Public Disclosure Copy The World Bank Implementation Status & Results Report SECOND PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT FOR SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE AND WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT PROJECT (P133327)

TAJIKISTAN SECOND PUBLIC EMPLOYMENT FOR SUSTAINABLE AGRICULTURE AND WATER RESOURCES MANAGEMENT PROJECT (P133327)

EUROPE AND CENTRAL ASIA | Tajikistan | Water Global Practice | Public Disclosure Authorized IBRD/IDA | Specific Investment Loan | FY 2013 | Seq No: 8 | ARCHIVED on 25-Feb-2017 | ISR26813 |

Implementing Agencies:

Key Dates

Key Project Dates

Bank Approval Date:29-Nov-2012 Effectiveness Date:03-May-2013 Planned Mid Term Review Date:15-Dec-2016 Actual Mid-Term Review Date:15-Dec-2016 Original Closing Date:28-Feb-2018 Revised Closing Date:28-Feb-2020 Public Disclosure Authorized

Project Development Objectives

Project Development Objective (from Project Appraisal Document) The project development objectives are to (i) provide employment to food insecure people through the rehabilitation of irrigation and drainage infrastructure, (ii) increase crop production in response to improved irrigation and drainage infrastructure, and (iii) support the development of improved policies and institutions for water resource management, as a means to improve food availabilityand food access for low-income people in poor rural areas supported by the project.

Has the Project Development Objective been changed since Board Approval of the Project Objective? Public Disclosure Authorized Yes

Board Approved Revised Project Development Objective (If project is formally restructured)PHRPDODEL The project development objectives for PAMP II are to: (i) provide access to temporary employment to food-insecure people through the rehabilitation of irrigation and drainage infrastructure, (ii) increase yields of selected crops in response to improved irrigation and infrastructure, and (iii) strengthen the capacity of Tajikistan to introduce integrated water resource management. By improving food access and food availability these measures improve the food security of low-income people in the poor rural areas supportedby the project.

Components

Name Public Works and Rehabilitation of Irrigation and Drainage Infrastructure:(Cost $45.54 M) Public Disclosure Authorized Assistance in Water Resources Management, Including Technical Assistance for Policy and Institutional Reform:(Cost $9.57 M) Project Management:(Cost $2.79 M)

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Overall Ratings

Name Previous Rating Current Rating

Progress towards achievement of PDO  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Implementation Progress (IP)  Satisfactory  Satisfactory Overall Risk Rating  Moderate  Moderate

Implementation Status and Key Decisions

1. The project demonstrates a good progress in moving towards achieving the PDO and intermediate indicators. Notably, in the period covered by the mid-term review, the project succeeded in improving access to irrigation and drainage services to more than 1,100,000 people residing on the territory of WUAs in Jomi, Rumi, , , , Vose, Hamadoni, Rudaki and Hisor districts where most of mechanized and manual works have been completed. In addition, the project engaged more than 24,000 beneficiaries (82.7% of the target) in cleaning of 5,333 km (79.9% of the target) of secondary and tertiary canals, which resulted in creation of 660,000 person-days of temporary employment (57.6% of the target). Progress on the various mechanized works and emergency flood-related restoration works is also considered to have been generally satisfactory. Reportedly, (i) 557 out of planned 1,180 km of collector and drainage network (CDN) have been cleaned and levelled; (ii) 169 out of 310 km of irrigation canals rehabilitated; (iii) 1,462 out of 2,550 water outlet gates and measurement devices installed; (iv) 4.6 out of 5 km of flood channels in Tebalai rehabilitated; and (iv) 1.52 and 1.15 km of emergency embankments in Hamadoni and Shughnon districts rehabilitated. In addition, the project successfully completed rehabilitation and renovation of four pumping stations in Jomi, Panj, Jilikul () and Yovon districts. The PMU is expected to ensure timely implementation and completion of civil works by the end of the project. In parallel, the PMU shall strengthen control over quality of works and improve contract management and supervision practices. 2. The National-level Policy, Legislative and Institutional Formulation sub-component is under implementation by the French company, BRLi. The PMU assisted the Ministry of Water Resources and Energy in successfully negotiating a no-cost contract extension with the revised scope of services and new deadlines agreed by the parties. Amendment to the original contract was signed on November 4, 2016. Out of five key deliverables, the Institutional review report and Legal review report were finalized for the review of the respective Project Technical Working Group (TWG). Given that the review process by TWG proved to be time-consuming and challenging from the organizational point of view, as well as having taken into consideration insufficient quality of submitted deliverables, the PMU in consultation with MEWR (Ministry of Energy and Water) suggested to set-up a separate expert group for technical review of deliverables before their formal submission to the TWG and the World Bank. The expert group would be led by the First Deputy Minister of Energy and Water Resources. 3. Satisfactory progress was also made in supporting and strengthening WUAs, as activities under this sub-component have been carried and completed according to the agreed action plan. As of December 1, 2016, the project has been working in total with 82 WUAs that cover 164,076 ha of irrigated area in 17 project districts. To date, the project has established 15 new WUAs, reorganized 46 WUAs, and strengthened capacity of 40 WUAs previously established by USAID and 47 WUAs established by the project. The project is well over 70 percent of being completed in terms of creating new WUAs, the number of WUAs to be strengthened currently stand at 130, and will likely surpass the final target that of 125 WUAs. 4. The Client completed the MTR report summarizing key project achievements up to date. The report incorporates results of the mid-term household survey aimed at assessing early effect of the project on food security situation in the area. As the project activities are not complete yet, the WB team suggested some revisions to the evaluation methodology used in the report. Review of the secondary jamoat-level data and results of the household survey suggest there is a solid improvement in production outcomes of major food crops prioritized by the project (wheat, potato, vegetables) and increased satisfaction with the quality of irrigation service delivery in the project districts.

Risks

Systematic Operations Risk-rating Tool

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Risk Category Rating at Approval Previous Rating Current Rating

Political and Governance  --  Substantial  Substantial Macroeconomic  --  Substantial  Substantial Sector Strategies and Policies  --  Moderate  Moderate Technical Design of Project or Program  --  Moderate  Moderate Institutional Capacity for Implementation and -- Moderate Moderate Sustainability    Fiduciary  --  Moderate  Moderate Environment and Social  --  Low  Low Stakeholders  --  Moderate  Moderate Other  --  --  -- Overall  --  Moderate  Moderate

Results

Project Development Objective Indicators

PHINDPDOTBL

 Direct project beneficiaries (Number, Core)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 1,030,078.00 1,111,367.00 1,343,450.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDPDOTBL

 Female beneficiaries (Percentage, Core Supplement)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 10.00 48.00 30.00

PHINDPDOTBL

 Beneficiaries of Flood Protection Works (Number, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

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Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 62,400.00

Date 18-Oct-2015 18-Oct-2015 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2018

PHINDPDOTBL

 Number of registered WUA Members (Number, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 17,000.00 -- 27,968.00 45,000.00

Date 18-Mar-2015 -- 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDPDOTBL

 Percent Female WUA Members (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 10.00 11.00 14.00 10.00

PHINDPDOTBL

 Number of person.days worked by participants of public works program (Number, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 630,417.00 660,630.00 1,146,000.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2018

PHINDPDOTBL

 of which female beneficiaries (Number, Custom Breakdown)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 151,785.00 159,734.00 171,900.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2018

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PHINDPDOTBL

 of which severely food insecure beneficiaries (Number, Custom Breakdown)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 102,516.00 107,187.00 229,200.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2018

PHINDPDOTBL

 Increase in wheat and vegetable yield on rehabilitated irrigated land (Percentage, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 0.00 10.00 10.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

Comments The PMU team made plausible efforts to assess the project’s early impact on major crops production in the area. Relevant agriculture statistics was collected from different sources, namely: (i) households survey of 2013 and 2016; (ii) jamoat level data for 2010-2015; (iv) WUA-level data for 2014-2015. This information was cross-checked by the WB team to identify general trends and estimate changes attributable to the project’s interventions. Triangulation of data allows to increase reliability of the reported indicators. Aggregate jamoat-level statistics demonstrates an overall increase in wheat, potato and vegetable yields across the first year districts. Reportedly, estimated wheat yield increase ranges from 5% in Rumi to 54% in Jilikul district, while potato yields reportedly increased from 18% in Jomi to 37% in Jilikul. There is a clear upward trend in crop productivity in Jilikul as also confirmed through the household survey and WUA-level data. While wheat yields seemingly increased across the project area, the same trend is observed in the non-project districts (Bokhtar, Dangara, Temurmalik), which suggests overall favorable conditions for wheat growing in the reporting period. In parallel, area under wheat production in the first year project districts shrank, explained by the observed shift to cultivation of other higher-value crops, e.g. vegetables and potato. This shift, also accompanied by increased productivity of these water-demanding crops could be explained by an improved access to irrigation water, in particular, increased reliability of irrigation delivery. This is also confirmed by respondents of the household survey, reporting on solid improvements to the quality of irrigation service delivery.

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PHINDPDOTBL

 Operational water user associations created and/or strengthened (number) (Number, Core)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 83.00 100.00 125.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDPDOTBL

 WUAs created (Number, Custom Breakdown)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 11.00 13.00 28.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDPDOTBL

 WUAs strengthened (Number, Custom Breakdown)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 72.00 87.00 97.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDPDOTBL

 National IWRM strategy prepared and agreed with the MEWR (Yes/No, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value N N N Y

Date 10-Aug-2012 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDPDOTBL

 Kofarnihon River Basin Plan prepared and agreed with the MEWR (Yes/No, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

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Value N N N Y

Date 10-Aug-2012 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

Overall Comments

Intermediate Results Indicators

PHINDIRITBL

 Public works beneficiaries disaggregated by gender and vulnerable group (Number, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 19,340.00 19,340.00 29,950.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2018

PHINDIRITBL

 Female (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 25.00 25.00 20.00

PHINDIRITBL

 Severely Food Insecure (Percentage, Custom Supplement)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 16.00 16.00 15.00

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PHINDIRITBL

 Length of flood channel and flood protection embankments rehabilitated (Kilometers, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 5.00 7.30 6.20

Date 16-Jul-2015 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Nov-2020

PHINDIRITBL

 Beneficiary Grievances Responded to within Stipulated Service Standards for Response (Percentage, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 -- 98.00 95.00

Date 01-Jul-2015 18-Jun-2015 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2018

PHINDIRITBL

 Area provided with irrigation and drainage services (ha) (Hectare(Ha), Core)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 134,000.00 156,000.00 236,600.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDIRITBL

 Area provided with irrigation and drainage services - Improved (ha) (Hectare(Ha), Core Breakdown)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 134,000.00 156,000.00 236,600.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

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PHINDIRITBL

 Length of canals cleaned (Kilometers, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 5,228.00 5,502.00 7,065.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDIRITBL

 of which manually cleaned (Kilometers, Custom Breakdown)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 5,104.00 5,333.00 6,755.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2018

PHINDIRITBL

 of which mechanically cleaned (Kilometers, Custom Breakdown)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 136.40 169.00 310.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDIRITBL

 Length of drains cleaned (Kilometers, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 479.00 557.00 1,180.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

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PHINDIRITBL

 Key hydraulic sections, structures, installations, and equipment rehabilitated or provided (Number, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 2,049.00 2,184.00 4,030.00

Date 18-Dec-2013 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDIRITBL

 The Water Information System established (Yes/No, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value N N N Y

Date 10-Aug-2012 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDIRITBL

 Amendments to Water Legislation drafted (Yes/No, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value N N N Y

Date 10-Aug-2012 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

PHINDIRITBL

 Number of MEWR and ALRI and WUA staff trained in IWRM (Number, Custom)

Baseline Actual (Previous) Actual (Current) End Target

Value 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.00

Date 10-Aug-2012 15-Jun-2016 15-Dec-2016 28-Feb-2020

Overall Comments

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Data on Financial Performance

Disbursements (by loan)

Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Currency Original Revised Cancelled Disbursed Undisbursed Disbursed

P133327 IDA-56970 Effective USD 6.60 6.60 0.00 0.00 6.37 0%

P133327 IDA-D0810 Effective USD 5.40 5.40 0.00 2.29 3.05 42%

P133327 IDA-H8230 Effective USD 18.00 18.00 0.00 13.68 2.80 76%

P133327 TF-13997 Effective USD 27.90 27.90 0.00 20.27 7.63 73%

Key Dates (by loan)

Project Loan/Credit/TF Status Approval Date Signing Date Effectiveness Date Orig. Closing Date Rev. Closing Date

P133327 IDA-56970 Effective 22-Jun-2015 07-Aug-2015 04-Dec-2015 28-Feb-2020 28-Feb-2020 P133327 IDA-D0810 Effective 22-Jun-2015 07-Aug-2015 04-Dec-2015 28-Feb-2020 28-Feb-2020 P133327 IDA-H8230 Effective 29-Nov-2012 05-Feb-2013 03-May-2013 28-Feb-2018 28-Feb-2020 P133327 TF-13997 Effective 05-Feb-2013 05-Feb-2013 05-Feb-2013 28-Feb-2018 28-Feb-2020

Cumulative Disbursements

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Restructuring History

Level 2 Approved on 06-Nov-2015

Related Project(s)

P154327-Additional Financing for Tajikistan PAMP II

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