Africa’s Population: In Search of a Demographic Dividend

List of Authors

Vincent Barras is a Swiss national currently working as a management consult- ant. He graduated from the University of St. Gallen, where he studied Strategic Management, Finance and Economics. He wrote his Master thesis on “Demogra- phy meets strategic planning: The rationale behind a demographic risk indicator at industry level” and further pursues his interest in demography as a Research Fel- low for the World Demographic and Ageing Forum.

Donatien Beguy is a Research Scientist and Head of the Statistics and Surveys Unit (SSU) at the African Population and Health Center (APHRC) in Nairobi, Kenya. He holds an MA as well as a PhD in Demography from the University Par- is 10 (France). Donatien Beguy has 15 years of experience in research, capacity building and knowledge translation in the population and health field in Africa. His research areas include adolescent health, particularly reproductive health, ur- ban health, migration and urbanization.

Gervais Beninguisse is Professor and Director of Cooperation and Technical As- sistance at the Regional Institute for Demographic Training and Research (IFORD) in Yaoundé, Cameroon. He holds a Ph.D. in Demography from the Insti- tute of Demography of the Catholic University of Louvain (Belgium), a Master in Demography from IFORD and a BA in Economics from the University of Yaoun- dé, Cameroon. His research interests include access to reproductive health and the linkages between age structural transitions and development.

Christian Blickenstorfer is a Swiss Diplomat and former Ambassador. He earned his PhD in modern history and international law at the University of and joined the Swiss Foreign Service in 1974. His early assignments included Cairo, Bangkok, Teheran and Washington D.C. He served as Ambassador of to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, to the United States of America and to . He was Head of the Political Division II in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, responsi- ble for relations with Africa, the Middle East, Asia, Oceania and Latin America and served as its Political Director.

Moussa Bougma is Assistant Professor of Demography at the Institut Supérieur des Sciences de la Population (ISSP), University of Ouagadougou (Burkina Faso). His research interests include schooling, sexual and reproductive health, child malnutrition, family networks, gender, demolinguistic, statistics and econometrics modelling (endogeneity, propensity score matching, survival analysis).

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Jason Bremner is the Associate Vice President for Population, Health, and Envi- ronment at the Population Reference Bureau (PRB) in Washington. He oversees policy advocacy and communications activities with country and regional partners in sub-Saharan Africa and has over 17 years of experience in international health and development research, policy communications, and program management. He received his PhD from the University of North Carolina, and has an MPH in Global Health from Emory University. His research interests include migration and the environment, population and food security, and population, climate change and resilience.

Elin Charles-Edwards is a Lecturer in Human Geography at the University of Queensland, Australia. She holds a PhD in Geography as well as a BA from the University of Queensland. Her research interests lie in the study of population ge- ography with a particular focus on migration and mobility.

Nicholas Eberstadt holds the Henry Wendt Chair in Political Economy at the American Enterprise Institute. He earned his PhD, MPA, and AB from Harvard University, and his MSc from the London School of Economics. A political econ- omist and demographer by training, he is a senior advisor to the National Bureau of Asian Research. He has written extensively on demographics, development, and international security, and has served inter alia on the Global Leadership Council at the and the President’s Council on Bioethics. In 2012 Nick Eberstadt was awarded the prestigious Bradley Prize.

Parfait Eloundou-Enyegue is Professor of Development Sociology at Cornell University. He holds a MSc in Rural Sociology and a PhD in Sociology and De- mography from Pennsylvania State University. His research interests cover the study of global population change and its wide range of socioeconomic conse- quences, including inequality. Related work within sub-Saharan Africa is address- ing the prospects of a demographic dividend in this region, especially in the realm of economic growth, social inequality, and schooling.

Alex Ezeh is the Executive Director of the African Population and Health Center (APHRC) and Honorary Professor of Public Health at Wits University. He also di- rects the Consortium for Advanced Research Training in Africa and serves on the Lancet Commission on the Future of Health in Africa. He holds a PhD as well as an MA in Demography from the University of Pennsylvania (USA) and an MSc in Sociology from the University of Ibadan, . His research interests include population and reproductive health, urban health, health metrics, and education.

Anastasia J. Gage is Professor at the School of Public Health and Tropical Medi- cine at Tulane University. She holds a Ph.D. in Demography from the University of Pennsylvania. Her research has focused on gender and coming-of-age issues among adolescents and young women, consequences for later life, and demo- 3 graphic implications, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. She currently works on violence against women and child marriage.

Jean-Pierre Guengant is Emeritus Director of Research at the Institut de Recher- che pour le Développement (IRD), France and is currently associated with the University of Paris I (Sorbonne). He obtained an MA in Demography from the University of Paris I and a PhD in Development Economics from the University of Clermont-Ferrand. He served as IRD resident representative in Niger, Benin, Burkina Faso and Côte d’Ivoire. In 2011, he was appointed Deputy Director of the United Nations Population Division. Jean-Pierre Guengant was selected by the newspaper “Le Monde” among 40 scientists and actors who made the news in 2010, for his work in the field of population in Africa.

Hans Groth is the Chairman of the Board of the World Demographic and Ageing Forum (WDA-Forum). A medical doctor by training, he has been working with Pfizer Inc. for 24 years, until 2013. In 2003, he was appointed “Pfizer Global Health Fellow” by UNAIDS to conduct case studies in Central Asia and Siberia in order to quantify the threat potential of HIV/AIDS/TB in that region. For the past fifteen years Hans Groth has been studying the interaction between global demo- graphic change, economic development, wealth and societal stability. Among nu- merous publications he is the co-editor of the reference book "Population Dynam- ics in Muslim Countries – Assembling the Jigsaw” (Springer, 2012).

Marco Haase is a Senior Research Fellow of Finance at the University of Basel, Switzerland, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Zentrum (WWZ). His research topics address empirical asset pricing and the evaluation of the impact of speculators on commodity futures prices. He has more than 12 years of experience in the com- modity and financial industry and holds a PhD in Economics from the University of Basel.

Assefa Hailemariam is Associate Professor of Population Studies at the Center for Population Studies at Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia. He received his PhD in Population Studies from the London School of Economics. His research inter- ests cover the broad areas of population and development, population dynamics, marriage, sexual and reproductive health, gender issues, HIV/AIDS, urbanization, migration, population policy, age structure transition and the demographic divi- dend. He was one of the key persons who drafted the 1993 National Population Policy of Ethiopia and the 2003 Youth Policy.

Issaka Maga Hamidou is a senior lecturer/professor and researcher in Demogra- phy at the Sociology Department at the Abdou Moumouni University in Niamey, Niger. He holds a Master in Sociology and a PhD in Demography from Quebec University, Canada. His research interests cover the issues of demographic dy- namics of fertility, population and development, reproductive health and migra- 4 tion. From 2004 to 2008, Issaka Maga Hamidou worked for the UNFPA office in Niamey as a national expert in population and development issues.

Noah Hirschl is a recent graduate from the department of Development Sociology at Cornell University. His research interests include inequality, population, and the environment. He is currently working on research investigating trends in educa- tional inequality in the United States.

Jonas Huber is currently working as management consultant. In 2012 he graduat- ed from the University of St. Gallen (HSG) with an MA in Strategy and Interna- tional Management. His master thesis provided strategic recommendations to poli- cy makers and business leaders (in Switzerland and Japan) on how to embrace demographic change as a source for new opportunities. His position as a Senior Research Fellow with the World Demographic & Ageing Forum allows Jonas to further pursue his passion for this topic and to perform research in a variety of fields related to demographic change.

Emmanuel Jimenez is the Executive Director of the International Initiative on Impact Evaluation (3ie). Prior to joining 3ie he worked for 30 years for the Group, providing technical expertise and strategic leadership in a number of research and operational positions. His research interests include the broad fields of education, social protection, labor, health, urban development, public finance, environment and population. Prior to joining the World Bank, he was on the eco- nomics faculty of the University of Western Ontario in Canada. Emmanuel Jimenez received his PhD in Economics from Brown University, USA.

Almamy Malick Kanté is an Associate Research Scientist at the Columbia Uni- versity - Mailman School of Public Health (CUMSPH). His is currently the Co- Principal Investigator and Research Director of the Connect Project (a paid com- munity-health workers program in rural Tanzania). He holds an MSc in Health Management from Marne-la-Vallée University (France) and a PhD in Demogra- phy from Sorbonne University in Paris (France). In the field of population, health and development, Almamy Kante’s research focuses on health systems, public health and methodological issues.

Jean-François Kobiané is Associate Professor of Demography at the Institut Su- périeur des Sciences de la Population (ISSP), University of Ouagadougou (Burki- na Faso). He holds a PhD in Demography from the Institute of Demography of the Catholic University of Louvain (Belgium) and a Master in Demography from the Regional Institute for Demographic Training and Research (IFORD) in Yaoundé, Cameroon. His research interests include the linkages between fertility, family structure, poverty, child labor, and youth transition to adulthood.

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Daniel J. Mabrey is a Research Fellow at the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC) in Riyadh, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. At KAPSARC he manages research programs on oil & gas development in Eastern Africa. He is also an Associate Professor at the University of New Haven in the United States, where he won the University’s 2013 Faculty Excellence in Re- search Award and was designated a University Research Scholar. He holds a PhD in criminal justice from Sam Houston State University in the United States.

Elizabeth Leahy Madsen is a Senior Technical Advisor at Palladium (formerly Futures Group). Her work focuses extensively on demographic and family plan- ning policy models, including the DemDiv model developed by the Health Policy Project. She has consulted on demographic issues for the Aspen Institute, George Washington University, and the Woodrow Wilson Center, and was a Senior Re- search Associate at Population Action International (now PAI). She holds an MA in International Affairs from the George Washington University.

Liliane Manitchoko is Research Assistant at the Regional Institute for Demo- graphic Training and Research (IFORD) in Yaoundé, Cameroon. She has a basic training in applied mathematics and holds an MA in Demography from IFORD. Her research interests focus primarily on access to reproductive health care.

John F. May is a Visiting Scholar at the Population Reference Bureau (PRB) in Washington, D.C. and Adjunct Professor of Demography at Georgetown Universi- ty. For 15 years, he was a lead demographer at the World Bank. He has worked on many population projects around the world for UNFPA, UNICEF, USAID, and IUSSP. He earned his doctorate in demography from the University of Paris-V (Sorbonne). His book World Population Policies: Their Origin, Evolution, and Impact (Springer, 2012) received the 2012 Global Media Award of the Population Institute for best book on population. In March 2013, he was elected an Associate Member of the Belgian Academy of Sciences.

Bruno Masquelier is Professor of Demography at Louvain University (UCL), in Belgium. He holds a PhD in Demography from Louvain University and a Master degree in Sociology. Convinced that “counting everyone” is a first step towards “making everyone count”, he has specialized in the estimation of mortality in countries lacking full-fledged vital registration systems. He is currently involved in several research projects in Mali, Senegal, and Madagascar. Since 2015, he is also a member of the Technical Advisory Group of the UN Inter-Agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation (IGME).

Blessing Mberu is a Research Scientist and Head of Urbanization and Wellbeing Research Program at the African Population and Health Center (APHRC) in Nai- robi, Kenya. He obtained a PhD as well as an MA in Sociology with specialization in Demography from Brown University (USA) and an MSc from the University of 6

Ibadan (Nigeria). His research interests cover migration, urbanization, youth re- productive behavior and poverty in sub-Saharan Africa.

Dominique Meekers is Professor at the School of Public Health and Tropical Medicine at Tulane University. Trained as a sociologist and demographer, he has conducted research on marriage patterns, sexual risk behavior, and adolescent re- productive health in sub-Saharan Africa. He has also conducted extensive research on the impact of social marketing and health communication programs. He re- ceived his PhD and MA from the University of Pennsylvania.

Scott Moreland is a Senior Fellow at Palladium (formerly Futures Group) with over 40 years of experience in academia, the private sector and in international development assistance. He has specialized in computer simulation modeling for developing countries that link population with the economy and social sectors. Currently he serves as Futures Group’s Team Leader on the MEASURE Evalua- tion Project (based at UNC-Chapel Hill) and he provides modeling support for the Futures Group’s Health Policy Project. Scott Moreland holds a PhD in Economics from .

Tom A. Moultrie is Professor of Demography and Director of the Centre for Ac- tuarial Research (CARe) at the University of Cape Town, South Africa. His re- search interests cover both technical demography (he was principal investigator and lead editor for the team that produced Tools for Demographic Estimation for the IUSSP and UNFPA), as well as analytical work on African fertility transitions. He received a PhD in Demography from the London School of Hygiene and Trop- ical Medicine and an MSc in Development Studies from the London School of Economics.

Jotham Musinguzi is the Director of the Africa Regional Office of Partners in Population and Development (PPD) based in Kampala, Uganda. He is a Public Health and until February 2007 he was the Director of Uganda’s Popu- lation Secretariat. In 2013 he received the United Nations Population Award in recognition of his outstanding contribution to the implementation of the Interna- tional Conference on Population and Development (ICPD). Jotham Musinguzi is the Chairman of the Board of Directors of Population Services International (PSI) Uganda.

Gudrun Østby is a Senior Researcher at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and Associate Editor of the Journal of Peace Research. She holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Oslo, Norway. Her current research inter- ests include conflict-related gender-based violence, maternal health in post- conflict countries, education and conflict, horizontal inequalities and conflict; and urban violence.

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Muhammad Ali Pate is Adjunct Professor at the Duke Global Health Institute, USA. A medical doctor by training he had been appointed Minister of State for Health of the Federal Republic of Nigeria from 2011 to 2013. He has also served as a Human Development Sector Coordinator and Senior Health Specialist for the World Bank. His research interests include health systems development for better and equitable health outcomes, the role of the private sector in health, population and human capital development.

Ndola Prata is Associate Professor in Residence in Maternal and Child Health and Fred H. Bixby Endowed Chair in Population and Family Planning in the School of Public Health at the University of California, Berkeley. She is also the Director of the Bixby Center for Population, Health and Sustainability, a campus- wide multidisciplinary research group. She earned her medical degree from the University of Angola and an MSc in Medical Demography from the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Her current research is focused on sub- Saharan Africa with a special interest in family planning, abortion, safe mother- hood and maternal mortality.

Farhad Riahi is a Canadian doctor and management consultant and an Honorary Research Fellow at the Centre for Health Policy, Imperial College (London). He was a partner at McKinsey & Company, and Head of Healthcare Systems at No- vartis International. Farhad Riahi has worked extensively with ministries of health in developed and developing countries and with the World Health Organization (WHO) to improve clinical outcomes in priority disease areas by enabling greater use of evidence-based interventions, to strengthen the collaboration between clini- cians and managers, and to improve the overall performance of healthcare organi- zations.

Anatole Romaniuk is Professor Emeritus of Demography. He holds a PhD in Economics from Louvain University (Belgium) and a certificate in Demography from Princeton University. He served in the Congo as expert in population and di- rected the 1955/57 nationwide socio-demographic survey. From 1964 to 2014, he held senior positions in the Federal Bureau of Statistics in Canada and professorial positions at the Universities of Ottawa, Montreal, and Alberta. He received an Award from the Canadian Population Society in 2008 for his “contribution to Canadian demography and the discipline of population studies.”

Siri Aas Rustad is a Senior Researcher at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) as well as a lecturer at the Norwegian University of Life Science. She holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Trondheim, Norway. Her research interests include conflicts related to natural resources, post-conflict natu- ral resource management, extractive industries in fragile areas, sexual violence re- lated to natural resources and the geography of conflict.

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Nikola Sander is a Research Scholar at the Vienna Institute of Demography of the Austrian Academy of Sciences. She holds a PhD from the University of Queensland in Australia. A population geographer by training she is interested in quantitative studies of internal and international migration around the globe. Her research has focused on the spatial patterns of migration flows, reasons for mov- ing, and the effects of migration on regional and local population change in past, present and future.

Bruno Schoumaker is Professor of Demography at the Catholic University of Louvain (Belgium). He holds a PhD as well as an MA in Demography from the Catholic University of Louvain. His research interests include African demogra- phy, fertility changes, migration, and demographic and statistical analysis. He was involved in research projects on migration and on fertility in several sub-Saharan African countries, and participated in the MAFE project on international migration between Africa and Europe. His recent research on fertility has focused on meth- ods for analyzing birth history data and on data quality in demographic surveys.

David Shapiro is Professor of Economics, Demography, and Women’s Studies at the Pennsylvania State University. He received a BA in Economics and Political Science from the University of Michigan, and an MA as well as a PhD in Eco- nomics from Princeton University. His early research focused on women and youth in the United States labor market. Following a 1978-79 stint as a Fulbright professor at the University of Kinshasa in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, his research shifted focus to fertility in Kinshasa and more broadly, in sub-Saharan Africa.

Basile O. Tambashe is Professor of Demography at the University of Kinshasa. He holds a PhD in Demography from the Vrije Universiteit Brussel. His research focuses on the determinants of fertility in sub-Saharan Africa and on program evaluation. Basile Tambashe served as UNFPA Country Representative in the Central African Republic from 2004-09 and in Zimbabwe from 2009-14. From 1995-2003, he was Research Associate Professor at Tulane University and Chief of Party for the USAID-funded Operations Research component of the Family Health and AIDS in West and Central Africa Project.

Vincent Turbat is Assistant Professor at Georgetown University in the Depart- ment of International Health, and a freelance Consultant working for different agencies including the Population Reference Bureau. He holds a PhD in Econom- ics from the University of Aix-Marseille. A health economist by training he has more than 35 years of international experience in health financing, pharmaceuti- cals, health sector reform, health system strengthening, disease control, demo- graphic and HIV/AIDS projects. From 1991 to 2010 he worked for the World Bank in varying capacities. His current research focuses on the Demographic Div- idend. 9

Henrik Urdal is Research Professor at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and Editor-in-Chief of the international Journal of Peace Research. He holds a PhD in Political Science from the University of Oslo, Norway, and has worked as a Research Fellow with the International Security Program at Harvard Kennedy School (2011-2012). His research focuses primarily on the impact of population change, environmental change, climate change, ‘youth bulges’, and youth exclu- sion on armed conflict and political violence.

Feng Wang is Professor of Sociology at the University of California, Irvine as well as at Fudan University (China), and a non-resident Senior Fellow of the Brookings Institution (USA). He received his BA in Economics from Hebei Uni- versity (China) and a PhD in Sociology from the University of Michigan (USA). His research focuses on China’s social and demographic changes and on social in- equality. He served as a member of the Global Agenda Council on Population Growth of the World Economic Forum and in the Expert Group for the United Na- tions Population Division.

Alan Whiteside is CIGI Chair in Global Health at the Balsillie School of Interna- tional Affairs and Wilfrid Laurier University, Canada. He obtained a MA in De- velopment Economics from the University of East Anglia (UK) and a D.Econ from the University of Natal (South Africa). His main research interest is the eco- nomic and development impact of health and HIV/AIDS. Currently, he is part of the “2030+ group” investigating relationships between health, poverty, climate change and development in the global south. He was awarded an OBE in 2015 for services to health and AIDS.

Nick Zebryk is a graduate of Laurier’s Political Science program and completed his Masters in International Public Policy at the Balsillie School of International Affairs. Upon graduation, Nick became a Research Associate for Professor Alan Whiteside, focusing on health policy and HIV/AIDS. Nick is currently researching the developmental and policy implications of disease outbreaks.

Thomas Zeltner is Professor of Public Health at the University of Berne, Visiting Scientist at the Harvard School of Public Health (Boston) and chairs the Advisory Board of the Global Health Programme at the Graduate Institute (Geneva). A medical doctor and lawyer by training, he has been the Secretary of Health of Switzerland and Director-General of the Swiss National Health Authority (1991- 2009). He has a long history of collaboration with the World Health Organization, most recently as Special Envoy of the Director General (2012-14). He is member of the Editorial Board of the Journal Health Systems and Reform.

Heinz Zimmermann is Professor of Finance at the University of Basel, Switzer- land, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Zentrum (WWZ). His research interests in- 10 clude empirical asset pricing and derivative markets. Among his more recent re- search are studies on the history of option markets. Prior to his current position, from 1989 to 2001, he was a Professor of Financial Economics at the University of St. Gallen, Switzerland. He earned his PhD at the University of Bern after stud- ies in Bern and Rochester N.Y.

Anna Zuber is a Research Fellow at the World Demographic and Ageing Forum, with a special focus on Africa. She holds a PhD in Political Philosophy from Zur- ich University and a MA in Political and Economic Philosophy from Bern Univer- sity. She is a lecturer in Political Philosophy and Business Ethics at the University of Fribourg and the University of Applied Science in Bern, Switzerland. Her re- search interests include theories of democracy, human rights and questions of jus- tice in economic and financial systems.