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Population Association of America 2019 ANNUAL MEETING FINAL PROGRAM April 10 – 13 JW Marriott Austin, Austin, TX Population Association of America 8630 Fenton Street, Suite 722 Silver Spring, MD 20910 301.565.6710 www.populationassociation.org TABLE OF CONTENTS Meeting Information 4 General Information. 4 Meeting Facilities. 5 Exhibitors and Exhibit Floor Plan . 8-9 #PAA2019 Sponsors. 10 Acknowledgements. 11 2019 Program Organizing Committee . 12 Organizers and Co-Organizers. 13 PAA Information 17 Board of Directors, Past Officers, and Staff . 18 Demography Editors . 20 PAA Fund 21 PAA Fund Donation Form . 22 PAA Fund Campaign. 23 Contributors. 24 Meeting Highlights 41 Member Initiated Meetings . 42 Invited Sessions . 46 Program Summary. 48 Thursday Program 61 Friday Program 179 Saturday Program 265 Program Participants Index 315 Abstracts available online through the #PAA2019 MeetingApp: www.populationassociation.org/mobileapp or scan the code below with your internet connected device. GENERAL INFORMATION REGISTRATION SPEAKERS’ READY ROOM PAA Registration is located in the A LCD projector and screen are Griffin Hall Foyer on Level 2. available to authors who wish to Wednesday 8:00 am – 4:00 pm practice their presentation in Meeting 6:00 pm – 9:00 pm Room 207 during the following times: Thursday 7:00 am – 5:00 pm Wednesday 9:00 am – 5:00 pm Meeting Information Meeting Friday 7:00 am – 4:00 pm Thursday 9:00 am – 5:00 pm Saturday 8:00 am – 12:00 pm Friday 8:00 am – 4:00 pm EXHIBITS MEETING-WIDE WIFI The exhibits are located in Griffin Hall Complimentary internet access is on the Level 2. available in all PAA meeting spaces Wednesday 6:00 pm – 9:00 pm at the J W. Marriott. Network: Thursday 8:00 am – 6:30 pm JWMarriott_CONFERENCE. Password: Friday 8:00 am – 4:15 pm PAA2019. Saturday 8:30 am – 1:00 pm CAREER OPPORTUNITIES ANNUAL MEMBERSHIP Visit PAA’s new Careers page where MEETING you can post jobs, search for jobs, or post your resume. http://www. Saturday, April 12, 8:00 am – 9:00 populationassociation.org/careers/. am, in Lone Star H on the 3rd Level. This is an opportunity for members to MOTHERS’ ROOM voice their opinions, discuss items of A mothers’ room is available for interest to PAA members, and query those who are breastfeeding. Please PAA officers about the affairs of the visit the registration desk for more Association. Donuts and coffee will information. be available. See page 41 for details. TRANSCRIPTION SERVICES PAA provides transcription services at the PAA Awards Ceremony and Presidential Address and the PAA Membership Meeting. These services are typically available at the front of the room. VIDEO OR AUDIO RECORDING OR PHOTOGRAPHS ARE NOT ALLOWED WITHOUT WRITTEN PERMISSION OF THE POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA AND THE SPEAKER. 4 PAA 2019 Annual Meeting Program MEETING FACILITIES Meeting Information Meeting JW Marriott Austin Level 2 212 211 210 209 213 208 GRIFFIN HALL 207 N 201 202 203 204 205 BRAZOS STARBUCKS PAA 2019 Annual Meeting Program 5 JW Marriott Austin Level 3 & 4 311 310 309 308 Meeting Information Meeting 307 A H B DELONE STAR G BALLROOM C F 306 301 302 303304 305 409 408 407406 1 8 2 JW GRAND 56BALLROOM 3 4 7 BOARDROOM 401 402403 404 6 PAA 2019 Annual Meeting Program JW Marriott Austin Level 5 Meeting Information Meeting DN 505 504 EXECUTIVE LOUNGE 503 502 SPA BY JW POOL PAA 2019 Annual Meeting Program 7 EXHIBITORS Booth Booth Number Number Add Health 45 National Longitudinal Surveys 37 American Population Panel 14 National Research Center on 28 Hispanic Children & Families Meeting Information Meeting Asian Demographic Research 11 Institute, Shanghai University Asian MetaCentre for Population 12 NORC at the University of 9 and Sustainable Development Chicago Analysis Panel Study of Income Dynamics 22 Chitwan Valley Family Study 20 Population Association of 4 & 5 Data Sharing for Demographic 25 America (PAA) Research (DSDR) PAA Information/Book Pick-Up/ 47 DHS Program 1 Social Media Lounge Eunice Kennedy Shriver National 33 PAA Lounge 46 Institute of Child Health and Population Council 29 Human Development (NICHD) Population Reference Bureau 23 & 24 Gateway Global Aging Data 35 Poster Session Information 7 & 8 Government and Public Affairs 6 Committee Rand Corporation 15 Health and Retirement Study 21 RStudio 34 India Human Development 27 Russell Sage Foundation 19 Survey Springer 42 & 43 Institute of Social Science Survey, 30 Star Project 2 Peking University Understanding America Study 36 IUSSP 31 United States Census Bureau 41 Max Planck Institute for 40 Demographic Research University of Texas at San 32 Antonio – Department of Mexican Migration Project/New 18 Demography Immigrant Research Wisconsin Longitudinal Study – 16 Minnesota Population Center 38 & 39 UW Madison National Archive of Computerized 26 Wittgenstein Centre (IIASA, VID/ 44 Data on Aging ÖAW, WU) National Center for Health 3 Statistics Bolded exhibitors are also sponsors! National Institute on Aging 17 8 PAA 2019 Annual Meeting Program Meeting Information Meeting REVISION POPULATION ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA - ANNUAL CONFERENCE Date:1/29/2019 April 11-13, 2019 By: Julio Pantoja, NCRDC J.W. Marriott Hotel - Griffin Hall - 110 E. 2nd St. Austin, Tx BOOTH COUNT Inventory9 as of 01/29/2019 STAIR 10 Dimension Qty 8'x10' 47 Totals: 47 POSTER COUNT 50 - Double Sided Poster Boards FIRE FIRE FIRE FIRE FIRE FIRE EXIT EXIT EXIT EXIT EXIT EXIT BLDG. LEGEND: FE PAA Judge 1 09 13 14 15 16 17 7 & 8 - Column (2'6"x2'6") 11 12 6 18 36 JW Marriott Hotel 19 5 FE FE & 32 37 110 E. 2nd St PAA Lounge 4 20 Austin, Texas 78701 FIRE 3 31 38 FIRE EXIT EXIT DRAWING INFO EXHIBITOR Passport Line Item Number: 30 33 3439 35 FIRE LOUNGE FIRE #4618653 21 Facility: EXIT EXIT J.W. Marriott Hotel 2 29 40 Hall / Level: 22 Griffin Hall 45 44 43 42 41 City & State: 110 E. 2nd St. Austin, Tx #PAA2019 Exhibit Hall Floor Plan #PAA2019 1 Scale: Custom FIRE FIRE Job #: 438991 AE: EXIT EXIT GUEST ROOM ELEVATORS AMY STALKNECHT Prod. AE: STEPHANIE BOMELY Started: 1/29/2019 Started By: FRED DE LEON, SRDC STAR Prod. Branch: San Antonio PAA Lounge 26 25 PAA Lounge BUCKS 46 FIRE FIRE FE FIRE FIRE 47 EXIT EXIT EXIT EXIT Disclaimer - Every effort has been made to 28 27 24 23 ensure the accuracy of all information contained on this floorplan. However, no warranties, either 2019 Annual Meeting Program PAA expressed of implied, are made with respect to this floorplan. If the REGISTRATION location of building columns, utilities or other architectural components of the facility is a consideration in the construction or usage of 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 45 an exhibit, it is the sole responsibility of the N710 N710 N710 N710 N710 N710 N710 N710 N710 N710 exhibitor to physically inspect the facility to verify all dimension and locations. 6' TABLE 6' TABLE 6' TABLE 6' TABLE 6' TABLE © Copyright 2007, Freeman Co. All rights reserved. Confidential and Proprietary - the information contained herein is the proprietary information of Freeman and by accessing the information, the recipient agrees to keep the information 201 202 203 204 205 confidential and not disclose it to any third party STAIR 11 without the prior consent of Freeman. Recipient also agrees to only use the information for its File Path: EXHIBIT L4618653 O:\NCRDC\Floor plans\Shows\19\04-Apr\Population Association of America - 438991\PAA0419 JWMarriott.dwg | Tab Name: internal evaluation purposes and for no other STAIR 12 purpose, without the prior consent of Freeman. PAA SPONSORS PAA would like to thank our sponsor: Meeting Information Meeting See you next year! 10 PAA 2019 Annual Meeting Program ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Meeting Information Meeting Preparing the annual meeting of the Population including those from all over the globe; thank you Association of America requires the time and for coming to PAA! A statement of inclusion and effort of many PAA members and staff. The 2019 welcome to all population researchers is posted on Program Committee issued a broad Call for the association’s website. Papers with 151 sessions covering 11 topics that PAA is run by and for the PAA membership. We invited submissions representing the diversity and know there is always room for improvement and interdisciplinary character of population research we will work with next year’s program co-chairs as conducted by demographers, sociologists, to continue to enhance the PAA annual meeting economists, political scientists, geographers, experience. Please join us and provide feedback historians, epidemiologists, statisticians, in the membership meeting on Saturday. Also, marketers, survey researchers, and other health consider sharing exciting moments from the and social scientists. The 151 Session Organizers meeting on social media #PAA2019. reviewed close to 4,000 submissions and faced The PAA’s small, but mighty, staff has ensured difficult choices in selecting a small sub-set of our meeting is a success. Danielle Staudt, PAA’s submissions for the eventual 240 oral sessions. We Executive Director, deserves many thanks for are grateful for the dedication of all these Program managing all the conference logistics. Bobbie Committee members and Session Organizers; Westmoreland, Program and Education Manager their names are listed in the printed program and at PAA, completed her fourth year managing on the PAA web page. The outcome is a program the process of constructing the annual meeting of high scientific quality with contributions that program; her labors were indispensable. You will demonstrate the breadth and vitality of our field. see Bobbie and Millicent Minnick facilitating the The 2019 program has 14 invited sessions, poster sessions over the next three days. Cristian including many organized by PAA committees.