Regional Weather Inference and Forecast Wednesday, 05 July 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs

ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

______

Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Wednesday, 05 July 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations) Weather Watch :- Heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh. Thunderstorm observed at isolated places over Vidarbha. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at many places over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and East Madhya Pradesh and at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh Monsoon Watch :- Monsoon been active over East Madhya Pradesh. The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat. 26.0 °N / Long. 70.0°E, Barmer, Sikar, Sonipat, Shimla, Una, Jammu and Lat.32.5°N / Long. 74.5°E.

Inference:- The Western Disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation over Jammu & Kashmir and adjoining north Pakistan between 3.1 & 5.8 km above mean sea level persists. The trough at mean sea level from Punjab to Manipur now runs from Punjab to northeast Bay of Bengal across north Uttar Pradesh, Bihar & Gangetic West Bengal. The off¬shore trough at mean sea level from Gujarat coast to north Kerala coast now runs as a feeble trough from south Maharashtra to Kerala coast.The upper air cyclonic circulation over Sub¬Himalayan West Bengal & adjoining Bangladesh and Gangetic West Bengal extending upto 3.1 km above mean sea level persists . An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over east Uttar Pradesh and adjoining Bihar and extends upto 7.6km above mean sea level.

Guna recorded the highest maximum temparature of 36.8 degree celsius.Nowgong recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 19.1 degree celsius. Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :- Madhya Pradesh:- UDAIPURA NAGODE UMARIA-AWS MAIHAR SATNA-AWS -- 7each; SIDHI-AWS -- 6; PACHMARHI GUDH RAJNAGAR KATNI-AWS REWA-AWS -- 5each; SENDHWA(MED) HOSHANGBAD-AWS BUDHNI SOHAGPUR-AWS KHAJURAHO KEOLARI HANUMANA -- 3each; BARELI LAKHNADON MALANJKHAND SAUSAR KARELI NARSINGHPUR-AWS JAITHARI NAINPUR -- 2each; NEPANAGAR MULTAI KHAKNAR MANDLA-AWS SINGRAULI-AWS AMARWARA ANUPPUR-AWS KOTMA PUSHPAJGARH BICHHIA TENDUKHEDA -- 1each;

Chhattisgarh :-RAIGARH KATGHORA -- 3each; AMBIKAPUR GHARGHODA BAIKUNTHPUR KORBA BHANUPRATAPPUR DEOBHOG RAMANUJGANJ -- 2each; SURAJPUR MANENDRAGARH KANKER KAWARDHA PATHALGAON PENDRA ROAD -- 1each;

Vidarbha :- Bhiwapur Kurkheda Armori Desaiganj Lakhandur Pawni -- 3each; Korchi Dhanora Bramhapuri Dharni -- 2each; Umrer Wardha Samudrapur Selu Arjunimorgaon Tirora Bhamragad Mulchera -- 1each;

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम वान वभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 10 July 2017 Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1.

No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

Outlook for subsequent two days from 10 July 2017 to 12 July 2017 RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over East Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh and at few places over West Madhya Pradesh and Vidarbha.

______

Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 10 July 2017

05-Jul-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely to occur at isolated places over North Madhya (Day 1) Pradesh. 06-Jul-2017 Heavy rainfall very likely to occur at isolated places over Northeast Madhya (Day 2) Pradesh. 07-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 3) 08-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 4) 09-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 5)

* The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION)

______

Table 1

5 Day Rainfall Forecast

Outlook for next two days valid 05-Jul 06-Jul 07-Jul 08-Jul 09-Jul Met Sub- from 0830 hrs division IST of 10-Jul to Today Thu Fri Sat Sun 0830 hrs IST of 12-Jul

West Madhya SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT Pradesh

East Madhya FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS FWS Pradesh

Vidarbha SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT

Chattisgarh FWS SCT SCT FWS FWS FWS

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157