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Commercial Property Report Master

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Commercial Property Report Master COMMERCIAL PROPERTY REPORT December 2015 This report highlights property transactions with a value of more than R5million that have occurred since January 2012 and should be viewed in conjunction with the Property section in www.sarevealed.co.za which carries all the transactions in a spatial environment. SA Revealed has taken every care in compiling information and material for this report, but will not be held responsible for any loss, damage or inconvenience caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error contained in this report Tel: +27 11 463 6327Fax: +27 11 706 1804www.sarevealed.co.za Moraine House, The Braes,193 Bryanston Drive Bryanston, Johannesburg, South Africa SA Revealed (Pty) Ltd Registration Number 2011/112308/07 OVERVIEW OF REPORT AND WEBSITE This COMMERCIAL PROPERTY REPORT and the PROPERTY section of the SA Revealed website www.co.za should be used in conjunction, and provides a comprehensive view of the Commercial Property environment in South Africa EVERYTHING IN THE REPORT CAN BE EXAMINED IN DETAIL ON THE WEBSITE The website is updated by the fifth of every month and the report is published by the tenth of the month. The updates are governed by the feed date of the transactions from the Deeds Office The segmentation of location ³Node´ and buyer ³Owner´ are reflected in the Report and can be viewed by selection on the Website Large Transactions and Large Bonds ±These sections of the website focus on data from January 2013, where the property owner is a non-person, and the purchase or bond value is greater than R5million. The detail of the individual transactions can be seen on the map on the, whilst aggregation allows for the information to be reflected in the report. Filters can be used to view the data on the website. We have not removed related transactions (eg. portfolio consolidation within related companies) and this could have an impact on overall number Listed Property ±This section covers all properties owned by listed property companies Cadastral ±This layer shows the property boundaries of properties in the country, described by the property description. By searching for a property in this section, the property can be identified and Google aerial photography, and Street View can be used to view the property. We will shortly link ownership information to this section Investment Heat Map ±There are three levels of information shown as hexagon layers. The layers open at different zoom levels. The full view of South Africa shows the large hexagons of around 288km2 in area, the medium hexagons show an area of around 6.5km2, and the small hexagon layer an area of 1.6km2. Each hexagon carries a ranking in accordance with the relative level of investment in that hexagon (1 being the highest level) 2 1 December 2015 Summary The data reflects transactions over R5 million that were processed through the Deeds Office from January 2012, showing transactions for the month of December 2015, the last 12 months, the cumulative position for the current year, and the full view for 2014, 2013 and 2012 1.1 Executive Summary The following are the highlights for December 2015: Top areas over past 24 months (based on small hexagon layer - the Hexagon ID is shown below and can be Searched on the map): Description Hexagon ID Investment (R million) Johannesburg - Central Sandton 633121 6,679,571 Johannesburg - Bryanston/Fourways 637387 2,685,324 Johannesburg - CBD/Braamfontein 627406 2,363,630 Johannesburg - Midrand/Kyalami 640239 2,308,866 Cape Town - Foreshore 17279 2,252,110 Ekurhuleni - Alberton 621677 2,048,443 Tshwane - Centurion 647500 2,007,560 Cape Town - Downtown Cape Town CBD 16167 1,942,661 Ekurhuleni - Edenvale 631709 1,932,693 Johannesburg - Central Sandton 633120 1,619,991 Cape Town - Southern Suburbs 13959 1,496,584 KwaDukuza 350931 1,348,224 Johannesburg - Rosebank/Melrose 630264 1,327,873 Pretoria - Central Pretoria CBD 656149 1,281,971 Cape Town - Bantry Bay 16161 1,279,371 Tshwane - Pretoria East 653374 1,133,665 Tshwane - CBD 656157 1,010,404 Johannesburg - CBD/Braamfontein 625980 927,091 Johannesburg - Rosebank/Melville 631693 906,660 Johannesburg - Linbro Park/Greenstone 631710 833,333 3 1.2 Owner Segment The transactional activity is broken into the following Owner segments (Rand Mill): Owner Segment 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan 2015 - Dec December 2015 2015 COMMERCIAL 41,101 54.1% 50,452 52.8% 51,713 49.2% 72,447 61.0% 72,447 61.0% 6,067 57.5% LISTED PROP COMP 13,933 18.3% 20,090 21.0% 25,852 24.6% 20,836 17.6% 20,836 17.6% 2,782 26.4% TRUST 10,178 13.4% 11,678 12.2% 12,371 11.8% 16,107 13.6% 16,107 13.6% 1,034 9.8% GOVERNMENT 4,472 5.9% 5,820 6.1% 3,297 3.1% 3,910 3.3% 3,910 3.3% 450 4.3% EMERGING PORTFOLIO 640 0.8% 2,555 2.7% 5,205 4.9% 1,548 1.3% 1,548 1.3% 0 0.0% RESIDENTIAL DEVELOPMENT 1,124 1.5% 1,682 1.8% 1,689 1.6% 1,353 1.1% 1,353 1.1% 90 0.9% MINES 1,257 1.7% 766 0.8% 1,141 1.1% 891 0.8% 891 0.8% 31 0.3% INVESTMENT 154 0.2% 134 0.1% 1,483 1.4% 670 0.6% 670 0.6% 66 0.6% BANK 2,779 3.7% 2,301 2.4% 1,876 1.8% 465 0.4% 465 0.4% 0 0.0% CHURCH/EDUCATION 332 0.4% 97 0.1% 495 0.5% 375 0.3% 375 0.3% 28 0.3% STUDENT ACCOMMODATION 24 0.0% 65 0.1% 44 0.0% 88 0.1% 88 0.1% 0 0.0% Total 75,994 95,640 105,168 118,690 118,690 10,547 Table 1: 2015 Transactions by Owner Segment Over time, as the companies are being researched and classified into the appropriate owner segments, the Commercial Segment will reduce and the Second Tier and Residential Development segments will increase. 4 1.3 Market Share The bonds taken out for the period, in terms of values (Rand Mill) and volumes: 1.3.1 Value 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 December 2015 ABSA 7,194 8.8% 7,871 8.5% 9,217 10.1% 20,022 16.3% 20,022 16.3% 1,377 11.1% BIDVEST 62 0.1% 44 0.0% 266 0.3% 26 0.0% 26 0.0% 0 0.0% FIRSTRAND 16,838 20.5% 13,068 14.2% 11,234 12.3% 16,183 13.2% 16,183 13.2% 1,162 9.3% GRINDROD 249 0.3% 684 0.7% 523 0.6% 1,030 0.8% 1,030 0.8% 217 1.7% INVESTEC 18,105 22.0% 17,116 18.5% 22,823 24.9% 27,267 22.3% 27,267 22.3% 2,300 18.5% NEDBANK 23,571 28.7% 37,790 40.9% 30,100 32.8% 40,730 33.2% 40,730 33.2% 5,978 48.1% STANDARD 15,984 19.4% 15,323 16.6% 16,973 18.5% 16,832 13.7% 16,832 13.7% 1,402 11.3% TUHF 201 0.2% 398 0.4% 501 0.5% 427 0.3% 427 0.3% 0 0.0% Total 82,204 92,294 91,637 122,517 122,517 12,436 5 1.3.1 Value (Continued) The following table shows the bond values (Rand Mill) for the different bond sizes: Bond Year ABSA BIDVEST FIRSTRAND GRINDROD INVESTEC NEDBANK STANDARD TUHF A: R5 mill - R10 mill 2012 1,742 24 2,323 32 1,281 1,996 1,465 34 2013 2,141 14 2,575 40 1,353 2,437 1,344 53 2014 2,181 22 2,507 19 1,758 2,547 1,632 100 2015 2,561 13 2,753 60 2,108 2,803 1,831 29 Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 2,561 13 2,753 60 2,108 2,803 1,831 29 December 2015 185 0 283 0 188 225 182 0 B: R10 mill - R50 mill 2012 2,838 38 4,591 90 5,528 7,406 3,416 167 2013 2,935 30 4,679 430 6,519 8,290 3,510 345 2014 4,429 164 3,645 49 6,752 10,171 3,873 256 2015 5,247 13 5,210 420 8,157 9,552 4,176 275 Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 5,247 13 5,210 420 8,157 9,552 4,176 275 December 2015 537 0 326 12 749 659 307 0 C: R50 mill - R100 mill 2012 826 0 2,305 127 3,671 3,353 1,950 0 2013 1,035 0 1,489 214 3,420 6,435 2,320 0 2014 876 80 1,211 195 2,927 5,888 2,038 145 2015 1,624 0 1,657 240 5,482 5,859 3,398 123 Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 1,624 0 1,657 240 5,482 5,859 3,398 123 December 2015 95 0 65 65 683 425 392 0 D: R100 mill - R450 mill 2012 1,788 0 4,829 0 6,925 8,176 4,423 0 2013 1,278 0 2,112 0 5,824 9,798 4,694 0 2014 1,731 0 2,007 260 6,327 9,344 3,330 0 2015 3,555 0 3,498 310 9,890 11,584 6,257 0 Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 3,555 0 3,498 310 9,890 11,584 6,257 0 December 2015 0 0 488 140 680 1,669 521 0 E: Above R450 mill 2012 0 0 2,790 0 700 2,640 4,730 0 2013 482 0 2,213 0 0 10,830 3,455 0 2014 0 0 1,864 0 5,059 2,150 6,100 0 2015 7,035 0 3,065 0 1,630 10,932 1,170 0 Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 7,035 0 3,065 0 1,630 10,932 1,170 0 December 2015 560 0 0 0 0 3,000 0 0 6 1.3.2 Volume - No of Bonds 2012 2013 2014 2015 Jan 2015 - Dec December 2015 2015 ABSA 418 15.5% 493 16.4% 555 17.4% 681 18.6% 681 18.6% 55 17.4% BIDVEST 4 0.1% 3 0.1% 11 0.3% 3 0.1% 3 0.1% 0 0.0% FIRSTRAND 613 22.8% 637 21.2% 577 18.1% 686 18.7% 686 18.7% 61 19.3% GRINDROD 12 0.4% 24 0.8% 9 0.3% 29 0.8% 29 0.8% 3 0.9% INVESTEC 498 18.5% 546 18.2% 620 19.4% 764 20.9% 764 20.9% 66 20.9% NEDBANK 706 26.2% 849 28.3% 936 29.4% 941 25.7% 941 25.7% 79 25.0% STANDARD 424 15.8% 420 14.0% 454 14.2% 538 14.7% 538 14.7% 52 16.5% TUHF 15 0.6% 26 0.9% 27 0.8% 19 0.5% 19 0.5% 0 0.0% Total 2,690 2,998 3,189 3,661 3,661 316 7 1.3.2 Volume - No of bonds (Continued) Bond Year ABSA BIDVEST FIRSTRAND GRINDROD INVESTEC NEDBANK STANDARD TUHF A: R5 mill - R10 mill 2012 246 8.5% 3 12.5% 333 10.2% 5 4.7% 177 5.4% 283 6.4% 210 8.7% 5 4.7% 2013 307 10.6% 2 8.3% 363 11.1% 5 4.7% 190 5.8% 341 7.7% 195 8.0% 8 7.5% 2014 312 10.8% 4 16.7% 354 10.9% 3 2.8% 255 7.8% 353 7.9% 233 9.6% 15 14.2% 2015 363 12.6% 2 8.3% 390 12.0% 7 6.6% 290 8.9% 391 8.8% 262 10.8% 5 4.7% Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 363 12.6% 2 8.3% 390 12.0% 7 6.6% 290 8.9% 391 8.8% 262 10.8% 5 4.7% December 2015 25 0.9% 0 0.0% 40 1.2% 0 0.0% 26 0.8% 32 0.7% 26 1.1% 0 0.0% B: R10 mill - R50 mill 2012 151 5.2% 1 4.2% 218 6.7% 5 4.7% 236 7.2% 331 7.4% 161 6.6% 10 9.4% 2013 164 5.7% 1 4.2% 243 7.5% 16 15.1% 276 8.5% 362 8.1% 161 6.6% 18 17.0% 2014 223 7.7% 6 25.0% 191 5.9% 3 2.8% 285 8.7% 441 9.9% 171 7.0% 10 9.4% 2015 267 9.3% 1 4.2% 255 7.8% 17 16.0% 344 10.6% 402 9.0% 193 8.0% 12 11.3% Jan 2015 - Dec 2015 267 9.3% 1 4.2% 255 7.8% 17 16.0% 344 10.6% 402 9.0% 193 8.0% 12 11.3% December 2015 28 1.0%
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