WARD PROFILE: SOUTHBURY 2021

Southbury Ward is situated in the north of the Borough, bordered to the east by Enfield Highway and wards, to the north by Turkey Street ward, to the south by Jubilee and wards and to the west by Grange and Town wards. It is covered by postal district EN1.

Ward Profile

This Profile is intended to provide a guide to the demography, social and economic data and Council facilities in the ward.

It has been collated using the most up to date local-level data relating to 2020/21 as far as possible. A variety of statistical sources, both national and local, have been used in its compilation.

Appendix A has a table of key statistics for at a glance comparison with Borough averages.

Political Makeup

The ward is represented by the following Councillors:

Name Party Contact Votes received in 2018 election

Mahmut Aksanoglu Labour 020 8379 8408 2,081 Nneka Keazor Labour 020 8379 1701 2,030 Ayden Guzel Labour 020 8132 0032 n/a

At the 2018 council elections, voter turnout in Southbury was 35.4%.

Southbury ward falls in the parliamentary seat of Enfield North.

Demography

Summary Statistics

Measure Southbury Enfield Source

Population Estimate (2019) 15,659 333,794 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Children aged 0-15 3,926 76,137 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Working-age people (16-64) 10,085 213,093 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 Older people aged 65+ 1,648 44,564 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Children aged 0-15 25.1 22.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Working-age (16-64) 64.4 63.8 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % All Older people aged 65+ 10.5 13.4 ONS mid-year estimates 2019 % BAME - 2019 35.2 36.6 Enfield Council Estimates 2019 % BAME - 2011 36.1 39.0 Census 2011 % Not Born in UK - 2011 30.2 35.1 Census 2011 % English is First Language of no one in 12.0 14.1 Census 2011 household - 2011 Ministry for Housing, Communities Area - Square Kilometres 2.9 82.2 and Local Government ONS mid-year estimates 2019 / Population density (people per sq km) 5,400 4,061 MHCLG

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Population

According to the ONS mid-year estimate 2019, the total population is estimated to be 15,659. This is the 12th largest population of the 21 wards in Enfield.

The population of Southbury Ward has increased by 7.9% since the 2011 Census, which is higher than the average borough-wide increase.

The percentages of male and female residents in Southbury ward are 48.9% and 51.1% respectively. The distribution by age band is shown in the chart above right.

Age Profile

The age distribution of the ward broadly reflects the borough as a whole, with a slight preponderance of younger residents.

For more information, see appendix.

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Ethnicity

The ward contains relatively large numbers in the White British group.

As at the 2011 Census, the percentages of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic Group (BAME) was 36.1% and Non-UK Born residents was 30.2%. The percentage of households without English as a first language was 12.0%

Enfield Council’s own 2019 estimates give the ward’s BAME Group to be 35.2% of the total population.

Ethnicity estimates are produced in-house, using data from the 2001 and 2011 Censuses and the School Census conducted by the local education authority (LEA). The School Census results indicate the changing nature of the population and Enfield pupils recorded themselves under 95 different ethnic codes. Ward ethnicity populations have been consolidated and estimated for the 22 groups that make up the Council’s standard ethnic group classification (see table below)1.

Southbury Borough

Ethnicity (2019) Estimated Estimated % % No. No.

White British 6,959 43.7 128463 38.3 White Irish 275 1.7 6427 1.9 Greek 121 0.8 3862 1.2 Greek Cypriot 445 2.8 15612 4.7 Turkish 1,101 6.9 25413 7.6 Turkish Cypriot 253 1.6 6079 1.8 Kurdish 149 0.9 4152 1.2 White Other 1,028 6.5 22501 6.7 White & Black Caribbean 231 1.5 4248 1.3 White and Asian 195 1.2 3627 1.1 White and Black African 113 0.7 2303 0.7 Other mixed 365 2.3 6562 2.0 Indian 316 2.0 11066 3.3 Pakistani 95 0.6 2407 0.7 Bangladeshi 233 1.5 5971 1.8 Chinese 130 0.8 2441 0.7 Other Asian 567 3.6 11954 3.6 Somali 427 2.7 9160 2.7 Other Black African 1,251 7.9 25032 7.5 Black Caribbean 729 4.6 17561 5.2 Other Black 400 2.5 8285 2.5 Other Ethnic Group 551 3.5 12300 3.7

1Please note totals will not sum with ONS population estimates.

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Language

The main languages of residents* given by 2011 Census estimates are:

English 10,841 79% Turkish 789 6% Polish 279 2% Somali 157 1% Bengali 115 1% * aged 3 and over

Religion

Regarding Religion, the best guide is the 2011 Census. This showed the religious composition of the ward as:

Borough Religion No. % share average Christian 7725 53.3 53.6 Buddhist 97 0.7 0.6 Hindu 333 2.3 3.5 Jewish 71 0.5 1.4 Muslim 2237 15.4 16.7 Sikh 45 0.3 0.3 Other/none/not stated 3998 27.6 23.8

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Socio-economic factors

Socio-economic classification

The 2011 Census results showed that Southbury had an above average proportion of people in routine occupations, with about 13% more people than would be expected from the Borough average.

Low income households Southbury had the 12th highest (or 10th lowest) average (median) household income of the 21 wards in Enfield, as estimated by CACI in 2021. Average household income in the ward is below the median level for the borough as a whole and below the London average.

The proportion of households with an income of less than £15,000 was put at 16.8% compared to a Borough average of 15.4%. This was the 9th highest proportion of the 21 wards and is higher than the London average.

Provisional statistics from the Department for Work and Pensions indicate that, at 2020, 667 children in the ward (17% of the total) were living in families with relative low income, and 537 (13.7%) were in families of Absolute low income2. The proportions of children in poverty compared with local, regional and national averages are shown in the chart below.

2 Relative low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for that year. Absolute low income: equivalised household income is less than 60% of the UK median for the period 2010-2011.

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Benefit Claims

• As at June 2021, the claimant count3 in Southbury was 895, representing 8.96% of the local working-age population. • 32.3% of households in the ward (1,952) were claiming Universal Credit – this includes working households.

Economically active people The estimated proportion of people in work or looking for work (the economically active) was lower than the borough average in 2011. For number and rates, see appendix.

Deprivation score

The Indices of Deprivation 2019 – produced for the Ministry of Housing, Communities and Local Government– can be used to calculate the likely deprivation ranking of the ward. Analysis carried out by the Local Government Association indicates that within Enfield, Southbury is the 10th most deprived of the 21 wards in the Borough. The same analysis estimates that it is among the 20% most deprived wards in .

The map illustrates deprivation levels for wards in Enfield, when compared with the rest of the 7,180 wards in England for which data were available.

Fuel Poverty

Ward-level analysis of government statistics4 reveal that, as at 2019, 19% of households in the ward were in fuel poverty. This proportion was higher than both the borough and England averages.

3 The ‘narrow’ measure of unemployment: the number of people receiving either Job Seekers’ Allowance, or unemployed claimants of Universal Credit who are required to seek work.

4 Published by Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy

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Crime Appendix A has two crime related indicators by which the ward is compared to the Borough average:-

• Crime rate • Anti-social behaviour rate

The latest crime rates and trends can be obtained from the crime mapping website.

Health

The most recent estimates of the life expectancies5 for men and women in the ward reveal higher life expectancies for men than the local and national average, but that women in the ward have a lower than average life expectancy.

Considering the age structure of the ward the number of deaths is higher than would be expected, with deaths from cancer and circulatory diseases being higher than average.

Life expectancies and Standardised Mortality Ratios by cause of death are shown in the charts below.

General Health

In the 2011 Census the population were asked a question about their general health.

The graph (right) shows the response.

For the numbers of people in the

above categories see appendix.

5 Public Health England: Life Expectancy at birth 2015-2019

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Obesity The chart below shows the percentage of Reception and Year 6 children and adults in the ward who are overweight or obese, compared with the borough and national averages.

The latest health information about the ward can be obtained from the Local Health website by choosing Find My Area and entering the ward name.

Within the ward there are three GP surgeries:

o Lincoln Road Medical Practice – Lincoln Road, EN1 1LU o Southbury Surgery – 73 Southbury Road, EN1 1PJ o Moorfield Road Health Centre. Moorfield Road, EN3 5TU

There are no dental surgeries within the ward. The nearest dental surgeries are:

▪ Leigh Dental Practice, in Town Ward ▪ Dental Arts Studio, in Grange Ward ▪ Enfield Dental Practice, in Enfield Highway Ward

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Housing

The 2011 (Census) profile of the households in the ward by housing tenure (sector) is:

Tenure No. (% share) Borough average % Owner occupied 2981 (54.0%) 58.8% Private rented 1217 (22.0%) 23.6% Council 1121 (20.3%) 11.4% Registered social landlord 202 (3.7%) 6.2%

The 2011 Census data provides a view of the accommodation type by ward compared with the rest of the borough.

In Southbury ward there are higher percentages of terraced houses and purpose-built flats, compared with the Enfield average.

For the numbers of dwellings in the above categories see appendix.

In the year to December 2020 the median house price for Southbury ward was £377,500, 11% lower than the Borough median of £425,000 but having risen by 2% since the previous year.

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Education

There are five primary schools (including one infants’ school), two secondary schools and one special school in the ward:

Bush Hill Park Primary School - www.bushhillpark.enfield.sch.uk Carterhatch Infant School – http://www.carterhatchinfants.com/ Carterhatch Junior School - www.carterhatch-jun.enfield.sch.uk George Spicer Primary School – www.georgespicer.enfield.sch.uk Suffolks Primary School – www.suffolks.enfield.sch.uk

Bishop Stopford’s School – http://www.bishopstopfords.enfield.sch.uk/ Kingsmead School – www.kingsmeadschool.org

Russet House School – http://www.russethouse.enfield.sch.uk/

School performance The Department for Education publishes school performance data on their searchable webpages.

Qualifications in adults

Taken from the 2011 Census data the graph below shows the percentage of people in the ward with no qualifications, and lower and higher qualifications.

Qualifications: The term ‘no qualifications’ describes people without any academic, vocational or professional qualifications. The term ‘lower level’ qualifications is used to describe qualifications equivalent to levels 1 to 3 of the National Key Learning Targets (i.e. GSCE’s O levels, A levels, NVQ levels 1-3). The term ’Higher level’ refers to qualifications of levels 4 and above (i.e. first degrees, higher degrees, NVQ levels 4 and 5, HND, HNC and certain professional qualifications).

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Culture and Leisure

There is one static library in the ward, and two libraries just outside the ward in neighbouring Grange and Enfield Highway wards:

John Jackson Library, Agricola Place: Tel No 020 8379 1709

Enfield Central Library on Church Street Tel No 020 8379 8341

Enfield Highway Library on Hertford Road Tel No 020 8379 1710

The ward has 1 leisure centre within its boundaries, as well as the Queen Elizabeth Stadium, providing athletics facilities:

Southbury Leisure Centre, on the Southbury Leisure Park Tel No: 020 8245 3201

Queen Elizabeth Stadium, 3 Donkey Lane (off Carterhatch Lane), Enfield EN1 3PL

The ward has 4 parks or open spaces:

o Bush Hill Park o Enfield Playing Fields o St George’s Fields o Enfield Rangers Football Club

There are also the following sports and social clubs in the ward:

Ellenborough Table Tennis Club, Kimberley Gardens Website: www.ellenboroughttc.com

Enfield Kick-Boxing Academy, Southbury Road Website: www.enfieldkickboxingacademy.com

Toughen Up, Southbury Road Website: www.toughenup.co.uk

Enfield Shotokan Karate Club, Southbury Road www.shotokan-karate-england.co.uk

Enfield Ignatians Rugby Club, Donkey Lane www.pitchero.com/clubs/enfieldignatians

There are allotments on Ladysmith Road, EN1 3SS, Sketty Road, EN1 3SH and Carterhatch Lane, EN1 3AG. For further information about allotment hire contact Enfield Council on 020 8379 1000 or visit the Enfield Council website:

There are 2 places of worship within the boundaries of the ward:

o Suffolks Baptist Church Tel No: 020 8366 1070 o Parish Church of St Mark

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Voluntary and Community Sector

Some locally based community organisations are given below.

• Enfield Cypriots Association, Boleyn Hall, EN1 4HR - The Enfield Cypriots Association aims to maintain and develop cultural traditions and identity as well as to improve the quality of life of the members of the Cypriot community in the London Borough of Enfield by promoting the relief of poverty and advancement of education, social welfare and physical and mental health. Further information: https://cypriotfederation.org.uk/enfield-cypriots-association/ Email: [email protected]

Additional Sources of information

For local information visit the Enfield Council website homepage: http://www.enfield.gov.uk/. Creating an Enfield Connected account will enable you to find out about local events and services.

A collation of various data including latest best estimates is at Appendix A.

For statistics, search on the London Datastore or select profiles or data on NOMIS.

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff. / % TOTAL:- POPULATION – 2019 15659 15895 -1 HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 5521 5710 -3 Owner Occupied 2981 54.0 58.8 -8 Council 1121 20.3 11.4 78 Registered Social Landlord 202 3.7 6.2 -41 Private Renting 1217 22.0 23.6 -7 AGE STRUCTURE – 2019 0-4 1245 8.0 7.2 11 5-14 2459 15.7 14.4 9 15-24 1886 12.0 11.5 5 25-44 4736 30.2 29.2 3 45-64 3685 23.5 24.4 -3 65-74 913 5.8 7.0 -16 75+ 735 4.7 6.4 -26 ETHNIC MIX – 2019 (Enfield Council Estimates) White British 6959 43.7 38.3 14 White Irish 275 1.7 1.9 -10 Greek 121 0.8 1.2 -34 Greek Cypriot 445 2.8 4.7 -40 Turkish 1101 6.9 7.6 -9 Turkish Cypriot 253 1.6 1.8 -12 Kurdish 149 0.9 1.2 -24 White Other 1028 6.5 6.7 -4 White & Black Caribbean 231 1.5 1.3 15 White and Asian 195 1.2 1.1 13 White and Black African 113 0.7 0.7 3 Other mixed 365 2.3 2.0 17 Indian 316 2.0 3.3 -40 Pakistani 95 0.6 0.7 -17 Bangladeshi 233 1.5 1.8 -18 Chinese 130 0.8 0.7 12 Other Asian 567 3.6 3.6 0 Somali 427 2.7 2.7 -2 Black African 1251 7.9 7.5 5 Black Caribbean 729 4.6 5.2 -13 Other Black 400 2.5 2.5 2 Other Ethnic Group 551 3.5 3.7 -6 RELIGION – 2011 Christian 7725 53.3 53.6 -1 Buddhist 97 0.7 0.6 15 Hindu 333 2.3 3.5 -34 Jewish 71 0.5 1.4 -65 Muslim 2237 15.4 16.7 -8 Sikh 45 0.3 0.3 -10 Other / not stated / none 3998 27.6 23.9 15

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Appendix A – Data tables Borough relative % No % average no. diff. / %

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ECONOMIC ACTIVITY in the 16-64 age group All economically active, 2011 6963 73.3 73.4 0 Unemployed — Claimant Count June 2021 895 8.9 8.8 1 INCOME - 2021 Households with less than £15,000 (gross) a year 1013 16.8 15.4 9 Households claiming Universal Credit (Feb 2021) 1952 32.3 30.7 5 QUALIFICATIONS – 2011 No qualifications 2677 24.6 23.0 7 Level 1 only 1533 14.1 12.9 9 Level 2 1532 14.1 13.8 2 Level 3 1214 11.2 10.5 6 Level 4 and above 2767 25.4 28.7 -11 HOUSING TYPE – 2011 Detached 186 3.3 7.0 -53 Semi-detached 797 14.1 23.5 -40 Terraced 2450 43.4 31.1 39 Flat - purpose built 1833 32.4 30.1 8 Flat - in a shared house 324 5.7 6.8 -15 Other 60 1.1 1.5 -31 CARS IN HOUSEHOLDS – 2011 - nos. of households with: 0 cars 1910 34.6 32.5 7 1 car 2488 45.1 43.3 4 2+ cars 1123 20.3 24.3 -16 HOUSEHOLD TYPES – 2011 One person 1524 27.6 27.8 -1 All occupants aged 65 plus 180 3.3 5.5 -40 Married couple or civil partnership, no children 382 6.9 7.9 -13 Married couple or civil partnership, with dependent children 973 17.6 17.4 1 Married couple or civil partnership, all children non dependent 325 5.9 6.8 -14 Cohabiting couple, no children 217 3.9 3.4 14 Cohabiting couple, with dependent children 218 3.9 3.0 33 Cohabiting couple, all children non dependent 22 0.4 0.4 -6 Lone parent 1051 19.0 16.7 14 Other 629 11.4 11.0 3 PERSONS WITH LONG TERM HEALTH PROBLEM / DISABILITY – 2011 Limiting a lot 1008 6.9 7.3 -4 Limiting a little 1107 7.6 8.1 -6 GENERAL HEALTH – 2011 Very good 6752 46.5 46.8 -1 Good 5252 36.2 35.0 3 Fair 1756 12.1 12.7 -5 Bad 601 4.1 4.1 1 Very bad 145 1.0 1.3 -25 LIFE EXPECTANCY (years) - 2015-2019: Males 80.9 80.6 0 Females 82.7 84.6 -2 Standardised Mortality Ratio - 2015-2019 98.1 89.9 9 COMMUNITY SAFETY - 2020 Crime rate (per 1,000 residents) 105.1 85.2 23 Anti-social behaviour rate 58.0 50.8 14

Sources and related notes

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Various measures – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, Office for National Statistics. NB. 2021 Census data is not due to be available until 2022/2023. Population – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Households – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Age structure – ONS mid-year population estimate 2019 Religion – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Ethnic mix – Council estimates for 2019; note there are difficulties in estimating ethnic group sizes at ward level and the figures given here must be treated with caution and used as a guide to the possible mix in the ward Economic Activity – all economically active 16-64 year olds = working plus unemployed – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright, the activity rate (%) is the % of the population aged 16-64 Unemployment — the official DWP ‘claimant count’, June 2021 Income – Low income households – CACI Paycheck; 2021; © CACI Deprivation – Ministry for Housing, Communities & Local Government. Ward-level analysis by Local Government Association Children in low-income households – Department for Work and Pensions (2020) Fuel Poverty – Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (2019) Qualifications – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright; note that this table excludes apprenticeships and ‘other’ qualifications Housing type – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Cars – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Household types – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Persons with a long-term health problem/disability – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright General health – 2011 Census; © Crown Copyright Life expectancy – Public Health England, based on 2015-2019 data Crime rate – uses crime counts from the Metropolitan Police for 2020

The relative % diff[erence] is the area % divided by the Borough % (expressed as a % above or below the Borough average)

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