Political Affairs Brief the 2015 General Election Results in Scotland
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May 2015 Political Affairs Brief The 2015 General Election Results in Scotland Scottish Council of Jewish Communities (SCoJeC) Contents Overview MPs Useful Links Overview of the election result in Scotland As widely predicted, the SNP achieved overwhelming success in the UK General Election, winning 56 out of the 59 Westminster seats in Scotland. (The Conservatives, Labour, and Liberal Democrats each won a single seat.) The reasons for the scale of this victory remain unclear, but it is evident that the vote was not primarily related to Scottish independence, since turnout figures imply that as many as 10% of people who voted No in last year's Referendum voted for the SNP in the General Election. The explanation may be that there is wide support for increased devolution within the framework of the Union. (There is credible speculation that this option would have won had it been included on the Referendum ballot paper.) If so, the General Election result may have been a response to the SNP’s election slogan of “a stronger voice for Scotland”, a call that has been frustrated by the Conservatives’ overall majority, which means that Scotland’s voice at Westminster is likely to be significant only in Committees. (They are expected to be allotted two convenerships as well as seats on all Committees). Although many of the new Scottish MPs have experience either as local councillors or on the staff of other MPs or MSPs, others have very little background either as members of the SNP or in politics more generally, only having joined the party during or after the Referendum campaign. As a result very little is known about them, and it is likely that many of these were not expected to win a seat by their constituency party or head office, so the selection process may not have been as rigorous as it might otherwise have been. The impact of the election result in Scotland For Jewish (and other) people in Scotland the result is likely to have little real impact because almost all of day-to-day life in Scotland is already governed from Edinburgh (currently an SNP administration with an overall majority in the Scottish Parliament). And since the Conservatives have an overall majority in Westminster, Reserved matters will be determined without any significant SNP influence. It is important also to note that even if this result were to be replicated in the Scottish elections in May 2016, it would not result in any significant change in the political landscape within Scotland: first because the SNP already have a working majority in the Scottish Parliament, with 69 of the 129 seats, and secondly, under the d’Hondt system of proportional representation, constituency seats count towards the proportional allocation, so that a party that wins all the constituency seats and receives 50% of the votes in the(second) party list ballot, is likely to be awarded few if any of the regional seats, leaving the composition much as it is at present. Scottish Council of Jewish Communities (SCIO no. SC029438) May 2015 The SNP and Israel However perception is as important as reality, and there is considerable concern in the Scottish Jewish community about what seems to be instinctive support in both SNP and the Scottish Labour party for pro-Palestinian positions without apparent regard to how extreme or otherwise these positions may be. This polarised perception frequently results in supporters of a two-state solution, which implies Israel’s legitimacy and right to security alongside a state of Palestine, being portrayed as “Zionist” enemies of the Palestinian cause. Much of this instinctive support relies not only on sympathy for the perceived underdog, and perceived equivalence between Palestinians and Scotland as small nations both seeking independence from a more powerful neighbour, but also the obfuscation, deliberate or naïve, of the distinction between “the Palestinians” as an ethnic group (of whom 1.65 million are Israeli citizens), and the inhabitants of the West Bank and Gaza who are residents of a possible future State of Palestine. Conversely, much of the rhetoric capitalises on conflation of Israel, the Israeli government, and Israelis – and Jews. One of the more worrying phenomena in Scotland during both the Referendum and the General Election campaign was the overlap between the most aggressive manifestations of nationalism and anti-Zionism. Jim Murphy, in particular, was subjected to vicious personal abuse calling him a “war criminal”, a “supporter of mass murder”, because of his support for Israel, and there was a call to “make Scotland a Zionist-free zone”. One pro-SNP leaflet boasted that “Westminster leaders grovel to Israel [but] in Scotland there are no SNP ‘Friends of Israel’”, although it should be noted that the SNP Friends of Palestine is not officially recognised by the Party. Because many of the new MPs are new to politics, it will take time to discover how many of them have bought into this polarised narrative, but it should be borne in mind that there are also firm friends of Israel within the SNP such as the Ewing family (Winnie is President of the Party, and Fergus and Annabelle are both Ministers in the Scottish Government), and one of the new MPs, George Kerevan, has written numerous articles in the press that are favourable to Israel. However, almost immediately after the General Election, the First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, was quoted as having sent a message of support to a conference calling for an embargo on arms sales to Israel, and repeating Scottish Government policy first articulated in summer 2014, that it supports an embargo and has lobbied the UK Government to that effect. She has since written to SCoJeC that rather than supporting the conference, she declined an invitation “using a standard form of wording … and as such was not a Scottish Government endorsement of the event”, and reiterating support for a two-state solution. The SNP and the Jewish Community It is important to note that antipathy to Israel, however strong, does not equate with antipathy to the Jewish Community on matters of practical concern in Scotland. The current SNP administration have been as sympathetic as previous Labour-led coalitions to the Community’s concerns about practical matters as varied as tackling hate crime, divorce law (gittin), the Jewish primary school in Glasgow, Holocaust education and restitution, expediting burials, etc – if anything more so, since concern to understand the concerns of Jewish people led them to fund SCoJeC’s 2012 Being Jewish in Scotland inquiry, and this year What’s Changed about Being Jewish in Scotland, which examines new concerns and anxieties since summer 2014. Many of the MSPs who support the Community on domestic matters are outspokenly critical of Israeli Government policy, and it is, therefore, important for the Community that they continue to distinguish between these issues, and do not act as if “the friend of my enemy is my enemy” by allowing their antipathy to Israel to prejudice them against the needs of local Jewish people. 2 Scottish Council of Jewish Communities 2 May 2015 MPs The information below about each MP is in alphabetical order according to name. To find a particular constituency, please click on the relevant link. Aberdeen North Aberdeen South Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine Airdrie & Shotts Angus Argyll & Bute Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock Ayrshire Central Ayrshire North & Arran Banff & Buchan Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East Dumfries & Galloway Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale Dunbartonshire East Dunbartonshire West Dundee East Dundee West Dunfermline & West Fife East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow East Lothian Edinburgh East Edinburgh North & Leith Edinburgh South Edinburgh South West Edinburgh West Falkirk Fife North East Glasgow Central Glasgow East Glasgow North Glasgow North East Glasgow North West Glasgow South Glasgow South West Glenrothes Gordon Inverclyde Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey Kilmarnock & Loudoun Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath Lanark & Hamilton East Linlithgow & Falkirk East Livingston Midlothian Moray Motherwell & Wishaw Na h-Eileanan an Iar (Western Isles) Ochil & South Perthshire Orkney & Shetland Paisley & Renfrewshire North Paisley & Renfrewshire South Perth & North Perthshire Renfrewshire East Ross, Skye & Lochaber Rutherglen & Hamilton West Stirling 3 Scottish Council of Jewish Communities 3 May 2015 A Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh (Ochil & South Perthshire, SNP) Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh has previously worked as a lawyer, journalist, film actress, and model. She founded and is Chair of the Scottish Asian Women’s Association, and received the OBE in 2014 for services to business and to Scotland’s Asian community. She was previously a member of the Labour party, and has stood for the Scottish Parliament as a Conservative candidate. Responsibilities and contact details SNP Westminster Group Leader on Trade and Investment telephone: 020 7219 5588 e-mail: [email protected] twitter: https://twitter.com/TasminaSheikh facebook: www.facebook.com/TasminaforOchilandSouthPerthsire Richard Arkless (Dumfries & Galloway, SNP) Richard Arkless has worked as a lawyer, and currently runs an online business. Contact details telephone: 020 7219 6959 e-mail: [email protected] twitter: https://twitter.com/@ArklessRichard facebook: www.facebook.com/RichardArklessSNP website: www.richardarkless.scot/ B Hannah Bardell (Livingston, SNP) Hannah Bardell worked