RESEARCH ARTICLE Estimation of Uncertainties in the Global Distance Test (GDT_TS) for CASP Models Wenlin Li2, R. Dustin Schaeffer1, Zbyszek Otwinowski2, Nick V. Grishin1,2* 1 Howard Hughes Medical Institute, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, 75390–9050, United States of America, 2 Department of Biochemistry and Department of Biophysics, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, 75390–9050, United States of America *
[email protected] Abstract a11111 The Critical Assessment of techniques for protein Structure Prediction (or CASP) is a com- munity-wide blind test experiment to reveal the best accomplishments of structure model- ing. Assessors have been using the Global Distance Test (GDT_TS) measure to quantify prediction performance since CASP3 in 1998. However, identifying significant score differ- ences between close models is difficult because of the lack of uncertainty estimations for OPEN ACCESS this measure. Here, we utilized the atomic fluctuations caused by structure flexibility to esti- Citation: Li W, Schaeffer RD, Otwinowski Z, Grishin mate the uncertainty of GDT_TS scores. Structures determined by nuclear magnetic reso- NV (2016) Estimation of Uncertainties in the Global nance are deposited as ensembles of alternative conformers that reflect the structural Distance Test (GDT_TS) for CASP Models. PLoS flexibility, whereas standard X-ray refinement produces the static structure averaged over ONE 11(5): e0154786. doi:10.1371/journal. time and space for the dynamic ensembles. To recapitulate the structural heterogeneous pone.0154786 ensemble in the crystal lattice, we performed time-averaged refinement for X-ray datasets Editor: Yang Zhang, University of Michigan, UNITED to generate structural ensembles for our GDT_TS uncertainty analysis.