Africa Soil Information Service africasoils.net

Open data science for agricultural landscapes

AfSIS: Open data science ... by Africa Soil Information Service is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 Unported License.

Thursday, October 1, 15 Main AfSIS product and service workflow

Workflow features: • Near-real time input data updating • Open source: R, Python, C++ ... • HPC-ready (e.g. AWS-EC2) • Code versioning on Github.com • OGC compliant • Statistically defined uncertainty

Thursday, October 1, 15 Map cropland distribution: GeoSurvey sign up and help at: http://geosurvey.kutabiri.com

Thursday, October 1, 15 Tanzania 250m, 1MQ GeoSurvey quadrat locations (2015) data at: https://www.dropbox.com/s/jtwmf7ck9ebh7bm/1MGS_cleaned.csv.zip?dl=0

+ Cropland present + Cropland absent

Thursday, October 1, 15 Tanzania grids (2015) Examples of new remote sensing covariates for digital soil mapping & monitoring data download at: https://www.dropbox.com/s/otiqe78s0kf1z1s/TZ_grids.zip?dl=0 download at: ftp://africagrids.net fPAR LSTD

MODIS & Landsat MODIS land energy reflectance & balance (e.g, LST, vegetation products albedo)

MAP TCI

TRMM & other RFE SRTM & ASTER terrain products (e.g, MAP & models (e.g, elevation, Fournier Index) TCI, slope, relief)

Wednesday, October 1, 14 Thursday, October 1, 15 GeoSurvey prediction workflow in 4-steps

Thursday, October 1, 15 Tanzania ensemble predictions, 2015: Cropland present? code at: https://github.com/mgwalsh/Geosurvey

Random Forest Gradient Boosting

Neural Net Ensemble

Ensemble validation AUC = 0.91 True positive rate True

False positive rate

Thursday, October 1, 15 1MQ ensemble predictions, 2015: Cropland present?

Thursday, October 1, 15 1MQ ensemble predictions, 2015: Buildings present?

Thursday, October 1, 15 Topsoil (0-20 cm), pH predictions

pH

Thursday, October 1, 15 Croplands with predicted lime requirement (~81 Mha)

Thursday, October 1, 15 Tanzania priority soil & crop distribution sampling plan (2015) create your own sampling plan at: http://sampling.kutabiri.ai

• 229, 100 km2 grid cells • 3,364, 1 km2 grid cells • 18,320, 1 ha grid cells • 36,640, soil samples

Thursday, October 1, 15 In the field: new crop distribution, yield & soil data ODK Collect forms at: http://mobilesurvey.qed.ai/afsis_tablet/ QR sample code generator at: http://tag.kutabiri.com/sheet/

Thursday, October 1, 15

In the field: new crop distribution, yield & soil data ODK Collect forms at: http://mobilesurvey.qed.ai/afsis_tablet/

Thursday, October 1, 15 In the lab: real-time spectral prediction of soil properties operating procedures at: http://www.worldagroforestry.org/research/land-health-management/ spectral-diagnostics-laboratory/sops

Mid-infrared spectrometer portable XRF spectrometer

Thursday, October 1, 15 ensemble predictions, 2015: Cropland present? R script at: https://github.com/mgwalsh/Geosurvey

Validation AUC = 0.94

+ Soil fertility sampling locations through Dec 2014 True positive rate True

False positive rate

Thursday, October 1, 15 Predicted pH levels of cropland topsoils pH < 5.2 = ~2 Mha (6%) of cropland area

Lime requirement by Woreda

pH Yilmana Densa Wenberma Ankasha Guagusa Shay Bench Gorche Yem Special

Aneded South Ari Wenchi Gelila Welmera Decha Debay Tilatgin Dodola Legambo Dendi Liben East Shoa Minjarna Shenkora Shebel Berenta

Esira Malga Dejen Gechi LibokemkemTarma Ber Enidguagn Limuna Bilbilo Welqayet Kimbibit Woliso Sayadebeirna Wayu Girar Jarso JelduYifratana Gidim Tach Gayint Basketo Awabel Qafta Humera Kutaber Adea Mirab Este Beyeda

MechaJawi Jima Geneti Akaki Berehet Chena Baso Liben Wegera

Metema Boset Habro Abeshege Gimbichu Enderta Wendo Genet Becho Enemor Ener HoroGura Damole Ambasel Dembia Gasera Guangua Raitu Kewet

Quara Bule Munesa Ebinat Sinana Gedeb Takusa Enemay Bahir Dar Zuriya KofeleMeda Welabu Seweyna GuduruTsegede Jabitehnan North Achefer Mehal SayintDangila Agarfa Antsokiya Gemza Shirka Gololcha Ambo Ginde Beret Gozamin Alefa Adaba Diga Southern Bench Tahitay Adiyabo Wayu Tuka MachakelToko Kutaye Chilga Debre Elias Goma South Achefer Hulet Ejuense Misrak Azerenet Berbere Mirab Azernet Berbere

Thursday, October 1, 15 Predicted Phosphorus levels of cropland topsoils Mehlich-3 P < 30 ppm = ~34 Mha (99%) of cropland area

Mehlich-3 P [ppm]

Thursday, October 1, 15 Predicted Potassium levels of cropland topsoils Mehlich-3 K < 120 ppm = ~340 kha (<1%) of cropland area

Mehlich-3 K [ppm]

Thursday, October 1, 15 Predicted Sulfur levels of cropland topsoils Mehlich-3 S < 20 ppm = ~33 Mha (98%) of cropland area

Mehlich-3 S [ppm]

Thursday, October 1, 15 Use cases (in progress): “Taking agronomy to scale”

Operational

Under development

Planned

Thursday, October 1, 15