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Zaufanie Do Polityków W Listopadzie

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Zaufanie Do Polityków W Listopadzie Warszawa, listopad 2009 BS/158/2009 ZAUFANIE DO POLITYKÓW W LISTOPADZIE Liderem listopadowego rankingu zaufania1 jest szef MSZ Radosław Sikorski. Ufa mu – według własnych deklaracji – nieco ponad połowa ankietowanych (53%). Drugie miejsce wśród najbardziej powszechnie darzonych zaufaniem przedstawicieli sceny politycznej zajmuje premier Donald Tusk (49%), minimalnie wyprzedzając marszałka Sejmu Bronisława Komorowskiego (48%). Trochę mniej osób (44%) ufa wicepremierowi i ministrowi gospodarki Waldemarowi Pawlakowi. Pierwszą piątkę polityków najczęściej spotykających się z pozytywnym nastawieniem badanych zamyka w tym miesiącu lider SdPl Marek Borowski (41%). Dalsze pozycje listopadowego rankingu zajmują: Ryszard Kalisz (37%), szef sejmowej komisji badającej okoliczności śmierci Barbary Blidy, Andrzej Olechowski (35%), uznawany za jednego z kandydatów w najbliższych wyborach prezydenckich, oraz urzędujący prezydent Lech Kaczyński (34%). Niespełna jedna trzecia ankietowanych deklaruje zaufanie do szefa sejmowej komisji „Przyjazne państwo” Janusza Palikota (29%) i minister zdrowia Ewy Kopacz (28%). Zaufaniem około jednej czwartej respondentów cieszą się marszałek Sejmu poprzedniej kadencji, a obecnie lider Prawicy Rzeczypospolitej Marek Jurek (24%) oraz prezes PiS Jarosław Kaczyński (23%). Nieco rzadziej zaufanie w badanych wzbudzają: jeden z bardziej aktywnych w mediach polityków PSL Eugeniusz Kłopotek, minister ds. walki z korupcją Julia Pitera (po 21% deklaracji zaufania), Mariusz Kamiński (20%), pełniący do niedawna funkcję szefa CBA, a także lider SLD Grzegorz Napieralski oraz były wicepremier i szef MSWiA, a obecnie przewodniczący klubu parlamentarnego PO Grzegorz Schetyna (po 19% deklaracji zaufania). 1 Badanie „Aktualne problemy i wydarzenia” (234) przeprowadzono w dniach 4–9 listopada 2009 roku na liczącej 1022 osoby reprezentatywnej próbie losowej dorosłych Polaków. - 2 - Tabela 1. Stosunek do polityków w listopadzie 2009 Zaufanie Nieufność XI ’09 zmiana XI ’09 zmiana Obojętność Nieznajomość Politycy od X ’09 od X ’09 w procentach Radosław Sikorski 53 -1 11 0 15 17 Donald Tusk 49 -6 30 5 18 1 Bronisław Komorowski 48 -1 12 1 20 16 Waldemar Pawlak 44 0 21 -2 24 7 Marek Borowski 41 2 12 -2 24 19 Ryszard Kalisz 37 * 21 * 23 16 Andrzej Olechowski 35 -2 14 1 26 19 Lech Kaczyński 34 3 45 -4 17 1 Janusz Palikot 29 4 39 0 18 11 Ewa Kopacz 28 2 33 5 16 20 Marek Jurek 24 * 14 * 23 33 Jarosław Kaczyński 23 -1 54 -2 19 1 Eugeniusz Kłopotek 21 * 9 * 18 48 Julia Pitera 21 * 30 * 20 26 Grzegorz Napieralski 19 0 19 0 23 34 Mariusz Kamiński 19 * 24 * 18 35 Grzegorz Schetyna 19 -2 25 4 22 30 Jerzy Miller 17 * 17 * 21 41 Michał Boni 16 1 11 1 18 51 Aleksander Grad 11 -1 19 3 16 50 Władysław Stasiak 12 * 8 * 11 66 Jacek Rostowski 12 -5 12 2 16 55 Beata Kempa 10 * 12 * 10 66 Jolanta Fedak 9 * 10 * 13 65 Elżbieta Bieńkowska 7 * 4 * 9 78 Barbara Kudrycka 5 * 5 * 8 79 Pominięto odpowiedzi „trudno powiedzieć” * W październiku brak pomiaru - 3 - Tabela 2. Zmiany zaufania do polityków Wskazania respondentów według terminów badań 2008 2009 Politycy V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI w procentach E. Bieńkowska - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7 M. Boni - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 17 17 17 15 16 M. Borowski 35 31 32 32 36 36 38 38 37 36 40 - 38 43 43 - 39 39 41 J. Fedak - - - - - - - - - - - - - 8 9 9 - - 9 A. Grad - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 13 13 12 11 M. Jurek - 25 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 24 J. Kaczyński 29 30 26 26 27 27 23 21 23 25 25 25 23 24 24 25 25 24 23 L. Kaczyński 37 35 32 33 33 35 30 29 30 33 32 31 31 31 33 33 34 31 34 R. Kalisz 30 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 37 M. Kamiński - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 19 B. Kempa - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 10 E. Kłopotek - - - - - - - - - - - - 17 - - - - - 21 B. Komorowski 53 46 45 45 47 49 49 51 50 46 52 51 48 48 48 50 49 49 48 E. Kopacz 28 28 27 26 29 30 29 36 29 29 32 29 28 30 29 29 29 26 28 B. Kudrycka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5 J. Miller - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 17 G. Napieralski - 16 15 15 17 15 16 19 19 18 20 19 17 21 23 18 18 19 19 A. Olechowski - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 38 35 37 35 J. Palikot 17 17 18 17 23 22 21 26 23 26 29 29 22 26 26 - 25 25 29 W. Pawlak 46 48 45 45 45 47 45 47 46 46 50 41 40 42 43 41 39 44 44 J. Pitera 34 28 27 - - - - - - - - 24 - - - - - - 21 J. Rostowski 7 9 10 8 10 12 15 15 14 15 18 15 12 16 17 16 15 17 12 G. Schetyna 24 25 24 21 24 24 25 26 27 26 28 24 21 22 28 26 25 21 19 R. Sikorski 55 46 52 48 58 55 55 60 60 61 61 60 54 54 55 58 56 54 53 W. Stasiak - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 12 D. Tusk 69 64 61 57 63 63 58 61 59 62 59 59 55 54 53 50 55 55 49 - 4 - Tabela 3. Zmiany nieufności do polityków Wskazania respondentów według terminów badań 2008 2009 Politycy V VI VII VIII IX X XI XII I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X XI w procentach E. Bieńkowska - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 4 M. Boni - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11 11 11 10 11 M. Borowski 23 23 22 22 20 19 16 18 16 16 15 - 13 12 13 - 14 14 12 J. Fedak - - - - - - - - - - - - - 7 9 8 - - 10 A. Grad - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 11 23 16 19 M. Jurek - 24 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 14 J. Kaczyński 53 52 59 55 55 52 58 62 57 57 57 58 55 56 53 57 55 56 54 L. Kaczyński 46 47 52 48 51 47 53 57 53 52 51 54 49 50 45 49 48 49 45 R. Kalisz 36 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 21 M. Kamiński - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 24 B. Kempa - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 12 E. Kłopotek - - - - - - - - - - - - 11 - - - - - 9 B. Komorowski 13 15 16 17 14 14 13 14 12 15 11 12 10 11 12 13 12 11 12 E. Kopacz 22 25 26 27 22 21 23 20 22 26 23 26 25 24 26 28 27 28 33 B. Kudrycka - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 5 J. Miller - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 17 G. Napieralski - 18 17 18 15 16 17 15 19 17 19 18 17 14 17 19 18 19 19 A. Olechowski - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 13 14 13 14 J. Palikot 29 32 34 36 32 32 36 36 41 39 39 38 43 43 42 - 43 39 39 W. Pawlak 20 19 22 22 20 20 18 18 18 18 15 27 22 23 22 26 27 23 21 J. Pitera 19 23 23 - - - - - - - - 27 - - - - - - 30 J. Rostowski 5 8 6 6 6 5 8 5 5 7 8 10 10 9 11 14 13 10 12 G. Schetyna 12 13 13 15 12 11 12 11 12 13 14 15 14 15 15 17 15 21 25 R. Sikorski 10 13 10 13 10 9 9 8 6 8 8 10 9 9 10 10 11 11 11 W. Stasiak - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 8 D. Tusk 17 19 23 25 21 21 24 23 24 22 24 26 25 28 27 31 28 25 30 - 5 - Listę polityków budzących największą nieufność badanych, podobnie jak w ubiegłych miesiącach, otwiera prezes PiS Jarosław Kaczyński (54%). Z dużym brakiem zaufania ze strony ankietowanych niezmiennie spotyka się także prezydent Lech Kaczyński. Wzbudza on jednak wyraźnie mniej negatywnych emocji niż lider PiS Jarosław Kaczyński – nie ufa mu 45% pytanych. Trzecie miejsce wśród przedstawicieli sceny politycznej najczęściej spotykających się z nieufnością badanych tak jak dotychczas zajmuje Janusz Palikot. Nie ufa mu 39% ankietowanych. Na kolejnych pozycjach tego negatywnego rankingu – jednak z nieco lepszym wynikiem – plasują się: minister zdrowia Ewa Kopacz (33% deklaracji nieufności) oraz premier Donald Tusk i Julia Pitera (po 30%). W listopadowym sondażu nieco poszerzyliśmy naszą dotychczasową listę polityków o nazwiska kilku osobistości życia publicznego, które z racji pełnionych funkcji czy aktywności w życiu politycznym miały szansę zaistnieć w świadomości Polaków. W tym gronie znalazły się m.in. minister nauki i szkolnictwa wyższego Barbara Kudrycka oraz minister rozwoju regionalnego Elżbieta Bieńkowska. Obie panie – mimo iż są przedstawicielkami urzędującego gabinetu – należą do bardzo mało znanych polityków. Z ich nazwiskami nie ma żadnych skojarzeń ośmiu na dziesięciu pytanych (odpowiednio: 79% i 78% deklaracji nieznajomości). Przez bardzo nieliczne rozpoznające je osoby postrzegane są niejednoznacznie. Kontrowersyjnie odbierana jest Barbara Kudrycka – ufa jej 5% badanych i tyle samo osób (5%) deklaruje do niej nieufność. W równie nielicznych ocenach Elżbiety Bieńkowskiej zaufanie (7%) nieco przeważa nad nieufnością (4%). Na podstawie deklaracji ankietowanych można by wnioskować, że dość dobrze znanym politykiem jest nowy szef MSWiA Jerzy Miller, który zaledwie kilka tygodni temu zastąpił na tym stanowisku Grzegorza Schetynę. Nie rozpoznaje go – według własnych deklaracji – tylko dwie piąte respondentów (41%), a więc znacznie mniej niż w przypadku takich osobistości życia publicznego jak choćby od pewnego czasu częściej pojawiający się w mediach minister finansów Jacek Rostowski, szef doradców premiera Michał Boni czy minister skarbu Aleksander Grad. Polityków tych nie identyfikuje co najmniej połowa ankietowanych. W świetle ocen respondentów Jerzy Miller jawi się jako polityk odbierany bardzo niejednoznacznie – tak samo często budzi zaufanie (17%) i nieufność (17%), a niewiele częściej – obojętność (21%). Wyraźnie kontrowersyjny wizerunek, ale chyba przede wszystkim relatywnie duża rozpoznawalność Jerzego Millera, który dotychczas nie pełnił - 6 - szczególnie eksponowanych funkcji i w trakcie dotychczasowej kariery politycznej nie cieszył się wyjątkowym zainteresowaniem mediów, nasuwają jednak przypuszczenie, iż przynajmniej w pewnej mierze mamy tu do czynienia ze skutkami zbieżności nazwisk nowego szefa resortu spraw wewnętrznych i byłego premiera Leszka Millera. Do polityków, których znajomość i społeczny wizerunek badaliśmy w tym miesiącu po raz pierwszy, zaliczają się także szef Kancelarii Prezydenta Lecha Kaczyńskiego Władysław Stasiak oraz wiceminister sprawiedliwości w rządzie poprzedniej koalicji, a obecnie członek sejmowej komisji śledczej, mającej zbadać przebieg prac nad tzw. ustawą hazardową – Beata Kempa. Mimo dość długiego stażu politycznego i częstej obecności w mediach politycy ci nie zaliczają się do szczególnie znanych osobistości życia publicznego.
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