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Regional Statistical Profile – Greater Shepparton, 2018

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Regional Statistical Profile – Greater Shepparton, 2018 Regional Statistical Profile – Greater Shepparton, 2018 (Including history from 1997 and regional comparisons) Prepared for the SIR ANDREW AND LADY FAIRLEY FOUNDATION Prepared by the National Institute of Economic and Industry Research (NIEIR) ABN: 72 006 234 626 Lower Ground, Unit 1, 663 Victoria Street, Abbotsford, Victoria, 3067 Telephone: (03) 9488 8444; Facsimile: (03) 9482 3262 Email: [email protected] Revised, January 2019 IAN322-Shepparton-revised 240119/Shepparton/2019 While the National Institute endeavours to provide reliable forecasts and believes the material is accurate it will not be liable for any claim by any party acting on such information. Contents Page no. 1. Introduction 1 2. History and geography 3 3. Population growth 5 4. Greater Shepparton: Its parts and its peers 7 5. Demography 10 6. Migration and ethnic composition 16 7. The economic base of Greater Shepparton 23 8. Shepparton’s economic performance: Value added 27 9. Shepparton’s economic performance: Productivity 32 10. Shepparton’s economic performance: Employment and hours worked 34 11. Shepparton’s economic performance: Income from work 46 12. Property income and transfers 48 13. Socio-economic status 52 14. Transport 58 15. Housing 59 16. Education 61 Appendix A: The implications of migration for the evaluation of assistance programs 69 A.1 The outcomes for the initial aged 0-4 population who were always in a region who stay in a region 69 A.2 Population inflows 69 A.3 Younger age population dynamics: Comparison with Ballarat and Bendigo 70 Appendix B: Detailed statistical comparisons 73 List of tables Page no. 3.1 Average annual rate of population growth 5 5.1 Greater Shepparton – residents by residential status in a non-private dwelling 10 5.2 Age structure of the population by residential location 11 5.3 Greater Shepparton – age distribution by suburb 12 5.4 Rates of population growth, 2011-16, by residential location and age group 13 5.5 Age structure of the population – Shepparton and comparison areas 13 5.6 Percentage of parents of dependent children to population aged 15-54 – Shepparton and Victoria, 2016 14 5.7 Distribution of residents by household composition 14 5.8 Households by family composition 15 6.1 Population in 2016 by place of usual residence five years earlier – Shepparton and comparison regions 16 6.2(a) Greater Shepparton and other locations – residents in 2011 by location in 2016 17 6.2(b) Greater Shepparton and other locations – residents in 2016 by location in 2011 17 6.3 Population by birthplace, 2016 20 6.4 Birthplace of Greater Shepparton residents 21 6.5 Indigenous population, 2016 22 6.6 Greater Shepparton – Indigenous status 22 7.1(a) Export share in total sales – Greater Shepparton 24 7.2 Exports from Greater Shepparton by industry, 1997 and 2018 25 7.3 Exports from Greater Shepparton by industry (percentages and rate of growth) 26 8.1 Employment by industry – Greater Shepparton and Victoria 27 8.2 Distribution of employment by industry – Greater Shepparton and Victoria 28 8.3 Employed persons by broad occupation – Greater Shepparton and Victoria 28 8.4 Distribution of employed persons by broad occupation – Greater Shepparton and Victoria 28 8.5(a) Value added per capita of working age population – Greater Shepparton 29 8.6 Structure of Greater Shepparton industry – selected indicators 31 9.1(a) Productivity – value added per hour worked – Greater Shepparton 33 10.1(a) Workplace employment per capita of working age population – Greater Shepparton 35 10.2(a) Resident employment per capita of working age population – Greater Shepparton 36 10.3(a) Workplace hours worked per capita of working age population – Greater Shepparton 36 10.4(a) Resident hours worked per capita of working age population – Greater Shepparton 37 10.5 Jobholding rates of residents – all ages, and rate of growth of resident employment – 2011-16 38 10.6(a) Jobholders as a percentage of residents of workforce age, non-indigenous and indigenous 39 10.6(b) Increase in jobholding rates 2011-16, by indigenous status 39 List of tables (cont.) Page no. 10.7(a) Jobholding rates of residents aged 15-19 40 10.7(b) Rates of growth of jobholding residents aged 15-19, 2011-16 40 10.8(a) Jobholding rates of residents aged 20-24 41 10.8(b) Rates of growth of jobholding residents aged 20-24, 2011-16 41 10.9(a) Jobholding rates of residents aged 25-54 42 10.9(b) Rates of growth of jobholding residents aged 25-54, 2011-16 42 10.10(a) Jobholding rates of residents aged 55-64 43 10.10(b) Rates of growth of jobholding residents aged 55-64, 2011-16 44 10.11 Residents aged 15 to 64 years by gender and employment status 45 11.1(a) Workplace income from work – Greater Shepparton 46 11.2(a) Resident income from work – Greater Shepparton 47 12.1(a) Total wage incomes – 1997, 2016 and 2018 – Shepparton and comparison LGAs 48 12.1(b) Total on-market private income – 1997, 2016 and 2018 – Shepparton and comparison LGAs 49 12.1(c) Private income plus social security benefits, less income tax, superannuation contributions and interest – 197, 2016 and 2018 – Shepparton and comparison LGAs 50 12.1(d) ‘Disposable income’ including imputed rent of owner-occupied dwellings – 1997, 2016 and 2018 – Shepparton and comparison LGAs 50 12.2 Sources of income Greater Shepparton, Victoria and Australia, 2016 51 13.1(a) Growth in median household income – 2011-2016 53 13.1(b) Proportion of households with low equivalised incomes, 2011 and 2016 55 13.2 Percentage of households with equivalised incomes less than $500 per week 56 13.3 Internet access to occupied private dwellings 2016 56 13.4 Greater Shepparton – Dependent children in low income households 56 13.5 Crime recorded incidents – Greater Shepparton 57 15.1 Dwellings by tenure, 2011 and 2016 59 15.2 Greater Shepparton – Tenure of occupied private dwellings 60 16.1 Greater Shepparton – Highest educational qualification of residents aged 15-64 61 16.2 Greater Shepparton – School attainment of residents aged 15-64 62 16.3 Greater Shepparton – Type of educational institution attended, ages 3 to 5 years 62 16.4 Shepparton SA4 – Equivalised household income and participation in pre-school 63 16.5 Australian Early Development Census: Early education of children that attended non-parental education or care – Greater Shepparton 63 16.6 Australian Early Development Census: Greater Shepparton and Victoria – Australian Early Development Index, 2015 64 16.7 Students enrolled in schools in Greater Shepparton by the Index of Community Socio-Economic Advantage (ICSEA) – Indigenous status and non-English speaking background, 2015 and 2017 65 16.8 Distribution of students enrolled in schools in Greater Shepparton by the Index of Community Socio-Economic Advantage (ICSEA) – Indigenous status and non-English speaking background, 2015 and 2017 66 16.9 Average NAPLAN assessment of students attending schools in Greater Shepparton as a percentage of the average all-Australian assessment – 2015 and 2017 68 List of tables (cont.) Page no. Appendix A: The implications of migration for the evaluation of assistance programs A.1 Population inflows and outflows – population aged 0 to 19 – Shepparton 71 A.2 Population inflows and outflows – population aged 0 to 19 – Ballarat 72 Appendix B: Detailed statistical comparisons 7.1(a) Export share in total sales – Greater Shepparton 73 7.1(b) Export share in total sales – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Griffith 74 7.1(c) Export share in total sales – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Leeton 74 7.1(d) Export share in total sales – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Ballarat 75 7.1(e) Export share in total sales – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Greater Bendigo 75 7.1(f) Export share in total sales – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Mildura 76 8.5(a) Value added per capita of working age population – Greater Shepparton 77 8.5(b) Value added per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Griffith 77 8.5(c) Value added per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Leeton 78 8.5(d) Value added per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Ballarat 78 8.5(e) Value added per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Greater Bendigo 79 8.5(f) Value added per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Mildura 79 9.1(a) Productivity – value added per hour worked – Greater Shepparton 80 9.1(b) Productivity – value added per hour worked – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Griffith 80 9.1(c) Productivity – value added per hour worked – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Leeton 81 9.1(d) Productivity – value added per hour worked – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Ballarat 81 9.1(e) Productivity – value added per hour worked – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Greater Bendigo 82 9.1(f) Productivity – value added per hour worked – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Mildura 82 List of tables (cont.) Page no. 10.1(a) Workplace employment per capita of working age population – Greater Shepparton 83 10.1(b) Workplace employment per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Griffith 83 10.1(c) Workplace employment per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Leeton 84 10.1(d) Workplace employment per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Ballarat 84 10.1(e) Workplace employment per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to Greater Bendigo 85 10.1(f) Workplace employment per capita of working age population – ratio of Greater Shepparton to
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