ARTICLES CHOOSING THE NEXT SUPREME COURT JUSTICE: AN EMPIRICAL RANKING OF JUDGE PERFORMANCE STEPHEN J. CHOI* & G. MITU GULATI** ABSTRACT The judicial appointments process has grown increasingly frustrating in recent years. Both sides claim that their candidates are the “most * Roger J. Traynor Professor, U.C. Berkeley Law School (Boalt Hall). ** Professor of Law, Georgetown University. Kindly e-mail comments to
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[email protected]. Erin Dengan, Jennifer Dukart, Édeanna Johnson-Chebbi, Alice Kuo, Margaret Rodgers, and Rishi Sharma provided research assistance. Kimberly Brickell deserves special thanks for her work. Aspects of this draft benefited from discussions with Alex Aleinikoff, Ian Ayres, Scott Baker, Barbara Banoff, Devon Carbado, Lee Epstein, Tracey George, Prea Gulati, Vicki Jackson, Mike Klarman, Kim Krawiec, Paul Mahoney, Kaleb Michaud, Greg Mitchell, Ed Kitch, Un Kyung Park, Jim Rossi, Jim Ryan, Mark Seidenfeld, Howard Shelanski, Paul Stefan, Eric Talley, and George Triantis. For comments on the draft itself, we are grateful to Michael Bailey, Suzette Baker, Bill Bratton, James Brudney, Brannon Denning, Dan Farber, Phil Frickey, Michael Gerhardt, Steve Goldberg, Linc Kaplan, Joe Kennedy, Vikram Khanna, Pauline Kim, Don Langevoort, Jim Lindgren, Bill Marshall, Steve McBundy, Eric Mueller, Jeff Rachlinksi, Judith Resnik, Steve Salop, Michael Seidman, Peter Seigelman, Keith Sharfman, Pat Shin, Michael Solimine, Larry Solum, Gerry Spann, Nancy Staudt, Mark Tushnet, David Vladeck, David Walker, Robin West, Kathy Zeiler, Arnold Zellner, Todd Zywicki, and participants at workshops at Berkeley, Boston University, Florida State, Georgetown, Virginia, and UNC-Chapel Hill. Given the unusually large number of people who have e-mailed us with comments on this project, it is likely that there are some who we have inadvertently failed to thank.