Codetermination's Effect on Firm Performance Through the Great
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CODETERMINATION’S EFFECT ON FIRM PERFORMANCE THROUGH THE GREAT RECESSION: A CROSS-COUNTRY ANALYSIS BETWEEN GERMANY AND THE UNITED KINGDOM Charles Dana Talcott A thesis submitted to the faculty at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the undergraduate business major at the Kenan-Flagler Business School. Chapel Hill 2018 Approved by: David Ravenscraft Douglas A. Elvers Paul Rowe © 2018 Charles Dana Talcott ALL RIGHTS RESERVED ii ABSTRACT Charles Dana Talcott: Codetermination’s Effect on Firm Performance through the Great Recession: A Cross-Country Analysis between Germany and the United Kingdom (Under the direction of David Ravenscraft) This thesis examines the effects of German codetermination on firm profitability, productivity, employment, and wages. In addition to laying out the theoretical considerations regarding codetermination, this thesis contains a review of the empirical studies of codetermination conducted to date and a unique study comparing German and British firms through the Great Recession (2007–2010) and the recovery thereafter (2011–2014). Using four multiple regression models, I compare a sample of German codetermined firms (n = 71) with a comparable set of British firms (n = 291) that feature no board-level employee representation. The results of the empirical analysis indicate that property rights theorists are incorrect in concluding that codetermination causes firms to underperform. These findings are consistent with the results of previous studies of codetermination. At the end of this thesis, I outline several promising areas for future research on codetermination. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The successful completion of this thesis would not have been possible without the help of several members of the UNC community. Thank you for your guidance and support. Dr. David Ravenscraft, thank you for continually offering helpful solutions to the numerous challenges I faced over the course of my research and for taking time away from your own work to guide me in mine. Dr. Patricia Harms, thank you for teaching me how to conduct research and explore new topics, and how to properly format and cite my written work. Without your instruction and support this fall semester, I could not have begun to research and write this thesis. David Ernsthausen, thank you for helping me find the proper data and library resources needed to conduct this research and for being so generous with your time and patience. Time after time, I was impressed by how responsive and thorough you were in offering your help. Dr. Christopher Wiesen, thank you for helping me with my statistical analysis and for your encouragement later on in writing my thesis. Surely, every honors thesis candidate would be lucky to work with you. Finally, I thank my entire family and, especially, my parents and brother, Robert, for their continual support and encouragement. They inspired me to keep going through thick and thin. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES ....................................................................................................................... viii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS ........................................................................................................ ix CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................... 1 German Codetermination as Corporate Governance .................................................................. 1 The Legal Framework and Development of Codetermination ................................................... 3 The State of Codetermination in Germany Today ...................................................................... 5 Corporate Governance and Codetermination in the United Kingdom ........................................ 6 CHAPTER 2: LITERATURE REVIEW ........................................................................................ 8 Theoretical Considerations ......................................................................................................... 8 Participation theory applied to codetermination. .................................................................... 8 Property rights theory applied to codetermination. ................................................................. 9 Empirical Studies to Date ......................................................................................................... 11 Profitability and productivity. ............................................................................................... 14 Shareholder value. ................................................................................................................. 15 Employment and wages. ....................................................................................................... 16 Issues with the existing literature. ......................................................................................... 17 CHAPTER 3: METHODOLOGY ................................................................................................ 19 v Using the Great Recession as a Magnifier of Board-Level Conflicts ....................................... 19 Hypotheses for Empirical Analysis .......................................................................................... 20 Operating profit. .................................................................................................................... 20 Revenue per employee. ......................................................................................................... 21 Employment growth. ............................................................................................................. 21 Wage growth. ........................................................................................................................ 22 Data selection and collection. ............................................................................................... 22 Country selection. ................................................................................................................. 23 Forming the German sample. ................................................................................................ 24 Forming the British sample. .................................................................................................. 25 Empirical Analysis Design ....................................................................................................... 26 Variables. .............................................................................................................................. 26 Regression Analysis .................................................................................................................. 32 Regression output. ................................................................................................................. 32 CHAPTER 4: DISCUSSION ........................................................................................................ 37 Conclusion ................................................................................................................................ 37 Limitations ................................................................................................................................ 38 Macro-economic differences. ............................................................................................... 38 Access to data. ...................................................................................................................... 39 Statistical analysis. ................................................................................................................ 40 vi Opportunities for Future Research ............................................................................................ 41 Ideal one-third codetermined comparable companies. ......................................................... 41 Cross-country analysis with Belgium. .................................................................................. 42 Case studies and conversations. ............................................................................................ 43 Countries with similar cultures. ............................................................................................ 43 Comparing codetermination and unionization. ..................................................................... 44 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................. 45 vii LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1 Forms of Codetermination in Germany Today ............................................................... 4 Table 2.1. Empirical Studies of German Codetermination to Date .............................................. 12 Table 3.1. Dependent and Independent Variable .......................................................................... 29 Table 3.2. Multiple Regression Output ......................................................................................... 35 Table 4.1. British and German GDP Growth Rates 2007–2014 ................................................... 39 Table 4.2. Structure of GDP output in Belgium, Germany, and the United Kingdom in 2007 .... 43 viii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS CJEU Court of Justice of the European Union DID Differences-in-Differences EU European Union GDP Gross Domestic Product M&A Mergers & Acquisitions OLS Ordinary Least Squares