UC Berkeley Department of City and Regional Planning, The Richard and Rhoda Goldman School of Public Policy, Department of Demography, and Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy present CENSUS 2000: GROWING TOGETHER OR APART? U.S and California Population Trends and their Implications for Cities and Metropolitan Areas

Morning Session, 8:30 to 12 noon — NATIONAL TRENDS and ISSUES Moderator: Eugene Smolensky, Goldman School of Public Policy, UC Berkeley · Welcome: 8:30 – 8:45 HARRISON S. FRAKER Jr., MICHAEL NACHT & VICKI ELMER, UC Berkeley · Three Americas: The Rising Importance of Regions 8:45 – 9:30 WILLIAM H. FREY, University of Michigan and the Milken Institute Prof. Karen Chapple, UC Berkeley, Discussant · The Post-Suburban Boom: U.S. Metropolitan Growth 9:30-10:15 ROBERT E. LANG, Virginia Tech Dr. Larry Rosenthal, UC Berkeley, Discussant · Sprawl, Segregation, and the Concentration of Poverty 10:30 – 11:15 PAUL A. JARGOWSKY, University of Texas Prof. John Quigley, UC Berkeley, Discussant · Children in Cities: Uncertain Prospects 11:15-12:00 ISABEL SAWHILL, The Brookings Institution Prof. Jane Mauldon, UC Berkeley, Discussant

Lunch: 12:00 – 1:00 PM (available for purchase at Ramona’s Café in Wurster Hall)

Afternoon Session, 1:00 to 4:30 PM — CALIFORNIA TRENDS and ISSUES Moderator: David Dowall, Department of City and Regional Planning, UC Berkeley · Differences among California Regions 1:00 -1:45 HANS JOHNSON, Public Policy Institute of California Prof. AnnaLee Saxenian, UC Berkeley, Discussant · Immigration in California: Implications for the Future 1:45-2:30 DOWELL MYERS, University of Southern California Prof. Robert Ogilvie, UC Berkeley, Discussant · Residential Segregation and Diversity in California 2:45 – 3:30 JUAN ONESIMO SANDOVAL, Northwestern University Prof. Steve Raphael, UC Berkeley, Discussant · Demographic Change and Politics 3:30 – 4:15 PETER SCHRAG, Sacramento Bee Prof. David Dowall, UC Berkeley, Discussant · Wrap-Up: 4:15 – 4:30 JOHN LANDIS, UC Berkeley PRESENTERS

Prof. William H. Frey William Frey is a Milken Institute Senior Fellow, Regional and Demographic Studies, and a Research Scientist at the Population Studies Center, University of Michigan. Dr. Frey specializes in migration, population redistribution, and the demography of metropolitan areas. He previously held positions at the Center for Social and Demographic Analysis at State University of New York at Albany, the Center for Demography and Ecology at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and the Center for Studies in Demography and Ecology at the University of Washington-Seattle. The recipient of numerous awards, grants, and fellowships, Frey has authored well over 70 journal articles and books. He is a contributing editor to American Demographics magazine and has appeared on NPR, C-Span, ABC News, CNN, Fox News Channel and others. Frey received his Ph.D. in Sociology from Brown University in 1974. He is currently studying the dynamics of race and status-selective immigration and internal migration dynamics in U.S.

Prof. Robert E. Lang Robert E. Lang, the first director of the Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech, holds a Ph.D. in Urban Sociology from Rutgers University. His current research is focused on metropolitan growth patterns. Prof. Lang’s new book, Edgeless Cities, will be published this year by the Brookings Institution Press. His previous work covers such topics as housing policy, sprawl, smart growth, and neighborhood revitalization. He is former managing and current associate editor for Housing Policy Debate. Prof. Lang is regularly consulted by the national media in matters of urban and regional development including such outlets as the New York Times, The Chicago Tribune, The Los Angeles Times, US News and World Report, and dozens of regional newspapers, and has appeared on CNN, ABC World News Tonight, and NPR. He has extensive teaching experience in sociology and urban studies and has held various research positions over the past decade in the field of urban policy and planning. He was previously the director of Urban and Metropolitan Research for the Fannie Mae Foundation.

Prof. Paul A. Jargowsky

Paul A. Jargowsky is Associate Professor of Political Economy at the University of Texas at Dallas. His principal research interests are inequality, the geographic concentration of poverty, and residential segregation by race and class. His book, Poverty and Place: Ghettos, Barrios, and the American City (New York: , 1997), is a comprehensive examination of poverty at the neighborhood level in U.S. metropolitan areas between 1970 and 1990. The Urban Affairs Association named Poverty and Place the "Best Book in Urban Affairs Published in 1997 or 1998." Prof. Jargowsky has also been involved in policy development at both the state and federal levels. In 1993, he was a Visiting Scholar at the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services where he helped design the simulation model used for welfare reform planning. In 1986, he was the Project Director for the New York State Task Force on Poverty and Welfare Reform. The report of the Task Force, The New Social Contract: Rethinking the Nature and Purpose of Public Assistance, was influential in reshaping the welfare reform debate. His current areas of research include racial and economic segregation, the impacts of economic and spatial inequality, and the causes and consequences of exclusionary suburban development patterns. Prof. Jargowsky received his Ph.D from Harvard in 1991.

2 Dr. Isabel V. Sawhill Dr. Isabel V. Sawhill is a Senior Fellow in Economic Studies at The Brookings Institution, where she co-directs the Welfare Reform & Beyond Initiative and directs the Brookings Roundtable on Children. Prior to joining Brookings, Dr. Sawhill was a Senior Fellow occupying the Arjay Miller chair at The Urban Institute. She also served as an Associate Director at the Office of Management and Budget from 1993 to 1995, where her responsibilities included all of the human resource programs of the federal government, accounting for one third of the federal budget. In addition, she has authored and edited numerous books and articles including Updating America’s Social Contract: Economic Growth and Opportunity in the New Century, Getting Ahead: Economic and Social Mobility in America, Welfare Reform: An Analysis of the Issues, and Challenge to Leadership: Economic and Social Issues for the Next Decade. Her research has spanned a wide array of economic and social issues, including fiscal policy, poverty and welfare reform. She attended Wellesley College and received her Ph.D. from New York University’s Graduate School of Business Administration.

Dr. Hans Johnson Hans Johnson is a demographer at the Public Policy Institute of California. His research interests include international and domestic migration, and population estimates and projections. He was previously senior demographer at the California Research Bureau, where he conducted research for the State Legislature and Governor's Office on population issues. He has authored several publications on migration and California's population. He has also worked as a demographer at the California Department of Finance, specializing in population projections. He holds a Ph.D. in Demography from the University of California, Berkeley.

Prof. Dowell Myers Dowell Myers, Ph.D., MIT (1981), is professor of urban planning and demography in the School of Policy, Planning, and Development, at the University of Southern California. He is the director of the Master of Planning program and director of the School’s Population Dynamics Research Group. Dr. Myers is the author of the most widely referenced text on census analysis, Analysis with Local Census Data: Portraits of Change (New York: Academic Press, 1992), and he has served on the Professional Advisory Committee of the United States Census Bureau. His most recent publication, “Demographic Futures as a Guide for Planning: California’s Latinos and the Compact City,” Journal of the American Planning Association (Autumn 2001), received an award for best article of the year from the Journal’s sponsors. His recent research has focused on the upward mobility of immigrants to the US and California, trajectories into homeownership, and projections for the future of the California population. Dr. Myers’s web site is: http://www-rcf.usc.edu/~dowell/.

Prof. Juan Onésimo Sandoval Juan Onésimo Sandoval is an assistant professor of Sociology at Northwestern University. Sandoval's research interests include urban poverty, welfare policy, residential segregation, and quantitative methods. He is currently working on a study that examines one of the most important sociological questions concerning race relations in the United States, namely the social dynamics responsible for creating and maintaining racial segregation. He is also finishing a research project that examines state welfare policy and how welfare recipients are fairing after the 1996 welfare to work law.

3 Mr. Peter Schrag Peter Schrag, is a lifelong journalist. He began his career as a reporter for the El Paso (Tex.) Herald Post; was associate education editor and executive editor of the Saturday Review; editor of Change Magazine, a journal covering higher education, and contributing editor to a number of other publications. Most recently, he served for 19 years as editorial page editor of the Sacramento Bee. He is now a senior correspondent for the American Prospect and continues to write a weekly column for the Bee that’s syndicated to other California newspapers. He is the author of many articles in the Atlantic, Harper’s, the Nation, the New Republic, Playboy, the American Prospect and other publications. His most recent book, Paradise Lost: California’s Experience, America’s Future, was published by the New Press in April 1998 and issued as a paperback by the University of California Press in 1999. Peter Schrag has taught at Amherst College, where he also served as a college administrator, the University of Massachusetts, the Bread Loaf Writers Conference and at the Graduate School of Journalism and the Graduate School of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley. Since 1998, he has also been a visiting scholar at Berkeley’s Institute of Governmental Studies.

DISCUSSANTS Harrison S. Fraker, Jr., FAIA, is and William W. Wurster Professor and Dean, College of Environmental Design. Michael Nacht, Aaron Wildavsky Dean and Professor, Richard and Rhoda Goldman School of Public Policy. Vicki Elmer is Conference Coordinator and a Lecturer in the Department of City and Regional Planning. Eugene Smolensky is Professor and Dean Emeritus of the Richard and Rhoda Goldman School of Public Policy. David Dowall is Professor of City and Regional Planning, and immediate past chair of the Berkeley Academic Senate. Karen Chapple is Assistant Professor of City and Regional Planning. Larry Rosenthal is Conference Co-coordinator and Director of the Berkeley Program on Housing and Urban Policy. John M. Quigley is the I. Donald Terner Professor of Housing and Urban Policy, and Professor of Economics. Jane Mauldon is Associate Professor of Public Policy in the Richard and Rhoda Goldman School of Public Policy AnnaLee Saxenian is Professor of City and Regional Planning and Information and Management Science. Robert S. Ogilvie is Assistant Professor of City and Regional Planning. Steven Raphael is Associate Professor of Public Policy in the Richard and Rhoda Goldman School of Public Policy John D. Landis is Conference Co-coordinator and Chair and Professor of City and Regional Planning

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