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RESEARCH ARTICLE Climatological distribution of aragonite 10.1002/2015GB005198 saturation state in the global oceans The scientific results and conclusions, as Li-Qing Jiang1, Richard A. Feely2, Brendan R. Carter3, Dana J. Greeley2, Dwight K. Gledhill4, well as any views or opinions expressed 5 herein, are those of the authors and do and Krisa M. Arzayus fl not necessarily re ect the views of 1 NOAA or the Department of Commerce. Cooperative Institute for Climate and Satellites, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA, 2Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Seattle, Washington, USA, 3Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle, Key Points: 4 fi • Washington, USA, Ocean Acidi cation Program, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver Spring, Climatological aragonite saturation in 5 surface and subsurface global oceans Maryland, USA, National Centers for Environmental Information, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Silver are presented Spring, Maryland, USA • Mechanisms controlling aragonite saturation state distributions are discussed Abstract Aragonite saturation state (Ωarag) in surface and subsurface waters of the global oceans was • Subannual and decadal changes of aragonite saturation state are calculated from up-to-date (through the year of 2012) ocean station dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) and presented total alkalinity (TA) data. Surface Ωarag in the open ocean was always supersaturated (Ω > 1), ranging between 1.1 and 4.2. It was above 2.0 (2.0–4.2) between 40°N and 40°S but decreased toward higher latitude to below 1.5 fl Supporting Information: in polar areas. The in uences of water temperature on the TA/DIC ratio, combined with the temperature effects • – Tables S1 S9 on inorganic carbon equilibrium and apparent solubility product (K′sp), explain the latitudinal differences in surface Ωarag. Vertically, Ωarag was highest in the surface mixed layer. Higher hydrostatic pressure, lower water Correspondence to: temperature, and more CO2 buildup from biological activity in the absence of air-sea gas exchange helped L.-Q. Jiang, Ω [email protected] maintain lower arag in the deep ocean. Below the thermocline, aerobic decomposition of organic matter along the pathway of global thermohaline circulation played an important role in controlling Ωarag distributions. Seasonally, surface Ωarag above 30° latitudes was about 0.06 to 0.55 higher during warmer months than during Citation: Ω Jiang, L.-Q., R. A. Feely, B. R. Carter, colder months in the open-ocean waters of both hemispheres. Decadal changes of arag in the Atlantic and D. J. Greeley, D. K. Gledhill, and PacificOceansshowedthatΩarag in waters shallower than 100 m depth decreased by 0.10 ± 0.09 ( 0.40 K. M. Arzayus (2015), Climatological ± 0.37% yr 1) on average from the decade spanning 1989–1998 to the decade spanning 1998–2010. distribution of aragonite saturation state in the global oceans, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 29, 1656–1673, doi:10.1002/2015GB005198. 1. Introduction Received 29 MAY 2015 The global oceans have performed a substantial climate service by taking up ~30% of the anthropogenic Accepted 15 SEP 2015 carbon dioxide (CO ) emissions over the past 200 years [Canadell et al., 2007]. Based on emission data from Accepted article online 18 SEP 2015 2 Published online 13 OCT 2015 2004 to 2013, CO2 released from the burning of fossil fuels, cement production, and land use changes 1 15 15 accounts for a total of 36 GtCO2 yr (1 GtCO2 =1×10 gofCO2 = 0.27 × 10 g of carbon). Of the CO2 1 1 emitted during the last decade, about 16 GtCO2 yr (44%) stayed in the atmosphere, and 9 GtCO2 yr (26%) entered the global oceans [Le Quéré et al., 2014]. The balance is assumed to be taken up by the terrestrial biosphere. 2 Ocean CO2 uptake lowers ocean pH, carbonate ion (CO3 ) concentrations, and calcium carbonate (CaCO3) saturation state in the global oceans. This process is commonly referred to as “ocean acidification (OA)” [Broecker and Clark, 2001; Caldeira and Wickett, 2003; Feely et al., 2004a; Orr et al., 2005]. OA impacts ecosystems by making it more difficult for calcifying organisms such as corals, mollusks, and some planktonic organisms to form shells and other hard parts and by making these structures more vulnerable to dissolution [Doney et al., 2009; Gattuso and Hansson, 2011; Bednaršek et al., 2012, 2014]. The saturation state of carbonate minerals is defined by ½ Ca2þ CO2- Ω ¼ 3 ′ (1) Ksp 2+ 2 where Ω is the saturation state (Ω > 1 favors precipitation and Ω < 1 favors dissolution), [Ca ] and [CO3 ] Published 2015. American Geophysical are the calcium and carbonate ion concentrations, and K′sp is the apparent solubility product. The saturation Union. This article is a US Government work and, as such, is in the public states of aragonite and calcite (two of the most common calcium carbonate minerals in the ocean) dropped domain in the United States of America. to ~84% of preindustrial values by the year 2000 and are expected to decrease to ~50% of preindustrial
JIANG ET AL. ARAGONITE SATURATION CLIMATOLOGY 1656 Global Biogeochemical Cycles 10.1002/2015GB005198
Figure 1. Information for the sampling stations that were used for this study: (a) number of sampling stations that were collected in a specific year and (b) spatial distributions of sampling stations. The color indicates the sampling year.
values by 2100 under the IS92a emission scenario of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report 1995 [Wolf-Gladrow et al., 1999; Feely et al., 2009b]. Surface aragonite and calcite saturation state distributions were studied by Feely et al. [2009a], using data from the Global Ocean Data Analysis Project (GLODAP) Version 1.1 (which includes data measured before 1999) [Key et al., 2004]. Takahashi et al. [2014] calculated surface aragonite and calcite saturation states (nor-
malized to the year 2005) using partial pressure of carbon dioxide (pCO2) data from the Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory database and total alkalinity (TA) estimated from sea surface salinity. However, the distributions of aragonite saturation states in subsurface waters have not been described in detail in the earlier studies. We use additional data collected since the GLODAP version 1.1 release to reexamine the global aragonite saturation state. During this decade, ocean station data with multiple carbon parameters have nearly
doubled (Figure 1a). Here we map and describe both surface and subsurface Ωarag distributions in the global oceans, discuss the mechanisms controlling the Ωarag distribution and seasonality, and estimate decadal Ωarag changes in the major ocean basins.
2. Methods Data for this study were obtained from the Global Ocean Data Analysis Project (GLODAP) [Key et al., 2004], the Carbon Dioxide in the Atlantic Ocean (CARINA) [Key et al., 2010], the Pacific Ocean Interior Carbon (PACIFICA) [Suzuki et al., 2013], and some recent cruise data sets [Feely and Sabine, 2011; Wanninkhof et al., 2014]. Duplicated stations—defined as stations with identical longitude, latitude, and sampling date—were
JIANG ET AL. ARAGONITE SATURATION CLIMATOLOGY 1657 Global Biogeochemical Cycles 10.1002/2015GB005198
removed. Data with a salinity value of less than 25 (a total of about 30 stations) were excluded since most were measured in river plumes and do not reflect the open ocean. A total of 11,431 stations were selected for this study (Figure 1).
Ωarag was calculated using a MATLAB version [van Heuven et al., 2009] of the CO2SYS program [Lewis and Wallace, 1998] based on equation (1). [Ca2+] in seawater was assumed to be conservative with salinity according to Millero [1995]: Ca2þ ¼ 293:86 S (2)
2+ 1 2 where the unit of [Ca ]isμmol kg , and S is salinity. [CO3 ] was calculated from in situ temperature, pressure, salinity, dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), total alkalinity (TA), silicate and phosphate with the dissociation constants for carbonic acid of Lueker et al. [2000], potassium bisulfate (KHSO4 )ofDickson [1990a], boric acid of Dickson [1990b], and the total borate concentration equations of Lee et al. [2010].
The apparent solubility product (K′sp) of aragonite was calculated from temperature and salinity with the equation of Mucci [1983]. For surface waters at ambient pressure, ′ ¼ –½ðÞ– : – : þ : = þ : pKsp 171 945 0 077993 T 2903 293 T 71 595 logT (3) þ ðÞ–0:068393 þ 0:0017276 T þ 88:135=T S0:5– 0:10018 S þ 0:0059415 S1:5
where pK′sp = log K′sp, and T is temperature in kelvin (K). The pressure dependence of K′sp is formulated in terms of the change in molal volume and compressibility as described in Millero [1995] using the corrected constants as presented in Appendix A.11 of Zeebe and Wolf-Gladrow [2001]: n ′ P ¼ ′ 0 – : ––½ þðÞþ : ðÞ– : = ðÞ ðÞ= : pK sp pKsp 0 434 hio46 0 5304 T 273 15 RT P 10 0 5 (4) ðÞ–0:011760 þ 0:0003692 ðÞT–273:15 = ðÞ RT ðÞP=10 2
where the subscripts “0” and “P” on the solubility products denote conditions at the surface and at pressure P (dbar), respectively. The ideal gas constant R is 83.13 cm3 bar (mol K) 1. More details of the saturation state calculation can be found in Wanninkhof et al. [2015]. Using the error propagation methods described in Taylor [1997], uncertainties of the calculated [Ca2+], 2 [CO3 ], and K′sp were estimated to be 0.06%, 3.60%, and 0.00%, respectively. However, for K′sp, the uncer- tainty is primarily from the use of an empirical equation to reflect the real-world K′sp, rather than from propa- gating the uncertainties of T, S and P to the result of the equation of Mucci [1983]. According to Mucci [1983], the uncertainty of the former is much larger at about 5%. The two most cited measurements of the [Ca2+]/S ratio differ by ~0.1% [Culkin and Cox, 1966; Riley and Tongudai, 1967]. Despite other concerns related to local 2+ variability due to CaCO3 dissolution/precipitation, and hydrothermal input, etc., the uncertainty of [Ca ] can be assumed to be lower than 0.1% (A. Dickson, personal communication, 2015). Based on the above informa- tion, the uncertainty of aragonite saturation state was calculated as 6% according to equation (5): vffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ! ! u 2 2 u 2 σ σ ′ σΩ t σ½ 2þ ½ CO2 K arag ¼ Ca þ 3 þ sp (5) Ω ½ 2þ 2 ′ arag Ca CO3 Ksp
2+ 2 where σ represents the uncertainty of the calculated [Ca ], [CO3 ], and K′sp. The uncertainty estimation was based on average temperature, salinity, DIC, and TA of 19.23°C, 34.87, 2020 μmol kg 1, and 2306 μmol kg 1, respectively, and the assumption that their uncertainties within the combined GLODAP, CARINA, and PACIFICA product were 0.01°C, 0.02, 4 μmol kg 1,and6μmol kg 1, respectively (R. M. Key, personal communication, 2015).
Ωarag were corrected to a reference year of 2000 assuming that the seawater pCO2 increase rate was 1.6 μatm yr 1 in the surface mixed layer (SML) and that this rate linearly decreased to 0 μatm yr 1 from the bottom of SML to 1000 m depth [Sabine et al., 2008]. The depth of SML was calculated as where the tempera-
ture change from the surface was 0.5°C [Levitus, 1982]. When Ωarag distribution maps were plotted, only data with the closest sampling depths to the designated water depth were chosen. Stations where this distance exceeded 20 m (for depth layers between surface and 200 m) or 50 m (for depth levels deeper than 200 m)
were discarded. The selected Ωarag data at the designed water depth were then interpolated based on Data-Interpolating Variational Analysis (DIVA) using the default settings before they were plotted onto contour maps [Troupin et al., 2012]. Spatially interpolated values were also used to calculate area-averaged
JIANG ET AL. ARAGONITE SATURATION CLIMATOLOGY 1658 Global Biogeochemical Cycles 10.1002/2015GB005198
Figure 2. Climatological distributions of aragonite saturation state (Ωarag) in surface waters of the global oceans. Colors show gridded values based on Data Interpolating Variational Analysis (DIVA). Black dots show the sampling stations.
Ωarag at each latitudinal band of all depth levels (Tables S1–S9 in the supporting information) to correct for biases related to sampling coverage.
Seasonal measurement bias is one of the largest sources of uncertainty for the Ωarag estimates. Seasonal variations of temperature, surface mixed layer (SML) depth, and spring blooms have a noticeable impact
on Ωarag in some regions of the global oceans. Due to the sampling strategies of the repeat hydrography cruises, very few stations had data from all seasons. When data were available from all seasons, they were often collected many years apart, making it hard to adjust for seasonal variations. Spatial measurement bias
is also a concern, especially for the interpolated Ωarag estimates.
3. Results
3.1. Spatial Distribution of Ωarag at Different Depth Levels
Surface Ωarag was always supersaturated (Ω > 1), ranging between 1.1 and 4.1 (Figure 2 and Table S1). Area- weighted Ωarag over the global ocean was 3.03. Surface Ωarag showed similar spatial distribution to sea surface temperature (SST), with Ωarag being highest where the surface ocean was warmest (Figure 2). Open-ocean Ωarag was always above 2.0 (2.0–4.3) within 40° from the equator (40°N to 40°S) and decreased toward the poles (Figure 2). At latitudes >60° north and south, many areas had surface Ωarag below 1.5. The range of Ωarag of this study is similar to what was reported by Takahashi et al. [2014], i.e., Ωarag was as high as 4.0 in the warm tropical and subtropical waters and as low as 1.2 in the cold subpolar and polar waters.
Ωarag at 50 m depth was also supersaturated throughout the global ocean (Figure 3a and Table S2). One of the most conspicuous features at this depth was the unusually low Ωarag values in the eastern equatorial Pacific region and along the west coast of North and South America (Figure 3a), where upwelling of CO2- enriched waters is contributing to the decrease in Ωarag along with anthropogenic CO2 uptake [Feely et al., 2008a, 2009a]. A similar process was occurring in the eastern boundary current systems in the eastern Atlantic Ocean [Hill et al., 1998].
Ωarag was supersaturated at 100 m depth except for 8.3% of gridded stations north of 50°N in the Pacific and 0.7% of gridded stations in the Arctic Ocean (Table S3). The extent of low Ωarag areas in the equatorial oceans was significantly larger at 100 m depth than it was at 50 m depth (Figure 3b). Average Ωarag between the latitudes of 10°N and 10°S in the Atlantic, Pacific, and Indian Oceans was 1.0, 0.7, and 1.0 lower, respectively,
at 100 m depth than at 50 m depth (Table S3). Ωarag in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean was lowest among the equatorial regions of the three basins at this depth (Figure 3b).
JIANG ET AL. ARAGONITE SATURATION CLIMATOLOGY 1659 Global Biogeochemical Cycles 10.1002/2015GB005198
At 200 m depth, Ωarag ranged between 0.5 and 3.2 (Figure 3c and Table S4).
The low Ωarag areas around the equa- tor were larger at 200 m depth, and some gridded stations in the equator- ial Pacific Ocean were as low as 1.0
(Table S4). The lowest regional Ωarag was found north of 50°N in the Pacific Ocean, where 100% of the gridded stations were undersaturated. The latitudinal bands of 10°N–40°N and
10°S–40°S showed the greatest Ωarag at this depth, with average Ωarag within these latitudinal bands in the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans ranging between 2.0 and 2.7. The biggest
differences in Ωarag between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans were found at the latitudinal band of 40°N–60°N
(Figure 3c), where the average Ωarag in the Atlantic Ocean (2.1) was more
than double the Ωarag in the Pacific Ocean (1.0). However, south of 10°N these two oceans had similar spatially
averaged Ωarag (Table S4).
At 500 m depth, Ωarag ranged between 0.4 and 2.4 (Figure 3d and Table S5).
Large areas of undersaturated Ωarag were found between 40°N and 60°N in the northern PacificOcean,aswellasin the equatorial PacificOcean(Figure3d). The equatorial oxygen minimum zone Figure 3. Spatial distributions of aragonite saturation state (Ωarag)at depth levels of (a) 50 m, (b) 100 m, (c) 200 m, and (d) 500 m in the global was near its maximum extent between oceans. Colors show gridded values based on Data Interpolating Variational 500 m and 1000 m depth (Figure 4), Analysis (DIVA). Black dots show the sampling stations. suggesting that this depth was more
strongly affected by CO2 released through organic matter remineralization than deeper or shallower depths. Undersaturated waters were also found
in the equatorial Atlantic and Indian Oceans. The average Ωarag in the Atlantic Ocean between 20°N and 40°N (2.1) was ~90% higher than the average for the same latitudinal band in the Pacific Ocean (1.1). In comparison, Atlantic
Ωarag between 20°S and 40°S was only about 9% higher than those of the PacificOcean.TheIndianOcean showed the highest Ωarag within the latitudinal band of 20°S to 40°S among the three ocean basins (Figure 3d).
At 1000 m depth, Ωarag was below 1.8 over the entire global oceans (Figure 5a and Table S6). Ωarag was undersaturated across the northern Pacific, most of the northern Indian Oceans, and some areas of the equa-
torial Atlantic and the Southern Ocean (Figure 5a). The greatest Ωarag at this depth was found in the northern Atlantic Ocean from 30°N to 50°N, where Ωarag ranged between 1.1 and 1.8 (Table S6). Arctic Ωarag was mostly supersaturated (0.9–1.4) and ~25% higher than in the Southern Ocean.
At 2000 m depth, Ωarag was undersaturated across all regions of the Pacific and the Indian Ocean (Figure 5b and Table S7). Atlantic Ωarag was mostly >1 between 70°N and 10°S, although 100% of the gridded stations south of 30°S were undersaturated. One of the interesting features at this depth was the supersaturated Ωarag region in the equatorial Atlantic Ocean (Figure 5b), which was found to be located above and below undersaturated
waters (Figure 5a). Unusually low Ωarag water from 500 m to 1000 m depth was found in Antarctic Intermediate Water (AAIW). This phenomenon will be discussed in greater detail in section 3.2 (Figure 4).
JIANG ET AL. ARAGONITE SATURATION CLIMATOLOGY 1660 Global Biogeochemical Cycles 10.1002/2015GB005198