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The Next Chapter in a Storied Relationship

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APRIL 2016 Canada-US relations The next chapter in a storied relationship Also INSIDE: Trudeau avoids his Q&A with Planners: Budget 2016: father’s footsteps Derek Burney Look out for the No cause for in Washington and David Wilkins driverless car alarm? PublishedPublished by by the the Macdonald-Laurier Macdonald-Laurier Institute Institute PublishedBrianBrian Lee Lee Crowley, byCrowley, the Managing Macdonald-LaurierManaging Director,Director, [email protected] [email protected] Institute David Watson,JamesJames Anderson,Managing Anderson, Editor ManagingManaging and Editor, Editor,Communications Inside Inside Policy Policy Director Brian Lee Crowley, Managing Director, [email protected] James Anderson,ContributingContributing Managing writers:writers: Editor, Inside Policy Past contributors ThomasThomas S. AxworthyS. Axworthy ContributingAndrewAndrew Griffith writers: BenjaminBenjamin Perrin Perrin Thomas S. AxworthyDonald Barry Laura Dawson Stanley H. HarttCarin Holroyd Mike Priaro Peggy Nash DonaldThomas Barry S. Axworthy StanleyAndrew H. GriffithHartt BenjaminMike PriaroPerrin Mary-Jane Bennett Elaine Depow Dean Karalekas Linda Nazareth KenDonald Coates Barry PaulStanley Kennedy H. Hartt ColinMike Robertson Priaro Carolyn BennettKen Coates Jeremy Depow Paul KennedyPaul Kennedy Colin RobertsonGeoff Norquay Massimo Bergamini Peter DeVries Tasha Kheiriddin Benjamin Perrin Brian KenLee Crowley Coates AudreyPaul LaporteKennedy RogerColin Robinson Robertson Ken BoessenkoolBrian Lee Crowley Brian Dijkema Audrey LaporteJeremy Kinsman Roger RobinsonJeffrey Phillips Scott Brison BrianCarlo Lee Dade CrowleyDon Drummond AudreyIan Lee LaporteSteven Langdon RobinRoger V. Robinson SearsMike Priaro Carlo Dade Ian Lee Robin V. Sears Derek Burney John Duffy Audrey Laporte Richard Remillard LauraCarlo Dawson Dade Janice MacKinnonIan Lee MunirRobin Sheikh V. Sears Catherine CanoLaura Dawson Patrice Dutil Janice MacKinnonBrad Lavigne Munir SheikhRobin V. Sears Michael Chong GuyLaura Giorno DawsonMartha Hall FindlayLindaJanice Nazareth MacKinnonIan Lee AlexMunir Wilner SheikhMunir Sheikh Dan CiuriakGuy Giorno Tom Flanagan Linda NazarethMeredith MacDonald Alex WilnerJohn Thompson StephenGuy Greene Giorno GeoffLinda NorquayNazareth Alex Wilner Scott Clark Chrystia Freeland Janice MacKinnon Gil Troy Stephen Greene Geoff Norquay Ken Coates Stephen GreeneDaniel Gagnier Geoff NorquayVelma McColl Michael Watts Past contributors: Mary-Jane Bennett, Carolyn Bennett, Massimo Bergamini, Ken Boessenkool, Brian Bohunicky, Scott Brison, Celine Cooper Guy Giorno Ted Menzies Alex Wilner Derek Burney, Catherine Cano, Dan Ciuriak, Scott Clark, Philip Cross, Celine Cooper, Peter DeVries, Don Drummond, John Duffy, Past contributors:PastPhilip contributors: Cross Mary-Jane Mary-Jane Bennett, Bennett,Stephen Carolyn Carolyn Greene Bennett, Bennett, Massimo Massimo Bergamini,Robert Bergamini, P. Murphy Ken Ken Boessenkool, Brian Brian Bohunicky, Bohunicky, Scott Scott Brison, Brison, Patrice Dutil, Joseph Fantino, Daniel Gagnier, Brad Lavigne, Tasha Kheiriddin, Jeremy Kinsman, Steven Langdon, Velma McColl, Derek Burney,Derek Burney,Catherine Catherine Cano, Cano,Dan Ciuriak, Dan Ciuriak, Scott Scott Clark, Clark, Philip Philip Cross, Cross, Celine Celine Cooper, Cooper, Peter DeVries,DeVries, Don Don Drummond, Drummond, John John Duffy, Duffy, Ted Menzies,Cover photo: Robert Adam P. Murphy, Scotti, Peggy Office Nash, of Gil the Troy, Prime Michael Minister Watts. Patrice Dutil,Patrice Joseph Dutil, Fantino,Joseph Fantino, Daniel Daniel Gagnier, Gagnier, Brad Brad Lavigne, Lavigne, Tasha Tasha Kheiriddin, Kheiriddin, Jeremy Jeremy Kinsman, Steven Steven Langdon, Langdon, Velma Velma McColl, McColl, The contributors to this publication Productionhave worked independently designer: Renée and areDepocas solely responsible for the views presented here. Ted Menzies,Ted Menzies, Robert Robert P. Murphy, P. Murphy, Peggy Peggy Nash, Nash, Gil Gil Troy, Troy, MichaelMichael Watts.Watts. The opinions are not necessarily those of the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, its Directors or Supporters. The contributors to this publication have worked independently and are solely responsible for the views presented here. The contributors to this publication have worked independently and are solely responsible for the views presented here. The opinions are not necessarily those of the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, its Directors or Supporters. InsideThe Policy opinions is published are sixnot times necessarily a year by those the Macdonald-Laurier of the Macdonald-Laurier Institute. TheInstitute, contents its ofDirectors the magazine or Supporters. are copyrighted, but may be re-produced with permission in print, and downloaded free of charge from the MLI website: macdonaldlaurier.ca Inside Policy is published six times a year by the Macdonald-Laurier Institute. The contents of the magazine are copyrighted, Inside Policybut may is published be re-produced six times with apermission year by the in print,Macdonald-Laurier and downloaded Institute. free of charge The from contents the MLI of website:the magazine macdonaldlaurier.ca are copyrighted, For advertising information, please email: [email protected] but may be re-produced with permission in print, and downloaded free of charge from the MLI website: macdonaldlaurier.ca For advertising information, please email: [email protected]@macdonaldlaurier.ca Subscriptions: $39.95 per year; single issue, $6.95. | ISSN 1929-9095 (Print) | ISSN 1929-9109 (Online) For advertising information, please email: [email protected] Subscriptions: $39.95 per year; single issue, $6.95. | ISSN 1929-9095 (Print) | ISSN 1929-9109 (Online) The Macdonald-Laurier Institute is grateful to Intuit Canada for their support of Inside Policy magazine. Subscriptions: $39.95 per year; single issue, $6.95. | ISSN 1929-9095 (Print) | ISSN 1929-9109 (Online) The Macdonald-Laurier Institute is grateful to Intuit Canada for their support of Inside Policy magazine. Inside Policy: 8 York Street, Suite 200, Ottawa ON, Canada K1N 5S6, PH; 613-482-8327 The Macdonald-Laurier Institute is grateful to Intuit Canada for their support of Inside Policy magazine. Inside Policy: 8 York Street, Suite 200, Ottawa ON, Canada K1N 5S6, PH; 613-482-8327 2 Inside Policy — The Magazine of The Macdonald-Laurier Institute Inside Policy: 8 York Street, Suite 200, Ottawa ON, Canada K1N 5S6, PH; 613-482-8327 2 Inside Policy — The Magazine of The Macdonald-Laurier Institute 2 Inside Policy – The Magazine of The Macdonald-Laurier Institute insidepolicy [march].indd 2 14-04-01 10:00 AM 2 Inside Policy — The Magazine of The Macdonald-Laurier Institute insidepolicy [march].indd 2 14-04-01 10:00 AM insidepolicy [march].indd 2 14-04-01 10:00 AM From the editors Contents anadians have been captivated by an election campaign south of 4 Watch out, Canadian political elites. the border that has been defined by the rise of outsider candidates, We’re not immune from a Trump Stanley H. Hartt Democrat Bernie Sanders and Republican Donald Trump, with Cpotentially ominous implications for Canada. At the same time, a strong 7 Mr. Trudeau goes to Washington relationship seems to be forming between incoming Canadian Prime Minister Sean Speer Justin Trudeau and outgoing US President Barack Obama. These are fascinating 10 Trump and consequences? times for the world’s greatest cross-border relationship. The 2016 election and Canada’s By most accounts Trudeau’s state dinner in Washington last month was relations with the US a success, and MLI Senior Fellow Sean Speer observes that Trudeau seems Christopher Sands to be making a strong departure from Pierre Trudeau’s protectionist posture 12 Straight Talk on Canada-US relations on the US, and demonstrating his leadership qualities. Relationships at the with Derek Burney and David Wilkins top matter, agree Derek Burney and David Wilkins, former ambassadors to 16 The unexpected evangelist Washington and Ottawa respectively. The two had a wide-ranging discussion Elaine Carsley in a Q and A with MLI in which they reflected on the best relations between Canadian and US heads of government (and those that were not so good), 17 Budget 2016 shows Ottawa hasn’t yet potential trade irritants, the importance of working with Congress, and also learned to say ‘no’ Philip Cross the Trump/Sanders factor. Wilkins recalls the strong relationship between Stephen Harper and George W. Bush being important to getting things done: 19 A living wage is just another name “Upon learning directly from Prime Minister Harper how significant it was to for a tax on jobs him, to Canadians, and to the health and welfare of the US-Canadian relation- Brian Lee Crowley ship, President Bush immediately made resolving the softwood lumber dispute 20 Look out infrastructure planners, a top priority,” said Wilkins. here comes the driverless car Offering another perspective from the Washington side, Johns Hopkins Brian Flemming professor Christopher Sands writes that Canadians could be forgiven for wondering 25 In Europe, PR empowers what the current anti-establishment tone, and discouraging words about NAFTA the old and angry in the campaign mean for us. He points out that since the late 1980s, America’s Christian Leuprecht Canada policy, such as it is, has been fairly predictable. Not anymore. 26 Australia and Canada make And while we’re talking about the Trump phenomenon, Stanley Hartt perfect polar partners warns that Canada isn’t completely immune from a
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