The original documents are located in Box 39, folder “Weekly Briefing Notes, 2/9/1976” of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library.
Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald R. Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Digitized from Box 39 of the William J. Baroody Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library
J;!*>;\{l
<:r ~ THE VICE PRESIDENT i;i. i;i. WASHINGTON * February 12, 1976 MEMORANDUM FOR BILL BAROODY Attached is this week's copy of the Weekly Briefing Notes. WEEKLY BRIEFING NOTES TABLE OF CONTENTS FOR CALENDER YEAR 1976 February 9. 1976 FREQUENCY LEGEND: W=Weekly; M=MonthJy; Q=Quarterly; A=Annual; O=Other SECTION A·General Economic Indicators DATE SERIES LAST AP· P£AREO IN BRIEFING NOTES Part 1-National Income and Product A.1.1 (Q) Gross National Product ....•...... ••. 1/26 A.1.2 (M) Personal Income ...... •....•..•.•.. 1/26 A.t.3 101 Corporate Profits ...... ••...... A.1.4 10) Federal Receipts and Expenditures ...... A.1.5 (0) Business Investment ...... •..•...... •.••••...•. Part 2·Employment and Unemployment A.2.1 (M) Unemployment Rate ...... •....••.. 1 /12 A.2.2 (M) Duration of Unemployment ...... •• 1/12 A.2.3 (W) Unemployment Insurance ...... •...••..•..•.•..•.• A.2.4 (M) Labor Turnover ...... •...•...... ••. 1/5.2/2 A.2.5 (M} Help Wanted lndex ...... 1/12 Part 3-Hours. Earnings and Productivity A.3.1 (MJ Average Workweek, Manufacturino ...... •..•.••. 1/19 A.3.2 (Ml Compensation Per Man-hour ...... •.. 1/19 A.3.3 (0) Productivity Indexes ...... •...... •..... 2/2 A.3.4 (M) Real Earnings ...... •.••.•.•.....•. 1/26 A.3.5 (Ml Work Stoppages ...... •.•..•••.•.• ·. 1/5 Part 4-Production and Trade A.4.1 (WI Industrial Production Index ...... •.•...•. 1/19 A.4.2 (WI Production of Primary Metals ...... •..•••. A.4.3 (M) Production and Sales of Transportation Equipment ...... •.•.....• 1/12 A.4.4 (W) Manufactures' Shipments. Inventories. and Orders ...... •..... 1/5,1/26 A.4.5 (Q) Capacity Uti 1 lzation ...... 1/5,1/26 A.4.6 (Ml Retai 1 Sales ...... 1/12 A.4.7 (M) Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories .....••.• 1/12 A.4.B (Ml Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales ...... •..••.••...... 1/19 A.4.9 (0) Manufactures' Evaluation of Their Inventories ...... •....••..•....•.. Part 5-Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments A.5.1 (MJ Expr•ts and Imports ...... •..•.. t/5,2/2 A.5.2 (M) Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods...... 1/12 A.5.3 (0) Balance of Payments ...... A.S.4 (A) Foreign Travel ...... Table of Contents-Continued Part 6-Prices A.6.1 (Ml Consumer Pr1ce Index ...... 1/26 A.6.2 (MJ Wholesale Pr1ce Index ...... •.. 1/12 A.6.3 (W) Tuesday Spot Market Price Index ...... 1/5 Part 7-Construction A.7.1 (M) Housing Construct1on ...... 1/19,1/26.2/2 A.7.2 (Ml Value of New Construction Work Done ....•...... 1/5 Part 8-Energy, Raw Mater1als, and Commod1ties A.8.1 (WJ Distribution of Electric Power ...... A.8.2 (Ml Production and Consumption of Foss11 Fuels ..•.. Part 9-Agriculture A.9.1 (M) Farm Income and Expenses ...... 1/5,2/2 Part 10·Money and Credit A.10.1 (W) Money Stock Measures ...... A.10.2 (W) Bank Reserves ...... A.10.3 (Ml Consumer Credit ...... A.10.4 (W) common Stock Prices ...... A.10.5 (WI U.S. Government Securities ...... A.10.6 (M) Business Credit ...... A.10.7 (W) Interest Rates ...... Part 11-Indicators of Business Activity A.11.1 (M) Composite Index of Leading Indicators ...... 1/5,2/2 A.11.2 (Ml New Business Incorporations ...... •...... 2/2 A.11.3 (Ml Number of Business Failures ...... ••....••. Part 12-Transportation A.12.1 (0) commodity Transportation ...... Table of Contents-Continued Section B·General Social Indicators Part 1-Population B.1.t Population Estimates (M)-Total Population ...... ••...... ••. (Al-Total Population by Age, Sex, Race ...... (A)-Rate of Growth ...... •...... (Al-Components of Change (Birth, Death. Net Immigration) ...... •...... •....• 2/2 ( A) -Abar ti on s ...... •.... , ...... •...... (A)-Total Fertility ...... •...... ( 0)-Popul."lt ion Project ions ...... •...... •.•.. B.1.2 Population Distribution !OJ-Population by Size of Place .. , ...... (0)-Population 1n Rural and Urban Areas .....•....••. 1/12 8.1.3 Migration IA)·Recent Movers ...... •...... •....•• (A)·Migration by Region ...... •.. Part 2-The Family B.2.1 Living Arrangements. Selected Character1st1cs (A)-Age. Sex. and Race ...... •...... 1/19 (AJ-Single Person Households .. , ...... ••.•...•.. (Al-Children Living With Single Parents ...... 1/19 (Al-Average Family Size ...... B.2.2 Family Formation and Dissolution (AJ-Marital Status of the Population ...... 1/19 (M)-Marriage and Divorce Rates ...... •..•.•.....•.. 1/19 (A)-Marriages Ending In Divorce ...... ••.•.••....•.. B.2.3 (OJ-Attitudes Towards Family Life Part 3-Health B.3.1 Life Expectancy (A)-At Birth ...... ••.....•••...••...•.. (A)-At Selected Ages ...... • : ....••....•.....•....••. !M.A)·Death Rates by Cause .....•.....•..•...•....•.• IAJ-Leadlng causes of Death ...... •...... •....•.. (M.A)-lnfant Mortality ...... •.•...... •.....•.. B.3.2 Morbidity IM)·Communicable Diseases ...... •...... •.. (A)-Acute Il tness ...... •.. B.3.3 Disability (0)-Days of Disability by Type ...... (0}-lnstitutlonalized Population ..•..•...•...... •. (A)·Disabi11ty by Degree of Limitation and Cause ...... •...•...... •...•. IAJ-Short-Term Disablllty ...... •...•..••.•.••••..... B.3.4 Health Status -Nu tr it I on (0) o Dietary Intake ...... •....••..•...• (0) o Clinical Measurements ..••.•••...•....•...•.. (0) Obesity ...... •...... •...... -Drugs IM) o Drug Deaths ...... •...... (M) o Drug Abuse Episodes ....•••.•...... •••...•.. (A)-Liquor Consumption ...... •.••.•..••. ( AJ - Smok I ng ..•...... •••. , •..•••••....••. (O)·Physical Fitness ...... •...•..•. , .••..•••••• , ••. Table of Contents·Cont1nued (OJ-Perceived Health Status ...... •...... B.3.5 Health Care Delivery (AJ Physician and Dental Visits ...... •...... •.• (Al-Costs and Expenditures ...... 1/12 (A)·Facilitles ...... ( A) ·Per sonne 1 ...... •...... (OJ-Attitudes Toward Health Care ...... •...... Part 4-Education 6.4.1 Educational Achievement. Selected Characteristics (O)·Math. Science, Reading, Writing ...... •.. (0)-Music. Art. Literature. Citizenship ...... B.4.2 Attainment (A)·High School Graduation Rate ...... •...•. (A)·The High School Educated Population by Race and Sex ...... •.....•.••.••. (A)·College Educated Population by Race and Sex ...... •....•...... B.4.3 School Enrollment {AJ-Primary and Secondary School ...... (A)·Preprlmary by Age. Race. Income ...... {AJ-Modal Grade Enrollment by Sex, Race and Age ...... •.•..•.. (OJ-High School Students Expecting to go to College ...... •..•....•.• !OJ-College Entrance Rates by Sex. Race, and Socioeconomic Status ....•..••.•..•.. (A)· Col 1ege E nl'o l 1ment ...... •...•.•. (OJ-Participation in Adult Education ...... •.•••.•.. B.4.4 Educational Facilities and Pel'sonnel (A)·Schools. Classl'ooms ...... •..•...•..... (A)·Teachers. Administrative. Othel's ...... •....• B.4.5 Costs and Expenditures (Ol·Expected Student Expenses. Higher Educa t I on ...... •...... •. {A)-Expenditures by Level of Govel'nment ...... Pal't 5-Work B.5.1 Labor Force. Employment and Unemployment I Al-Labor Force Participation ...... •.•...•. (A)·Part·tlme. Part·year Workel's •...... •...... • I Al-Employment by Occupation ...••...... •..•...... • (M,A)-Unemployment ...... •..•...... (Q)·Dlscouraged Workers ...... •. (A) - Labor Uni on Membersh 1p .....•.••...... ••...••. B.5.2 Earnings (Al-Median Earnings ...... •.•...... •...... B.5.3 Working Conditions (A)·Regular and Overtime Houl's ...•...... •. (A)·Wol'k Injuries by Occupation •...... • (0)-Time. Distance. and Mode of Transportation to Work ...... •...... •• B.5.4 Benefits 10)-Vacations, Hol ldays ...... ••..•...... •.••.•.. (A)-Beneflt Plans ...... •..•.•.....•.•.••••..... B.5.5 Retirement (Al-Persons Retiring Fl'om Work .••.•...... ••.•..••. (OJ-Work Life Expectancy ...... •...... ••.•••.....••. (A) ·Ret I rement Benefits •..•....•..••.•.••••..•....•• Table of Contents-Continued Part 6-Income. Consumption, and Wealth 8.6.1 Income Levels (A)-Median Family Income ...... ••...... 2/2 (A)-Composition of Family Income ...... •...... (A)-Per Capita Income ...... •.. B.6.2 Distribution cf Income (Al-Age.Race, and Sex ...... •...... •....•. (A)-Reglonal Differences ...... •...... (A)· Income Di spers I on ...... •...... •...... • 8.6.3 Poverty...... 2/2 B.6.4 Consumption 10) Personal Consumption Expenditures ...... 2/2 (Al-Consumption of Durable Goods ...... •...•.. 8.6.5 wealth (OJ-Wealth and Net Worth of Consumer Units .•...... (0)-Compositlon of Wealth ...... •...... 8.6.6 Consumer Borrowing and Debt (Al-Amount of Debt Outstanding ...... •..... (A)-Debt/Income Ratio ...... •....•...... •..•.• 8.6.7 Consumer Attitudes ...... ••...... •....• (Ml-Attitudes Toward Energy Use ...... •....•. IOI-Attitudes Toward the Economy...... 2/2 Part 7-Houstng B.7.1 Housing Conditions (A)·Average Size of Households .•...... •••••.•.•• (A)-Households Lacking Selected Fact llt1es, by Size. Race. Tenure. and Location ....•...•• (Al-Average Number of Persons Per Room ...... •.••.•• 8.7.2 Home Tenure IAJ-Singl~ Family Dwellings ...... •...... (A)-Mobile Homes ...... •.....•••.••....•. (A)-Condomlntums and Other Multi· Unit Structures...... 1/5 (Al-Vacation Homes ...... ••.•...• B.7.3 Cost and Expenditures (A)-Average Mortgage Payments ...... •...... •...• (A)-Upkeep and Maintenance...... 1/5 IA)·Average Rental Payments ...... •...... •. (M)·Medlan ~rice for New One-Family Homes ...... •• B.7.4 Attitudes Towards Housing and the Community ...... ••••..•• Part 8-Leisure and Recreation B.8.1 Use of Leisure Time ...... B.8.2 Recreation (OJ-Outdoor (Social, Active Sports. etc) ....•....•• (A.OJ-Indoor (Television, Visiting. Other) .•.••...• Part 9-Publ ic Safety 8.9.1 Crimes Known to Police (0.Al·Vlolent...... •.... •• 1/5 (Q,Al-Property ...... •..•. 1/5 B.9.2 Victims of Crime. Selected Characteristics (A)-Vlolent ...... ••...... ••...... •....•. (A) - Property ...... •.••.•. B.9.3 (0) Fear of Crime. Selected Characteristics •••..•. B.9.4 Police Activity Table of Contents-Continued (A)-Persons Arrested by Charge ...... (Al-Offenses Cleared ...... 8.9.5 Judicial Activity (A)-Persons Sentenced for Federal Crimes ...... 8.9.6 Prisoners: Adults and Juveniles (A)-Prisoners by Sentence ...... (Al-Average Length of Sentence ...... •...... (A)-Persons Executed and Sentenced to Death ...... ••....•. (Al-Average Prison Population ...... •...... 8.9.7 (A) Expe~ditures for Administration of Criminal Justice ...... •.... Table of Contents·Continued SECTION C·Government Activity Part 1·Social Welfare and Security C.1.1 Social Security (OASDHI) (MJ ·Current Beneficiaries ....•...... ••...... (MJ ·New Beneficiaries ...... •...••. (M) ·Average Payment ...... •.....•.•.....•. C.1.2 Old Age Assistance {Ml ·Benefits Paid ...... ••.••.....•. {Ml -Recipients'...... ; .•...... •..•.•.•.••. C.1.3 Aid to the Disabled IM) • B 11 nd .....•...... •... , ..... (MJ ·Deaf ...... ••.•..••. (M) ·Other .. ·~····································· C.1.4 Aid to Families wtth Dependent Cn11dren {M) -Recipients ...... •..••...•.•.• (Ml -Benefits ...... •...... •.. C.1.5 Unemployment Insurance Coverage (MJ -Benef1 ts Paid ..•...... •.•...•..•...... •..•.. {Ml ·Recipients ...... •...... •...... • C.1.6 Housing Assistance ( M) • Rec i p i en ts ...... ••..•...... (Ml -Benefits ...... •.•.•...... ••. C.1.7 Food Stamps (M) ·Recipients ...... •...... •.••...... •.. (MJ ·Benefits ...... •...••....•..•....•...... C.1.S Aid to Disaster Victims (Al ·Recipients ...... •. (A) - Benef l ts ...... •..••...... , .•..••. C.1.9 Veterans Benefits ( M) • Rec i pi en ts .•...... •.• , •...... •.•..... (Ml -Benefits ...... •...... ••....••. Part 2-Equal Opportunity C.2.1 Equal Employment Opportunity (A) ·Minority Employment ...... ••••.... 1/26 (A) ·Earnings. Promotions, etc ...... •••....•. 1/26 C.2.2 School Desegregation (A) ·Students Attending Predominantly Minority Schools ...... •••...... •..••...... (A) -Public/Private Enrollment and control ...... ••.....•...... •..••• Part 3-Government Operation C.3.1 Federal Employment (M) -Employees...... 1/26 {M) ·Payrol I...... 1/26 C.3.2 State and Local Employment (M) -Employees ..•...... •••...... •..••....•. (Ml ·Pay,.,ol 1 ...... ••••.•.••...... •.••. Table of Contents-Continued SECTION D-Environment, Science. Culture Part 1-Environment 0.1.1 Air Quality (A) -Amount of Pollutants Released Into the Atmosphere ...... •...... •..•• (Al -Ambient Air Quality, Nationwide. Major Cities ...... •.• (0) ·Perceived Quality ...... 0.1.2 Water Oual lty (A) -Miles of Streams Meeting EPA Standards ...... (A) - 0 i 1 Sp 1 11 s, Fi sh Ki 1 1s ...... •.. (0) -Eutrophtcation of Lakes ...... •...... •••...... 0.1.3(0) Hazardous Substances (A) ·Amounts Produced ...... •..•..••....•.• (A) ·Concentration in Biosphere ...... •.....•. D.1.4 Ecological Balances (A) ·Endangered Species (Plant and Animal) •....•••. (OJ -Critical Areas (Coastal zones) .....••...... •. (AJ ·Land/People Density ...... •...•...... •. Part 2-Science 0.2.1 Professionals In Basic Research (A) ·By Special 1 ty ...... •..•...•... (Al -Person Years of Scientists. Engineers Engaged in R&O ...... •.. 0.2.2 Expenditures for Research and Development (A) -Private Industry ...... •.•..••..•.•.. (A) ·Government ...... ••.•....••....••. 0.2.3 Science Achievement in Schools (0) ·Secondary Schools ...... •...••••....•.. (0) ·Ht1;:1er Education ...... •...... •. 0.2.4 Public Attitudes Toward Science and Technology ...... •.. Part 3-Culture 0.3.1 (0) Persons Employed In Artistic Professions ...... 0.3.2 (0) Children's Skill and Appreciation of Literature, Arts. Music ...... ••....•.. 0.3.3 Participt+.ion In Cultural Activities (A) -Voluntary Organizations ..•...... ••....•.. (A) · Trave 1 ...... •..•...••...... (A) ·Hobbies, Sports. Music, etc .....•..••.•..•...• D.3.4 Attendance at Cultural Events (A) ·Plays. Ga11er1es. Motion Pictures ...... (A) -concerts, Museums, etc ...••.••.••.•••••.••..•• Table of Contents-Continued SECTION E-5elected Subjects E.0.1 (A) -Spanish Origin Population ...... E.0.2 (A) -Metropolitan and Nonmetropolltan Population .. . E.0.3 (0) -Shareownershlp of Public Corporations ...... 1/19 E.0.4 (0) -Driver Licenses ...... •...... •...... 1/19 WEEKLY BRIEFING NOTES ON U.S. DOMESTIC DEVELOPMENTS Prepared for the President and the Vice President FEBRUARY 9, 1976 . COMPILED BY THE FEDERAL STATISTICAL SYSTEM Coordinated by the Bureau of the Census at the request of the Statistical Policy Division, Office of Management and Budget Vincent P. Barabba, Director Joseph W. Duncan; Bureau of the Census Deputy Associate Director for Statistical Policy Office of Management and Budget Week of February 9, 1976 SOURCES OF DATA The Employment Situation U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, "Employment and Earnings Statistics for the United States" Raw Steel Production American Iron and Steel Institute, "Production of Ir.Jn and Steel" Sale of Motor Vehicles U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, "Survey of Current Business" . Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Manufacturers' Shipments, Inven tories and Orders, Series M3-1" Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census "Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods" Value of New Construction Work Done U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census, "Value of New Construction Put in Place" · · Crude Oil American Petroleum Institute, "Weekly Statistical Bulletin" Air Transportation U.S. Department of Transportation; Federal Aviation Administration, "Aviation Forecasts, Fiscal Years 1976-1987" Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS .__,,, >-__, >-__, 0:: __, >- UJ __, :::c t- cc 0:: SERIES :..::: t- 0:: ::::> UJ UJ z cc z :::c UJ 0 ::::> z t- ~ ::E O' cc 0 SECTION A-General Economic Indicators Part 1-National Income and Product A.1 .1 Gross National Product ...... •...... x A.1.2 Personal Income ...... •...... x A. 1.3 Corporate Profits ...... • . . . . . x A.1.4 Federal Receipts and Expenditures ...... · . . . ••...•. x A.1.5 Business Investment ..•...... ••... . • . • •.•..•. x Part 2-Employment and Unemployment A.2.1 Unemployment Rate ...... • ...... • x A.2.2 Duration of Unemployment ...... • • ..... x A.2.3 Unemployment Insurance ...... •...... • . • . x A.2.4 Labor Turnover ...... • x A.2.5 Help Wanted Index ...... x Part 3-Houn, Earnings, and Productivity A.3.1 Average Workweek, Manufacturing ...... •...... • x A.3.2 Compensation Per Man-Hour ...... x A.3.3 Productivity Indexes ...... •. x A.3.4 Real Earnings ...... • • x A.3.5 Work Stoppages ...... •...... ••... x , Part 4-Production and Trade A.4.1 Industrial Production Index ..•...... ••... . • .... •. x A.4.2 Production of Prima..Y Metals 1 ••••••••••••••••• • ••••• •• • •• .• • •• x A.4.3 Production and Sales of Transportation Eq1,1ipment ...... • . ••• •.. , x A.4.4 Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders ...... •. ... x A.4.5 Capacity Utilization , ...... • .... x A.4.6 Retail Sa1es ...... • ...... •.•.. •.. . x A.4.7 Wholesale Trade: Sales and Inventories ...... • ...... • ••. x A.4.8 Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales x A.4.9 Manufacturers' Evaluation of Their Inventories x Part 5-Foreign Trade and Balance of Payments A.5.1 Exports and Imports ...... •...... •. . x A.5.2 Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods ...... • ... x A.5.3 Balance of Payments ...... •• ... •. x A.5.4 Foreign Travel ...... ••...... • . .• ... x Part 6-Prices A.6.1 Consumer Price Index .., ...... •.•...... • ...... x A.6.2 Wholesale Price Index ...... • ...•. • .•.. x A.6.3 Tuesday Spot Market Price Index ...... • . .• ..•.....•••.••.• x Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued >- >- -'a:: >- -' UJ -' . -' ::c cc I- I- a:: SERIES ~ a:: :::::> UJ UJ z: < z: ::c UJ 0 :::::> z: I- SECTION A-General Economic Indicators (Continued) 3:: ::E 0 < 0 Part 7-Construction A.7 .1 Housing Construction ...... >< A.7 .2 Value of New Construction Work Done ...... • >< Part 8-Energy, Raw Materials, and Commodities A.8.1 Distribution of Electric Power ...... x A.8.2 Production and Consumption of Fossil Fuels ...... , .... . x Part 9-Agriculture A.9.1 Farm Income and Expenses ...... x Part 10-Money and Credit A.10.1 Money Stock Measures ...... •...... · x A.10.2 Bank Reserves ...... •...... x A.10.3 Consumer Credit ...... •. x A.10.4 Common Stock Prices ...... x A.10.5 U.S. Government Securities ...... x A.10.6 Business Credit ...... x A.10. 7 Interest Rates ...... ••...... Part 11-lndicators of Busfoess Activity A.11 .1 Composite Index of Leading Indicators ...... X A.11.2 Number of New Business Incorporations . . . . • • ...... X A.11.3 Number of Business Failures .• . . . • . .• ...... • • . . . . • . • • • . • X Part 12 • Transportation A.12.1 Land ...... · ...... x A.12.2 Air and Water ...•.••...... •....•...... , .• •.i.• x SECTION 8---General Social Indicators Part 1-Popu lation B.1 .1 Population Estimates - Total Population ...... •...... •. x - Total Population by Age, Sex, and Race •...... •.... x - Rate of Growth ...... •...... •..•. x - Components of Change (Births, Deaths, Net Immigration) ...... x - Population Projections ...... •...... • x - Abortion ...... x B.1.2 Population Distribution - Population by Size of Place ...... •...•...... x - Population in Rural and Urban Areas ...... ••••... X · B.1.3 Migration - Recent Movers ...... ••..••...... x - Migration by Region ...... ••...... •...•. ..•.••••. x Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued >- f:J \ >- ....J ··' "•· I ....J 0::: '~· . l >- u..r ....J ....J ::i:: I- ct: I- ::::;) 0::: ::.&::: 0::: l.l.J SERIES ·:~~(__ // u..r z: ct: z :::c: u..r C> ::::;) z I- ~ :ii: O' ct: C> SECTION 8-General Social Indicators (Continued) Part 2-The Family B.2.1 Living Arrangements, Selected Characteristics - Ag~, Sex, and Race ...... x - Single-Person Households ...... ; ...... x - Children Living With Single Parents ...... : ...... x - Average Family Size ...... x B.2.2 Family Formation and Dissolution - Marital Status of the Population ...... •.... x - Marriage and Divorce Rates ...... • x - Marriages Ending in Divorce ...... ; .. x B.2.3 Attitudes Towards Family Life x Part 3-Health B.3.1 Life Expectancy - At Birth ...... x - At Selected. Ages ...... x · - Death Rates by Cause ..... ; ...... x x - Leading Causes of Death ...... ~ .... . x - Infant Mortality ...... x x B.3.2 Morbidity - Communicable Diseases ...... x - Acute 111 ness ...... • . . . ~ ...... : ...... x . B.3.3 Disability - Days of Disability by Type ...... •... x - Institutionalized Population ...... x - Disability by Degree of Limitation and Cause ...... x - Short-Term Disability ...... • : ...... x B.3.4 Health Status - Nutrition • Dietary Intake ...... •...... x • Clinical Measurements ...... •...... x - Obesity ...... x - Drugs • Drug Deaths ...... •...•...... •...... x • Drug Abuse Episodes ...... •.•...... •...... x • Liquor Consumption ...... •...... ·.....•. x - Smoking ...... •...... •.. x - Physical Fitness ...... •...... •. x - Perc·eived Health Status ...... •...... x Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued 0::: SERIES 1..1.J ~' / ::t: l ,.,, -,._.__--_,,-" o SECTION 8-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.3.5 Health Care Delivery - Physician and Dental Visits ...... x - Costs and Expenditures ...... x - Facilities ...... x - Personnel : ...... •...... , ....•... x - Attitudes Towards Health Care ...... •...... '...... • x Part 4-Education 8.4.1 Educational Achievement by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status, Region - Math; Science, Reading, Writing ...... x - Music, Art, Literature, Citizenship ...... : .. X· 8.4.2 Attainment - High School Graduation Rate, ...... « ••.•••••.•••••••••• x - The High School-Educated Population by Race and Sex ...... x -College-Educated Population by Race and Sex ...... •... x B.4.3 School Enrollment Primary and Secondary School ...... · x . - Preprimary by Age, Race, Income ...... ·... . x - Modal Age Enrollment by Sex, Race ...... x - High School Students Expecting to go to College ...... X - College Entrance Rates by Sex, Race, Socioeconomic Status ...... x - College Enrollment ...... x - Participation in Adult Education ...... x B.4.4 Educational Facilities and Personnel - Schools, Classrooms ...... x - Teachers, Administrative, Others ...... x B.4.5 Costs and Expenditures - Expected Student Expenses, Higher Education ...... •...... x - Expenditures by Level of Government ...... : ..•... ', ...... x Part 5-Work B.5.1 Labor Force, Employment,and Unemployment - Labor Force Participation, Selected Characteristics ...... x - Part-time, Part-year Workers, Selected Characteristics ...... x - Employment by Occupation, Selected Characteristics ...... x - Unemployment, Selected Characteristics ...... x x - Discouraged Workers ...... x - Labor Union Membership ...... x · B.5.2 Earnings . - Median Earnings, Selected Characteristics ...... •...... x Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued ~./ >- .....J >- 0::: >- .....J 1.1..J !.J .....! :x: I- I- < 0::: SERIES :::.::: 0::: ::i L..i..J L&.J z: < z :c 1.1..J 0 :::::> z I- 3:: :E O' < 0 SECTION B-General Social Indicators (Continued) B.5.3 Working Conditions - Regular and Overtime Hours, Selected Characteristics •....•.•...• x - Work Injuries by Occupation ••...... ••...•...... x - Transportation to Work-Time; Distance, and Mode ...... x 8.5.4 Benefits - Vacations, Holidays ...... •...... x - Benefit Plans ...... •..•...... •...... •..•...... x . B.5.5 Retirement - Persons Retiring From Work ...... •.....•...... x Work-Lifie Expectancy ....•...... •...... •..•.•.•... x Retirement Benefits •....•.•••...... •.....•...•...... x Part 6-lncome, Consumption, and Wealth B.6.1 Income Levels - Median Family l ncome ...... •...... •.....•..•... x . - Composition of Family Income ...... •••..••. ; ... x - Per Capita Income .•...... ••....•...•.•....•..•...... x B.6.2 Distribution of Income - Age, Race, and Sex ...... •...... x - Regional Differences ...... •.•...... •.....•••..•...... x B.6.3 Poverty ...... •..•.•...... ~ ...... ·..•...... x 6.6.4 Consumption - Personal Consumption Expenditures ...... •.....•... x - Consumption of Durable Goods ...... •.•..••.••.•....• ! •. x B.6.5 Wealth - Net Worth of Consumer Units ...•...••....•. ·••....•••...•.. x - Composition of Wealth ...•...•...... •..•..•.•••..• , .... x B.6.6 Consumer Borrowing and Debt - Amount of Debt Outstanding ...... •.•••.•... x - Debt/Income Ratio ....•.....•...... •..•..•..... x B.6.7 Consumer Attitudes ...... x Part 7-Housi ng B.7.1 Housing Conditions - Average Size of Households .•.•.•...... •...••••.••..• x - Households Lacking Selected Facilities, by Size, Race, Tenure, and Location ...•.....•....•...... ••••..•••.••••.... x - Average Persons Per Room ••••..••...... •....••••.••..•... x Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued _J> >- c:: >- _J LU _J _J :r: I- c:i:: 0:: SERIES :::.::: I-- c:: ::::> LU LU Z c:i:: 2: :r: LU 0 => z t ,:S: ::::!!: CY c:i:: o SECTION 8-Socioeconomic Series (Continued) B.7.2 Home Tenure - Single Family Dwellings ...... x - Mobile Homes ...... x - Condominiums and Other Multiunit Structures ...... : x - Vacation Homes ...... x B.7.3 Cost and Expenditures . - Average Mortgage Payments ...... x - Upkeep and Maintenance ...... x - Average Rental Payments ...... x B.7.4 Attitudes Towards Housing and the Community ...... ·...... x Part 8-Leisure and Recreation B.8.1 Use of Leisure Time ...... : x B.8.2 Recreation - Outdoor (Social, Active Sports, etc.) ...... X· - Indoor (Television, Visiting, Other) ...... x x Part 9-Public Safety B.9.1 Crimes Known to Pol ice - Violent ...... x x - Property ...... x x B.9.2 Victims of Crime, Selected Characteristics - Violent ...... : ...... x - Property ...... x B.9.3 Fear of Crime, Selected Characteristics x B.9.4 Police Activity - Persons Arrested by Charge ...... x - Offenses Cleared ...... x B.9.5 Judicial Activity - Persons Sentenced for Federal Crimes ...... x B.9.6 Prisoners, Adults and Juveniles - Prisoners by Sentence .... '...... x - Average Length of Sentence ...... ~ ...... x - Persons Executed and Sentenced to Death ...... ~ ...... x - Average Prison Population ._ ...... x 8.9.7 Expenditures for Administration of Criminal Justice ...... x Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CON.TENTS-Continued SERIES SECTION C-Government Activity Part 1-Social Welfare and Security C.1.1 Social Security (OASDHI) - Current Beneficiaries ...... x - New Beneficiaries ...... •...... x - Average Payment ...... x C.1.2 Old Age Assistance - Benefits Paid ...... x ._ Rec1p1ents ...... •...... ~ . x C.1.3 Aid to the Disabled Blind ...... ·...... x - Deaf ...... , ...... •...... x - Other ...... x '/ C.1.4 Aid to Families With Dependent Children ·,_;.· Recipients ...... •...... «·.· •••••• x - Benefits ...... •...... • · x C.1.5 Unemployment Insurance Coverage - Benefits Paid ...... : ...... •...... x - Recipients ...... x · C.1.6 Housing Assistance - Recipients ...... x - Benefits ...... x C.1. 7 Food Stamps . - Rec1p1en . . t s ...... ' . x - Benefits ...... •...... x C.1.8 Aid to Disaster Victims - ·Recipients ...... , ...... •.... x - Benet its ...... x C.1.9 Veterans Benefits - Recipients ...... •...... x - Benefits ...... ••...... x Part 2-Equal Opportunity C.2.1 Equal Employment Opportunity - Minority Employment ...... •... x - Earnings, Promotions, etc...... •....• , ...... •.. x C.2.2 School Desegregation - Students Attending Predominantly Minority Schools ...... x -·Public/Private Enrollment, and Control ...... x Week of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued >--.I >- 0::: - -.I -.I >- LU -.I ::c: I- SECTION C-Government Activity (Continued) ,• ',,> ~ ""f. '~ ' ,,, .~ j Part 3-Government Operation \ \~ C.3.1 Federal Employment - E1nployees ...... x - Payroll ...... : ...... x C.3.2 State and Local Employment and Finances - Employees ...... : ...... x - Payroll ...... •...... •...... x SECTION D-Environment, Science, Culture Part 1-Environment 0.1.1 Air Quality - Amount of Pollutants Released.Into the Atmosphere ...... x - Ambient Air Quality-National, Major Cities ...... x - Perceived Quality ...... ·...... x D.1.2 Water Quality Miles of Streams Meeting EPA Standards ...... ·x - Oil Spills, Fish Kills ...... x D.1.3 Hazardous Substances - Esti.mated Amounts Produced ...... , ...... x Concentration in Biosphere ...... x D.1.4 Ecological Balances - Endangered Speci~s {Plant and Animal) ...... x - Critical Areas (Coastal Zones) ...... x - Land/People Density ...... x Part 2-Science D.2.1 Professionals in Scientific Fields - By Specialty ...... x - Person Years of Scientists, Engineers Engaged in R&D ...... x 0.2.2 Expenditures for Research and Development - Private Industry ...... •...... x - Government ...... •...... x D.2.3 Science Achievement in Schools - Secondary Schools ...... : ...... , ...... x - Higher Education ...... •...... x Weak of February 9, 1976 TABLE OF CONTENTS-Continued >- >- ....J ....J 0::: >- LU .....J .....J :I: D.2.4 Public Attitudes Towards Science and Technology x Part 3-Culture D.3.1 Persons Employed in Artistic Professions - By Type ...... ' ...... •... x 0.3.2 Children's Skill and Appreciation of Literature Arts, Music ...... x . D.3.3 Participation in Cultural Activities - Voluntary Organizations ...... x - Travel . ,...... x - Hobbies, Sports, Music, etc...... x D.3.4 Attendance at Cultural Events • Plays, Galleries, Motion Pictures ...... x - Concerts, Museums, etc...... _ ...... x SECTION E-Selected Subjects A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate. THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO ALL VORKERS, TOTAL 7.8% -6.0 -1.3% HOUSEHOLD HEADS 5.1% -10. 5% -1.9% MARRIED MEN '\. 1% -li. 6% -6.8% PERCENT PERCENT 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 js 1 3 : 3 I 2 2 1 1 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU Of LABOR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.2.1 - Civilian Labor urce and Employment THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR RGCJ TOTAL CIVILIAN LABOR FORCE 93.5 O.i:t 1. 7% MILLIONS TOTAL CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT . 86.2 0.9% 1.8% MILLIONS CJF PERSONS DF 1PERSONS 95 95 90 90 BS 85 .80 80 75 75 J971 1972 1973 19 71 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU- OF LABOR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 • The Unemployment Rate fell to 7.8 percent in January as Total Civilian Employment rose by a near-record 800,000. • Sharpest decline in the Unemployment Rate S·ince 1959 . •The Unemployment Rate for Household Heads and Married Men declined more sharply than the overall rate. • Joblessness among Married Men dropped nearly 15 percent, the steepest I-month decline since November 1964. • The upward surge brought Total Civilian Employment to 86.2 minion , some 2. 1 million above the March recession low and very close to t he prerecession peak r~ached in July 1974. A.2.1 - Unemployment haL~ by Age, Sex, and Race Males, 20 Years and Over TH IS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO RDULT MALES, NEGRO ANO 11.2% -8.9% 8.7% OTHER RACES ADULT MALES,VHITE 5.2% -11. 9% -1. 9% PERCENT PERCENT 1+ 11 12 12 10 10 e e 6 6 2 2 0 0 1971 1972 1973 197i 1975 1976 Females, 20 Years and Over THI S CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO ADULT FEMALES, NEGRO ANO 11 . 0% 1.9% 3.8% OTHER RACES ADULT FEMALES, VHITE 7.0% -6.7% -6.7% PERCENT PERCENT 11 11 12 12 10 10 e 8 6 6 1 2 2 0 0 1971 1972 1973 197i 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STAT IST ICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.2.1 - Unemployment Rat~ by Age, Sex, and Race Both Sexes, 16 to 19 Years THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TEENAGERS,NEGR~ AND . 3"\.6% -1.7% -12. "\% ~THEA RACES TEENAGERS, \.'HITE 18.3% 2. 8% 3. 4% PERCENT 15 16 10 35 35 JO JO 25 25 20 15 16 10 10 1971 19 72 19 73 1971 1976 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU-OF LABOR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •Among the age, sex, and race categories,. the most striking improvements were recorded for Adult Males . •Unemployment for white Adult Males dropped a solid 11.9 percent. • Joblessness of Adult Males , Negro and Other Races, was down 8.9 percent. •The rate for white Adult Fema l es also improved strongly, droppi ng 0.5 percP.ntage points to a rate of 7.0 percent. •The improvement was not shared by Adult Females of Negro and Other Races , whose jobless rate rose very slightly to 11.0 percent. • Teenagers experienced an increased unemployment rate. • A 2.8 percent increase in the white rate mo re t han offset a slight decrease in t he rate for Negro and Other Races . A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate by Industry THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO 1CONSTRUCT ION 15. 4% -7.2% -1.3% MANUFACTURING 8.1% -15.6% -19. 0% VHOLESALE ANO RETAIL TRADE 8.7% -7.i% 1.8% PERCENT PERCENT 2i 24 22 22 20 20 18 18 16 16 12 12 10 10 8 8 6 6 2 2 0 0 1971 1972 1973 197i 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate by Industry Components of Manufacturing THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO DURABLE MANUFACTURING 8.2% -17.2% -17.2% NONDURABLE MANUFACTURING 8.0% -13.0% -20. 0% PERCENT PERCENT 15.0 15.0 12.5 12.6 10.0 10.0 7.5 7. 5 5.0 5. 0 2.s 2. 5 o.o o.o 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU- OF LABOR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •The overall decline in joblessness reflected improvements among nearly all industry groups . •Setting the pace was a 15 .6 percent drop in Manufacturing . • Durable Manufacturing was the major factor, decreasing 17 .2 percent; the fourth consecutive monthly improvement. •The job situation in Nondurable Manufacturing also showed double-digit improvement as the unempl oyment rate fell 13.0 percent. •Construction continued an 8-month downward trend falling bel ow 16 percent for t~e first time since last January. •Wholesale and Retail Trade reversed a 3-month deterioration, dropping 7.4 percent to a rate of 8.7 percent. A.2.1 - Unemployment Rate by Occupation THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER . YEAR AGO NONFARM LABORERS . 11 . 1% -5.1% a.a ~ CJPERATIVES 1a.2% -16.1% -17.7% BLUE-COLLAR UORKERS , TDTAL 9.1% -12. 1% -11. 3% CRAFT ANO KINDRED VORKERS 6.6% -8. 3% -5. 7% PERCENT PERCENT 20 20 18 18 16 16 11 11 12 12 10 10 ~ / \,""\ \ , 8 8 ,, \ 1\1.. 6 I .... .) \ '\ I I " I '~-. I 1 \J ,..., ~ ..---..., ~..J' r-.,..-v 2 2 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1971 1976 1976 _, SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •The improvement in the job situation was almost totally concentrated among Blue-Collar workers. •The Blue-Collar rate declined 12.1 percent, more than doubling the December i~provement. •Joblessness among Operatives, which accounts for half of Blue Collar unemployment, dropped a dramatic 16.4 percent. •Largest monthly decline since December 1959. •The unemployment rate for Craft and Kindred Workers declined a strong 8.3 percent rernforcing last month's 13.3 percent decrease. A.2.2 - Duration of Unemployment Number of Workers Unemployed THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERICJO LAST PER. YEAR AGO LESS THAN 5 UEEKS ,2,706 2.2% -17.2% 5 TD li \/EEKS 2,091 -6.8% -19.5% TH DU SANDS 15 \/EEKS ANO OVER 2,785 -9.6 77.2% THOUSANDS DF PERSONS DF PERSONS 3500 3500 3000 3000 2500 2500 2000 2000 1500 1500 1000 1000 500 500 0 0 1971 9 72 1973 197i 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.2.2 - Average Duration of Unemployment THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PEA. YEAR AGtJ NUMBER AVERAGE OURRTICJN 16.9 -0.5% 56.5% NUMBER OF VEEKS OF VEEKS 18 18 17 17 16 16 15 15 1.. 13 13 12 11 . 10 10 9 9 B B 1971 1972 1973 197.. 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU OF LABDR STATISTICS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •The Average Duration of Unemployment, which usually lags behind move ments in total unemployment, remained relatively stable in January at 16.9 weeks. • Long-term joblessness (15 weeks and over) was reduced almost 10 percent as 300,000 persons from this category found . employment. •Those unemployed 5-14 weeks declined for the second month in a row after hovering near 2.5 million from September to November. •Short-term unemployment , accounting for nearly 36 percent of all unemployed persons, ~ose slightly in January. A.4.2 - Weekly Production of Raw Steel Not Seasonally Adjusted THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERiml LAST PER. YEAR AGO THOUSANDS PR~DUCTI~N ~F RAV STEEL . 2, 320 3.0% -13.3% THOUSANDS OF TONS OF TCJNS 3200 3200 3000 3000 2800 2800 2600 2600 2'100 2100 2200 2200 2000 2000 1800 ' 1800 1600 1600 HOO HOO 1200 1200 1000 1000 800 BOO 1971 1972 1973 197'4 1975 1976 SOURCE: AMERICAN IRON AND STEEL INSTITUTE 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •As of the week ended January 31 , Production of Raw Steel recorded its fifth consecutive gain, up 3. 0 percent to 2,320,0.00 tons. •Highest level s1nce April . •Up 22 .4 perc~nt from the 4-year low of 1,896,000 tons established the week ended December 27 . A.4.3 - Retail Unit Sales of New Passenger Cars Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL SALES 9. 6 -1.0% 4'3. 3% SALES OF DOMESTIC CARS 8. 4 1.2% 50.0% MILLIONS SALES OF IMPORTED CARS 1. 2 - 1'1. 3% 9.1% MILLIONS OF UNITS OF UNITS 11 11 13 13 12 12 I 11 I 11 10 ~ 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 1 1 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.4.3 - Imports as a Percent of Total New Car Sales THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERI DO LAST PER. YEAR AGCJ IMPORTS-PERCENT OF TOTAL . 12. 5% -13.1% -23 ... 9 PERCENT PERCENT 21 21 22 22 20 20 18 18 16 16 - Ii 11 12 12 10 10 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 1976 SOURCE: BUREAU -OF ECDNCJMIC ANALYSIS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 • Total Retail Sales of Passenger Cars declined slightly in January 1976, as a 1. 2 percert increase in Sales of Domestic Cars was outweighed by a sharp decline in Import Sales. • Domestic Sales were the highest since September 1974, up 12 percent in 2 consecutive monthly increases. •Reversing December ' s sharp increase, Import Sales declined 14.3 percent in January to November's level of 1.2 million units. •The Imports' share of Total Sales decreased 13.4 percent to 12.5 percent, the lowest level since October 1971 . A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories, and Orders· All Manufacturing THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO T"TAL INVENTCJRIES SH6.B 0.1% -2.il UNFILLED ORDERS '$117. 8 -1.1% -12.0% NE\I ~ROERS $85. 6 -0.'1% 11. 6% BILLIONS SHI PMENTS --- $86.9 0.3% 9.0% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 170 170 160 160 150 150 140 140 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 . 50 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 ·A.4.4 - Inventories by Stage of Fabrication All Manufactu ing THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERICJD LAST PER. YEAR AGO \/ORK-IN-PROCESS S-i8o9 0.1% -1. 3% FI NISHED GOODS $47. 6 0.5% 1.7% BILLIONS MATERIALS & SUPPLIES $50.3 -0.4% -7.0% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 55 55 50 50 45 45 40 40 35 35 30 30 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •Manufacturers' New Orders declined 0.4 percent {$315 million) in December; less than the November drop of $479 million, but the third decline in 4 months . •A 0.7 percent rise in Orders for Durable Goods was more than . ' offset by a 1. 3 percent dee line in Orders for Nondurable Goods . •After the first decline 'in 6 months in November, Shipments rose $236 million or 0.3 percent. •The decline in New Orders coupled with the increase in Shipments resulted in a further reduction of $1.3 billion in Unfilled Orders . <,... 0) •Following the brief upturn in July and August, Unfilled Orders ~. ~~) have declined an additional 3.4 percent. ~ •Total Invento'ries recorded another modest gain in December as the gain in Nondurable Inventories continued to offset the decline in Inventories of Durable Goods. •Repeating November's pattern, the rise in Finished Goods coun ter acted the decline in Materials and Supplies. A.4.4. - Manufacturers' Shipments,_Inventories , and Orders Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER . YEAR AGO UNFJLLED ' CJRDERS $112.6 -1.2% -13. 1% TOTAL INVENTORIES $95.7 -0.2% -2.3% NEV CJRDERS $11.9 0.7% 9.9% BILLIONS SHIPMENTS --- $i3e2 1.6% 5. 8% BI LLI ONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 150 150 110 140 130 ' 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 10 40 30 30 20 20 10 to 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments and New Orders Capital Goods Nondefense Industries THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO SHIPMENTS -- - $11.0 0. 2% 0. 3% BILLIONS NEV CJROERS $10.i - 2. 6% -0.i% NS OF DOLLARS CJF DOLLARS 13 13 12 12 11 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •New Orders for Durable Goods rose 0.7 percent, or $273 million, in December after a 1.9 percent decline in November. •Since August, New Orders have shown no improvement. •Shipments rose $679 million, or 1.6 percent, in December after record ing a 3.2 percent drop in November. •Shipments continued to exceed New Orders resultinq in a 1.2 percent ($1.3 billion) drop in Unfilled Orders to $112.6 billion -- the lowest ..level in 2 years. . •Durable Inventories declined for the tenth straight month in December, down $233 million. •After declining in November , Shipments of Nondefense Capital Goods rose slightly ($23 million). •New Orders declined $273 million, 2.6 percent, after showing no change in November. A.4.4 - Manufacturers' New Orders Components of Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERrnD LAST PER. YEAR AGO MACHINERY, TOTAL $12.2 -8. 1% 2. 4% TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT $10.0 17.2% 20.41% BILLIONS FABRICATED METALS $ ... 9 -7.7% 11 . 5% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 15 15 13 13 11 11 9 9 7 7 5 5 3 3 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipmenfs Components of Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO MACHINERY, TOTAL S13. 0 -2.5% 1.61 TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT $10.0 9.5% 22.7% BILLIONS PRIMARY METALS $6 . i -2.8% - 13. 5% BILLIONS , OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 15 15 13 13 11 11 9 9 7 7 5 5 3 3 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 smJRCEs BUREA.J Of Tl£ CENSUS A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Inventories Components of Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TRANSPORTATI ON EQUIPMENT $21.1 -1. i % o . ~i BILLIONS MACHINERY EXCEPT ELECTRICAL $21.0 -0.6% -2. 7% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 23 23 21 21 19 19 17 17 15 15 13 13 1971 1972 1973 197i 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 • A record 17 ..2 percent increase, $1. 5 bi 11 ion, in New Orders for Trans portation Equipment (dominated by the automotive industry) was negated by sharp declines in the Machinery and Fabricated Metals Industries. •Machinery dropped $1.1 billion, or 8.1 percent; the largest dollar decline on record . •Shipments of Transportation Equipment (particularly Motor Vehicles and Parts) gained $862 million; the J~rgest rise since August 1971 . •Declines in Machinery (down t337 million) and Primary Metals (down $181 million) were only partially offsetting. •The largest declines in Durable Inventories were posted in the Nonelec trical Machinery industries (down $135 million) and Transportation Equipment industries (down $292 million) . •Inventories of Nonelectrical Machinery declined for the eighth consecutive month. . . . A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Shipments and Inventories Nondurable Industries 0 () <',.... cP THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL INVENTORIES $51 . 1 0. 71 - 2. 6% BILLIONS SHIPMENTS $13.7 -1.0% 12.3% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 55 55 50 50 15 iS iO iO 35 35 30 30 25 25 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 A.4.4. - Manufacturers' Shipments Selected Nondurable Industries THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGCJ BILLJCJNS PETROLEUM AND COAL $5.7 -5.0% 15.1% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF OOLLARS 7 7 6 6 5 i- 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 1971 1972 1973 197i 1975 SCJURCEi BUREAU OF THE CENSUS n C's:'RRI 1n~V 1 0"7f" A.4.4 - Manufacturers' Inventories Selected Nondurable ndustries THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO OTHER NONOURABLES $8. 5 2. 1% - 12. 6% BILLIONS PETROLEUM ANO COAL $4 . 4 3.3% 13.2% BILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 10 10 8 8 6 6 2 2 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREOO OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •After posting a new high in November of $44.2 billion, Shipments of Nondurable Goods declined for the first time since May, dropping $443 mill ion. •Contributing most to the decline in Shipments was P~troleum and Coal Products (dow~ $297 million). •Nondurable Inventories rose for the f"fth consecutive month, up $348 mi 11 ion. •Other Nondurables , primarily Printing and Publishing Products (up $171 million), and Petroleum and Coal Products (up $142 million) posted the largest gains . A.5.2 -·Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders of Durable Goods THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERI00 LAST PER. YEAR AGO TOTAL SAl£S $1, 159 7.1% 19.3% TOTAL NEV ORDERS,EXCLUOING $3,151 8.7% 4. 1% MOTOR VEHICLES ANO PARTS TOTAL SALES,EXCLUOING $3,788 9.5% 20.6% MILLIONS MOTOR VEHICLES ANO PARTS - - - · MILLIONS OF DOLLARS OF DOLLARS 5000 5000 1500 1500 iOOO 1000 I 3500 ~I 3500 3000 \ 3000 I J / r / I 2500 I 2500 / 2000 2000 ~ I' .... I "v / I " 1500 ' 1500 1000 1000 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •Export New Orders of Durable GoDds (excluding Motor Vehicles and Parts1 rose 8.7 percent following Not/ember's near-record decrease of 18.7 percent. • Still substantially below October's peak of $3,905 million. • Only 4.4 percent above the level of a year ago. • There was a greater turnaround in Export Sales {excluding Motor Vehicles and Parts, which were up.9. 5 percent; nearly erasing November's $377 million decline. • Increase of 20.6 percent from December 1974. • Total Export Sales increased to $4,459 million, but remained below October's peak of $4,673 million. A.5.2 - Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders Aircraft and Parts THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGCJ NEV ORDERS $4179 -i. 9% -415.5% MILLIONS SALES - ~ - $692 30.3% 3 ...... : MILLIONS OF OCJLLARS CJF DOLLARS 1000 1000 800 BOO \ 600 I 600 I I v I I ' I 100 '\ 4\00 200 200 0 0 1971 1972 1973 197-\ 1975 Primary Metals THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER . YEAR AGCJ NEV CJROERS $130 1i2.0% -16. 1% MILLIONS SALES --- $1i6 31.5% s.a: MILLICJNS OF DOLLARS eJF DOLLARS 350 1350 I 300 JOO 250 250 200 200 150 150 100 100 50 50 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1971 19 75 ~,,, IRCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS A.5.2 ~ Manufacturers' Export Sales and Orders Machinery, Electrical and Nonelectrical THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGd NEV "ROERS $2,28i 7.8% 28. i% MILLIONS SALES --- $2,371 5.i% 22.1% OF DOLLARS 2600 2600 2200 2200 1800 1100 HOO 1000 1000 600 600 1971 1972 1973 197i 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1975 • For the second consecutive month New Orders for Aircraft and Parts declined; sliding to $504 million, 4. 9 percent further than November's 10.6 percent drop. •Sales of Aircraft and Parts increased 30.3 percent to $692 million, reaching i~s highest peak since March 1975 . •A drastic ·2-month record decrease in New Orders of Primary Metals was halted by December 's increase of $106 million. •A 31 percent rise in Sales of Primary Metals reversed a recent 4-month ,downward trend . •Both New Orders and Sales of Machinery rose in December but remained below October's peak levels. A.7.2 - Value of New Construction Work Done Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rates THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER . YEAR AGO CURRENT DOLLARS $138.6 1.5% 3. 4% BILLIONS CONSTANT 1967 DOLLARS $72.0 0. 7% -0. 8% BILLICJNS Of DOLLARS CJF DOLLARS 150 150 140 liO 130 130 120 120 110 110 100 100 90 90 80 80 70 70 60 60 50 50 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCEs BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.7.2 - Value of New Construction Work Done Private and Public Construction In Constant Dollars THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PEA. YEAR AGO PA 'IAlE ONSTRUCTION $50.8 -1.0% - 1.i% BILLIONS OF PUBLIC CONSTRUCTION $21.2 5.0% 0.5% BI LL IONS OF 1967 DOLLARS 1967 DOLLARS 75 75 65 65 55 55 45 45 35 35 25 25 15 15 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 SOURCE: BUREAU OF THE CENSUS 9 FEBRUARY 1976 • Construction Expenditures, axpressed in constant 1967 dollars, rose 0.7 percent in December to an annual rate of $72.0 billion,0.4percent below the 1975 high recorded in September. • For Calendar Year 1975, New Construction Put in Place amounted to $68.9 billion, an 11.9 percent drop from the 1974 figure of $78.2 billion. • Construction Expend1tures in current dollars rose 1.5 percent in December to a new record $138.6 billion at annual rates. • Private Construction declined 1 percent in December , halting a 5-month advance totaling 14.5 percent. • In 1975, Private Construction lagged 15 percent behind the 1974 figure of $57 .3 billion. • ·Public Construction rose 5 percent after declining a total of 9.8 percent in 2 consecutive months . •Overall, Public Construction dipped 3 percent in 1975. A.7.2 - Value of New Construction Work Done Private Nonresidential Structures In Constant Dollars THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO NONRESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS $12.6 -18. 2% COMMERCIAL BUILDINGS $6. 1 -21.7% BILLIONS OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS $3. 8 - 17. 1% BILLIONS OF 1967 DOLLARS 1967 DOLLARS 20 20 16 16 12 B B .. 0 0 1971 1972 1973 1974' 1975 Private Residential Structures In Constant Doi la rs THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO RESIDENTIAL BUILDINGS $27. 4 1.5% 10. 5% 1-UNIT STRUCTURES $17. 5 2.3% 32.6% BILLIONS OF 1 MULTIUNIT STRUCTURES $3.8 2. 7% -26. 9% BILLIONS OF 1967 DCJLLARS 1967 DOLLARS •The decline in Nonresidential Buildings Outlays primarily re flected a 4.7 percent drop in Co11111ercial Buildings . •Industrial Buildings decreased 2.6 percent to $3.8 bill ion . • Sper:id>ing on both 1-Unit and Multi unit Residential Structures rose approximately 2.5 percent in December. . A.8.2 - Crude Oil Domestic Production and Imports ~rr R Daily Average-Not Seasonally Adjusted /c::i~ THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO DOMESTIC PRODUCTION 8,242 0.0% -3.9% THOUSANDS IMPORTS 1,910 -3. 6% 29. 9% THOUSANDS OF BARRELS OF BARRELS 10500 10500 9500 9500 8500 8500 7500 7500 6500 6500 5500 5500 <\500 4500 3500 3500 2500 2500 1500 1500 500 500 1971 1972 1973 1974 1975 1976 SOI IRCE: AMER ICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE 9 FEBRUARY 1976 A.8.2 - Stocks of Crude Oil Not Seasonally Adjusted THIS CHANGE CHANGE PERIOD LAST PER. YEAR AGO MILLIONS STOCKS OF CRUDE OI L 271.B 0.7% 2.7% MILLIONS OF BARRELS OF BARRELS 300 300 290 290 280 270 270 260 260 250 250 210 230 230 220 220 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 1976 SDURCE: AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •In the week ended January 16, 1976, Weekly Domestic Production of Crude Oil showed no change from the previous week . •However, Domestic Production continues to exhibit its overall downward trend, falling 3.9 percent from a year ago . •Imports of Crude Oil declined 3.6 percent from the previous week ' s near-record level of 5,127 ,000 barrels. •Up 29 .9 percent from the year-ago figure . •Stocks of C~4de Oil rose to 271,829,000 barrels, the highest level in 25 weeks . •7.0 percent below the record high set in May of 292,370,000 barrels. A.12.2 - Total Aircraft Operations at Airports With FAA Traffic Control Service: Fiscal 1971 -1982 Air Taxi Air Carrier General Aviation Mllllons Millions 1~--~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~- 1~ 124·8 1971 • Forecast Source: Federal Jarlation Administration 9 February 19'16 A.12.2 - Estimated Fuel Consumed by United States Domestic Civil Aviation: Fiscal 1971-1982 CHANGE 1982 1975-1982 TOTAL JE~ FUEL ANO 11. 5 32.5% BILLIONS AVIATION GASOLINE BILLll?NS OF GALLONS OF GALLONS.. 12 . 12 L-- !--- L--- 10 1--- 10 --i--- 8 8 6 6 • i 2 2 0 0 1971 sen 1973 197• 1e7S 1e1s sen 1978 1979 _19eo l9Bt 1982 SOURCE: FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION Note: 1976 to 1982 forecasts. 9 FEBRUARY 1976 •Total aircraft operations (take-offs and landings, including foreign aircraft) at airports with FAA air traffic control towers are forecast to increase by nearly 70 percent between 1974 and 1982, and to more than double by 1987. •This increase will be dominated by growth in general aviation flying. •General aviation operations accounted for74 percent of the total in Fiscal 1974 and are forecast to increase to 82 percent by Fiscal 1987. •By comparison, the air carrier portion of the Fiscal 1974 total was 17 percent, and is expected to decline to 13 percent by Fiscal 1982 and to 11 percent by Fiscal 1987. •Fuel Consumption by domestic civil aviation is expected to increase by 32.2 percen~ to 11.5 billion gallo~s between Fiscal 1975 and 1982. •In 1975 'air carriers accounted for 7.8 billion gallons, or 90 percent of total fuel consumed . NOTE: Prior to 1972 the Air Taxis category was included with General Aviation. A.12.2 - Air· Passenger Enplanements: Fiscal 1971 - 1982 1982 CHANGE 1975-1982 TOTAL PASSENGER ENPLANEMENTS 310.l 53.6% DOMESTIC PASSENGER ENPLANEMENTS 286.6 55.0% MILLIONS MILLIONS 350 350 250 150 160 100 100 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 Air r Passenger-Miles: Fiscal 1971 - 1982 CHANGE 1982 1975-1982 TOTAL PASSENGER-MILES 251 .5 58. 2% OOMEStIC PASSENGER-MILES 205.0 60.5% BILLIONS BILLIONS 350 350 :JOO 250 200 150 100 100 so 50 1971 1972 1973 1971 1975 1975 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 ~MIJRCE: FEDERAL AVIATION ADMINISTRATION Note: 1976 to 1982 forecasts. •In Fiscal 1975 the aviation industry continued to be subject to a / variety of economic pressures that began during Fiscal 1974. Rising operating costs, especially fue1 {which increased from 12 to 19 percent of total operating costs between 1973 and 1975), and a depressed economy had their constraining effect on aviation growth, according to a Federal Aviation Administration ~eport. •However, after dropping slightfy in Fiscal Year 1975, 'i.J.S". certified route air carrier passenger tratficis expected to increase by 7 percent during Fiscal 1976. •Most of this growth is expected in s~heduled domestic traffic. •After the Fiscal 1976 recovery period, total certified route air carrier enplanements are projected to increase at a 5.8 percent annual rate through Fiscal 1982 to 310 million. •A long-tenn forecast indicates an increase in domestic passenger traffic to 384 million enplanements, more than double the Fiscal 1975 estimate of 184 million. - • Domestic passenger-miles on certified route air carriers decreased 1.7 ~ercent during Fiscal. 1975, and international passenger-miles decreased by 10.5 percent; a total decline of 3.6 percent. •After beginning a recovery in Fiscal 1976, passenger-miles are expected to grow through 1982 at an average annual rate of 6.3 percent and reach 280 billion by Fiscal 1987. A.12.2 - Total Active General Aviation Aircraft Fleet: Fiscal 1971 -1982 1982 CHANGE 1975-1982 GENERAL AVIATION FLEET 202.0 25. 1% THOUSANDS THOUSANDS 22S 216 215 ' 196 ~ 196 ~ UIS ----- UIS t7& ------176 t66 ------166 156 v ----- 156 HS v ' us tJ6 / 135 126 126 1a11 tan 1973 1971 le76 le76 ten 1978 1979 1980 19e1 1982 A.12.2 - Hours Flown in General Aviation: 1971-1982 CHANGE 1982 1975-1982 HOURS FLO\IN IN 45.3 40. 7% GENERAL AVIATION MILLJCJNS MILLlCJNS 50 50 16 15 v ------ J6 l.----v ------ ----- JO ~ ----- ~ ~ 26 25 20 20 1e11 sen 1973 1971 1e75 1e1s ten 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 MURCE: FEDERAL AVIATION AOMINISTRATICJN Note: 1976 to 1982 forecasts. •Just as passenger traffic can be used as an important measure of air carrier activity, the general aviation fleet size and hours flown are important indicators of general j viation activity. •The average annual growth rate of 3.~ percent in the active, general aviation fleet emphasizes the increasing popularity of general aviation flying. • The apparent decline from 1971 to 1972 is due to a change in the definition of active aircraft. •The 5.0 percent annual increase in general aviation hours flown reflects a greater utilization of each active aircraft. • The largest growth is occurring, and is e~pected to continue, in the multi-engine and turbine classes of aircraft, pointing to increased sophistication among general aviation pilots. • The number of active, general aviation aircraft is expected to increase - 25.0 percent from 1975 to 1982, and 58.5 percent by 1987; while the .number of hours flown is expected to increase 40.7 percent by 1982 and 87 .8 percent by 1987 . . .