Opportunity in America
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Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Work
Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and Work The Economics of Artifi cial Intelligence National Bureau of Economic Research Conference Report The Economics of Artifi cial Intelligence: An Agenda Edited by Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb The University of Chicago Press Chicago and London The University of Chicago Press, Chicago 60637 The University of Chicago Press, Ltd., London © 2019 by the National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of this book may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission, except in the case of brief quotations in critical articles and reviews. For more information, contact the University of Chicago Press, 1427 E. 60th St., Chicago, IL 60637. Published 2019 Printed in the United States of America 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 1 2 3 4 5 ISBN-13: 978-0-226-61333-8 (cloth) ISBN-13: 978-0-226-61347-5 (e-book) DOI: https:// doi .org / 10 .7208 / chicago / 9780226613475 .001 .0001 Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Names: Agrawal, Ajay, editor. | Gans, Joshua, 1968– editor. | Goldfarb, Avi, editor. Title: The economics of artifi cial intelligence : an agenda / Ajay Agrawal, Joshua Gans, and Avi Goldfarb, editors. Other titles: National Bureau of Economic Research conference report. Description: Chicago ; London : The University of Chicago Press, 2019. | Series: National Bureau of Economic Research conference report | Includes bibliographical references and index. Identifi ers: LCCN 2018037552 | ISBN 9780226613338 (cloth : alk. paper) | ISBN 9780226613475 (ebook) Subjects: LCSH: Artifi cial intelligence—Economic aspects. Classifi cation: LCC TA347.A78 E365 2019 | DDC 338.4/ 70063—dc23 LC record available at https:// lccn .loc .gov / 2018037552 ♾ This paper meets the requirements of ANSI/ NISO Z39.48-1992 (Permanence of Paper). -
2005 Mincer Award
Mincer Award Winners 2005: Orley Ashenfelter is one of the two winners of the 2005 Society of Labor Economists’ Jacob Mincer prize honoring lifetime achievements in the field of labor economics. Over the course of a distinguished career, Orley Ashenfelter has had tremendous influence on the development of modern labor economics. His early work on trade unions brought neoclassical economics to bear on a subject that had been the domain of traditional institutionally-oriented industrial relations specialists. As labor supply emerged as one of the most important subjects in the new field, Ashenfelter showed (in work with James Heckman) that neoclassical theory could be applied to decision making within the family. In his Frisch-prize winning 1980 article, Ashenfelter developed a theoretical and empirical framework for distinguishing between voluntary and involuntary unemployment. Orley was also involved in the income maintenance experiments, the first large-scale social experiments. In 1972 Orley served as Director of the Office of Evaluation of the U.S. Dept. of Labor and became deeply interested in the problem of program evaluation. This focus led him to emphasize developing credible and transparent sources of identification through strategies such as the collection of new data, difference-in-difference designs, and exploiting “natural experiments.” In the 1990s, Orley turned to measuring the returns to education. In a series of studies using new data on twins, Ashenfelter (with Alan Kreuger and Cecilia Rouse) suggested that OLS estimates of the returns to schooling were biased downward to a significant degree. Orley has also had a significant impact on the development of empirical law and economics in recent years. -
2021 Leg Agenda February 12
LEGISLATIVE COMMITTEE MEETING Committee Members Mayor Pro Tem Michael A. Cacciotti, Chair Council Member Joe Buscaino, Vice Chair Dr. William A. Burke Senator Vanessa Delgado (Ret.) Supervisor V. Manuel Perez Supervisor Janice Rutherford February 12, 2021 9:00 a.m. Pursuant to Governor Newsom’s Executive Orders N-25-20 (March 12, 2020) and N-29-20 (March 17, 2020), the South Coast AQMD Legislative Committee meeting will only be conducted via video conferencing and by telephone. Please follow the instructions below to join the meeting remotely. INSTRUCTIONS FOR ELECTRONIC PARTICIPATION AT BOTTOM OF AGENDA Join Zoom Webinar Meeting - from PC or Laptop https://scaqmd.zoom.us/j/99574050701 Zoom Webinar ID: 995 7405 0701 (applies to all) Teleconference Dial In +1 669 900 6833 One tap mobile +16699006833,, 99574050701# Audience will be able to provide public comment through telephone or Zoom connection during public comment periods. PUBLIC COMMENT WILL STILL BE TAKEN AGENDA Members of the public may address this body concerning any agenda item before or during consideration of that item (Gov't. Code Section 54954.3(a)). If you wish to speak, raise your hand on Zoom or press Star 9 if participating by telephone. All agendas for regular meetings are posted at South Coast AQMD Headquarters, 21865 Copley Drive, Diamond Bar, California, at least 72 hours in advance of the regular meeting. Speakers may be limited to three (3) minutes each. South Coast AQMD -2- February 12, 2021 Legislative Committee CALL TO ORDER - Roll Call DISCUSSION ITEMS (Items 1 through 2): 1. Update and Discussion on Federal Legislative Issues Gary Hoitsma (No Motion Required) Carmen Group Consultants will provide a brief oral report of Federal legislative pgs 5-12 activities in Washington DC. -
For Immediate Release: April 8, 2020 Contact: Emma Wells, [email protected], 215–622–8623
For Immediate Release: April 8, 2020 Contact: Emma Wells, [email protected], 215–622–8623 PENNINGTON, N.J., Apr.---Cecilia Rouse sworn in as Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers to President Biden On March 12, Cecilia Rouse was sworn in as Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA) by Vice President Kamala Harris. Rouse was a member of the Pennington School Board of Trustees from 2017 until March 2021, Pennington’s 2020 Commencement speaker, and is a current Pennington School parent. Rouse was nominated by President Joe Biden in December to lead the CEA, an agency within the Executive Office of the President of the United States that is charged with offering the President objective economic advice on the formulation of both domestic and international economic policy. The Council bases its recommendations and analysis on economic research and empirical evidence, using the best data available to support the President in setting the nation’s economic policy. Rouse previously served on the CEA under President Obama, and will be only the fourth woman, and first Black, to lead this agency. Rouse is the former dean of Princeton University’s School of Public and International Affairs. She writes, “This is a moment of urgency and opportunity unlike anything we’ve faced in modern times. The urgency of ending a devastating crisis. And the opportunity to build a better economy in its wake—an economy that works for everyone, and leaves no one to fall through the cracks.” The Pennington School is an independent coeducational school for students in grades 6 through 12, in both day and boarding programs. -
Learning, Career Paths, and the Distribution of Wages†
American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 2019, 11(1): 49–88 https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20170390 Learning, Career Paths, and the Distribution of Wages† By Santiago Caicedo, Robert E. Lucas Jr., and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg* We develop a theory of career paths and earnings where agents organize in production hierarchies. Agents climb these hierarchies as they learn stochastically from others. Earnings grow as agents acquire knowledge and occupy positions with more subordinates. We contrast these and other implications with US census data for the period 1990 to 2010, matching the Lorenz curve of earnings and the observed mean experience-earnings profiles. We show the increase in wage inequality over this period can be rationalized with a shift in the level of the complexity and profitability of technologies relative to the distribution of knowledge in the population. JEL D83, E24, J24, J31 ( ) his paper develops a new model of an economy that generates sustained pro- Tductivity growth. One distinctive feature of the model is that all knowledge in the economy is held by the individual people who comprise it: there is no abstract technology hovering above them in the ether. A second feature, necessarily involv- ing heterogeneous labor, is a kind of complementarity in production involving peo- ple with different skill levels: the marginal product of any one person is contingent on the people he works with. A third feature, closely related to the second, is that improvements over time in individual skill levels depend on imitation or stimulation or inspiration from other people in the economy. All growth is taken to arise from this force. -
Econ792 Reading 2020.Pdf
Economics 792: Labour Economics Provisional Outline, Spring 2020 This course will cover a number of topics in labour economics. Guidance on readings will be given in the lectures. There will be a number of problem sets throughout the course (where group work is encouraged), presentations, referee reports, and a research paper/proposal. These, together with class participation, will determine your final grade. The research paper will be optional. Students not submit- ting a paper will receive a lower grade. Small group work may be permitted on the research paper with the instructors approval, although all students must make substantive contributions to any paper. Labour Supply Facts Richard Blundell, Antoine Bozio, and Guy Laroque. Labor supply and the extensive margin. American Economic Review, 101(3):482–86, May 2011. Richard Blundell, Antoine Bozio, and Guy Laroque. Extensive and Intensive Margins of Labour Supply: Work and Working Hours in the US, the UK and France. Fiscal Studies, 34(1):1–29, 2013. Static Labour Supply Sören Blomquist and Whitney Newey. Nonparametric estimation with nonlinear budget sets. Econometrica, 70(6):2455–2480, 2002. Richard Blundell and Thomas Macurdy. Labor supply: A Review of Alternative Approaches. In Orley C. Ashenfelter and David Card, editors, Handbook of Labor Economics, volume 3, Part 1 of Handbook of Labor Economics, pages 1559–1695. Elsevier, 1999. Pierre A. Cahuc and André A. Zylberberg. Labor Economics. Mit Press, 2004. John F. Cogan. Fixed Costs and Labor Supply. Econometrica, 49(4):pp. 945–963, 1981. Jerry A. Hausman. The Econometrics of Nonlinear Budget Sets. Econometrica, 53(6):pp. 1255– 1282, 1985. -
Technical Paper Series Congressional Budget Office Washington, DC
Technical Paper Series Congressional Budget Office Washington, DC MODELING LONG-RUN ECONOMIC GROWTH Robert W. Arnold Congressional Budget Office Washington, D.C. 20515 [email protected] June 2003 2003-4 Technical papers in this series are preliminary and are circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment. These papers are not subject to CBO’s formal review and editing processes. The analysis and conclusions expressed in them are those of the author and should not be interpreted as those of the Congressional Budget Office. References in publications should be cleared with the author. Papers in this series can be obtained from www.cbo.gov. Abstract This paper reviews the recent empirical literature on long-run growth to determine what factors influence growth in total factor productivity (TFP) and whether there are any channels of influence that should be added to standard models of long-run growth. Factors affecting productivity fall into three general categories: physical capital, human capital, and innovation (including other factors that might influence TFP growth). Recent empirical evidence provides little support for the idea that there are extra-normal returns to physical capital accumulation, nor is there solid justification for adding a separate channel of influence from capital to TFP growth. The paper finds evidence that human capital—as distinct from labor hours worked—is an important factor for growth but also that there is not yet a consensus about exactly how it should enter the model. Some argue that human capital should enter as a factor of production, while others argue that it merely spurs innovation. The forces governing TFP growth are not well understood, but there is evidence that R&D spending is a significant contributor and that its benefit to society may exceed its benefit to the company doing the spending—that is, it is a source of spillovers. -
Professor Orley Ashenfelter Is the World's Leading Researcher in The
Citation read out at the Royal Society of Edinburgh on 24 March 2005 upon the election of Professor Orley Ashenfelter to the Fellowship of the Royal Society of Edinburgh. Professor Orley Ashenfelter is the Joseph Douglas Green 1895 Professor of Economics at Princeton University. He is the world's leading researcher in the field of labour economics, and has also made major contributions to research in the field of econometrics and law and economics. As Director of the Office of Evaluation of the US Department of Labour in 1972, Professor Ashenfelter began the work that is now widely recognized as the field of "quantitative social program evaluation." His influential work on the econometric evaluation of government retraining programs led to the systematic development of rigorous methods for the evaluation of many social programs. Professor Ashenfelter is also regarded as the originator of the use of so-called "natural experiments" to infer causality about economic relationships. This approach, now becoming universal in all the social sciences, is associated with Princeton University's Industrial Relations Section, of which Professor Ashenfelter was Director. He edited the Handbook of Labour Economics, and is currently Editor of the American Law and Economics Review. His current research includes the evaluation of the effect of schooling on earnings, the cross- country measurement of wage rates, and many other issues related to the economics of labour markets. His further interests include the market for fine wine. Several of his contributions to the economics research literature have been motivated by and reflect this interest. Professor Ashenfelter is a frequent visitor to the UK, and has been visiting Professor at the London School of Economics and the University of Bristol. -
Curriculum Vitae
Angus Deaton, CV, June 2018, Page - 1 - CURRICULUM VITAE Name: Sir Angus Stewart Deaton Date and Place of Birth: 19th October 1945 in Edinburgh, U.K. Nationality: British Children: 2 children, born 1970, 1971. Degrees: B.A. 1967, M.A. 1971, Ph.D. 1974 (Cambridge) Present Positions: Senior Scholar, Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University Dwight D Eisenhower Professor of Economics and International Affairs, Emeritus Presidential Professor of Economics, University of Southern California Senior Scientist, Gallup Organization Research Associate, National Bureau of Economic Research E-mail: [email protected] Chronology of Education and Appointments 1959-64 Foundation Scholar, Fettes College, Edinburgh. 1964 Exhibition in Mathematics, Fitzwilliam College, Cambridge. 1964-67 Fitzwilliam College, Cambridge, Mathematics, Parts 1a and 1b, and Economics, Part 2. 1967-68 Economic Intelligence Department, Bank of England. 1969 Junior Research Officer, Department of Applied Economics, Cambridge. 1972 Fellow and Director of Studies in Economics, Fitzwilliam College and Research Officer, Department of Applied Economics. 1976-83 Professor of Econometrics, University of Bristol. 1979-80 Visiting Professor, Princeton University. 1983- Dwight D. Eisenhower Professor of International Affairs, and Professor of Economics 2016 and International Affairs, Woodrow Wilson School and Department of Economics 1990-91 Overseas Fellow, Churchill College, Cambridge. Honors and Awards, Invited Lectures, most recent first 2017 Franklin Founder Award, joint with Anne -
1 Nobel Autobiography Angus Deaton, Princeton, February 2016 Scotland
Nobel Autobiography Angus Deaton, Princeton, February 2016 Scotland I was born in Edinburgh, in Scotland, a few days after the end of the Second World War. Both my parents had left school at a very young age, unwillingly in my father’s case. Yet both had deep effects on my education, my father influencing me toward measurement and mathematics, and my mother toward writing and history. The school in the Yorkshire mining village in which my father grew up in the 1920s and 1930s allowed only a few children to go to high school, and my father was not one of them. He spent much of his time as a young man repairing this deprivation, mostly at night school. In his village, teenagers could go to evening classes to learn basic surveying and measurement techniques that were useful in the mine. In Edinburgh, later, he went to technical school in the evening, caught up on high school, and after many years and much difficulty, qualified as a civil engineer. He was determined that I would have the advantages that he had been denied. My mother was the daughter of William Wood, who owned a small woodworking business in the town of Galashiels in the Scottish Borders. Although not well-educated, and less of an advocate for education than my father, she was a great story-teller (though it was sometimes hard to tell the stories from gossip), and a prodigious letter- writer. She was proud of being Scottish (I could make her angry by saying that I was British, and apoplectic by saying that I was English), and she loved the Borders, where her family had been builders and carpenters for many generations. -
President-Elect Biden Transition: Second Update December 1, 2020
1 RICH FEUER ANDERSON President-elect Biden Transition: Second Update December 1, 2020 TRANSITION Since announcing his Chief of Staff, the COVID-19 Task Force, and members of the agency review teams, President-elect Biden has made weekly announcements regarding senior White PDATE U House staff and Cabinet nominations. We expect an announcement on Director of the National Economic Council (not Senate confirmed) to come shortly, followed by other Cabinet heads in the coming weeks such as Attorney General, Commerce Secretary, HUD Secretary, DOL Secretary and US Trade Representative. Biden has nominated and appointed women to serve in key positions in his Administration, including the nomination of Janet Yellen to be Treasury Secretary. And while Biden continues to build out a Cabinet that “looks like America,” the Congressional Black Caucus, Congressional Hispanic Caucus and the Congressional Asian Pacific American Caucus continue to push for additional racial diversity at the Cabinet level.” Key appointments and nominations to the White House Senior Staff and economic and national security teams are included below, many of whom served in the Obama Administration (*). White House Senior Staff: Ron Klain, Chief of Staff* Jen O’Malley Dillon, Deputy Chief of Staff Mike Donilon, Senior Advisor to the President Dana Remus, Counsel to the President* Steve Richetti, Counselor to the President* Julissa Reynoso Pantaleon, Chief of Staff to Dr. Jill Biden* Anthony Bernal, Senior Advisor to Dr. Jill Biden* Cedric Richmond, Senior Advisor to -
What a Biden Harris Administration Could Look Like
President Biden’s Team Confirmed choices of the 46th President Secretary of Secretary of State Secretary of Treasury Homeland Security Antony Blinken Janet Yellen Alejandro Mayorkas Former Deputy Former Chairwoman of Former Deputy Secretary of State the Federal Reserve Secretary of Homeland Board Security Secretary of Health and Human Services Xavier Becerra Current Attorney General of California President Biden’s Team Rumored choices of the 46th President Secretary of U.S. Attorney Secretary of Defense General Interior Lloyd Austin Xavier Becerra Steve Bullock Retired General, former head of U.S. Central Current Attorney General of California Governor of Montana and former presidential Command candidate Tammy Duckworth Raul Grivalja Member of the Armed Services Committee Amy Klobuchar Congressman from Arizona and Chair of the and former U.S. Army Lieutenant Colonel Senator from Minnesota and former Committee on Natural Resources presidential candidate that gave key Michele Flournoy endorsement to Biden in the primaries Deb Haaland Former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Congresswoman from Arizona, one of the first Doug Jones Jeh Johnson Native American women elected to Congress Former Senator from Alabama and former U.S. Former Secretary of Homeland Security, and Attorney Martin Heinrich former General Counsel of the Department of Junior Senator from New Mexico Defense Elizabeth Sherwood-Randall Sally Yates Tom Udall Former Coordinator for Defense Policy, Former acting AG under Obama and outspoken Retiring Senator from New Mexico and son of Countering WMDs, and Arms Control under critic of Trump’s Department of Justice the former U.S. Secretary of Interior in the Obama 60’s, Stewart Udall Secretary of Secretary of Secretary of Agriculture Commerce Labor Marcia Fudge Ursula Burns Andy Levin Congresswoman from Ohio, Chair of the Member of the Board of Directors of Uber Congressman from MI, former labor organizer House Ag.