PUBLICATIONS OCCASIONAL PAPER JUNE 2019 ISSUE 12.6

CHARTING THE FUTURE OF THE

THE 2019 MIDTERM ELECTIONS IN THE : FROM PATRONAGE TO POPULIST MOBILIZATION OCCASIONAL PAPER JUNE 2019 02 THE 2019 MIDTERM ELECTIONS IN THE PHILIPPINES: FROM PATRONAGE TO POPULIST MOBILIZATION

MIDTERM ELECTION'S PATRONAGE

The midterm elections resulted in a major victory for the administration's nine senatorial candidates (out of 12 seats) and the majority of governors, mayors, and local legislators. However, the biggest winner in the 2019 midterm elections in the Philippines was not even a candidate. It was Duterte.

The May 13, 2019 midterm elections was generally seen as a unorthodox and unfiltered style was tailor-fitted for reality TV and referendum on the first three years of the presidency of Rodrigo R. social media that emphasized his deadly war on drugs. Thus, Duterte Duterte. Midterm elections are usually seen as a referendum on an (and Donald Trump in the United States) has embodied “performative incumbent especially under a presidential system of government where populism” – a style of populism in the age of television and digital there is a fixed term of office for national and local positions. This is in media that draws on a “repertoire of performance” and builds a contrast with most parliamentary systems where a government can be relationship between the leader as the performer and the follower as dismissed on a vote of no confidence and fresh elections are called. the audience based on the following: appeal to “the people” The 2019 midterm elections tested and consolidated the political versus “the elite;” bad manners; and the performance strength of Duterte as the country’s populist strongman president. of crisis, breakdown, or threat. (Moffitt 2016)

The rise of Duterte’s populism can be traced to the failure of reformist Following recent works on populist politics, this report will delineate forces to institutionalize their “good governance” anti-corruption how Duterte has been able to eschew patronage-based political narrative, to share the fruits of economic growth to the poor majority, party building in favor of populist mobilization or “a strategy to build and to adequately provide security to a rising middle class. The a mass of supporters to gain and retain power with the minimum election of Duterte signaled the return of a nationalist-populist narrative of institutional intermediation” (Kenny 2017, p. 58). Moreover, it will first articulated by movie actor Joseph “Erap” Estrada in 1998. Unlike provide a reading of the results of the 2019 midterm elections Estrada, however, who has successfully parlayed his working man using the lens of the upcoming 2022 presidential election. and underdog movie roles into his ascent to the presidency, Duterte’s

* The views and opinions expressed in this Paper are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of the Institute. Image Credit:.com/nation/politics/elections/2019/230486-duterte-says-vote-buying-integral

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OVERVIEW OF THE 2019 MIDTERM ELECTIONS Table 1. Number of Candidates per Elective Position, 2019 The 2019 midterm elections marked the tenth synchronized Elective Position Number of Seats Number of congressional and local elections and the eight party-list Candidates representative election since the restoration of formal democracy enate 12 2 in 1986. Under the 1987 Constitution, national positions such ouse of eresentatie 2 33 as the president and the vice-president are elected separately roincial oernor 1 23 by a direct vote every six years. Half of the 24-seat Senate, roincial ice oernor 1 1 all 300 members of the House of Representatives, and local roincial oard 0 1,33 ity Mayor 1 1 government officials are elected every three years. The local ity ice Mayor 1 33 government officials include: 81 governors, 81 vice governors, ity ouncil 1,2 3, 780 provincial board members, 145 city mayors, 145 city vice Municial Mayor 1,9 3,1 mayors, 1,628 city councilors, 1,489 municipal mayors, 1,489 Municial ice Mayor 1,9 3,22 municipal vice mayors, and 11,916 municipal councilors (Bueza Municial ouncil 11,91 29,299 2018). The Constitution also introduced a party-list proportional Total 1,02 3, representation scheme of electing one-fifth of the members Source: Commission on Elections 2019 of the House of Representatives (Teehankee 2019).

A total of 43,554 candidates contested 18,066 national and Table 2. Number of Candidates per Political Party, 2019 local positions (See Table One). In addition, 134 political parties contested 61 House seats through the party-list system. For Political Parties Number of Candidates the Senate, a total of 172 filed their candidacy but only artido emoratio iliinoaas ng ayan aban 9,90 62 were allowed to run (COMELEC 2019). acionalista arty ,1 ationalist eoles oalition ,11 Ten major parties fielded a total of 15,690 national and local ational nity arty 2,2 candidates (See Table Two). A total of 7,742 candidates ran aas hristian Muslim emocrats aas M 1,3 under minor parties or as independents. The ruling PDP-Laban iberal arty 1,311 nited ationalist lliance fielded the highest number of candidates with 9,904. The once aban ng emorationg iliino 23 moribund party successfully fielded in the 2016 syon emoratio 1 presidential elections. Soon after, its membership swelled abor arty of the hiliines 2 from a dismal three House members and handful of local therndeendent ,2 officials to the biggest political party in the country. Total 23,32

For the 2019 midterm elections, there were 61,843,771 Source: Commission on Elections 2019

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registered voters and 1,822,173 Filipino voters overseas. Of these 2012, p. 188). Post-authoritarian electoral dynamics in the average of 70.4 percent of district legislators elected to the House numbers, around 46,343,423 (74.89%) voted on May 13, 2019. Philippines has demonstrated specific political pathologies through of Representatives from 1987 to 2016. They are essentially The Philippines remains to be among the Asian countries that the years. These include: (1) the continuing dominance of political composed of “a family and its extended relations or network, whose regularly have a high voter turnout. Yet, despite the elevated families and clans (more popularly called as “political dynasties”); members have controlled for over a long period…the formal elective levels of electoral participation in the country, its quality of (2) the constant and regular practice of party switching by elected posts in a locality or political subdivision” (Gutierrez et al. 1992, electoral democracy has long been saddled with politicians (colorfully labeled as “political turncoatism” by mass p. 8). Generally considered as a grouping within the elites of systemic and structural problems. media); and (3) the use of patronage such as “pork barrel” Philippine society, political clans frequently discharge a wide for political mobilization under the country’s presidential array of economic, social, and political functions (McCoy 1994). system (described as “presidential bandwagon” by POST-EDSA PATRONAGE POLITICS Japanese political scientist Yuko Kasuya). Dynasties continued to dominate the 2019 midterm elections. A significant number of candidates who ran for national and local Philippine elections are candidate-centered and patronage- positions were members of traditional, new, and emerging political driven. Despite more than a century of party politics inherited Political Dynasties families. For the House of Representatives, 71 percent of those from American colonialism, parties in the Philippines are merely elected belong to political dynasties. The party-list election, which “coalitions of provincial bosses, political machines, and local clans, In the Philippines, clans, not parties, have been the building blocks was instituted under the 1987 Constitution to provide representation anchored on clientelistic, parochial, and personal inducements of politics. Political dynasties have been an enduring feature for the marginalized sector, has been captured by political dynasties. rather than on issues, ideologies, and party platforms” (Teehankee of Philippine state-society dynamics. They have comprised an According to an ABS-CBN investigative report (2019), “political families—or families that have produced more than one elected or Table 3. Dynastic Composition of the House of Representatives, 1987-2016 appointed official—have fielded 49 party-list nominees in the May elections, and if their parties garner enough votes, the nominees Congress Total Number of District District Representatives Percent could occupy 83 percent of the [61] party-list seats in the House of Representatives from Political Clans Representatives.” On the other hand, Rappler pointed out that “at th ongress 191992 200 122 1 least 46 party-list groups participating in the 2019 polls that have at th 9 ongress 1992199 200 12 least one nominee are linked to a political clan or a powerful figure th 10 ongress 199199 203 130 in the country. In total, there are at least 65 nominees who are th 11 ongress 1992001 20 13 either members of powerful political families, have links to th 12 ongress 2001200 209 10 a government official (either incumbent or former), or have 13th ongress 200200 212 1 a relative also running for office. (Gavilan 2019)” 1th ongress 2002010 219 1 1th ongress 20102013 229 11 0 A handful of dynasties lost their long grip on political power in several 1th ongress 2013201 23 19 3 parts of the country. The most prominent defeat resulted in the 1th ongress 2012019 23 10 demise of the 50-year political reign of the Estrada dynasty. Former 1th ongress 20192022 2 1 1 president and mayor, , lost his re-election bid SOURCE: Compiled by the author from various sources as did several of his relatives who ran for different local positions.

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Two of his sons who simultaneously ran for the Senate also lost Table 4. Party-switching at the House of Representatives, 1987-2016 their bid. Several other local dynasties were defeated such as the Eusebios of Pasig, the Magsaysays of Zambales, the Gordons of Total District Total Party Olongapo, and the Ecleos of Dinagat. GMA News reported that Percent Representatives Switchers a total of 32 political families lost in the midterm elections. This number includes 25 who ran for mayor, four for the House, and th ongress 191992 200 1 three governors. However, most of the defeated candidates 9th ongress 1992199 200 9 10th ongress 199199 203 19 9 were replaced by members of rival political families. 11th ongress 1992001 20 0 12th ongress 2001200 209 1 13th ongress 200200 212 2 29 Party-switching 1th ongress 2002010 219 19 th 1 ongress 20102013 229 0 2 Another constant element in clientelistic practices in Philippine th 1 ongress 2013201 23 1 politics is party switching. The party switching behavior of 1th ongress 2012019 23 1 1 individual politicians relates to the policy switching behavior of SOURCE: Compiled by the author from various sources parties (Montinola 1999). Widely practiced in the Philippines, party switching often occurs twice in an election cycle: (1) pre-election party switching–when candidates file their nomination papers and raise campaign funds and (2) post-election party Table 5. Switch to Dominant Party at the House of Representatives, 1987-2016 switching–when elected officials affiliate themselves with the winning party to gain access to patronage. Total Party Switchers Total Switch to Dominant Percent Party Presidential Bandwagon th ongress 191992 1 11 9 9th ongress 1992199 9 2 92 According to Kasuya (2009), the introduction of a single term th 10 ongress 199199 19 3 limit for the office of the presidency destabilized the legislative th 11 ongress 1992001 93 party system since legislative candidates now tended to affiliate 12th ongress 2001200 1 33 th themselves with the most viable presidential candidates by 13 ongress 200200 2 29 1th ongress 2002010 19 109 3 switching parties. The absence of an incumbent vying for 1th ongress 20102013 0 2 reelection coupled with weak party loyalties serves as incentives 1th ongress 2013201 1 3 20 for potential presidential aspirants to launch new parties th 1 ongress 2012019 1 39 9 and entice legislative candidates to switch parties with the promise of access to patronage. SOURCE: Compiled by the author from various sources

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Traditionally, the administration party takes advantage of its access to resources inside and outside government to build the most expansive political machinery fueled by presidential patronage. Party-switching has fueled the rise of monolithic parties that have dominated several administrations in the past three decades – from the Kilusang Bagong Lipunan (New Society Movement, KBL) under , to the Laban ng Demokratikong Pilipino (Fight of the Filipino Democrat, LDP) during the term of , followed by the Lakas-NUCD- UMDP (Strength-National Union of Christian Democrats-Union of Muslim Democrats) founded by Fidel Ramos, the Laban ng Makabayang Masang Pilipino (Struggle of the Nationalist Philippine Masses, LAMMP) of Joseph Estrada, the Kabalikat ng Malayang Pilipino (Partner of the Free Filipino, Kampi) of , and the Liberal Party (LP) under Benigno Aquino III. In 2016, PDP-Laban won a dismal three seats in the House, but its membership and allies swelled to more than 300 to form a ‘supermajority’ in the House. This incredible feat of instant party-building was facilitated by coalition-building and wholesale party switching.

FROM PATRONAGE TO POPULIST MOBILIZATION

The midterm elections resulted in a major victory for the administration’s nine senatorial candidates (out of 12 seats) and the majority of governors, mayors, and local legislators. However, the biggest winner in the 2019 midterm elections in the Philippines was not even a candidate. It was Duterte.

One of the characteristics that distinguishes the 2019 midterm elections from previous elections is the emergence of a “new presidential bandwagon.” The old, traditional presidential bandwagon used the material benefits as political currency. As a general pattern, from senators to councilors, incumbents who won at the presidential election year by affiliating with various parties switched to the esident’spr Image Credit: pcoo.gov.ph/news_releases/president-duterte-assures-public-a-clean-2019-elections/ party by the time of the midterm election. The main motive behind this

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massive party switching was for the “sake of the constituency,” Media Wars he was also both a strong defender and relentless attacker. Lifting in other words, for the need of pork barrel projects which from his successful 2016 populist playbook, Duterte would extol the Malacañang practically controls. A popular president helps consolidate “command votes” or qualities of his chosen bets, and then proceed to viciously attack blocs of votes that are gathered and delivered through traditional the candidates of the opposition. This was particularly true with his As discussed above, massive party switching happened between networks such as political machines and bailiwicks to fight a attacks on the two most competitive opposition candidates Manuel 2016 to 2019, which follows the usual pattern and is nothing new. “ground war.” This was particularly true for Duterte’s three most “Mar” Roxas II and Benigno “Bam” Aquino IV. Previous presidents What is new is that during the 2019 election, the administration favored senatorial candidates: right-hand man Christopehr “Bong” did criticize the opposition but kept a certain level of civility. A candidates did not benefit much from access to the government Go, drug war enforcer Ronald “Bato” Dela Rosa, and chief political general pattern in the past was that the opposition slate attacks coffers, but more on the “populist mobilization” of Duterte. Unlike operator . In a field crowded by established the administration, and the administration defended itself. previous presidential administrations which made sure that it had national names and reelectionists, the three newbies managed to control of the annual budget-making process (which is the usual barge into the winning circle. Their close association with Duterte’s campaign tactics was typical mobilization of the “populist source of patronage) through indirect control of the leadership the president helped propel their public awareness and publics.” Duterte supporters are called “Dutertards” (a contraction of Congress (specifically the House of Representatives), Duterte convert this awareness into actual votes. of “Duterte” and “retard”) by LP supporters (who fancy themselves allowed factions within his supporters to openly compete, first for as “decent ”). However, Cleve Arguelles (2018) argues that the house speakership, then second, for control of billions of pork Their victory serves to highlight the growing importance of “air the populist publics are not irrational, dumb, or gullible voters; they barrel funds intended to be used for the midterm elections. war” or the use of television and radio advertisements in national are part of a growing constituency who are frustrated, angered, political campaigns. Air war is crucial in cultivating the so-called and skeptical by the “hypocrisy” of liberal reformism. As As a result of the political intramural, the passage of the 2019 “market votes” by way of popularity that is gauged and reflected one Duterte supporter colorfully puts it “[we] support national budget was delayed for four months—too late to be in regular public opinion surveys. Air war attracts votes but ground Duterte because [we] are Duterte.” mobilized for election spending. Moreover, Duterte vetoed Php war ensures the delivery and protection of votes. Air war also 95 billion appropriations inserted in the Department of Public necessitates an enormous amount of campaign funds, while Works and Highways (DPWH)—the usual source of campaign ground war entails a tight organization of warm bodies. The Narco List funds for administration candidates. Indeed, Duterte has been decision to mobilize either command votes (ground war) able to eschew patronage-based political party building in favor or market votes (air war) relies largely on a myriad of factors Another common feature of populism is the construction of an of populist mobilization—a “sustained, large-scale political project that include political opportunity, personal attributes, and/or antagonistic relationship between “the people” and the “Other” that mobilizes ordinarily marginalized social sectors into publicly resources available to individual candidates or political parties. (Mudde 2004). The “Other” can refer to the greedy elite or visible and contentious political action, while articulating anti-elite, oligarchs, foreigners, or drug addicts. Duterte has compiled an nationalist rhetoric that valorizes ordinary people (Jansen 2011, p. extensive list of local politicians allegedly involved in the illicit 82).” It is important to distinguish populist policy (what populists do) The Populist Public drug trade. Since July 1, 2016, he has tagged 164 individuals in from populist mobilization (how they do it); although, the two often his “narco list” (ABS-CBN Investigative Research Group 2019). go hand in hand.Duterte’s populist mobilization can be broken Populists thrive on directly communicating with their supporters by On the eve of the midterm elections, the names of candidates in down into the following elements: (1) the astute use of traditional utilizing mass mobilization techniques and heavily relying on media the list were released to the public. Included in the list were the and social media; (2) the continuing support of the populist as well as public rallies (Kenny 2017). With a record high trust names of one former and 45 incumbent officials, comprising of public; and (3) the coercive threat of the narco list. rating, Duterte was not only an effective endorser of candidates, 33 mayors, eight vice mayors, three congressmen, one board

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However, the party suffered a setback as most of its members Table 6. Party Realignment at the Senate, 2016 & 2019 aligned with (HNP), the regional party established by mayor -Carpio. The 2016 2019 president’s daughter did not deliberately register HNP as a national political party but instead started forming alliances with several Party Seats Percent Seats Percent provincial and regional based political parties (usually controlled aban 3 13 21 by political dynasties) around the country. The HNP has become 1 1 a rival center of political gravity within the Duterte administration, 21 1 with Mayor Duterte-Carpio openly orchestrating the ouster of PDP- Laban stalwart from the house speakership and 1 3 13 supporting former president Gloria Macapagal Arroyo. HNP aas 0 0 1 also fielded a senatorial slate for the midterm election with 1 1 PDP-Laban but dropped its party president Aquilino “Koko” 2 1 Pimentel III during the last minutes of the campaign. bayan 1 1 ndeendent 1 1 Meanwhile, the former dominant Liberal Party (LP) has been Total 2 100 2 100 decimated with most of its members jumping to the administration parties. It was barely able to form a senatorial slate and suffered SOURCE: Compiled by the author from various sources a crippling defeat with none of its candidates making it to the Senate. The LP’s two pillars Manuel “Mar” Roxas II and Paolo Benigno “Bam” Aquino IV lost in their senatorial bids. member, and one former mayor (Talabong 2019). REALIGNMENT OF FORCES For the Senate, the incumbent administration usually has the Twenty-six names on the list won in the midterm elections. The midterm elections signified a major realignment of political historical advantage during the midterm elections. The only Of this number, 18 were reelected, while the remaining eight were forces. As in the past, majority of those elected at the local level exceptions in which the administration won less seats than the incumbent vice mayors or mayors who ran for different positions immediately switched to the party of the winning president. Hence, opposition were in 1951 (as a result of the contested reelection in the midterm polls and won (ABS-CBN News 2019). The winners from a party of handful elected officials Duterte’s PDP-Laban has of Quirino in 1949), 1971 (aftermath of the Plaza Miranda constituted 57 percent of the names in the narco list, signifying swelled into a “supermajority” party. Despite the lack of solid party bombing), and 2007 (as a result of the “Hello Garci” scandal). the local politicians’ entrenched power and influence in their support and political machinery, the former mayor of Davao City in In 2019, the opposition failed to win a single seat. The Duterte- respective bailiwicks. The narco list, however, impacted the Mindanao, rode a wave of angry votes to capture the presidency in backed slates of the PDP-Laban and the HNP won majority electoral chances of the LP-led opposition coalition (oddly named 2016. But unlike previous Philippine presidents, he did of the seats for the Senate (See Table Six). “” or “Straight Eight”) as local government officials not personally endeavor to consolidate his political were discouraged from supporting the opposition for fear support under a dominant party. of being included in the list (Magsino 2019).

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In the House, PDP-Laban dominated the district seats winning a winning 41 of the 81 provinces (51%). The HNP won in nomination of candidates for the 2022 presidential election. total of 86 (See Table Seven). This is a far cry from the two seats it only two provinces (See Table Eight). originally held immediately after the 2016 elections. It is expected that the speakership of the House shall be given to a HNP- The LP contingent for the House has been diminished from 117 THE ROAD TO 2020 backed PDP-Laban stalwart, Representative in 2016 to a measly 18 in 2019. The NP has demonstrated a of . Ironically, the regional party HNP flexed its political significant increase as part of its build up for the 2022 presidential With Duterte’s control of both chambers of Congress, it is clout at the national level with nine of its nominees winning senate elections. The three strongest parties outside of the ruling PDP- expected that he will make a big push for his controversial seats. Yet, it failed to impress at the local level with key losses at Laban are identified with big business interests: the Nacionalista legislative agenda that includes the reimposition of the death elections in the including the victory of Sara’s avowed Party (NP) with Manuel Villar, the Nationalist People’s Coalition penalty and the second tranche of the Tax Reform for Acceleration political enemy, Pantaleon Alvarez, over HNP stalwarts Anthony del (NPC) with Eduardo Cojuangco Jr. and Ramon Ang, and the and Inclusion (TRAIN) law. Despite finally winning a majority seats Rosario and Antonio Floreindo Jr. The national party PDP-Laban, National Unity Party (NUP) with Enrique Razon Jr. These corporate in the Senate, Duterte has decided to shelve his plan to push on the other hand, performed quite well in the gubernatorial races parties are poised to exercise its political clout in the selection and for federalism in the country. Yet, he has left the doors open for possible amendments to the Constitution, particularly in the opening of the economy to foreign investments. Table 7. Party Realignment at the House, 2016 & 2019 The race for the 2022 presidential election had already started 2016 2019 during the midterm election. Many speculate that the launch of Party Seats Percent Seats Percent HNP by Sara Duterte-Carpio in 2018 was practically the indication of her bid for presidency in 2022. Following the footsteps of her 11 1 1 father, Sara Duterte-Carpio is likely to rely on populist mobilization. 22 9 1 1 1 1 3 1 Other leading presidential contenders include the Villars (either 23 11 2 10 9 0 0 former Senator Manny or his wife and newly-reelected Senator 0 0 3 1 Cynthia), Grace Poe, Manny Pacquiao, Bongbong Marcos, aas 1 9 , and Ping Lacson. While anything can aban 2 1 3 happen by the time of the next presidential election, major 2 1 3 1 presidential contenders might very well adopt Duterte-style ndeendent 3 1 2 1 campaign strategies. Hence, populist mobilization ther 10 3 20 might continue beyond Duterte. Total 23 100 21 100

*The total House seats is 245. However, elections for 4 districts (in Southern Leyte and South Cotobato) have been postponed since the law creating these districts was approved after the deadline for the filing of candidacies SOURCE: Compiled by the author from various sources

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Table 8. 2019 Gubernatorial Elections Results by Region and Party Affiliation

Regions PDP- NP NPC NUP HNP Lakas LP Independent/ LABAN Others

ordillera dministratie egion 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 egion 1 locos 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 egion 2 agayan alley 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 egion 3 entral uon 1 0 3 2 0 0 0 1 egion 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 egion MM 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 egion icol 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 egion estern isayas 3 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 egion entral isayas 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 egion astern isayas 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 egion 9 amboanga eninsula 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 egion 10 orthern Mindanao 1 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 egion 11 aao 1 1 0 1 2 0 0 1 egion 12 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 egion 13 araga 3 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 angsamoro utonomous egion of Muslim 2 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 Mindanao MM

TT 0 9 2 2 2 11

SOURCE: Compiled by the author from various sources

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CONCLUSION

Electoral democracies can manifest differently based on its level of institutional development and party- voter linkages. Paul D. Kenny (2017, p. 359) classifies democratic party systems into three types:

Programmatic party systems are characterized by competition between parties that are linked with voters through party membership and civil society networks; patronage party systems are characterized by competition between parties that are tied to supporters through the distribution of particularistic benefits, such as cash, jobs, or pork-barrel spending; populist party systems are characterized by competition between parties that appeal to voters primarily through direct appeals based on the charisma and personalized resources of party leaders.

Local elections are still largely patronage-based, but national elections can no longer be sustained by the traditional patron-client networks. Given the continuing personalist nature of Philippine politics, populist mobilization will be on the rise in future national elections unless efforts are made to pursue programmatic-basesd politics through the passage of comprehensive political and electoral reforms.

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REFERENCES

ABS-CBN Investigative and Research Group. 2019. “Party-list Nominees who Belong Kenny, P.D. 2017. Populism and Patronage: Why Populists Win Elections in Asia, and to Political Families.” ABS-CBN News, Feb. 4. https://news.abs-cbn.com/focus/ Beyond. Oxford: Oxford University Press. multimedia/infographic/02/04/19/party-list-nominees-who-belong-to-political-families Magsino, D. 2019. “Dynasties’ Decades-old Hold on 32 Local Posts Ends after Arguelles, C. 2018. “Engaging Duterte’s Supporters: Lessons from Listening to the Populist Eleksyon 2019,” GMA News Online, May 23. https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/ Publics.” iLead, Nov. 3. http://ilead.ph/2018/11/03/engaging-dutertes-supporters- news/nation/695464/dynasties-decades-old-hold-on-32-local-posts-ends-after- lessons-from-listening-to-the-populist-publics/ eleksyon-2019/story/ Bueza, M. 2018. “2019 Midterm Elections: Over 18,000 Posts Up for Grabs. Rappler, Oct. McCoy, A.C. 1994. An Anarchy of Families: State and Family in the Philippines. : 10, 2018. https://www.rappler.com/nation/politics/elections/2019/213982-number- Ateneo de Manila University Press. of-elective-positions. Moffitt, B. 2016. The Global Rise of Populism: Performance, Political Style, and Commission on Elections. 2019. “2019 National and Local Elections.” https://www. Representation. Stanford, California: Stanford University Press. comelec.gov.ph/?r=2019NLE Montinola, G.R. 1999. “Politicians, Parties, and the Persistence of Weak States: Lessons Gavilan, J. 2019. “Political Clans, Powerful Figures among 2019 Party-list Nominees.” from the Philippines.” Development and Change 30: 739-774. Rappler, Feb. 6. https://www.rappler.com/newsbreak/iq/222846-list-party-list- nominees-2019-elections-political-clans-powerful-figures. Talabong, R. 2019. “Duterte Releases Drug List Ahead of 2019 Elections.” Rappler, March 14. https://www.rappler.com/nation/politics/elections/2019/225735-duterte-releases- Gutierrez, E. U., Torrente, I. C., and Narca, N. G. (1992). All in the Family: A Study of Elites drug-list-ahead-of-2019-elections. and Power Relations in the Philippines. Quezon City: Institute for Popular Democracy. Teehankee, J.C. 2012. “Clientelism and Party Politics in the Philippines,” In Tomas, D. and Heller, W. and C. Mershon (Eds.). 2009. Political Parties and Legislative Party-Switching. Ufen, A. (Eds.) Clientelism and Electoral Competition in Indonesia, Thailand and the Houndmills, Basingtoke, Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan. Philippines. Oxford, UK: Routledge: 186-214. Jansen, R.S. 2011. “Populist Mobilization: A New Theoretical Approach to Populism.” Teehankee, J.C. 2019. “Untangling the Party List System” in Hutchcroft P. (Ed.) Strong Sociological Theory 29 (2): 75-96. Patronage, Weak Parties: The Case for Electoral System Redesign in the Philippines. Mandaluyong City: Anvil Publishing Inc.: 145-161. Kasuya, Y. 2009. Presidential Bandwagon: Parties and Party Systems in the Philippines. Manila: Anvil.

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Julio Cabral Teehankee, Ph.D

is a Professor of Political Science and International Studies at De La Salle University where he served as Chair of the Political Science Department (1994-2007); Chair of the International Studies Department (2008-2013); and Dean of the College of Liberal Arts (2013-2017). He also served as President of the Philippine Political Science Association (2017-2019) and the Asian Political and International Studies Association (2009-2011). He specializes in comparative politics of the Asia-Pacific, with a particular focus on issues of popular participation, governance, democratization, and contested institutions. Dr. Teehankee has published extensively on the topics of elections, party politics, and political dynasties. His current research includes presidentialism in Asia; comparative constitutional dynamics in East and Southeast Asia; and party-building in the Pacific Islands. He appears regularly as a political analyst for local and international media outlets.

Stratbase ADR Institute is an independent international and strategic research organization with the principal goal of addressing the issues affecting the Philippines and East Asia 9F 6780 Ayala Avenue, Makati City Philippines 1200 V 8921751 F 8921754 www.stratbase.ph

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