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V Ol.20, No.1, 2011 Vol.20, No.1, 2011 ISSN 1229-6902 Hyeong Jung Park Political Dynamics of Hereditary Succession in North Korea Ralph Hassig & Kongdan Oh Kim Jong-Un Inherits the Bomb You Ji No.1, 2011 Vol.20, Hedging Opportunities and Crises against Pyongyang’s Hereditary Succession: A Chinese Perspective Stephen Blank Rethinking the Six-Party Process on Korea Richard Weitz Moscow Ponders Korea Unification Gabriel Jonsson The Peace-keeping Role of the American Troops in South Korea Webpage : http://www.kinu.or.kr 영문저널(20-1)표지.indd 1 2011-07-06 오후 5:56:12 Guideline for Manuscript Submission International Journal of Korean Unification Studies As the National Research Foundation of Korea’s · Books: John Smith, China’s Revolution: registered journal as of 2009, The International Rise and Fall (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton Published biannually by the Korea Institute for National Unification Journal of Korean Unification Studies (ISSN NO. University Press, 1992), p. 37. 1229-6902) is biannually published by Korea · Article: K. J. Holsti, “The Horseman of Publisher Jae Jean Suh Institute for National Unification (KINU), a Apocalypse,” International Studies Quarterly, government-funded research institution in Vol. XXX, No. 4 (Spring 1992). pp. 55- Editor-in-chief Kyuryoon Kim the Republic of Korea specializing in areas of 89. Editors Jinwook Choi, Young-Tae Jeung, Hyeong Jung Park, unification policy, North Korean studies as · Collection: Samuel S. Kim, “Pyongyang, Jae-Jeok Park, Young-Ho Park well as international relations. the Third World, and Global Politics,” in Tae-Hwan Kwak et. al (eds.), The Assistant Editor Mi Kang Kim All articles published in the journal are Two Koreans in World Politics (Seoul: Copy Editor Meredith Shaw subject to review by relevant experts in the Kyungnam University Press, 1990), pp. field before they are accepted for publication. 20-21. KINU has the copyrights for all the articles · Newspaper: Joel Brinkley, “South Korea Editorial Advisory Board published in The International Journal of Offers Power if North Quits Arms Program,” Korean Unification Studies, and it reserves the New York Times, July 13, 2005, p. A6. Eui Chul Choi Sunchon National University, Korea right to edit for space. The views expressed · Dissertation: Adrew J. King, “Law and Dong-jin Chun Silla University, Korea in the Journal are those of the individual Land Use in Chicago: A Pre-history of contributions and do not necessarily Modern Zoning” (PhD. diss., University Li Ru Cui China Institutes of Contemporary International Relations, China represent the views of KINU. Alexander Fedorovskiy Institute of World Economy and International Relations, RAS, Russia of Wisconsin, 1976), pp. 32-37. · Website: Benedict Anderson, “From L. Gordon Flake The Maureen and Mike Mansfield Foundation, USA MANUSCRIPT Miracle to Clash,” London Review of Michael J. Green Center for Strategic & International Studies, USA The author may submit articles for con- Books, Vol. 20, No. 8, 1998, http://www. Hajime Izumi University of Shizuoka, Japan sideration via E-Mail at [email protected]. Irb.co.uk/v20n08/2008.html. Young Whan Kihl Iowa State University, USA The deadlines for manuscript submission are c) The second mention where notes are consecutive: Ibid., and page number(s) Do Tae Kim Chungbuk National University, Korea as follows: April 15 for Summer Issue and October 15 for Winter Issue respectively. where necessary. Ming Lee National Chengchi University, Taiwan d) The second mention where notes are Marcus Noland Institute for International Economics, USA American-English as standard format, not consecutive: use author’s last name, Masao Okonogi Keio University, Japan manuscripts should be double-spaced and short version of title, and page number(s) footnoted with a full list of bibliographies where necessary. Edward A. Olsen Naval Post-Graduate School, USA quoted throughout the footnotes. The length e) The second mention where notes are not Han Shik Park University of Georgia, USA required for articles should be 6,500-7,000 consecutive: Op. cit., and page number(s) Scott Snyder Asia Foundation/Pacific Forum CSIS, USA words in 12-font size, using Microsoft Word where necessary. Ho-Yeol Yoo Korea University, Korea only. An abstract of 200 words plus the B. Illustrations such as Tables and Figures same length of contributors’ resume should should be inserted in the text and accompany the manuscript. numbered consecutively. For information regarding manuscript submission and subscription, C. References: A full list of bibliographies please contact the e-mail address listed below. Submission of a paper will be held to imply quoted throughout the footnotes should be that it contains original unpublished work provided at the end of manuscript. International Journal of Korean Unification Studies and is not being submitted for publication Korea Institute for National Unification elsewhere; manuscripts under consideration We will provide honorarium for the articles 275, 4·19(Sailgu)-Gil, Gangbuk-Ku, Seoul 142-728, Republic of Korea for publication elsewhere are ineligible. TEL: (82-2) 9012 658 FAX: (82-2) 9012 545 that have been chosen for publication. Please E-Mail: [email protected] Webpage: http://www.kinu.or.kr/eng send your manuscripts or inquiries to the FOOTNOTES AND REFERENCES e-mail address listed below. Annual Subscription Rates (two issues) The first page of the manuscript should Domestic (individual & institution) 20,000 Won contain the following information: the paper International Journal of Korean Unification Studies Overseas (individual & institution) US$30 (by airmail) title; the name(s) of the author(s). Korea Institute for National Unification * The rates are subject to change without notice. Submissions should be prepared to adhere to 275, 4·19(Sailgu)-Gil, Gangbuk-Ku the following reference format conventions: Seoul 142-728, Republic of Korea ISSN 1229-6902 A. Footnotes: Tel: (82-2) 9012 658 Fax: (82-2) 9012 545 Publication Date: June 30, 2011 a) Footnotes should be appended at the E-Mail: [email protected] Copyright©2011 by the Korea Institute for National Unification, Seoul, Republic of Korea end of each page of the manuscript. Webpage: http://www.kinu.or.kr/eng Printed by Neulpumplus Ltd. (TEL: (82-70) 7090 1177 FAX: (82-2) 2275 5327) b) The first citation of a reference should appear as follows: 영문저널(20-1)표지.indd 2 2011-07-06 오후 5:56:12 2011 Vol. 20, No. 1 CONTENTS Feature Theme: Power Succession Process in North Korea and Analysis of its Internal and External Factors Political Dynamics of Hereditary Succession in North Korea Hyeong Jung Park ······· 1 Kim Jong-un Inherits the Bomb Ralph Hassig & Kongdan Oh ····· 31 Hedging Opportunities and Crises against Pyongyang’s Hereditary Succession: A Chinese Perspective You Ji ····· 55 Rethinking the Six-Party Process on Korea Stephen Blank ····· 88 Moscow Ponders Korea Unification Richard Weitz ··· 123 The Peace-keeping Role of the American Troops in South Korea Gabriel Jonsson ··· 155 Contributors Hyeong Jung Park is a senior research fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification (KINU). His main research covers the politics and economy of North Korea, inter-Korean relations, the East Asia policy of the United States, comparative dictatorships and development assistance. He received his Ph.D. in political science from Philipps University in Marburg, Germany. He has been active as a policy adviser to the government as well as humanitarian and human rights NGOs and as a commentator for Korean and foreign media. He was an Eisenhower Fellow in 2002 and a visiting fellow at the Center for East Asia Policy Studies at Brookings from 2006-2007. He has written a number of books and research and policy papers in Korean and English. His recent articles include “Changes in the Political System since the 1990s in North Korea,” Policy Studies, Vol. 168 (Spring 2011); Revisiting North Korea’s ‘Change’ and Suggestions for North Korea Policy (in Korean) (Seoul: KINU, 2009); and North Korea’s Political System during Kim Jong-il’s Rein (in Korean) (Seoul: KINU, 2004). Ralph Hassig is an independent scholar specializing in North Korean affairs and an adjunct professor of psychology at the University of Maryland University College, where he teaches courses in social psychology, organizational behavior, consumer psychology, and political psychology. He was educated at Albion College (B.A. in psychology), UCLA (M.A. and Ph.D. in social psychology), and the University of San Francisco (M.B.A. in marketing). He has taught psychology at Albion College, George Mason University, and the University of Maryland University College in the United States and abroad. He has also taught marketing at the University of Southern California and California State University at Los Angeles, and English at the University of San Francisco. He is the co-author of North Korea through the Looking Glass (Brookings Institution Press, 2000) and The Hidden People of North Korea (Rowman & Littlefield, 2009). His recent articles on North Korea include “Military Confrontation on the Korean Peninsula,” Korean Journal of Security Affairs (in press), and “North Korea in 2009: The Song Remains the Same,” Asian Survey (January/ February 2010). Kongdan Oh is a research staff member at the Institute for Defense Analyses (IDA) and a non-resident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution. She was formerly a member of the political science department of the RAND Corporation and has taught courses at a number of universities. She is a member of the Council on Foreign Relations, a Korea Working Group member at the United States Institute of Peace, a member of the Board of Directors of the United States Committee of the Council for Security Cooperation in the Asia-Pacific, and the co-founder and former co-director of The Korea Club of Washington, D.C. She received her B.A. at Sogang University and her M.A. at Seoul National University. She subsequently earned M.A.
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