WinBUGS User Manual Version 1.4, January 2003
David Spiegelhalter1 Andrew Thomas2 Nicky Best2 Dave Lunn2
1 MRC Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Public Health, Robinson Way, Cambridge CB2 2SR, UK
2 Department of Epidemiology & Public Health, Imperial College School of Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK
e-mail: [email protected] [general] [email protected] [technical]
internet: http://www.mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk/bugs
Permission and Disclaimer please click here to read the legal bit
More informally, potential users are reminded to be extremely careful if using this program for serious statistical analysis. We have tested the program on quite a wide set of examples, but be particularly careful with types of model that are currently not featured. If there is a problem, WinBUGS might just crash, which is not very good, but it might well carry on and produce answers that are wrong, which is even worse. Please let us know of any successes or failures.
Beware: MCMC sampling can be dangerous! Contents
Introduction Ł
This manual Advice for new users MCMC methods How WinBUGS syntax differs from that of ClassicBUGS Changes from WinBUGS 1.3