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Police-reported Crime Statistics in Canada Still More Questions Than Answers SCOTT NEWARK February 2013 A Macdonald-Laurier Institute Publication True North in Canadian Public Policy Board of Directors Advisory Council CHAIR Purdy Crawford Rob Wildeboer Former CEO, Imasco, Counsel at Osler Hoskins Chairman, Martinrea International Inc., Toronto Jim Dinning Former Treasurer of Alberta MANAGING DIRECTOR Brian Lee Crowley Don Drummond Former Clifford Clark Visiting Economist Economics Advisor to the TD Bank, Matthews Fellow in at Finance Canada Global Policy and Distinguished Visiting Scholar at the School of Policy Studies at Queen’s University SECRETARY Brian Flemming Lincoln Caylor International lawyer, writer and policy advisor Partner, Bennett Jones, Toronto Robert Fulford Former editor of Saturday Night magazine, columnist TREASURER with the National Post, Toronto Martin MacKinnon CFO, Black Bull Resources Inc., Halifax Calvin Helin Aboriginal author and entrepreneur, Vancouver DIRECTORS Hon. Jim Peterson John Beck Former federal cabinet minister, Partner at Chairman and CEO, Aecon Construction Ltd., Fasken Martineau, Toronto Toronto Maurice B. Tobin Erin Chutter The Tobin Foundation, Washington DC President and CEO, Puget Ventures Inc., Vancouver Navjeet (Bob) Dhillon Research Advisory Board CEO, Mainstreet Equity Corp., Calgary Janet Ajzenstat Keith Gillam Professor Emeritus of Politics, McMaster University Former CEO of VanBot Construction Ltd., Toronto Brian Ferguson Wayne Gudbranson Professor, health care economics, University of Guelph CEO, Branham Group, Ottawa Jack Granatstein Stanley Hartt Historian and former head of the Canadian Chair, Macquarie Capital Markets Canada War Museum Les Kom Patrick James BMO Nesbitt Burns, Ottawa Professor, University of Southern California Peter John Nicholson Rainer Knopff Former President, Canadian Council of Academies, Professor of Politics, University of Calgary Ottawa Larry Martin Rick Peterson George Morris Centre, University of Guelph President, Peterson Capital, Vancouver Christopher Sands Jacquelyn Thayer Scott Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute, Washington DC Past President, Professor, Cape Breton University, William Watson Sydney Associate Professor of Economics, McGill University For more information visit: www.MacdonaldLaurier.ca MLIStandardPages06-2012.indd 1 12-06-05 2:51 PM Table of Contents 1. Introduction ................................................................................................1 True North in Canadian Public Policy 2. Continuing Methodology Issues 2.1 Non-reporting of Crime .................................................................... 2 2.2 “Most Serious Incident” Methodology ............................................. 3 Board of Directors Advisory Council 2.3 Crime Severity Index ......................................................................... 4 CHAIR Purdy Crawford 2.4 Reduction of Historical Data for Trend Analysis ............................ 5 Rob Wildeboer Former CEO, Imasco, Counsel at Osler Hoskins 2.5 Offender Profile Information ............................................................ 5 Chairman, Martinrea International Inc., Toronto Jim Dinning Former Treasurer of Alberta 2.6 Revised reporting of Offence Categories ......................................... 6 MANAGING DIRECTOR Brian Lee Crowley Don Drummond 3. Report Highlights ...................................................................................... 6 Former Clifford Clark Visiting Economist Economics Advisor to the TD Bank, Matthews Fellow in 3.1 Overall Crime Declining ..................................................................... 7 at Finance Canada Global Policy and Distinguished Visiting Scholar at the School of Policy Studies at Queen’s University 3.2 Violent Crime Declining ..................................................................... 7 SECRETARY Brian Flemming 3.3 Homicides ........................................................................................... 8 Lincoln Caylor International lawyer, writer and policy advisor 3.4 Robberies ............................................................................................ 8 Partner, Bennett Jones, Toronto Robert Fulford Former editor of Saturday Night magazine, columnist 3.5 Sexual Offences .................................................................................. 8 TREASURER with the National Post, Toronto Martin MacKinnon 3.6 Break-ins ............................................................................................. 9 CFO, Black Bull Resources Inc., Halifax Calvin Helin 3.7 Impaired Driving ................................................................................ 9 Aboriginal author and entrepreneur, Vancouver DIRECTORS Hon. Jim Peterson 3.8 Drug Crimes ....................................................................................... 9 John Beck Former federal cabinet minister, Partner at 3.9 Youth Crime .......................................................................................10 Chairman and CEO, Aecon Construction Ltd., Fasken Martineau, Toronto 4. Relevant Information Not Highlighted .................................................... 11 Toronto Maurice B. Tobin Erin Chutter The Tobin Foundation, Washington DC 4.1 Homicides ......................................................................................... 11 President and CEO, Puget Ventures Inc., Vancouver 4.2 Attempt Murder/Aggravated Assault/Assault with Weapon ..........12 Research Advisory Board Navjeet (Bob) Dhillon 4.3 Assault of a Peace Officer ................................................................12 CEO, Mainstreet Equity Corp., Calgary Janet Ajzenstat 4.4 Sex Assault with Weapon/Bodily Harm ..........................................12 Keith Gillam Professor Emeritus of Politics, McMaster University Former CEO of VanBot Construction Ltd., Toronto 4.5 Crimes against Children ...................................................................12 Brian Ferguson Wayne Gudbranson Professor, health care economics, University of Guelph 4.6 Drug Offences ..................................................................................12 CEO, Branham Group, Ottawa Jack Granatstein 4.7 Forcible Confinement/Kidnapping .................................................13 Stanley Hartt Historian and former head of the Canadian 4.8 Bail/Court Order Violations ............................................................13 Chair, Macquarie Capital Markets Canada War Museum Les Kom Patrick James 4.9 Shootings/Stabbings ........................................................................14 BMO Nesbitt Burns, Ottawa Professor, University of Southern California 4.10 Solve/Clearance Rates ...................................................................14 Peter John Nicholson Rainer Knopff 5. Conclusions and Recommendations .......................................................16 Former President, Canadian Council of Academies, Professor of Politics, University of Calgary Key Issues ..............................................................................................16 Ottawa Larry Martin Rick Peterson George Morris Centre, University of Guelph Short-term Reforms ..............................................................................16 President, Peterson Capital, Vancouver Christopher Sands Medium-term Reforms ..........................................................................17 Jacquelyn Thayer Scott Senior Fellow, Hudson Institute, Washington DC Past President, Professor, Cape Breton University, William Watson Sydney Associate Professor of Economics, McGill University The author of this document has worked independently and is solely responsible for the views presented here. The opinions are not necessarily those of the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, its directors or supporters. For more information visit: www.MacdonaldLaurier.ca MLIStandardPages06-2012.indd 1 12-06-05 2:51 PM Executive Summary Juristat’s (a division of Statistics Canada) annual Police-reported Crime Statistics in Canada provides an incomplete portrait of crime in Canada because of the way it collects and