The 2020 Stock Market Crash Is a Global Stock Market Crash That Began on 20 February 2020
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July 15, 2020 Ambassador Robert E. Lighthizer U.S. Trade
July 15, 2020 Ambassador Robert E. Lighthizer U.S. Trade Representative 600 17th St. NW Washington, DC 20508 Re: Docket No. USTR-2020-0022: Initiation of Section 301 Investigations of Digital Services Taxes Dear Ambassador Lighthizer: The Information Technology Industry Council (ITI) welcomes the U.S. Administration’s recognition that digital services taxes (DSTs) that have been adopted or are under consideration in ten jurisdictions – Austria, Brazil, the Czech Republic, the European Union (EU), India, Indonesia, Italy, Spain, Turkey, and the United Kingdom (UK) – raise concerns under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974. These unilateral measures advance a troubling precedent, unnecessarily depart from progress toward stable and sustainable international tax policies, and will disproportionately impact U.S.-headquartered companies. In accordance with the notice and request for comments published by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) on June 5, 2020, ITI respectfully submits the following written comments on the Administration’s initiation of Section 301 investigations of these ten measures.1 In our comments, we provide USTR with evidence to support a determination that these new DSTs – like the French DST – are unfair trade practices under Section 301 because they are discriminatory, unreasonable, inconsistent with prevailing international tax principles, and unusually burdensome for affected U.S. companies. Notably, many of the DSTs are structured similarly to the French DST and share the same problematic features that USTR identified in its Report on France’s Digital Services Tax (French DST Report),2 including scope limitations and revenue thresholds that are meant to target U.S. companies and shield domestic companies. -
Is Japan 'Back'?
IS JAPAN ‘BACK’? Japan Society of Northern California/Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, May 9th 2013 SOME PRELMINARY OBSERVATIONS SOME PRELMINARY “It is the one sphere of life and activity where victory, security and success is always to the minority and never to the majority. When you find any one agreeing with you, change your mind.” Keynes, speaking of Investment, 1937 5/8/2013 2 SUMMARY o Causes of Japan’s “Lost Decades” o First – Strategic irrelevance post-1989 o Second – early ‘90s headwinds strong in proportion to the size of the bubble o Third - 1997-2012- persistent macro-economic policy mistakes. o No insuperable “structural problems o Last headwinds dropped to nothing in 2009 o Senkaku spat marks Japan’s recovery of a strategic role o “Abe-nomics” represents reversal of the mistakes of 1997-2012 o Anyway, monetary policy has actually been loose since 3/11 o Deflation may already be over o PM Abe may just be “in the right place at the right time” o Both the initial, long period of error and its reversal echo the ‘30s. 5/8/2013 3 WHAT ACTUALLY HAPPENED? Is Real Life lived in Real or Nominal Numbers? Year Nominal GDP Population Nominal GDP/head Real GDP Real GDP/head (Y mil) (Thou) (Y mil) (Y mil) (Y mil) 1995 501,707 125,570 4.00 455,460 3.63 2000 509,860 126,926 4.02 474,847 3.74 2005 503,903 127,768 3.94 503,921 3.94 2010 482,384 128,057 3.77 512,364 4.00 2011 470,623 127,799 3.68 509,450 3.99 Period Nominal GDP per Capita Real GDP per Capita Change 1995-2011 -7.8% 9.9% 2000-2011 -8.3% 6.6% Note: GDP for Fiscal Years, Seasonally -
Gauging Your Investments with Performance Benchmarks
Gauging Your Investments with Performance Benchmarks One way to evaluate your investments objectively is to use industry-standard performance benchmarks. A benchmark is a market index or average that allows you to compare the performance of your stocks, bonds, or mutual funds against similar investments. Here are some of the most well-known and widely used investment benchmarks: Stock Benchmarks Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The oldest and most widely quoted market indicator. It reflects the price-weighted average of 30 actively traded blue chip stocks, mostly industrials, that generally represent 15% to 20% of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) total market value. (In a price- weighted index, higher priced stocks carry more weight than lower priced issues.) The mix of individual stocks changes occasionally. Standard and Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500). A market value-weighted index that reflects changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks compared to the base period of 19411943. The S&P 500 consists mainly of New York Stock Exchange industrials, although it also includes transportation, utility, and financial stocks traded on the American Stock Exchange (AMEX), as well as over-the-counter (OTC). National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (NASDAQ) Composite Index. A broader measure of market activity than the DJIA or the S&P 500, this market value-weighted index tracks the prices of all securities traded on the NASDAQ Stock Market. The NASDAQ specializes in emerging companies, such as technology, telecommunications, and even electronic commerce. Market values are computed by multiplying the most recent sale price of the stock with the total number of outstanding shares. -
Market Preview Domestic Indices Market
24-AUG-2021 Domestic Indices Market wrap up Domestic indices The domestic equity benchmarks managed to close with decent index Close Prv close %Chg gains after a volatile session on Monday. The Nifty closed just NIFTY 50 16,496.5 16,450.5 0.28 NIFTY SMALLCAP 50 4820.55 4928.35 -2.19 shy of the 16,500 mark. IT stocks climbed while auto and metal NIFTY MIDCAP 50 7,186.8 7,238.4 -0.71 shares tumbled.The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, NIFTY SMALLCAP 250 8350.15 8518.7 -1.98 advanced 226.47 points or 0.41% to 55,555.79. The Nifty 50 NIFTY BANK 35,124.4 35,033.9 0.26 index gained 45.95 points or 0.28% to 16,496.45.Bajaj Finserv , NIFTY NEXT 50 39220.15 39381.85 -0.41 NIFTY METAL 5,291.3 5,336.0 -0.84 Nestle India , Bharti Airtel, Bajaj Finance and Reliance Industries INDIA VIX 13.69 14.02 -2.35 supported the indices.Mahindra & Mahindra , Bajaj Auto , Global indices UltraTech Cement and ITC were major drags. In th broader market, the BSE Mid-Cap index fell 0.90% index Close Prv close %Chg Global Market NASDAQ 13,192.0 13,119.0 0.56% Wall Street rallied on Monday, and the Nasdaq reached an all- DOW 28,323.4 28,391.4 -0.24% time closing high as sentiment was boosted by full FDA approval CAC 40 5,769.0 5,765.0 1.16% DAX 13,884.0 13,786.0 0.71% of a COVID-19 vaccine and market participants looked ahead to NIKKEI 29,452.0 28,966.0 2.41% the Jackson Hole Symposium expected to convene later this HANG SENG 26,016.2 25,709.2 1.18% week.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 215.63 points, or NYSE 2,072.2 2,077.2 -0.24% 0.61%, to 35,335.71, the S&P 500 gained 37.86 points, or 0.85%, FTSE 6,553.0 6,483.0 1.07% to 4,479.53 and the Nasdaq Composite added 227.99 points, or As on 8.00 IST 1.55%, to 14,942.65.Shares in Asia-Pacific largely rose in NiftyMarket Watch Snapshot Tuesday morning trade . -
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The Financial System and Global Socioeconomic Cbanges Yuichiro Nagatomi Occasional Paper No.4 Yuichiro Nagatomi is President of the Institute of Fiscal and Monetary Policy, Ministry of Finance, Japan This paper originated as a lecture given at the "Regulating International Financial Markets: Issues and Policies" conference, held at the Waldorf-Astoria Hotel in May, 1990. The conference was sponsored by the Center on Japanese Economy and Business and the Center for the Study of Futures Markets at Columbia University, the Institute of Fiscal and Monetary Policy of the Ministry of Finance, Japan, and the Foundation for Advanced Information and Research (FAIR), Japan. Occasional Paper Series Center on Japanese Economy and Business Graduate School of Business Columbia University June 1990 I have a few comments on some recent changes in financial structure and also changes in the effects of monetary policy which perhaps need more discussion. 1. Socio-Economic Structure Changes: "Softnomization" The industrialized countries - the United States, Japan, and Europe - attained modernization and industrialization after the Industrial Revolution. In recent years, their socio-economic structures have been changing in a way we call "softnomization". In pre-modern times, people lived with nature's cycle - the "path of nature" or the "soft path". The "path of mechanization and automation" or the "hard path", pursued in the process of modernization and industrialization has blessed mankind with material affluence. It also has brought about "global environmental problems and maladies to advanced nations, such as drug use and other urban crimes, and it has deteriorated the vitality and quality of the society. "Softnomization" means a softening of the hard path, by seeking harmony between the "hard path" of modern times and the "soft path" of pre-modern times. -
Speech: Would More Regulation Prevent Another Black Monday?, July 20, 1988
u.S.Securities and Exchange Commission [N]@\Wl~ Washington,D. C. 20549 (202) 272-2650 ~@~@@~@ WOULD MORE REGULATION PREVENT ANOTHER BLACK MONDAY? Remarks to the CATO Institute Policy Forum Washington, D.C. July 20, 19.88 Joseph A. Grundfest Commissioner The views expressed herein are those of Commissioner Grundfest and do not necessarily represent those of the Commission, other Commissioners, or Commission staff. WOULD MORE REGULATION PREVENT ANOTHER BLACK MONDAY? Remarks to the CATO Institute Policy Forum July 21, 1988 Joseph A. Grundfest It's a pleasure to be here this afternoon to deliver an address on such a noncontroversial topic. Government regulators in Washington, D.C. have a well deserved reputation for dancing around difficult issues and not giving straight answers to simple questions. Well, I'd like to prove that I'm not your typical Washington, D.C. regulator and give you a straight answer to the question, "Would more regulation prevent another Black Monday?" The answer is an unequivocable yes, no, and maybe. The answer also depends on what you mean by more regulation and why you believe the market declined on Black Monday. With that issue cleared up, I'd like to thank all of you for attending and invite you to join the reception being held immediately after this speech. Thank you very much. It's been a pleasure. Actually, the question of whether more regulation could prevent another Black Monday is not as difficult as it seems, if you keep three factors in mind. First, it is important to distinguish between fundamental factors that initiated or contributed to the decline, and regulatory or structural factors that may have unnecessarily exacerbated the decline. -
October 19, 1987 – Black Monday, 20 Years Later BACKGROUND
October 19, 1987 – Black Monday, 20 Years Later BACKGROUND On Oct. 19, 1987, “Black Monday,” the DJIA fell 507.99 (508) points to 1,738.74, a drop of 22.6% or $500 billion dollars of its value-- the largest single-day percentage drop in history. Volume surges to a then record of 604 million shares. Two days later, the DJIA recovered 289 points or 16.6% of its loss. It took two years for the DJIA to fully recover its losses, setting the stage for the longest bull market in U.S. history. Date Close Change Change % 10/19/87 1,738.70 -508.00 -22.6 10/20/87 1,841.00 102.30 5.9 10/21/87 2,027.90 186.90 10.2 Quick Facts on October 11, 1987 • DJIA fell 507.99 points to 1,738.74, a 22.6% drop (DJIA had opened at 2246.74 that day) o Record decline at that time o Friday, Oct. 16, DJIA fell 108 points, completing a 9.5 percent drop for the week o Aug. 1987, DJIA reached 2722.42, an all-time high; up 48% over prior 10 months o Today, DJIA above 14,000 • John Phelan, NYSE Chairman/CEO -- Credited with effective management of the crisis. A 23-year veteran of the trading floor, he became NYSE president in 1980 and chairman and chief executive officer in 1984, serving until 1990 NYSE Statistics (1987, then vs. now) 1987 Today (and current records) ADV - ytd 1987 (thru 10/19): 181.5 mil ADV – 1.76 billion shares (NYSE only) shares 10/19/1987: 604.3 million shares (reference ADV above) 10/20/1987: 608.1* million shares (reference ADV above) Oct. -
Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF SAN FRANCISCO WORKING PAPER SERIES Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants Kathryn Holston and Thomas Laubach Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System John C. Williams Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco December 2016 Working Paper 2016-11 http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/working-papers/wp2016-11.pdf Suggested citation: Holston, Kathryn, Thomas Laubach, John C. Williams. 2016. “Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Working Paper 2016-11. http://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/working- papers/wp2016-11.pdf The views in this paper are solely the responsibility of the authors and should not be interpreted as reflecting the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco or the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Measuring the Natural Rate of Interest: International Trends and Determinants∗ Kathryn Holston Thomas Laubach John C. Williams December 15, 2016 Abstract U.S. estimates of the natural rate of interest { the real short-term interest rate that would prevail absent transitory disturbances { have declined dramatically since the start of the global financial crisis. For example, estimates using the Laubach-Williams (2003) model indicate the natural rate in the United States fell to close to zero during the crisis and has remained there into 2016. Explanations for this decline include shifts in demographics, a slowdown in trend productivity growth, and global factors affecting real interest rates. This paper applies the Laubach-Williams methodology to the United States and three other advanced economies { Canada, the Euro Area, and the United Kingdom. -
A Primer on U.S. Stock Price Indices
A Primer on U.S. Stock Price Indices he measurement of the “average” price of common stocks is a matter of widespread interest. Investors want to know how “the Tmarket” is doing, and to be able to compare their returns with a meaningful benchmark. Money managers often have their compensation tied to performance, typically measured by comparing their results to a benchmark portfolio, so they and their clients are interested in the benchmark portfolio’s returns. And policymakers want to judge the potential for sudden adjustments in stock prices when differences from “fundamental value” emerge. The most widely quoted stock price index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, has been supplemented by other popular indices that are constructed in a different way and pose fewer problems as a measure of stock prices. At present, a number of stock price indices are reported by the few companies that we will consider in this paper. Each of these indices is intended to be a benchmark portfolio for a different segment of the universe of common stocks. This paper discusses some of the issues in constructing and interpreting stock price indices. It focuses on the most widely used indices: the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Stan- dard & Poor’s 500, the Russell 2000, the NASDAQ Composite, and the Wilshire 5000. The first section of this study addresses issues of construction and interpretation of stock price indices. The second section compares the movements of the five indices in the last two decades and investigates the Peter Fortune relationship between the returns on the reported indices and the return on “the market.” Our results suggest that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Dow 30) The author is a Senior Economist and has inherent problems in its construction. -
How Complexity Anticipates Black Swans – the 2020 Market Crash
How Complexity Anticipates Black Swans – the 2020 Market Crash. April, 26th 2020 The 2020 stock market crash was a global stock market crash that began on 20 February 2020. On 12 February, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the NASDAQ Composite, and S&P 500 Index all finished at record highs (while the NASDAQ and S&P 500 reached subsequent record highs on 19 February). From 24 to 28 February, stock markets worldwide reported their largest one-week declines since the 2008 financial crisis, thus entering a correction. Global markets into early March became extremely volatile, with large swings occurring in global markets. On 9 March, most global markets reported severe contractions, mainly in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and an oil price war between Russia and the OPEC countries led by Saudi Arabia. This became colloquially known as Black Monday. At the time, it was the worst drop since the Great Recession in 2008. During March 2020, global stocks saw a downturn of at least 25%, and 30% in most G20 nations. Complexity tends to peak, or increases rapidly, prior to a crisis. Financial markets are no exception. We have devised new complexity-based indices for anticipating Black Swans. One such index, which we call C3, has worked egregiously in major European markets, offering early warnings ranging from 40 to 220 hours before the February 2020 collapse. Below are the charts of the said indices together with the corresponding C3 index. The dashed red line indicates when C3 peaks, triggering a shorting signal, while the blue dashed line coincides with the commencing of the downfall. -
Stuyvesant Student Opportunity Bulletin #37L June 11, 2021
Stuyvesant Student Opportunity Bulletin #37L June 11, 2021 Please note that in this “Long” version of the Student Opportunity Bulletin, all opportunities in each category are included. For the list of only the New and Deadline Approaching opportunities in each category, you may click & open the “Short” version of the Student Opportunity document you received. CATEGORY TABLE OF CONTENTS: (Download this entire PDF document in order to use the following links to jump to your area(s) of interest) 1. EVENTS OF INTEREST TO STUDENTS 2. ACADEMIC PROGRAMS 3. BUSINESS & JOBS 4. COMMUNITY SERVICE 5. LEADERSHIP, GOVERNMENT, LAW, ADVOCACY, INTERNATIONAL 1 6. MUSEUMS & ART 7. PARKS, ZOOS, & NATURE 8. STEM OPPORTUNITIES a. ENGINEERING / MATH / COMPUTER SCIENCE b. MEDICAL / LIFE SCIENCES 9. THEATER, WRITING, MUSIC, PERFORMING ARTS, VIDEO 10. CONTESTS & COMPETITIONS 11. OPPORTUNITY LISTS AND RESOURCES 12. SCHOLARSHIPS This edition includes some new events & opportunities in most of the sections below– many have deadlines coming up in the next week or two- so please explore them ASAP. For example: --In the ACADEMICS section, there is a free summer STEP/STEM program offered by Vaughn College of Aeronautics – it is targeted for low-income 2 students or those from under-represented groups, but all may apply – the deadline to do so is Monday, June 14! And today is the application deadline for free summer classes with the TGR Foundation and The BMCC College Now Program. --In the BUSINESS/JOBS section, there are deadlines this week for several virtual Internship Programs, a personal financial literacy program for high school students, a virtual Career Day, and a free summer Externship Program covering development of business knowledge & skills offered by AT&T. -
Sri Mulyani Indrawati, S.E., M.Sc., Ph.D
Image not found or type unknown Sri Mulyani Indrawati, S.E., M.Sc., Ph.D Plt. Menteri Koordinator Bidang Perekonomian RI Sri Mulyani Indrawati lahir di Bandar Lampung, Lampung, pada tanggal 26 Agustus 1962. Ia adalah wanita sekaligus orang Indonesia pertama yang menjabat sebagai Direktur Pelaksana Bank Dunia. Jabatan ini diembannya mulai 1 Juni 2010. Sebelumnya, dia menjabat Menteri Keuangan, Kabinet Indonesia Bersatu. Ketika ia menjadi Direktur Pelaksana Bank Dunia, maka ia pun meninggalkan jabatannya sebagai Menteri Keuangan. Sebelum menjadi Menteri Keuangan, Ia menjabat sebagai Menteri Negara Perencanaan Pembangunan Nasional/Bappenas dari Kabinet Indonesia Bersatu. Sri Mulyani sebelumnya dikenal sebagai seorang pengamat ekonomi di Indonesia. Ia menjabat sebagai Kepala Lembaga Penyelidikan Ekonomi dan Masyarakat Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Indonesia (LPEM FEUI) sejak Juni 1998. Pada 5 Desember 2005, ketika Presiden Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono mengumumkan perombakan kabinet, Sri Mulyani dipindahkan menjadi Menteri Keuangan menggantikan Jusuf Anwar. Sejak tahun 2008, ia menjabat Pelaksana Tugas Menteri Koordinator Bidang Perekonomian, setelah Menteri Koordinator Bidang Perekonomian Boediono dilantik sebagai Gubernur Bank Indonesia. Ia dinobatkan sebagai Menteri Keuangan terbaik Asia untuk tahun 2006 oleh Emerging Markets pada 18 September 2006 di sela Sidang Tahunan Bank Dunia dan IMF di Singapura. Ia juga terpilih sebagai wanita paling berpengaruh ke-23 di dunia versi majalah Forbes tahun 2008 dan wanita paling berpengaruh ke-2 di Indonesia