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Same-Sex Marriage Survey Results 17 Barton Deakin Brief: Same-Sex Marriage Survey Results 17 November 2017 On Wednesday, November 15, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the result of the Government’s Australian Marriage Law Postal Survey. The survey returned a national result of 61.6 per cent in favour of support of changing the law to allow same-sex couples to marry, and 38.4 per cent against. This Barton Deakin Brief will break down the result of the vote. Background The Same-Sex Marriage Survey was approved by the High Court on 7 September 2017 after a challenge by Australian Marriage Equality and PFLAG Brisbane. The survey was conducted by the ABS via Australia Post from 12 September to 7 November. The question put was: Should the law be changed to allow same-sex couples to marry? The positive result for the ‘Yes’ vote means the Government will facilitate the consideration of a Private Members’ Bill in the final sitting fortnight of the House of Representatives, scheduled to begin on November 27. Senator Dean Smith’s Private Members Bill was introduced with cross-party support to the Senate at 9:30am, 16 November 2017. Senator Smith’s Bill provides religious exemptions for clergy and churches who refuse to conduct same-sex marriages due to their religious beliefs. Attorney General Senator the Hon George Brandis has signalled his intention to amend the Smith bill to provide additional protections for civil marriage celebrants, and protections for people of faith to hold and express their own views on marriage. Various other Parliamentarians have indicated support for further amendments regarding religious protection, free speech and other matters. Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has stated he would like to see the bill voted on and legislated by Christmas. Results Nationally • Yes responses – 7,817,247, representing 61.6 per cent of the vote; No responses – 4,873,987 representing 38.4 per cent of the vote. • A further 36,686 responses were unclear. • Total participation was – 12,727,920, representing 79.5 per cent of the eligible voting population. State and Territory Level • Every State and Territory recorded a majority yes result. • Every state and territory recorded a majority yes result over 60 per cent, with the exception of New South Wales which recorded a majority yes result of 57.8 per cent. • The Australian Capital Territory had the highest majority yes, at 74 per cent. • Every state achieved a participation rate of over 75 per cent, except for the Northern Territory, where participation was 58.4 per cent. Barton Deakin Pty. Ltd. Suite 17, Level 2, 16 National Cct, Barton, ACT, 2600. T: +61 2 6108 4535 www.bartondeakin.com ACN 140 067 287. A WPP AUNZ Group Company. By Commonwealth Electoral Division • Of the 150 Commonwealth Electorates, a majority yes outcome was recorded for 133 electorates and a majority no outcome was recorded for 17 electorates. • Within those 133 Electorates with a majority yes response, there were 95 Electorates with a majority yes response of over 60 per cent. • Within those 17 Electorates with a majority no response, there were 6 Electorates with a majority no response of over 60 per cent. By Political Party • The Liberal Party of Australia holds 57 seats, of which 53 corresponding electorates returned a majority Yes response. • The Nationals hold 17 seats in the Parliament, of which 16 corresponding electorates returned a majority Yes response. • The Australian Labor Party hold 69 seats, of which 58 corresponding electorates returned a majority Yes response. Electorate Results New South Wales (Yes: 57.8% - No: 42.2% - Participation: 79.5%) Electorate Yes No Held by Member Vote in Voting % % Plebiscite* intention on the Smith Bill** Sydney 83.7 16.3 ALP The Hon Tanya Plibersek Yes Yes MP Wentworth 80.8 19.2 LIB The Hon Malcolm Turnbull Yes Yes MP Grayndler 79.9 20.1 ALP The Hon Anthony Albanese Yes Yes MP Warringah 75.0 25.0 LIB The Hon Tony Abbott MP No Will facilitate vote. Newcastle 74.8 25.2 ALP Sharon Claydon MP Yes Yes North Sydney 71.8 28.2 LIB Trent Zimmerman MP Yes Yes Mackellar 68.0 32.0 LIB Jason Falinski MP Yes Yes Richmond 67.9 32.1 ALP Justine Elliot MP Yes Yes Shortland 67.7 32.3 ALP Pat Conroy MP Yes Yes Cunningham 65.7 34.3 ALP Sharon Bird MP Yes Yes Dobell 65.7 34.3 ALP Emma McBride MP Yes Yes Robertson 65.7 34.3 LIB Lucy Wicks MP No Yes Paterson 65.5 34.5 ALP Meryl Swanson MP Yes Yes Eden-Monaro 64.9 35.1 ALP The Hon Dr Mike Kelly Yes Yes AM MP Hunter 64.4 35.6 ALP The Hon Joel Fitzgibbon Yes Yes MP Kingsford 64.1 35.9 ALP Matt Thistlethwaite MP Yes Yes Smith Macquarie 63.9 36.1 ALP Susan Templeman MP Yes Yes Whitlam 62.3 37.7 ALP Stephen Jones Yes Yes Gilmore 62.0 38.0 LIB Ann Sudmalis MP Undeclared Undeclared Bradfield 60.6 39.4 LIB The Hon Paul Fletcher MP Yes Yes Calare 60.2 39.8 NAT Andrew Gee MP Undeclared Undeclared Cowper 60.0 40.0 NAT The Hon Luke Hartsuyker Undeclared Yes MP Page 59.7 40.3 NAT Kevin Hogan MP Yes Yes Barton Deakin Pty. Ltd. Suite 17, Level 2, 16 National Cct, Barton, ACT, 2600. T: +61 2 6108 4535 www.bartondeakin.com ACN 140 067 287. A WPP AUNZ Group Company. Hume 58.6 41.4 LIB The Hon Angus Taylor MP Undeclared Yes Hughes 58.4 41.6 LIB Craig Kelly MP No Yes Lindsay 56.2 43.8 ALP Emma Husar MP Yes Yes Lyne 55.3 44.7 NAT The Hon Dr David No Undeclared Gillespie MP Farrer 55.2 44.8 LIB Sussan Ley MP Yes Yes Cook 55.0 45.0 LIB The Hon Scott Morrison No Undeclared. MP Depends on bill. Berowra 54.6 45.4 LIB Julian Leeser MP No Yes Riverina 54.6 45.4 NAT The Hon Michael No Yes McCormack MP Reid 52.7 47.3 LIB The Hon Craig Laundy MP Undeclared Yes Parkes 52.7 47.3 NAT Mark Coulton MP Undeclared Undeclared New England 52.5 47.5 NAT* Barnaby Joyce No No vote. Facing by-election. Macarthur 52.1 47.9 ALP Mike Freelander MP Yes Yes Bennelong 49.8 50.2 LIB* John Alexander MP Yes No vote. Facing by-election. Mitchell 49.1 50.9 LIB The Hon Alex Hawke MP No Undeclared Greenway 46.4 53.6 ALP Michelle Rowland MP Yes Yes Banks 44.9 55.1 LIB David Coleman MP Yes Yes Barton 43.6 56.4 ALP The Hon Linda Burney MP Yes Yes Chifley 41.3 58.7 ALP Ed Husic MP Yes Yes Parramatta 38.4 61.6 ALP Julie Owens MP Yes Yes Fowler 36.3 63.7 ALP Chris Hayes MP No Undeclared Werriwa 36.3 63.7 ALP Anne Stanley MP Yes Yes McMahon 35.1 64.9 ALP The Hon Chris Bowen MP Yes Yes Watson 30.4 69.6 ALP The Hon Tony Burke MP Yes Yes Blaxland 26.1 73.9 ALP The Hon Jason Clare MP Yes Yes Senate ALP Senator the Hon Doug Yes Yes Cameron Senate ALP Senator Sam Dastyari Yes Yes Senate ALP Senator Jenny McAllister Yes Yes Senate ALP Senator Deborah O'Neill Undeclared Undeclared Senate GRN Lee Rhiannon Yes Yes Senate LDP Senator David Leyonhjelm Yes Yes Senate LIB Senator the Hon Concetta No Yes Fierravanti-Wells Senate LIB Senator the Hon Marise Yes Yes Payne Senate LIB Senator the Hon Arthur Yes Yes Sinodinos AO Senate LIB Vacancy – Fiona Nash - - Senate NAT Senator John Williams No Undeclared Senate ONE Senator Brian Burston Undeclared Undeclared NATION Barton Deakin Pty. Ltd. Suite 17, Level 2, 16 National Cct, Barton, ACT, 2600. T: +61 2 6108 4535 www.bartondeakin.com ACN 140 067 287. A WPP AUNZ Group Company. Victoria (Yes: 64.9% - No: 35.1% - Participation: 81.7%) Electorate Yes No Held by Member Vote in Voting intention % % Plebiscite* on the Smith Bill** Melbourne 83.7 16.3 GRN Adam Bandt MP Yes Yes Melbourne 82.0 18.0 ALP Michael Danby MP Yes Yes Ports Higgins 78.3 21.7 LIB The Hon Kelly O’Dwyer Yes Yes MP Goldstein 76.3 23.7 LIB Tim Wilson MP Yes Yes Kooyong 73.7 26.3 LIB The Hon Josh Frydenberg Yes Yes MP Jagajaga 73.5 26.5 ALP The Hon Jenny Macklin Yes Yes MP Dunkley 72.0 28.0 LIB Chris Crewther MP Yes Yes Corangamite 71.6 28.4 LIB Sarah Henderson MP Yes Yes Batman 71.2 28.8 ALP David Feeney MP Yes Yes Ballarat 70.5 29.5 ALP The Hon Catherine King Yes Yes MP Flinders 70.0 30.0 LIB The Hon Greg Hunt MP Yes Yes Wills 70.0 30.0 ALP Peter Khalil MP Yes Yes Bendigo 68.7 31.3 ALP Lisa Chesters MP Yes Yes Casey 68.1 31.9 LIB The Hon Tony Smith MP No Speaker does not have a vote Gellibrand 68.1 31.9 ALP Tim Watts MP Yes Yes Corio 67.7 32.3 ALP The Hon Richard Marles Yes Yes MP La Trobe 67.5 32.5 LIB Jason Wood MP Yes Yes Deakin 65.7 34.3 LIB The Hon Michael Sukkar No Yes MP McEwen 65.4 34.6 ALP Rob Mitchell MP Yes Yes Isaacs 65.3 34.7 ALP The Hon Richard Dreyfus Yes Yes QC MP Indi 63.1 36.9 IND Cathy McGowan AO MP Yes Yes McMillan 62.7 37.3 LIB Russell Broadbent MP Undeclared Undeclared Aston 62.0 38.0 LIB The Hon Alan Tudge MP No Yes Chisholm 61.6 38.4 LIB Julia Banks MP Yes Yes Wannon 61.0 39.0 LIB The Hon Dan Tehan MP No Yes Gippsland 60.2 39.8 NAT The Hon Darren Chester Yes Yes MP Maribyrnong 59.9 40.1 ALP The Hon Bill Shorten MP Yes Yes Hotham 59.6 40.4 ALP Clare O’Neil MP Yes Yes Murray 57.6 42.4 NAT Damian Drum MP Yes Yes Menzies 57.0 43.0 LIB The Hon Kevin Andrews No No MP Lalor 56.8 43.2 ALP Joanne Ryan MP Yes Yes Mallee 54.3 45.7 NAT Andrew Broad MP No Yes Scullin 53.4 46.6 ALP Andrew Giles MP Yes Yes Gorton 53.3 46.7 ALP The Hon Brendan Yes Yes O’Connor MP Holt 50.7 49.3 ALP Anthony Byrne MP Undeclared Undeclared Bruce 46.9 53.1 ALP Julian Hill MP Yes Yes Calwell 43.2 56.8 ALP Maria Vamvakinou MP Undeclared Yes Barton Deakin Pty.
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