socio-politic barometer

december 2017 report elaborated by: : Doru Petruţi – [email protected] Viorelia Bejenari – [email protected] www.imas.md

PardulDemocrat din beneficiary 27November 07– December data colleconperiod: Russian; and Romanian in network, [imas] the in operators 97 by homes respondents' the at out carried were interviews: excluding Moldova, of Republic the of populaon adult Transnistria;the the maximum error sampling 3.0%;± is for representave is sample the representaveness locality stages: randomizaon rural typeof types). selements (community center village); / (3 localies urban of size the (rural). residenal (ATUs). units administrave territorial 12 criteria: straficaon 1101 volume:sample strafiedprobability three-stages sampling, sampling, sampling; sampling: methodology respondents, 18 years over; and (74 selected localies), person;the household, the : :

2017; *Dateswere not weighted.

total environment residence naonality occupaon educaon age sex variable … structuresample socio-demographic profile socio-demographic villages cies other municipalies answerno other(russian, ukrainian etc.) moldavian/romanian answerno unemployed unemployed temporarily employed answerno educaon higher (post)school/college high school vocaonal or general incompleteaverage studies years 71 over 56-70 years old 41-55 years old 26-40 years old 18-25 years old female male group 512 count 1,101 623 226 252 1 182 918 2 464 120 515 1 362 180 455 103 92 333 279 278 119 589 46.5% percent 100.0% 56.6% 20.5% 22.9% 0.1% 16.5% 83.4% 0.2% 42.1% 10.9% 46.8% 0.1% 32.9% 16.3% 41.3% 9.4% 8.4% 30.3% 25.3% 25.2% 10.8% 53.5% social, economic, and political climate

Do you think that things in our country are going in a wrong or right direction?

4

22

Direcon is wrong

Direcon is right

DK/NA 74

www.imas.md 5

How sasfied or unsasfied are you with the economic How sasfied or unsasfied are you with the way in which situaon in the Rep. of Moldova? you live?

1 0

30 Not sasfied at all 1 Not sasfied at all 15 18 18 Not so sasfied Not so sasfied

Neither ..., nor ... Neither ..., nor ... 43 Rather sasfied Rather sasfied

Very sasfied Very sasfied 27 39 DK/NA 37 DK/NA

www.imas.md 6

How is your life currently as compared to one year ago? How do you think you are going to live in one year?

0

1 7 Much worse 8 5 Much worse 15 1 A lile bit worse 18 A lile bit worse 22 Almost the same Almost the same

Beer now 29 Beer

Much beer now Much beer

DK/NA DK/NA 55 39

www.imas.md 7 What are the biggest problems of Moldova right now?

% of the total sample, 1101 % of the total sample, 1101 respondents. respondents. Open queson; each Open queson; each respondent had the respondent had the possibility to count percent possibility to grant three variants of count percent grant three variants of answer. answer.

The lack of jobs 353 32.1% Sanitaon of the locality 37 3.4%

Low wages / too high prices for goods and ulies 320 29.1% Water supply, sewage, gasificaon 32 2.9%

Corrupon 314 28.5% Investments and jobs in rural areas 21 1.9%

Repairing roads 191 17.3% Disorder in the country, indifference, instability 20 1.8%

Poor economy developed 170 15.4% Reforms in jusce are not effecve 20 1.8%

Increase in pensions 156 14.2% Spiritual culture at a low level 19 1.7%

The polical situaon in the country 140 12.7% Aracng investors. Support small business 16 1.5%

Poverty 127 11.5% The of the billion 16 1.5%

Bad governance 99 9.0% Street lighng 16 1.5%

Migraon of the populaon 93 8.4% The oligarchic system, thievery, bandism 14 1.3%

Improving the medical system 83 7.5% Conflict with Transnistria 12 1.1%

Misinformaon, injusce, instability 51 4.6% Educaon too expensive 12 1.1%

Granng social benefits 48 4.4% Improving relaons with other states 11 1.0% *The difference of up to 300% are the non-responses (65%) and other Public transport unsasfactory 11 1.0% issues mentioned by respondents with a weight of less than 1% each. www.imas.md 8

Do you have a favorite party? If Yes, which one?

% of those who answered "Yes" to the previous queson, 294 respondents. Open queson; each respondent had count percent the opportunity to give one answer. 1 Pardul Socialișlor din Rep. Moldova (PSRM) 110 37.4%

27 Pardul Acune și Solidaritate - PAS 59 20.1% Yes Pardul Democrat din Moldova (PDM) 46 15.6%

No Plaorma DA (Demnitate și Adevăr) 18 6.1%

DK/NA Pardul Comunișlor din Rep. Moldova (PCRM) 15 5.1% 73 Pardul Liberal Democrat din Moldova (PLDM) 10 3.4% Pardul Liberal (PL) 10 3.4%

Pardul Nostru (PN) 9 3.1% Pardul Popular European din Moldova 5 1.7%

Pardul Șor 4 1.4% Pardul Unităţii Naţionale - PUN 4 1.4%

Other 4 1.3%

Total 294 100.0% www.imas.md 9 the socio-political agenda

Have you heard about the program launched by the Government - "First Home", a program by which young In general, what is your opinion about the program “First people can buy housing on advantageous terms? Home”?

1

5 15

Yes Good opinion 42 No Bad opinion

58 DK/NA DK/NA

81

www.imas.md 11

Did you hear about Vlad Plahotniuc’s announcement In general, what is your opinion about this decision to stop through which the Government stopped closing schools? the process of closing schools?

1

3 17

37 Yes A good opinion

No A bad opinion

62 DK/NA DK/NA

80

www.imas.md 12

With which of the following statements do you agree and disagree?

Agree Disagree DK/NA The State should subsidize the purchase of school uniforms for families 94 4 2 with low incomes School uniform reduces differences between pupils generated 87 10 3 by their families’ incomes

Pupils should wear school uniforms 87 11 2

Wearing of uniforms by pupils brings 85 12 3 more order and discipline in schools

Every school should decide what uniform model 71 24 5 is approved in the respecve school

School uniform may affect the personality, development and freedom 35 59 6 of expression of the pupil 0 20 40 60 80 100

www.imas.md 13

Did you hear about the fact that the referendum for Whom does the failure in the referendum advantage, in dismissing Chirtoacă failed because of insufficient presence your opinion? of voters?

% of those who answered "Yes" to the previous queson, 866 respondents. Open queson; each respondent had the count percent opportunity to give one answer. 1 The Democrac Party and Vlad Plahotniuc 144 16.6% Dorin Chirtoacă 97 11.2% 21 with Mihai Ghimpu 93 10.7% Yes Party of Socialists with 56 6.5% Populaon of Chisinau municipality 40 4.6% No Governance 21 2.4% DK/NA Silvia Radu 10 1.2% 79 Right pares 5 0.6% Power struggle 5 0.6% The Acon and Solidarity Party and the DA 3 0.3% ThePlaorm bandits 2 0.2% Developing the city 2 0.2% Supporters of the referendum 2 0.2% Democrac forces 1 0.1% 1 0.1% Liberal Democrac Party of Moldova 1 0.1% www.imas.md DK/NA 383 44.4% 14 Total 866 100.0%

Some NGOs with the support of PCRM, DA Plaorm, Our Do you consider it jusfied or not the spending of public Party came with the iniave to organize a referendum for money for a referendum on this topic? cancelling mixed vong?

9 17 27

38 A good opinion Yes, it is jusfied

A bad opinion No, it is not jusfied

DK/NA DK/NA

45 63

www.imas.md 15

For the first me, three MPs could be elected out of those who le abroad to represent in the Parliament the interests of Diaspora. What’s your opinion regarding the three MPs for diaspora ... ?

7 15

It is too big number of MPs

It is a sufficient number of MPs

40 It is too small number of MPs

37 DK/NA

www.imas.md 16

With which of the following statements do you agree and disagree?

Agree Disagree DK/NA If a referendum fails because of the reduced presence or its results are negave, the expenses related to the referendum should be covered by those 84 10 6 who have iniated the referendum and not by the state The policians who do not have results in front of cizens use the referendum to make 72 17 10 polical adversing for themselves As long as the condions imposed by law are observed, we should accept the referendum as part 60 27 13 of a democrac system

Referendum is an efficient modality for changing things 56 35 8

More referenda should be used, because only in this way the wishes 56 37 7 of people may be heard The costs related to the organizaon of a referendum should be covered 18 76 6 from public money (cizens’ money) 0 20 40 60 80 100

www.imas.md 17

How much trust do you have for the civil society in the Republic of Moldova? (acvity of associaons / public organizaons / NGOs)

9 2 24 At all/Very lile

16 Lile

A lot

Very much

DK/NA

49

www.imas.md 18

People have different opinions about the civil society (acvity of associaons/public organizaons/NGOs) acve in the Rep. of Moldova. To what extent do you agree with the following …?

Totally disagree Parally disagree Parally agree Totally agree DK/NA

The populaon knows very few things about their acvity 4 5 22 59 10

Their acvity is influenced by certain polical forces 5 9 36 31 20

These are organizaons for money laundry 6 8 34 32 21 Through their acvity, they may save even the lives of some people 9 9 33 30 18 Their acvity supports certain polical forces 6 8 35 27 23 The acvity of the civil society has posive effects on cizens 8 13 41 19 19 The society can develop quicker with their help 11 11 37 21 19

The impact of their acvity is reduced 6 13 39 20 23

They use inefficiently the money 6 10 32 26 26 of internaonal organizaons They are closer to people's expectaons 11 14 40 17 18

They solve certain problems unseled by the state 10 14 38 17 20

Civil society works in the interest of the cizens 10 17 39 16 18

0 20 40 60 80 100

www.imas.md 19

The Republic of Moldova registered economic growth in Please tell me how much or lile trust you have in the 2016 and 2017. Do you consider that the RM Government government led by Pavel Filip? has some merits or not in relaon to this situaon?

6 10 3 4 At all/Very lile 19 29 Yes, has important merit Lile Has some merit 40 A lot Has no merit Very much 44 DK/NA DK/NA

46

www.imas.md 20

How do you consider, should the future governance of the Republic of Moldova support the European vector or the Euro- Asian vector?

10 • The future governance should support the European vector The future governance should support the Euro-Asian vector 32 • 58 • DK/NA

How do you consider, what should the cizens do if the future governance decides to change the country’s foreign vector, abandoning the European integraon and supporng Euro-Asian integraon?

9 • Cizens should accept this decision 39 • Cizens should get out in the streets and protest against such a decision DK/NA 51 •

www.imas.md 21 institutions, politicians, parties

I would like to read out and to show Only for those who hear about the polical personality …, I would like you to tell you a list of some polical me for each one of them, how do you asses their acvity. Please answer on a scale personalies and you tell me if you from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very poor acvity”, and 10 = ”Very good acvity”. 99 = heard about them. ”No opinion/DNK/NR”.

Very poor Please answer on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very poor acvity”, and 10 = Very good % of the total sample, acvity ”Very good acvity”. acvity No opinion/ I have not 1101 respondents DNK/NR heard 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Andrian Candu 16.8 4.9 6.6 5.0 13.4 5.3 6.2 6.8 2.5 5.1 11.4 16.2 Dorin Chirtoacă 19.8 8.3 5.4 4.1 11.8 5.5 8.4 10.0 5.3 7.2 11.1 3.2 Viorel Cibotaru 5.9 2.5 3.1 2.3 4.5 1.7 2.9 1.7 1.1 1.5 8.0 64.8 Igor Dodon 21.4 7.3 5.9 4.9 12.8 5.6 6.6 8.5 6.6 14.4 4.9 0.9 Pavel Filip 13.7 6.4 6.3 7.8 12.2 6.8 7.4 10.5 5.9 8.7 7.5 6.8 Mihai Ghimpu 38.2 12.8 7.2 5.7 12.0 4.3 4.1 3.2 1.5 2.0 5.4 3.5 Zinaida Greceanîi 25.7 10.4 7.5 5.3 11.4 3.8 5.1 5.3 2.9 4.0 8.5 10.1 Iurie Leancă 20.3 9.8 8.4 8.6 11.6 6.7 6.9 5.6 2.4 2.3 8.2 9.1 Andrei Năstase 15.0 5.8 6.4 7.0 9.6 5.2 6.6 6.3 4.1 6.3 10.5 17.3 Vlad Plahotniuc 33.1 8.0 6.9 5.5 8.8 4.5 4.8 6.7 3.1 6.4 9.1 3.1 23.5 7.4 6.4 4.9 9.8 5.3 6.9 8.0 7.3 10.4 7.4 2.7 Renato Usai 31.4 10.0 6.4 5.9 9.8 4.2 4.0 4.9 2.1 5.2 11.9 4.2 18.8 9.5 8.7 8.6 14.8 7.6 7.5 7.2 3.3 5.7 6.8 1.4 Ilan Shor 23.3 7.6 3.5 5.1 9.0 3.5 4.1 5.8 2.5 5.1 12.3 18.3 Ion Sturza 8.5 4.0 7.3 4.4 7.6 4.2 3.7 3.3 2.0 2.6 13.0 39.4 Anatol Şalaru 12.7 5.0 5.5 4.2 5.9 2.5 3.5 3.2 1.0 1.6 8.8 46.0 www.imas.md 23 How do you assess the acvity of …?

% of total sample for grades 7-10, 1101 respondents

Igor Dodon 36 Maia Sandu 33 Pavel Filip 33 Dorin Chirtoacă 31 Vladimir Voronin 24 Andrei Năstase 23 Vlad Plahotniuc 21 Andrian Candu 21 Ilan Şor 18 Notes of 7-10 Zinaida Greceanîi 17 Iurie Leancă 17 Renato Usai 16 Ion Sturza 12

Mihai Ghimpu 11 Anatol Şalaru 9

Viorel Cibotaru 7

0 10 20 30 40 50 www.imas.md 24 Who of the following polical leaders (policians) can improve the situaon in our country in your opinion?

Yes No DK/NA

Igor Dodon 40 52 8 Maia Sandu 38 53 9 Pavel Filip 37 49 14 Andrei Năstase 29 48 24 Vlad Plahotniuc 26 63 11 Vladimir Voronin 21 71 8 Dorin Chirtoacă 21 68 11 Andrian Candu 20 54 26 Iurie Leancă 20 63 17 Zinaida Greceanîi 20 65 16 Renato Usai 19 70 11 Ilan Şor 17 60 24 Ion Sturza 15 38 47 Mihai Ghimpu 9 83 9 Anatol Şalaru 8 41 51 Viorel Cibotaru 5 25 70

0 20 40 60 80 100 www.imas.md 25

I would like to read and to show you Only for those who heard about the polical party or formaon …, I would like for a list of some polical pares and you to tell me for each of them how do you asses their acvity. Please answer on a formaons and for you to tell me if scale from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very poor acvity”, and 10 = ”Very good acvity”. 99 you hear about them. = ”Have no opinion/DNK/NR”

Very poor Please answer on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 = ”Very poor acvity”, and Very good Have no % of the total sample, acvity 10 = ”Very good acvity” acvity I have not opinion/ 1101 respondents heard 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DNK/NR

Pardul Comunişlor din Republica Moldova 20.9 10.5 10.3 8.5 14.7 5.3 5.5 5.5 2.1 6.1 9.1 1.5 (PCRM) Pardul Democrat din Moldova (PDM) 23.7 9.7 7.1 7.7 10.5 5.6 6.4 8.3 2.5 5.5 8.4 4.5

Pardul Liberal Democrat din Moldova (PLDM) 24.6 11.2 11.1 7.6 11.0 5.4 5.4 2.6 1.3 1.5 10.7 7.5

Pardul Liberal (PL) 31.2 11.9 10.0 5.3 9.0 5.5 4.5 2.6 1.4 1.4 8.4 8.9

Pardul Socialişlor din Rep. Moldova (PSRM) 21.9 8.3 6.3 7.4 12.1 6.4 5.5 8.1 4.5 10.4 6.7 2.4

Pardul Nostru 25.2 8.2 7.2 5.5 9.4 4.0 3.4 4.0 2.1 3.4 10.8 16.9

Pardul Popular European din Moldova (PPEM) 17.2 6.5 5.4 6.3 5.6 3.6 3.2 3.0 1.3 1.7 8.0 38.1

Plaorma DA (Demnitate şi Adevăr) 13.9 5.5 6.2 6.0 9.2 6.0 4.9 7.4 3.8 7.1 7.2 22.8

Pardul Acţiune și Solidaritate - PAS 17.1 6.8 5.3 5.4 8.2 5.6 5.5 7.0 5.7 9.3 6.9 17.3

Pardul Şor 21.9 7.4 5.4 4.7 6.2 3.1 3.2 3.5 1.9 3.1 10.8 28.8

Pardul Unităţii Naţionale – PUN 9.8 1.7 1.9 1.5 2.0 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.0 1.7 7.2 69.1 www.imas.md 26 How do you assess acvity of …?

% of total sample for grades 7-10, 1101 respondents

Pardul Socialişlor din Rep. Moldova (PSRM) 29

Pardul Acţiune și Solidaritate - PAS 28

Plaorma DA (Demnitate şi Adevăr) 23

Pardul Democrat din Moldova (PDM) 23

Pardul Comunişlor din 19 Republica Moldova (PCRM)

Pardul Nostru 13 Notes of 7-10

Pardul Şor 12

Pardul Liberal Democrat din Moldova 11 (PLDM)

Pardul Liberal (PL) 10

Pardul Popular European din Moldova 9 (PPEM)

Pardul Unităţii Naţionale – PUN 6

0 10 20 30 40 50 www.imas.md 27 Polical guidelines

Polical orientaon that you feel as the closest to your When talking about polical orientaon in general, would orientaon ...? you say that you are ...?

5 Social-democrat 19 19 25 Communist Of le wing Chrisan-democrat 34 Centrist Liberal 7 Of right wing Naonalis DK/NA None 30 32 13 5 10 DK/NA

www.imas.md 28

If early parliamentary elecons are organized, how interested are you in such early parliamentary elecons on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 means that you not interested at all in parliamentary elecons and 10 that you are very interested in these elecons?

1. Not interested at all ➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔➔ 10. Very interested DK/NA 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 99 28.2 3.6 2.6 2.5 13.4 4.3 6.1 9.0 5.1 23.6 1.6

How decided are you to vote for a parcular party at this me?

1

20 25 Very decided

Rather decided than undecided

Rather undecided than decided

Very undecided 26 DK/NA 28

www.imas.md 29 In your opinion, which political party or formation may improve the situation in our country?

Pardul Socialişlor din Rep. Moldova (PSRM) 22.0 Pardul Acţiune și Solidaritate – PAS 14.1

Pardul Democrat din Moldova (PDM) 11.9

Plaorma DA (Demnitate şi Adevăr) 5.8 Pardul Comunişlor din Republica Moldova 4.9 (PCRM) Pardul Nostru 2.4

Pardul Şor 1.7

Pardul Liberal (PL) 1.6

Pardul Unităţii Naţionale – PUN 1.5 Pardul Popular European din Moldova 1.4 (PPEM) Pardul Liberal Democrat din Moldova 1.3 (PLDM)

Other party, candidate 0.9

No one 17.3

DK/NA 13.3 www.imas.md 0 10 20 30 40 50 30 If next Sunday early parliamentary elections are organized, what party would you vote for?

% of the total sample, 1101 respondents % of those with a vong opon, 843 respondents

PSRM 24.7 PSRM 32.3 PAS 16.3 PAS 21.4 PDM 12.4 PDM 16.1 Plaorma DA 6.4 Plaorma DA 8.3 PCRM 5.0 Pardul Nostru 2.8 PCRM 6.5 PL 2.0 Pardul Nostru 3.7 Pardul Şor 1.9 PL 2.6 PPEM 1.8 Pardul Şor 2.5 PUN 1.6 PPEM 2.4 PLDM 1.5 Other party, PUN 2.1 0.2 candidate I will not vote 9.4 PLDM 1.9 Other party, 0.2 DK/NA 14.1 candidate 0 10 20 30 40 50 0 10 20 30 40 50

www.imas.md 31 external relations

If a referendum were held today on …, how would you vote?

Vote for joining Vote against joining I will not parcipate I am not decided No answer

Moldova joining the EU 60 25 3 10 2

Moldova joining the Custom Union 44 39 5 10 3

Unificaon of Rep. of Moldova 32 54 3 9 3 with

Moldova joining the NATO 21 58 5 12 4

0 20 40 60 80 100

www.imas.md 33

In the event you should decide next Sunday between EU and Customs Union, which one would you vote for?

8

European Union

36 Custom Union 56 DK/NA

www.imas.md 34 complete name IMAS Invest SRL short name imas general manager Doru Petruți [email protected] www.imas.md t/f: (+373 22) 260 096 m: (+373) 79 705 501