or changing demographics.
Average Daily Enrolment (ADE) The calculation of the number of students enrolled in a school based on two count dates within the academic year; October 31st and March 31st. The ADE total is calculated by averaging these two full-time equivalent enrolments, which is meant to capture the second semester decline in enrolment as a result of students who graduated at the end of the first semester.
Baby Boom Generation People born during the period 1946 to 1965, marked by a significant increase in the number of births.
Baby Boom Echo Generation Children of the baby boom generation.
Boundary Review A review undertaken to alter the existing boundary of a school or group of schools. A boundary review may apply in an area with a new school opening, or in areas where enrolment distribution does not efficiently utilize available capacity.
Capacity (Surplus/Deficit) Surplus or deficit spaces are determined through subtracting the student enrolment from the OTG of the school.
Construction Benchmark
The ministry’s set rate for new construction costs for elementary and secondary schools calculated per square foot/metre.
Elementary Panel The elementary panel is junior kindergarten to grade 8.
Enhanced Top-Up Funding Enhanced Top-Up Funding is support to operate and maintain schools that are isolated from other schools in the same board (Isolate Schools). Eligibility for enhanced top-up funding is based on distance criteria. Any elementary school that is at least 10 km away from the next closest facility (elementary or secondary), and any secondary school that is at least 20 km away from the next closest secondary facility will qualify. Base and Rural Top-Up (based on “0” Postal Codes) funding will be phased-out when the new funding reforms are in full implementation in 2017-2018.
Extended French Extended French programs begin in Grade 5. French is the language of instruction for a minimum of 25% in each grade. Extended French programs include the study of French as a second language and the study of at least one other subject taught in French.
French Immersion French Immersion programs are offered to students in JK-12. French is the language of instruction for a minimum of 50% in each grade.
Facility Condition Index (FCI) A ratio used to measure the relative condition of a building taking into account all building systems. It is calculated by dividing the 5-year renewal costs for the building by the asset replacement value. 42 | P a g e
Full-Time Equivalent (FTE) The Head Count enrolment adjusted to take into account part-time students.
Geographic Adjustment Factor (GAF) Geographic Adjustment Factor recognizes differences in construction costs across the province.
Gross Floor Area (GFA) The total constructed area of a building.
Grants for Student Needs (GSN) Funding generated on a per pupil basis.
Isolate School An isolate school is; an elementary school that is more than 10km, from the nearest elementary or secondary school in the board, and a secondary school that is more than 20km from the nearest secondary school in the board.
Median Age Median age is the age that divides a population into two numerically equal groups - half the people are younger than this age and half are older. It is a single index that summarizes the age distribution of a population.
On The Ground Capacity (OTG) The rated capacity for a facility (number of students the permanent structure can accommodate) as indicated on the Ministry of Education’s School Facilities Inventory System. Depending on the type of room, the space will have a different loading (i.e., elementary classrooms load at 23 pupil places). Loading values can range anywhere between 9 and 26. This value represents the defined instructional space and does not take in to account common areas such as: a library, gym, hallways, custodial space, administrative areas etc. Portables are not included in the OTG calculation.
Operating Costs These encompass all of the expenditures required to operate and maintain the school including heating, lighting, cleaning, and routine maintenance.
Renewal Needs Facility condition assessments are conducted to determine the condition of system components of each facility. Systems include architectural, mechanical, electrical and plumbing elements of a building. This process determines when components of a school building will require replacement and the estimated costs associated with that replacement. These replacement costs represent the renewal needs of the building. For planning purposes, Renewal Needs were calculated based on the backlog of current renewal events in addition to the events listed for the years 2016-17 to 2020- 21. Published Renewal Needs by the Ministry of Education have reflected the renewal events listed from 2011 to 2015 multiplied by a Statistics Canada factor for inflation.
School Facility Inventory System (SFIS) School Facility Inventory System (SFIS) is a web-based database containing facility-related data for all schools in Ontario.
Secondary Panel The secondary panel is grade 9 to 12.
Specialist High Skill Majors (SHSM) An SHSM is a ministry-approved specialized program that allows students to focus their learning on a specific economic sector while meeting the requirements to graduate from secondary school. It also assists in their transition after graduation to apprenticeship training, college, university or the workplace.
Supplementary Area Factor (SAF) Supplementary Area Factor is the per pupil space configuration. 43 | P a g e
System Special Education Programs The board provides the option of system classes for special education students who are referred through an Identification Placement and Review Committee (IPRC) process.
Utilization Rates The measurement of the physical use of the permanent school facility based on the comparison of enrolment to the on the ground capacity (OTG).
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