8-B150 ADP +/- Name Notes 9-B150 ADP +/- 1 2.3 1.3 James Harden Is there a such thing as a boring No. 1 8-cat pick? 4 1.6 -2.4 2 2 0 Anthony Davis Upside beyond this but there's a price to pay for risk, possible drama 1 2.2 1.2 3 7.3 4.3 Stephen Curry Sliding in drafts after sliding for two years. Time for a regression. 3 5.2 2.2 4 7.3 3.3 Karl-Anthony Towns Drama in Minnesota pending this is where he goes 2 5.9 3.9 5 6 1 Kevin Durant Only concern is chemistry; KD didn't have great playoffs despite MVP 5 5.7 0.7 6 2.7 -3.3 Giannis Antetokounmpo Would be nice to see another gear, especially on defensive side 7 3.6 -3.4 7 11.7 4.7 Kawhi Leonard Rating him as mostly the same guy; year off in athletic prime a mess 6 12.5 6.5 8 3 -5 LeBron James When LeBron wants to he can still climb (see last season) 9 5 -4 9 17 8 Victor Oladipo Emerging superstar exploring his ceiling still 10 12.4 2.4 10 7 -3 Russell Westbrook The knee is probably okay, but game built on explosion a concern 15 9.1 -5.9 11 10 -1 Damian Lillard You worry about things starting to break down/slow down for Dame. 8 10.1 2.1 12 18 6 Paul George Some upside beyond this if RW declines and PG needs to step up 12 13.5 1.5 13 8.3 -4.7 Nikola Jokic DEN has capable and emerging players, maybe full season of Millsap 11 9 -2 14 15.7 1.7 Joel Embiid For Embiid it's all about the blocks and if he regains his nastiness 17 16.8 -0.2 15 25.3 10.3 Jrue Holiday Emerging into one of the league's top guards 13 23.1 10.1 16 22.7 6.7 Chris Paul The upside isn't quite there and HOU will throttle back again this year 14 17.3 3.3 17 19 2 Kyrie Irving If anything, last season's caution with injuries helped keep miles off. 16 17.3 1.3 18 23 5 Devin Booker Hand injury aside, he has been given the keys to the franchise 26 25.6 -0.4 19 33.7 14.7 Khris Middleton Plenty in the tank, consistent and still scratching some upside 19 29.2 10.2 20 13 -7 Ben Simmons Lotsa variance in outcomes not just for him, but Sixers as a whole 36 15.6 -20.4 21 16 -5 John Wall A lot to prove this year as an elite player; lotsa question marks in WAS 44 23.7 -20.3 22 21 -1 Kemba Walker I worry a bit about his knee but production-wise he's safe as it gets 18 16.2 -1.8 23 21.3 -1.7 Donovan Mitchell Future MVP candidate can climb higher; but this includes improvement 37 17.5 -19.5 24 20 -4 Jimmy Butler Drama in Minnesota pending this is where he goes 20 23.7 3.7 25 28.3 3.3 Draymond Green He needs to re-energize his steals rate and keep improving efficiency 31 29.9 -1.1 26 46 20 Eric Bledsoe You might not like his game but he established his value last season 32 43.2 11.2 27 24 -3 DeMar DeRozan Similar fit as Kawhi had in SA, he'll run iso offense similarly 24 32.2 8.2 28 18.7 -9.3 Kyle Lowry Fit next to Kawhi and Toronto depth two reasons to fade him a bit 35 26.1 -8.9 29 48.7 19.7 Deandre Ayton Ayton looks more than competent to cash in on the PHO situation. 23 64.6 41.6 30 36 6 Marc Gasol Grinded thru pointless season - a good sign he might do it again 30 37 7 31 27.3 -3.7 Kevin Love Not quite Minnesota Love, but volume isn't going to be a problem 25 31.6 6.6 32 18 -14 Andre Drummond Fit next to Blake, FT questions of course. Last year he crushed 33 24.9 -8.1 33 41 8 Clint Capela He'll improve again this year but the market has caught up 22 36 14 34 26 -8 Bradley Beal More Wall this season will etch away at his value 41 22.2 -18.8 35 81.3 46.3 Enes Kanter The Knicks need him and he's pretty easy to peg nowadays 27 81.2 54.2 36 32 -4 Rudy Gobert I worry about his explosion and declines in areas he's valuable 28 26.5 -1.5 37 116 79 Taurean Prince The B150 said 41 last season and he finished 45. Drops microphone 53 63 10 38 74 36 Gary Harris Can he be underrated again this year? Probably 29 47.9 18.9 39 69 30 Jamal Murray Competition for touches will keep him efficient 55 42.8 -12.2 40 58.3 18.3 Otto Porter Game doesn't rely on excess touches; I'm still worried about the hip 21 34.8 13.8 41 85.3 44.3 Kris Dunn Defensive production is most of what we care about here 58 86 28 42 56 14 John Collins How high can he go? So much (deserved) hype, profit margins be damned 42 50.8 8.8 43 36.7 -6.3 Klay Thompson If he can get back to the foul line there's upside beyond this 40 28.5 -11.5 44 45.3 1.3 Mike Conley One had to suspect that MEM would use kid gloves last season 52 48.9 -3.1 45 32 -13 C.J. McCollum The super tight shooting in his breakout year appears to be outlier 39 30.8 -8.2 46 63 17 Myles Turner We'll be watching closely to see if he's not fat this season 34 44 10 47 53.3 6.3 Nikola Vucevic A trade could hurt him but he's also fairly consistent 50 58 8 48 63.3 15.3 Hassan Whiteside So many question marks; he could drift lower than this 43 72.8 29.8 49 66.3 17.3 Will Barton Paid to be what he was last season 51 62.5 11.5 50 99 49 Joe Ingles B150 had Joe at 60 last year. Everybody else had him at 120. 56 60.4 4.4 51 48 -3 Al Horford Loaded roster isn't helping him in the upside department 45 44.3 -0.7 52 88.3 36.3 Nikola Mirotic Can go higher than this; just needs to stay healthy and it's his 38 70 32 53 71 18 Jeff Teague Teague/Thibs might be worth watching after Teague spoke up last year 64 64.9 0.9 54 78.3 24.3 Jonas Valanciunas I'm not sensing massive breakout but he can plod his way to this 48 76 28 55 93 38 Robert Covington As official founders of Covington's bandwagon, we just wanted to brag a bit 49 56.2 7.2 56 50 -6 Tobias Harris A trendy name and a fairly safe mid-round play; profit margin issues 46 37.4 -8.6 57 30 -27 LaMarcus Aldridge One of the luckiest picks of last season. An entire season as the guy 47 35.4 -11.6 58 80.3 22.3 Dario Saric Does a lot for the Sixers and might finally get recognized this year 61 79.8 18.8 59 99 40 Josh Richardson Great year and he handled it last year, but Miami is crowded again 54 64.1 10.1 60 63 3 Zach LaVine He wants to be the No. 1 and will probably be healthy enough for it 71 65.8 -5.2 61 35.3 -25.7 Blake Griffin This is high and I might bring it back if I don't see a focus on efficiency 82 42.4 -39.6 62 48.3 -13.7 Lou Williams We're not gettting full Lou Williams this season (I don't think) 75 57.4 -17.6 63 40.7 -22.3 Jayson Tatum His ADP is high for the wrong reasons; but stat set supports value 57 44.3 -12.7 64 124 60 Jeremy Lamb An HB favorite; can go higher than this 59 145.4 86.4 65 130 65 Buddy Hield The Kings can screw this up any number of ways; great shooting stats 60 92.8 32.8 66 104 38 Kyle Anderson Was great last year but new fit means some variance potential 62 91.3 29.3 67 136.7 69.7 Jonathan Isaac Has untold fantasy upside. 65 104.4 39.4 68 55 -13 Ricky Rubio A safer mid-round PG that will produce if healthy 113 60.4 -52.6 69 51 -18 Aaron Gordon Moving away from the hoop not good for Gordon 68 42.8 -25.2 70 80 10 Steven Adams You worry about the physical pounding he's taken but this is safe 84 71.8 -12.2 71 164.3 93.3 Bobby Portis Flaws in the stat set but he's going to plod his way to value 69 140.2 71.2 72 53.7 -18.3 Paul Millsap A lot of reasons to fade Millsap this season (age/miles/production) 85 61.1 -23.9 73 81.7 8.7 Elfrid Payton Can be better than this but that presumes he can earn starter's mins 91 117.2 26.2 74 96.7 22.7 Tyreke Evans Finally found a shot.