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5G Massive Iot Access in the Coming Decades

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5G Massive Iot Access in the Coming Decades IoT & Industry 4.0 in the 5G era Huawei's perspective Koby Levy Director of Digital Transformation & IoT About me Huawei is passionate about intelligent communications & IoT and is investing in innovations, and collaborations in the areas of : 5G 5.5G & 6G Fixed & Mobile Convergence IIOT, C-V2X,SmartXXX… Native Cloud Edge computing AI Devices, Cameras, Chipsets, CPEs and other hardware and more… Working with Telecom Operators, Enterprise Clients, Consumers , Industry and Technology Partners globally Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Platinum Sponsor Evolution Current affairs 5G Era A Decade Outlook Evolution 5 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Evolution into 5G Era eMBB Personal GPRS/EDGE HSPA/HSPA+ 4.5G Evolve + Experience IoT 2G 3G 4G 5G Enhance Voice Internet Mobile Internet of Broadband Everything mMTC URLLC Industrial + Application 6 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Evolution of Mobile IoT LTE 7 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona 7 Evolution of Mobile IoT From LTE to 5G 2017 2018 2020 2021 LTE 5G phase1 5G phase2 5G Enhanced ◼Rel-13 Rel-14 Rel-15 Rel-16 Rel-17 advanced ✓ 20 dB coverage ✓ Peak rate > 100 kbit/s ✓ Latency reduction ✓ Coexistence with 5G NR ✓ DL16QAM (248kbps) ✓ Large connection ✓ Multi-carrier enhancement ✓ Reduced terminal power consumption✓ Connection to the 5G Core ✓ Diverse-service efficiency ✓ Low power consumption ✓ Positioning (ECID and OTDOA) ✓ Mixed mode multi-carrier ✓ Latency & Mobility enhancement ✓ Lower mobility latency ✓ Low cost ✓ Terminal power consumption reduction ✓ New PRACH format ✓ SON ✓ Mobility enhancement ✓ 15 dB coverage ✓ Higher data rate ✓ Higher UE velocity ✓ Improved transmission efficiency ✓ Higher data rate (14 DL HARQ, ✓ Cat-M1 ✓ Positioning (ECID and OTDOA) ✓ Lower UE power class 14dBm ✓ Improved UE power consumption maximum DL TBS of 1736 bits) ✓ Low power consumption ✓ Multicast (SC-PTM) ✓ Improve Latency ✓ Scheduling enhancement ✓ Low cost ✓ Mobility enhancement ✓ Improved power consumption ✓ Coexistence with NR eMTC ✓ VoLTE enhancements ✓ Improved spectral efficiency Huawei RAN underscores Mobile IoT Evolution into 5G CIoT 12.1(eRAN13.1) CIoT 13.1(eRAN13.1) CIoT 15.1(eRAN15.1) CIoT 16.1(eRAN16.1) CIoT 17.1(eRAN17.1) Future Releases RAN Track 8 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Huawei MIoT Showcase Huawei Eco-system MIoT Showcase Selective global case studies Electric meter ➢ Sweden: 2~3mln ➢ Saudi Arabia: 5mln+ Water meter Gas meter ➢ UK ➢ Italy: 1mln ➢ Australia VF Global Supply Chain VF UK Tree Monitoring Thailand AIS Street Light Thailand AIS NB-IoT Shared AC VF Hungary Smart Parking Russia MTC Smart Trash Can 9 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona NB-IoT set to replace 2G M2M NB-IoT R14 Exceeds 2G M2M Upgrade to R14 and Above to Enable More Services Coverage Power Evolution Efficiency Spectrum Security Efficiency Positionin Peak Rate g Mobility Latency 2G M2M NB-IoT ◼100+Kbps ◼120Km/h mobility DL NB-IoT GPRS Speed (kbps) UL 97% 200 150 85% 92% 102 70% 52 23 0 R13 R14 R14 UE 60km/h R14 UE 100km/h ◼8 Times capacity ◼~60% power saving 1 carrier Max 8 carriers Power Power … Wait to 1 2 n Release Time Time Non-RAI RAI 10 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Summary of Evolution • NB-IoT and eMTC baseline 5G mMTC • NB-IoT can connect up to 1 million devices per square kilometer • NB-IoT, now officially a member of the 5G family, will have a life cycle just like other 5G technologies and serve 5G massive IoT access in the coming decades • For mobile network operators (MNO), investments in NB-IoT networks constitute a proportion of investment in 5G for future long-term operations, which protect the ROI • long-term roadmaps can be planned for products, systems, and solutions • As 2G phases out, M2M and IoT users face risks of discontinuation. NB-IoT networks, guarantee operation life cycle of over 10 years, ensuring long-term connectivity of IoT terminals. • From Release 16, NB-IoT can coexist with 5G NR, and NB-IoT new terminals can access the 5G core network. • NB-IoT further improves the energy and spectral efficiencies and enhances interoperability. 11 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Wearable Current affairs 12 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Mobile IoT current affairs Follow the Money Follow the Shipments Global cellular IoT module Revenue 2020 Module Shipment by Tech Share % 2% 1% China 23% 12% 10% 54% Rest of the World 34% 23% 12% 8% 13% 6%4% Source: IoT Analytics May 2021 Other 4G LTE-Cat1 2G 3G LPWA-Dual Mode NB-IoT LTE-M 5G • Global cellular IoT module shipments increased by • NB-IoT Module Share in Cellular IoT Module 50% YoY and 11% QoQ during Q1 2021 Shipments at Record 30% in Q3 2020 Source: Counterpoint Q1/2021 13 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Focus on NB-IoT China Global China Telecom • 100mln+ NB-IoT connections @2021.5 • 97.84% nationwide coverage • 30mln+ water/gas meters China Mobile • End of 2G IoT Increment @2020E • 400k+ NB-IoT base stations • Module + SIM Card + Device + Platform NB-IoT SIM Module Device IoT Platform Source: Counterpoint Q1/2021 14 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona LTE-Cat1 is Growing at a Fast Pace Strong Growth Seen & Anticipated Signature Cases Cat 1 Global Connection (M pcs) Smart Payment Third Party Payment Platform 500 450 OthersOthers • 2G/3G->LTE Cat1 400 OBD/UBIOBD/UBI 350 • $30B Vending Machine @ 2024 300 • $80B POS@ 2026 两轮车Two wheel 250 vehicle 200 TrackerTracker 150 Sharing Economy 100 共享Sharing Economy 50 POS 0 Smart Cloud 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Transaction Scooter E-Bikes Charger Source: Quectel 2021 APP 15 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona 5G Era 16 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Current State: Early 5G Era The 5G era shifts priorities to Industry 4.0 Use Cases Technology • Mobile video Peak Rate: 20 Gbps (Downlink (DL)) and 10 • FWA Gbps (Uplink (UL)) Peak Spectrum Efficiency: 30 bps/Hz (DL) eMBB and 15 bps/Hz (UL) Latency: 4 Milliseconds (ms) (UP) and 10 ms to 20 ms (CP) 5G mMTC URLLC • NB-IoT • Reliable Latency • LTE-Cat1/Cat4/CatM • IIoT Reliability: 99.999% success Connection densification: probability in 1 ms 1,000,000 devices/Square Latency: 1ms (UP) and 10 ms to 20 Kilometer (km2) ms (CP) 17 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Industry adoption of 5G makes Solid Progress 5G is Growing at An Unprecedented Fast Pace toB is Booming: Mature Ecosystem & Applications 2019 2021.4 50+ 90+ <$100 8 162 20x CPE, Routers, Network Industrial Price of Entry Level Gateways Modules module 33 700+ 21x Terminal 1 million 350 million 350x User TD TECH Microview HIK Cogent TVU One 5G CPE Ins 2.0 Industry Camera Industry Robot Backpack Backpack China is Exploring Vertical Industry @ 5G 55 3 Billion (RMB) 31 (contracts between industry and Carrier) 5G Telemedicine 5G Smart Port 5G Smart Farm 16 13 13 12 11 10 7 7 6 3 3 2 5G Smart Mine 5G Smart Steelmaking 18 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Current 5G Momentum ① Shift from NSA to SA core: Most carriers start to deploy SA in 2021; by 2024, 80% carriers will implement core network virtualization. ②Cloudification at the core : technology is the basis. ③Edge momentum: edge cloud in a multi-cloud environment 19 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona A Decade Outlook 20 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Huawei vision for 5G expansion 5.5G : from the Internet of Everything to Intelligent Internet of Everything 5G 5.5G (2025) eMBB • Mobile video eMBB • FWA • Mobile video UCBC RTBC • FWA Uplink Centric Broadband Real-Time Broadband Communication Communication • HD video uploading • XR-pro • Machine Vision Spectrum • Holographic (<100GHz) mMTC URLLC mMTC URLLC • NB-IoT • Reliable Latency • REDCAP • Reliable Latency • IIoT-Adv • eMTC • IIoT • NB-IoT • eMTC HCS Harmonized Communication and Sensing • Positioning • V2X 21 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Outlook on the decade (2020–2030) 22 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Summary 23 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Mobile IoT Technology Adoption prediction Source: Huawei Insight 24 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Consumer IoT - Five Years Prediction by Huawei Volumes Prices 2.5B New Cellular IoT Connections @2025 Module Prices Quickly Decrease with Large Scale Accumulated New Connections Module Prices in China ($) Mln 800 120 112 NB-IoT -40% Cat1 -25% 700 ~120M 100 RedCap -40% 600 ~250M 80 eMBB -60% 80 500 ~400M 64 400 60 56 ~600M 48 48 300 40 200 ~1200M 16 20 12.8 11.2 100 9.6 8 8 8 7.2 9.6 7.2 2.4 2.2 2 1.8 1.6 1.4 0 0 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 NB-IoT 4G Cat-1 4G Cat-4 5G RedCap 5G eMBB NB-IoT 5G RedCap 5G eMBB 4G Cat-1 Source: Huawei Insight Source: Huawei Insight 25 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Summary: the 5G Era is here , a decade of massive IoT driven by innovation and Viable business cases, with growing focus on Smart Industry 4.0 100 Billion IoT Connections by 2030 Enhanced uplink Smart manufacturing Smart transportation Higher transmission reliability Smart medical Lower transmission latency Hundred 1.9B Smart agriculture Licensed CIoT Lower module/device price Billion @2020E Smart campus High-precision location Internet of things @2030 Internet of Everything Smart mine Reduced Capability Smart city … … GSMA Intelligence … … 26 Huawei © 2021 MWC Barcelona Bring digital to every person, home and organization for a fully connected, Thank you. intelligent world. [email protected] Copyright©2021 Huawei Technologies Co., Ltd. All Rights Reserved. The information in this document may contain predictive linkedin.com/in/kobylevy statements including, without limitation, statements regarding the future financial and operating results, future product portfolio, new technology, etc. There are a number of factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the predictive statements. Therefore, such information is provided for reference purpose only and constitutes neither an offer nor an acceptance.
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