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page President Bush nominates Mark 4 Myers for top USGS spot Vol. 11, No. 19 • www.PetroleumNews.com A weekly oil & gas newspaper based in Anchorage, Alaska Week of May 7, 2006 • $1.50 ● JUNEAU Petroleum Directory goes quarterly House tackles gas, credit Van Meurs says 25% credit too risky; Econ One questions 2/3 gas exclusion By KRISTEN NELSON Petroleum News Contract release May 10 ouse Finance began hear- Timing of passage of the petroleum profits ings on the Senate’s ver- tax is uncertain, but Gov. Frank Murkowski con- H sion of the production firmed May 4 that he plans to release the gas line profits tax at the end of PATRICK JUDY fiscal contract May 10. April, then stepped away from He said he expects the Legislature to finish hearings on PPT to work on work on the PPT before the end of the regular budget issues. The committee session May 9. If that doesn’t happen the PPT was scheduled to take up work would be included in the call for a special ses- on the PPT again May 4, just as sion. Whether or not the PPT is completed in the this issue of Petroleum News regular session, Murkowski said, his intention is PEDRO VAN MEURS was going to press. to release the gas line contract on May 10. When consultants discussed the Senate CS for The governor said April 28 that he would Senate Bill 305 April 29, House Finance heard con- see CONTRACT page 26 see CREDITS page 24 ● ANCHORAGE Petroleum News' Petroleum Directory for Alaska and northern Canada Has oil production peaked? has switched from a monthly to a quarterly schedule; and has changed from a tabloid to a magazine format. The first edition (second quarter) is inserted in this issue of Petroleum News. Herrera: Statistics point to peak production; prices likely to go higher By ALAN BAILEY striking oil with a wildcat well, Herrera was TransCanada, Enbridge back at Petroleum News trained to be an optimist about finding oil. it re. Alaska gas and oil sands So, anticipating declining production really t’s well known that U.S. oil production goes against the grain with him. From their head office towers, which has been declining for many years. And, “Yet here I am,” Herrera said. “I find sit across the street from each other in I in Alaska, oil production is well past its myself a very strong proponent of the prob- downtown Calgary, TransCanada and peak. But has worldwide oil production lems associated with world peak oil, which Enbridge have resumed sniping at each peaked? And what impact might worldwide in most people’s minds is a negative posi- other over their rival plans to get Alaska oil production capacity have on already tion to take.” natural gas and Alberta oil sands to mar- soaring oil prices? ROGER HERRERA Herrera sees the statistics of oil field dis- ket. On May 1 Petroleum News discussed covery and production as providing the After a prolonged quiet period, the tit- these topics with Alaska oil industry consultant Roger pointers towards peak production. for-tat exchanges have resumed, with Herrera. “If you look at the sizes of the oil fields that are TransCanada Chief Executive Officer TransCanada CEO “I really have to believe that the world is very close added every year, they are smaller and smaller and Hal Kvisle saying his company is best Hal Kvisle to, if not past, peak oil,” Herrera said. we’re not replacing the oil that we’re using,” he said. placed to carry North Slope gas through Coming from a background as an oil geologist in Canada and to open up new links from the days when there might be a one in 20 chance of see PRODUCTION page 27 the oil sands to the U.S. Midwest. ● CANADA His counterpart Pat Daniel begs to dif- PATRICK JUDY fer, especially on the oil sands front, arguing Enbridge has “many advantages, the prime one being significantly lower Mackenzie in crunch tolls.” Kvisle said Canada’s largest gas Imperial not ready to speculate on reviving over-the-top option for Arctic gas pipeline company is best placed to get Enbridge CEO Pat By GARY PARK North Slope production to the Lower 48 Daniel and, just for good measure, put For Petroleum News TransCanada in the driver’s seat in the race to the Midwest. ost pressures have not yet reached breaking see RIVALS page 26 point with the Mackenzie Gas Project, but could C make the venture uneconomic, or force a rethinking of design and construction, Imperial BREAKING NEWS Oil officials said. Company chairman Tim Hearn said “we’re not 12 Support builds for offshore: Comments to MMS favor close to pulling the plug,” but if costs get too high “we will have to reassess what we can do.” opening more OCS; eastern Gulf of most interest to industry “We can’t push billions beyond C$7.5 billion or I think we’ll have some pretty difficult decisions to 15 Development could slip: Gas prices, project expense, poli- make,” he said. tics could delay startup of Arctic gas field in Barents Sea The answers could be known later this year after the latest review of the numbers, which stand at C$7 17 The bigger, the better: Long-anticipated consolidation takes billion to develop the Mackenzie Delta’s three anchor fields and C$500 million for additional wells to sus- off in trust world; race to grow results in four deals totaling C$5.7 billion see CRUNCH page 28 2 PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF MAY 7, 2006 contents Petroleum News A weekly oil & gas newspaper based in Anchorage, Alaska ON THE COVER FINANCE & ECONOMY House tackles gas, credit 7 Beating the budget blues in Canada Van Meurs says 25% credit too risky; 7 EnCana eyes standalone oil sands unit Econ One questions 2/3 gas exclusion 10 XTO Energy adds price hedges on gas, oil Contract release May 10 17 The bigger they are the better Has oil production peaked? 18 Oil company earnings chart 19 Felmy: Dispelling oil price myths Herrera: Statistics point to peak production; prices likely to go higher 21 Soaring energy prices fuel takeovers Mackenzie in crunch GOVERNMENT Imperial not ready to speculate on reviving 4 Bush nominates Myers for top USGS slot over-the-top option for Arctic gas 6 AOGCC public member bill on the shelf? TransCanada, Enbridge 9 Bolivia nationalizes natural gas industry back at it re. Alaska 9 Amended NPR-A grant program bill moves gas and oil sands 10 NWT minister pitches prospects in Texas 20 House approves oil price-gouging fine ENVIRONMENT & SAFETY 20 Congressional Research Service releases ANWR report 22 Group wants dispersants banned 23 Kempthorne backed sale of federal lands as U.S. Senator EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION LAND & LEASING 4 Akita to build new Arctic rig 23 Bush pushes ANWR drilling; expected to lift Bristol Bay ban 8 Apache drills 344 wells in first quarter NATURAL GAS 8 Precision pushes into U.S. with 11 rigs 13 Conditional ROW for spur expected soon 10 Canadian drillers brush off gas prices ANGDA working on business plan, outreach Rig utilization reaches 71% in first quarter according to entities that might want North Slope gas to drillers, 81% by FirstEnergy Capital count; 13 ANGDA picks Northern Economics to write plan ’06 completion target is 26,725 22 Senate Resources gets Pt. Thomson update 12 Support builds for U.S. offshore drilling 22 Alaska may partially subsidize Pt. Thomson development 14 Oooguruk photo feature from Judy Patrick 15 Development date could slip to 2020 PIPELINES & DOWNSTREAM 16 Nova Scotia says offshore explorers need 6 Enstar raises gas hookup fee by 4,000% to go deeper if they want results 8 Environmentalists score in Russia 17 Katrina, Rita destroyed 113 platforms 11 Flint Hills seeks help from Legislature 18 ANS oil production bounces back in April 12 Alyeska wins two API pipeline awards PETROLEUM NEWS • WEEK OF MAY 7, 2006 3 Alaska - Mackenzie Rig Report Rig Owner/Rig Type Rig No. Rig Location/Activity Operator or Status The Alaska - Mackenzie Rig Report as of May 4, 2006. Active drilling companies only listed. Alaska Rig Status TD = rigs equipped with top drive units WO = workover operations CT = coiled tubing operation SCR = electric rig North Slope - Onshore Doyon Drilling This rig report was prepared by Alan Bailey Dreco 1250 UE 14 (SCR/TD) Workovers DS9-35 BP Dreco 1000 UE 16 (SCR) Workover DS11-06 BP Dreco 1000 UE 16 (SCR) Workover Endicott Well 1-05/020 BP Dreco D2000 UEBD 19 (SCR/TD) Alpine CD2-404 ConocoPhillips OIME 2000 141 (SCR/TD) Kuparuk 1J-184 ConocoPhillips TSM 7000 Arctic Fox #1 Stacked in Yard Pioneer Natural Resources Nabors Alaska Drilling Trans-ocean rig CDR-1 (CT) Stacked, Prudhoe Bay Available PATRICK JUDY Dreco 1000 UE 2-ES (SCR) Prudhoe Bay DS 01-04A BP Mid-Continental U36A 3-S Prudhoe Bay DS 15-06 ConocoPhillips Oilwell 700 E 4-ES (SCR) Prudhoe Bay NGI-08 BP Dreco 1000 UE 7-ES (SCR/TD) C-22A BP Dreco 1000 UE 9-ES (SCR/TD) L-122 BP Oilwell 2000 Hercules 14-E (SCR) AKLAQ2 FEX Oilwell 2000 Hercules 16-E (SCR/TD) Stacked, Prudhoe Bay Available Oilwell 2000 17-E (SCR/TD) Stacked, Point McIntyre Available Emsco Electro-hoist -2 18-E (SCR) Stacked, Deadhorse Available OIME 1000 19-E (SCR) Stacked, Deadhorse Available Emsco Electro-hoist Varco TDS3 22-E (SCR/TD) Stacked, Milne Point Available Emsco Electro-hoist 28-E (SCR) Stacked, Deadhorse Available OIME 2000 245-E Stacked, Kuparuk Available Emsco Electro-hoist Canrig 1050E 27-E (SCR-TD) Prudhoe Bay AGI-07A BP Nordic Calista Services Superior 700 UE 1 (SCR/CTD) Niakuk 14A BP Superior 700 UE 2 (SCR/CTD) S-103 BP Ideco 900 3 (SCR/TD) 3S-23A ConocoPhillips North Slope - Offshore Nabors Alaska Drilling Oilwell 2000 33-E NorthStar NS-11 BP Cook Inlet Basin – Onshore Aurora Well Service Franks 300 Srs.
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