Tropical Horticulture: Lecture 4
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January — March Year 2017
VOL 2 ISSUE 01 JANUARY — MARCH YEAR 2017 2016/17 DRY SEASON SUMMARY Dominica's dry season officially runs from December to May each year. The 2016 wet season, which prolonged into December resulting in a delay to the start of the 2016/17 dry season, was recorded as a normal season as it relates to rainfall amounts. A weak La Niña (the cooling of the Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean) was observed towards the end of 2016 and a transition to ENSO– neutral is expected during the period January to March 2017. La Niña tends to shift rainfall chances for January-February-March 2017 to above to normal in the southern-most is- lands of the Caribbean. With this occurrence, above to normal rainfall amounts are expected, resulting in less solar radiation and more cooling by clouds and more rainfall than last year. Temperatures are also expected to be closer to normal. IN THIS ISSUE Pg.1 2016/17 Dry-Season Dominica’s Climate Pg.2 Looking back at 2016 Pg.3 2016 Hurricane Season Looking ahead Pg.4 Seasonal Forecast Chart 1. Mid-December ENSO prediction plume DOMINICA’S CLIMATE Rainfall received during the dry season are usually generated by the annual migration of the North Atlantic Subtropical High, low level clouds which move with the easterly trade winds, southward dipping frontal boundaries and trough sys- tems. The dry season runs from December to May when the seas are cooler and thunderstorms and rainfall activity are relatively low. On average approximately 40% of the annual rainfall is recorded in elevated and eastern areas and ap- proximately 25% along the western coast. -
Köppen Signatures” of Fossil Plant Assemblages for Effective Heat Transport of Gulf Stream to Subarctic North Atlantic During Miocene Cooling
Biogeosciences, 10, 7927–7942, 2013 Open Access www.biogeosciences.net/10/7927/2013/ doi:10.5194/bg-10-7927-2013 Biogeosciences © Author(s) 2013. CC Attribution 3.0 License. Evidence from “Köppen signatures” of fossil plant assemblages for effective heat transport of Gulf Stream to subarctic North Atlantic during Miocene cooling T. Denk1, G. W. Grimm1, F. Grímsson2, and R. Zetter2 1Swedish Museum of Natural History, Department of Palaeobiology, Box 50007, 10405 Stockholm, Sweden 2University of Vienna, Department of Palaeontology, Althanstrasse 14, 1090 Vienna, Austria Correspondence to: T. Denk ([email protected]) Received: 8 July 2013 – Published in Biogeosciences Discuss.: 15 August 2013 Revised: 29 October 2013 – Accepted: 2 November 2013 – Published: 6 December 2013 Abstract. Shallowing of the Panama Sill and the closure 1 Introduction of the Central American Seaway initiated the modern Loop Current–Gulf Stream circulation pattern during the Miocene, The Mid-Miocene Climatic Optimum (MMCO) at 17–15 but no direct evidence has yet been provided for effec- million years (Myr) was the last phase of markedly warm cli- tive heat transport to the northern North Atlantic during mate in the Cenozoic (Zachos et al., 2001). The MMCO was that time. Climatic signals from 11 precisely dated plant- followed by the Mid-Miocene Climate Transition (MMCT) bearing sedimentary rock formations in Iceland, spanning at 14.2–13.8 Myr correlated with the growth of the East 15–0.8 million years (Myr), resolve the impacts of the devel- Antarctic Ice Sheet (Shevenell et al., 2004). In the Northern oping Miocene global thermohaline circulation on terrestrial Hemisphere this cooling is reflected by continuous sea ice in vegetation in the subarctic North Atlantic region. -
Link Between the Double-Intertropical Convergence Zone Problem and Cloud Biases Over the Southern Ocean
Link between the double-Intertropical Convergence Zone problem and cloud biases over the Southern Ocean Yen-Ting Hwang1 and Dargan M. W. Frierson Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195-1640 Edited by Mark H. Thiemens, University of California at San Diego, La Jolla, CA, and approved February 15, 2013 (received for review August 2, 2012) The double-Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) problem, in which climate models show that the bias can be reduced by changing excessive precipitation is produced in the Southern Hemisphere aspects of the convection scheme (e.g., refs. 7–9) or changing the tropics, which resembles a Southern Hemisphere counterpart to the surface wind stress formulation (e.g., ref. 10). Given the complex strong Northern Hemisphere ITCZ, is perhaps the most significant feedback processes in the tropics, it is challenging to understand and most persistent bias of global climate models. In this study, we the mechanisms by which the sensitivity experiments listed above look to the extratropics for possible causes of the double-ITCZ improve tropical precipitation. problem by performing a global energetic analysis with historical Recent work in general circulation theory has suggested that simulations from a suite of global climate models and comparing one should not only look within the tropics for features that affect with satellite observations of the Earth’s energy budget. Our results tropical precipitation. A set of idealized experiments showed that show that models with more energy flux into the Southern heating a global climate model exclusively in the extratropics can Hemisphere atmosphere (at the top of the atmosphere and at the lead to tropical rainfall shifts from one side of the tropics to the surface) tend to have a stronger double-ITCZ bias, consistent with other (11). -
Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Precipitation Around Reclaimed Islands in the South China Sea
water Article Contribution of Tropical Cyclones to Precipitation around Reclaimed Islands in the South China Sea Dongxu Yao 1,2, Xianfang Song 1,2,*, Lihu Yang 1,2,* and Ying Ma 1 1 Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; [email protected] (D.Y.); [email protected] (Y.M.) 2 Sino-Danish College, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China * Correspondence: [email protected] (X.S.); [email protected] (L.Y.); Tel.: +86-010-6488-9849 (X.S.); +86-010-6488-8266 (L.Y.) Received: 15 September 2020; Accepted: 2 November 2020; Published: 5 November 2020 Abstract: Tropical cyclones (TCs) play an important role in the precipitation of tropical oceans and islands. The temporal and spatial characteristics of precipitation have become more complex in recent years with climate change. Global warming tips the original water and energy balance in oceans and atmosphere, giving rise to extreme precipitation events. In this study, the monthly precipitation ratio method, spatial analysis, and correlation analysis were employed to detect variations in precipitation in the South China Sea (SCS). The results showed that the contribution of TCs was 5.9% to 10.1% in the rainy season and 7.9% to 16.8% in the dry season. The seven islands have the same annual variations in the precipitation contributed by TCs. An 800 km radius of interest was better for representing the contribution of TC-derived precipitation than a 500 km conventional radius around reclaimed islands in the SCS. -
General Atmospheric Circulation of the Tropics
General Atmospheric Circulation of the Tropics By Herbert Riehl Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado CURRENT PROBLEMS IN RESEi\RCII The General Atmospheric Circulation of the Tropics by Herbert Riehl Colorado State University In science. ,ve are always interested in a well-ordered simple package whenever such a package appears to be in the offing. There has been widespread belief that the general circulation of the tropics meets these requirements. The weather observations which have been gathered in increasing volume in the upper air over the tropics during the last 15 years" ho\vever, have thrown doubt on the validity of such a simple view. They appear to call for a more complex ap proach to an ultimate understanding of the tropical atmospheric ma chineryand of the interaction between tropical and temperate latitudes. The question no\v is: must we really accept an increased order of difficulty, or can the evidence of the new observations be reconciled with the older approach? If so, chances at arriving at a definite solu tion of the tropical general circulation problem within the next decade would be greatly enhanced.. In one respect the story has not changed; the tropics are a heat source for the atmosphere of higher latitudes. This fact, in broad terms. has been appreciated for centuries. Further, circumnaviga tion of the oceans by sailing vessels led to recognition of a second fact; the tropics also are the source of momentum for the westerly winds prevalent especially in temperate latitudes. Essentially half. of the globe has winds from east at the surface (fig. -
ESSENTIALS of METEOROLOGY (7Th Ed.) GLOSSARY
ESSENTIALS OF METEOROLOGY (7th ed.) GLOSSARY Chapter 1 Aerosols Tiny suspended solid particles (dust, smoke, etc.) or liquid droplets that enter the atmosphere from either natural or human (anthropogenic) sources, such as the burning of fossil fuels. Sulfur-containing fossil fuels, such as coal, produce sulfate aerosols. Air density The ratio of the mass of a substance to the volume occupied by it. Air density is usually expressed as g/cm3 or kg/m3. Also See Density. Air pressure The pressure exerted by the mass of air above a given point, usually expressed in millibars (mb), inches of (atmospheric mercury (Hg) or in hectopascals (hPa). pressure) Atmosphere The envelope of gases that surround a planet and are held to it by the planet's gravitational attraction. The earth's atmosphere is mainly nitrogen and oxygen. Carbon dioxide (CO2) A colorless, odorless gas whose concentration is about 0.039 percent (390 ppm) in a volume of air near sea level. It is a selective absorber of infrared radiation and, consequently, it is important in the earth's atmospheric greenhouse effect. Solid CO2 is called dry ice. Climate The accumulation of daily and seasonal weather events over a long period of time. Front The transition zone between two distinct air masses. Hurricane A tropical cyclone having winds in excess of 64 knots (74 mi/hr). Ionosphere An electrified region of the upper atmosphere where fairly large concentrations of ions and free electrons exist. Lapse rate The rate at which an atmospheric variable (usually temperature) decreases with height. (See Environmental lapse rate.) Mesosphere The atmospheric layer between the stratosphere and the thermosphere. -
Description of the Ecoregions of the United States
(iii) ~ Agrl~:::~~;~":,c ullur. Description of the ~:::;. Ecoregions of the ==-'Number 1391 United States •• .~ • /..';;\:?;;.. \ United State. (;lAn) Department of Description of the .~ Agriculture Forest Ecoregions of the Service October United States 1980 Compiled by Robert G. Bailey Formerly Regional geographer, Intermountain Region; currently geographer, Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station Prepared in cooperation with U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and originally published as an unnumbered publication by the Intermountain Region, USDA Forest Service, Ogden, Utah In April 1979, the Agency leaders of the Bureau of Land Manage ment, Forest Service, Fish and Wildlife Service, Geological Survey, and Soil Conservation Service endorsed the concept of a national classification system developed by the Resources Evaluation Tech niques Program at the Rocky Mountain Forest and Range Experiment Station, to be used for renewable resources evaluation. The classifica tion system consists of four components (vegetation, soil, landform, and water), a proposed procedure for integrating the components into ecological response units, and a programmed procedure for integrating the ecological response units into ecosystem associations. The classification system described here is the result of literature synthesis and limited field testing and evaluation. It presents one procedure for defining, describing, and displaying ecosystems with respect to geographical distribution. The system and others are undergoing rigorous evaluation to determine the most appropriate procedure for defining and describing ecosystem associations. Bailey, Robert G. 1980. Description of the ecoregions of the United States. U. S. Department of Agriculture, Miscellaneous Publication No. 1391, 77 pp. This publication briefly describes and illustrates the Nation's ecosystem regions as shown in the 1976 map, "Ecoregions of the United States." A copy of this map, described in the Introduction, can be found between the last page and the back cover of this publication. -
The Foreign Military Presence in the Horn of Africa Region
SIPRI Background Paper April 2019 THE FOREIGN MILITARY SUMMARY w The Horn of Africa is PRESENCE IN THE HORN OF undergoing far-reaching changes in its external security AFRICA REGION environment. A wide variety of international security actors— from Europe, the United States, neil melvin the Middle East, the Gulf, and Asia—are currently operating I. Introduction in the region. As a result, the Horn of Africa has experienced The Horn of Africa region has experienced a substantial increase in the a proliferation of foreign number and size of foreign military deployments since 2001, especially in the military bases and a build-up of 1 past decade (see annexes 1 and 2 for an overview). A wide range of regional naval forces. The external and international security actors are currently operating in the Horn and the militarization of the Horn poses foreign military installations include land-based facilities (e.g. bases, ports, major questions for the future airstrips, training camps, semi-permanent facilities and logistics hubs) and security and stability of the naval forces on permanent or regular deployment.2 The most visible aspect region. of this presence is the proliferation of military facilities in littoral areas along This SIPRI Background the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa.3 However, there has also been a build-up Paper is the first of three papers of naval forces, notably around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, at the entrance to devoted to the new external the Red Sea and in the Gulf of Aden. security politics of the Horn of This SIPRI Background Paper maps the foreign military presence in the Africa. -
Significant Tornado Drought”
FLORIDA’S UNPRECEDENTED DRY SEASON “SIGNIFICANT TORNADO DROUGHT” Bart Hagemeyer, CCM National Weather Service Forecast Office Melbourne, Florida 1. INTRODUCTION The author has been researching Florida tornadoes since 1989 and documented every known tornado death in Florida history; totaling 207 since the first recorded death in 1882. Significant tornadoes, those of Enhanced Fujita Scale (EF) 2 and greater (WSEC, 2006), are most likely to cause fatalities and serious injuries. They typically occur in Florida under two distinct synoptic scenarios (Hagemeyer, 1997): 1) in the warm sector of extratropical cyclones (ET) associated with a strong jet stream during the dry season (November through April) when strong shear and instability combine to produce supercell thunderstorms; and 2) in outer rainbands in the right front quadrant of tropical or hybrid cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico or northwest Caribbean Sea, during the hurricane season, where very strong low-level shear and convergence can produce rotating storms and at times supercell thunderstorms. Tornadoes up to EF4 and EF3 strength have occurred in the extratropical and tropical scenarios respectively. 160 tornado deaths have been associated with extratropical cyclones and 38 deaths with tropical/hybrid cyclones. Outside of these two organized tropical and extratropical cyclone scenarios, significant tornadoes and tornado deaths in Florida are extremely rare. During the wet season from May to October only 9 other tornado deaths have occurred in the history of Florida that were not associated with a tropical/hybrid system. The fatalities with these rare, weaker tornado deaths were typically a result of people caught in highly vulnerable locations such as small boats and campers. -
Lightning Fires in a Brazilian Savanna National Park: Rethinking Management Strategies
DOI: 10.1007/s002670010124 Lightning Fires in a Brazilian Savanna National Park: Rethinking Management Strategies MA´ RIO BARROSO RAMOS-NETO lightning fires started in the open vegetation (wet field or VAˆ NIA REGINA PIVELLO* grassy savanna) at a flat plateau, an area that showed signifi- Departamento de Ecologia, Instituto de Biocieˆ ncias cantly higher fire incidence. On average, winter fires burned Universidade de Sa˜ o Paulo larger areas and spread more quickly, compared to lightning Rua do Mata˜o fires, and fire suppression was necessary to extinguish them. Travessa 14, Sa˜ o Paulo, S.P., Brazil 05508-900 Most lightning fires were patchy and extinguished primarily by rain. Lightning fires in the wet season, previously considered ABSTRACT / Fire occurrences and their sources were moni- unimportant episodes, were shown to be very frequent and tored in Emas National Park, Brazil (17°49Ј–18°28ЈS; 52°39Ј– probably represent the natural fire pattern in the region. Light- 53°10ЈW) from June 1995 to May 1999. The extent of burned ning fires should be regarded as ecologically beneficial, as area and weather conditions were registered. Forty-five fires they create natural barriers to the spread of winter fires. The were recorded and mapped on a GIS during this study. Four present fire management in the park is based on the burning fires occurred in the dry winter season (June–August; 7,942 of preventive firebreaks in the dry season and exclusion of any ha burned), all caused by humans; 10 fires occurred in the other fire. This policy does not take advantage of the beneficial seasonally transitional months (May and September) (33,386 effects of the natural fire regime and may in fact reduce biodi- ha burned); 31 fires occurred in the wet season, of which 30 versity. -
Extreme Precipitation in the Tropics Is Closely Associated with Long-Lived Convective Systems ✉ Rémy Roca 1 & Thomas Fiolleau 1
ARTICLE https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00015-4 OPEN Extreme precipitation in the tropics is closely associated with long-lived convective systems ✉ Rémy Roca 1 & Thomas Fiolleau 1 Water and energy cycles are linked to global warming through the water vapor feedback and heavy precipitation events are expected to intensify as the climate warms. For the mid- latitudes, extreme precipitation theory has been successful in explaining the observations, 1234567890():,; however, studies of responses in the tropics have diverged. Here we present an analysis of satellite-derived observations of daily accumulated precipitation and of the characteristics of convective systems throughout the tropics to investigate the relationship between the organization of mesoscale convective systems and extreme precipitation in the tropics. We find that 40% of the days with more than 250 mm precipitation over land are associated with convective systems that last more than 24 hours, although those systems only represent 5% of mesoscale convective systems overall. We conclude that long-lived mesoscale convective systems that are well organized contribute disproportionally to extreme tropical precipitation. 1 Laboratoire d’Études en Géophysique et Océanographie Spatiales (Université de Toulouse III, CNRS, CNES, IRD), Toulouse, France. ✉ email: [email protected] COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT | (2020) 1:18 | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00015-4 | www.nature.com/commsenv 1 ARTICLE COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-020-00015-4 ater and energy cycles are intimately linked to global The characteristics of extreme precipitating storms in the tro- Wwarming through the water vapor feedback1. Specifi- pics remain mostly qualitative, lacking in key aspects of the life cally, as temperature increases, the concentration of cycle of organized convection. -
Egypt Vs. Algeria – the Nasty Politics of Football
Centro de Estudios y Documentación InternacionalesCentro de Barcelona opiniónCIDOB EGYPT VS. ALGERIA – THE NASTY 52 POLITICS OF FOOTBALL DECEMBER 2009 Francis Ghilès Senior Researcher, CIDOB n Thursday 12th November the bus ferrying the Algerian national football team from Cairo airport to the hotel was stoned by Egyptians – the police did not intervene before a number of players were seriously wounded, Osome even needed stitches. The Pharaohs won 2-0 against the Fennecs (desert fox) thus forcing a play- off which was to be played in the capital of Sudan, Khartoum, on 18th November. The outcome of that match would decide which team would qualify to represent Africa for the finals of the World Cup due in South Africa next year. Ugly incidents occurred between supporters of both teams after the first match which spread to three countries in the run up to the second match. Reckless reporting fanned by Egyptian and Algerian political leaders resulted in large scale demonstrations in Algiers when the Algerian popular newspaper Chourouk reported one Algerian fan had died – it later turned out he had fainted. President Mubarak’s sons joined the fray: on Egyptian television they attacked Algerians for being terrorists. Blogs meanwhile went into overdrive, Algerian bloggers promising to avenge the blood of their brother “killed” in Cairo, Egyp- tians sneering at Algerians for having been colonised by the French for 132 years. The Algerian authorities meanwhile slapped a $600m tax bill on Orascom, the Egyptian company which has a high profile in Algeria and whose headquarters were thrashed by crowds of Algerian supporters.