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National Development Plan (2010/11 - 2014/15)

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National Development Plan (2010/11 - 2014/15) NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN (2010/11 - 2014/15) VISION: A TRANSFORMED UGANDAN SOCIETY FROM A PEASANT TO A MODERN AND PROSPEROUS COUNTRY WITHIN 30 YEARS THEME: GROWTH, EMPLOYMENT AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION FOR PROSPERITY April 2010 FOREWORD The Ugandan economy experienced varying growth rates when the Poverty Eradication Action Plan was being implemented, with an average GDP growth rate of 7.2 per cent between 1997/98 and 2000/01, to 6.8 per cent between 2000/01 and 2003/04, increasing to 8 per cent over the period 2004/05 to 2007/08. Based on economic forecasts, GDP growth rate over the National Development Plan (NDP) period is projected at an average of 7.2 per cent per annum. At this GDP growth rate, nominal per capita income is projected to increase from USD 506 in 2008/09 to about USD 850 by 2014/15. During the same period, the proportion of people living below the poverty line is expected to decline from the level of 31 per cent in 2005/06 to about 24.5 per cent in 2014/2015, above the MDG target of 28 per cent. The NDP also addresses structural bottlenecks in the economy in order to accelerate socioeconomic transformation for prosperity. The NDP interventions aim at creating employment, raising average per capita income levels, improving the labour force distribution in line with sectoral GDP shares, raising country human development and gender equality indicators, and improving the country’s competitiveness to levels associated with middle income countries. This requires the sustained orientation of Government expenditures and implementation capacity towards removal of the most binding constraints to the faster socio-economic transformation. Government’s efforts shall be directed towards transforming Uganda from a predominantly peasant-based economy to a just, peaceful and prosperous middle-income country. During the Plan period, the investment priorities will include: physical infrastructure development mainly in energy, railway, waterways and air transport; Human resources development in areas of education, skills development, health, water and sanitation; facilitating availability and access to critical production inputs especially in agriculture and industry; and promotion of science, technology and innovation. The development approach of the NDP intertwines economic growth and poverty eradication. This will be pursued in a quasi-market environment where the private sector will remain the engine of growth and development. The Government, in addition to undertaking the facilitating role through the provision of conducive policy, institutional and regulatory framework will also actively promote and encourage public-private partnerships in a rational manner. Furthermore, the Government will continue to pursue outward-oriented policies by encouraging foreign investments and exports with high value addition, as well as pursuing sound macroeconomic policy and management. A “Business Approach” will be pursued to improve public service delivery. In addition, synergies and inter-intra sectoral linkages will be harnessed during the implementation of the NDP. i tablE OF CONTENTS FOREWORD............................................................................................i list OF acROnyms.............................................................................xi paRT 1: OVERVIEW.............................................................xxi CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION.................................................................1 1.1 BACKGROUND........................................................................................1 1.2 CONTEXT OF THE PLAN..........................................................................3 1.3 THE THRUST OF THE NDP.......................................................................4 1.4 STRUCTURE OF THE NDP.......................................................................6 CHAPTER 2: situatiON analysis.......................................................9 2.1 MACROECONOMIC PERFORMANCE ......................................................9 2.2 MOST BINDING CONSTRAINTS ............................................................27 paRT 2: stRatEgic DIREctiON anD thE NDP stRatEgy ..................................................................35 CHAPTER 3: thE stRatEgic DIREctiON...........................................37 3.1 VISION...................................................................................................37 3.2 THE NDP THEME AND OBJECTIVES.......................................................38 3.3 PRINCIPLES OF THE PLAN....................................................................40 CHAPTER 4: thE NDP stRatEgy........................................................43 4.1 Strategy Context.............................................................................43 4.2 strategies for Unlocking the Binding Constraints................44 4.3 Investment Priorities AND NATIONAL CORE PROJECTS..................48 4.4 Macro-economic Strategy.............................................................54 4.5 Financing strategy..........................................................................62 4.6 Roles of the State, the Private sector, Civil Society and development partners....................................................................64 4.7 MULTI-LATERAL AND BILATERAL PARTNERSHIPS ................................67 4.8 DEVELOPMENT INDICATORS AND TARGETS..........................................71 iii NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLAN 2010/11 - 2014/15 paRT 3: SEctORal situatiON analysES, OBJEctiVES anD intERVEntiOns..........................................................75 CHAPTER 5: PRimaRY GROWth SEctORS.........................................77 5.1 AGRICULTURE DEVELOPMENT .............................................................77 5.2 FORESTRY SECTOR .............................................................................91 5.3 TOURISM .............................................................................................99 5.4 MINING SECTOR ................................................................................107 5.5 OIL AND GAS SECTOR........................................................................114 5.6 MANUFACTURING ..............................................................................118 5.7 INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY ........................123 5.8 HOUSING DEVELOPMENT.....................................................................131 CHAPTER 6: COmplEMEntaRY SEctORS........................................137 6.1 SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY...............................................................137 6.2 TRANSPORT SECTOR..........................................................................141 6.3 ENERGY SECTOR ...............................................................................149 6.4 WATER FOR PRODUCTION..................................................................156 6.5 LAND MANAGEMENT AND ADMINISTRATION ......................................160 6.6 PHYSICAL PLANNING..........................................................................167 6.7 URBAN DEVELOPMENT........................................................................171 6.8 TRADE DEVELOPMENT .......................................................................175 6.9 FINANCIAL SERVICES..........................................................................183 6.10 COOPERATIVES...................................................................................192 CHAPTER 7: SOcial SEctORS..........................................................197 7.1 POPULATION.......................................................................................197 7.2 LABOUR AND EMPLOYMENT ..............................................................204 7.3 EDUCATION AND SPORTS....................................................................208 7.4 SKILLS DEVELOPMENT ......................................................................237 7.5 HEALTH AND NUTRITION SECTOR ......................................................246 7.6 HIV/AIDS ............................................................................................264 7.7 WATER AND SANITATION......................................................................268 7.8 SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT SECTOR.........................................................275 CHAPTER 8: Enabling SEctORS.....................................................287 8.1 LEGISLATURE.......................................................................................287 8.2 JUSTICE, LAW AND ORDER..................................................................290 8.3 NATIONAL DEFENCE AND SECURITY....................................................303 8.4 ENVIRONMENT.....................................................................................309 8.5 CLIMATE CHANGE................................................................................315 8.6 WATER RESOURCE MANAGEMENT.......................................................317 8.7 METEOROLOGY SECTOR.....................................................................324 8.8 WETLAND MANAGEMENT ...................................................................326 8.9 DEVELOPMENT OF NATIONAL STATISTICS .........................................330 8.10 STANDARDS AND QUALITY INFRASTRUCTURE....................................334 8.11 PUBLIC SECTOR MANAGEMENT..........................................................339 8.12 ACCOUNTABILITY SECTOR..................................................................351
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