Anderson Robbins Research (D) / Shaw & Company Research (R) Interviews Conducted: N= 911 registered voters (702 landline, 209 cell phone) August 29-31, 2011

For Release 6PM ET Thursday, September 1, 2011

Methodology

The Poll is conducted under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The poll is based on live telephone interviews with a national sample of 911 registered voters, and was conducted August 29-31, 2011 in the evenings.

Landline and cell phone telephone numbers were randomly selected for inclusion in the survey using a probability proportionate to size method, which means that phone numbers for each state are proportional to the number of voters in each state.

Results based on the full sample have a margin of error of ± 3%

Results among subgroups have larger sampling errors, including: Democrats (n = 380) ± 5% Republicans (n = 326) ± 5.5% Independents (n = 170) ± 7.5% GOP Primary Voters (n = 341) ± 5.5%

Questions 1 – 23 released separately

24. In the presidential or caucus in your state next year, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican primary for president, or are you unlikely to participate in either?

Democratic Primary 40% Republican Primary 37 Neither 13 (Other/Don’t know) 9

(REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY) 25. I’m going to read a list of potential candidates for the 2012 Republican nomination. Please tell me which one you would like to see as the Republican presidential nominee. (RANDOMIZE LIST) 29-31 Aug 11 7-9 Aug 11 17-19 Jul 11 26-28 Jun 11 5-7 Jun 11 First Choice First Choice First Choice First Choice First Choice (N=341) (N=319) (N=323) (N=324) (N=338) 26% 13% 14% 13% N/A 18 21 17 18 23 8 8 9 8 12 7 6 9 7 5 4 7 10 11 4 Rudy Giuliani 4 7 9 10 13 4 5 5 5 7 ( - vol.) 4 3 1 1 2 3 6 4 3 7 3 2 2 2 4 (Chris Christie - vol.) 2 1 1 1 1 Jon Huntsman 1 2 1 3 2 1 - - 1 - 1 - - - 1 ( - vol.) * 1 1 1 1 Roy Moore * - - - - * - - - - (Jeb Bush - vol.) - - - 1 1 Thaddeus McCotter - - - - N/A N/A 2 2 3 5 George Pataki N/A 1 N/A N/A N/A (Someone else) 2 1 1 1 1 (Too soon to say) 9 7 6 6 5 (Don't know) 4 7 9 4 7

(REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS ONLY) 26. If you had to pick from just the ANNOUNCED candidates, which one would you like to see as the Republican presidential nominee? Those candidates are… (RANDOMIZE LIST)

29-31 Aug 11 7-9 Aug 11 17-19 Jul 11 (N= 341 GOP (N=319 GOP (N=323 GOP Primary Voters) Primary Voters) Primary Voters) Rick Perry 29% N/A N/A Mitt Romney 22 26 26 Michele Bachmann 8 13 15 Ron Paul 8 10 10 Herman Cain 6 9 9 Rick Santorum 4 4 4 Newt Gingrich 3 9 9 Jon Huntsman 1 2 2 Buddy Roemer 1 N/A N/A Gary Johnson - 1 1 Thaddeus McCotter - 1 - Fred Karger - - - Tim Pawlenty N/A 4 3 (Someone else) 2 4 2 (Too soon to say) 6 8 7 (Don't know) 10 9 13

(RESUME ALL) 27. Do you think Sarah Palin should run for president in 2012 or not?

Yes 20% No 74 (Don’t know) 6

28. Are there any announced or potential candidates for the Republican nomination who you feel are just too extreme to be seriously considered? If yes, who? (OPEN ENDED. DO NOT READ LIST. MULTIPLE RESPONSES ALLOWED.)

(Bachmann) 18% (Perry) 14 (Palin) 12 (Paul) 10 (Gingrich) 5 (Romney) 4 (Cain) 3 (Santorum) 3 (Huntsman) 2 (No, None) 35 (Other) 4 (Don’t know) 22

24. In the presidential primary election or caucus in your state next year, are you more likely to vote in the Democratic or Republican primary for president, or are you unlikely to participate in either?

Tea Non- College No Total Dem Rep Ind Party Men Women White white Degree College Democratic Primary 40% 85% 2% 16% 18% 34% 46% 34% 59% 40% 40% Republican Primary 37% 3% 86% 26% 67% 43% 33% 45% 15% 40% 35% Neither 13% 7% 8% 34% 8% 15% 11% 12% 15% 12% 14% (Other/Don't know) 9% 6% 5% 24% 7% 8% 10% 9% 11% 8% 10%

Under Under Total Age 35 35-54 55+ 65+ $50k $50k + Lib Mod Cons Democratic Primary 40% 47% 36% 41% 37% 45% 39% 73% 49% 16% Republican Primary 37% 30% 43% 36% 38% 27% 44% 9% 19% 61% Neither 13% 16% 11% 13% 12% 15% 10% 12% 18% 13% (Other/Don't know) 9% 7% 9% 10% 12% 13% 6% 6% 14% 10%

27. Do you think Sarah Palin should run for president in 2012 or not?

Tea Non- College No Total Dem Rep Ind Party Men Women White white Degree College Yes 20% 16% 25% 21% 28% 21% 20% 23% 13% 20% 21% No 74% 80% 71% 66% 66% 71% 77% 72% 81% 76% 72% (Don't know) 6% 4% 4% 13% 5% 8% 4% 5% 6% 4% 7%

Under Under Total Age 35 35-54 55+ 65+ $50k $50k + Lib Mod Cons Yes 20% 20% 23% 18% 15% 20% 21% 20% 16% 21% No 74% 74% 73% 75% 76% 72% 76% 77% 75% 72% (Don't know) 6% 6% 5% 7% 9% 8% 3% 3% 9% 7%

28. Are there any announced or potential candidates for the Republican nomination who you feel are just too extreme to be seriously considered? If yes, who? (OPEN ENDED. DO NOT READ LIST.)

Tea Non- College No Total Dem Rep Ind Party Men Women White white Degree College Bachmann 18% 24% 11% 19% 10% 19% 17% 19% 14% 26% 9% Perry 14% 21% 5% 17% 4% 19% 10% 15% 12% 20% 9% Palin 12% 16% 9% 14% 8% 13% 12% 13% 10% 17% 8% Paul 10% 9% 14% 8% 20% 13% 8% 12% 5% 14% 7% Gingrich 5% 6% 6% 5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 5% 7% 4% Romney 4% 4% 3% 5% 5% 6% 2% 4% 4% 4% 3% Cain 3% 5% 1% 3% 4% 5% 2% 3% 4% 4% 2% Santorum 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 5% 1% 3% 3% 5% 1% Huntsman 2% 2% 2% 2% 6% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% (Other) 4% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 6% 3% 3% (No, None) 35% 32% 38% 35% 38% 36% 35% 34% 40% 29% 43% (Don't know) 22% 18% 26% 19% 18% 18% 25% 21% 23% 18% 24%

Under Under Total Age 35 35-54 55+ 65+ $50k $50k + Lib Mod Cons Bachmann 18% 12% 20% 19% 14% 8% 24% 29% 22% 9% Perry 14% 9% 14% 18% 16% 10% 18% 26% 18% 6% Palin 12% 7% 15% 13% 9% 10% 14% 16% 19% 9% Paul 10% 4% 11% 14% 14% 6% 14% 9% 11% 11% Gingrich 5% 2% 6% 7% 6% 3% 7% 7% 9% 4% Romney 4% 1% 5% 4% 3% 3% 5% 5% 5% 3% Cain 3% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 4% 11% 1% Santorum 3% 1% 5% 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 6% 2% Huntsman 2% - 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% (Other) 4% 1% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 2% 3% (No, None) 35% 44% 35% 31% 31% 43% 31% 33% 24% 39% (Don't know) 22% 27% 17% 23% 28% 27% 17% 15% 22% 25%