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Railway Engineering - UK - March 2018 The above prices are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to Report Price: £995.00 | $1343.55 | €1119.77 change due to currency fluctuations. “In response to the sharp upturn in UK train orders, and with further lucrative orders on the horizon, most notably HS2, a number of major train manufacturers are investing heavily in UK facilities. While the new rolling stock introduction is expected to peak with the delivery of current orders, the long-term outlook for new build remains positive.” – Claudia Preedy - B2B Analyst This report looks at the following areas: BUY THIS • How has UK rail infrastructure investment developed in the last five years? REPORT NOW • What has been the financial performance of the key players in the UK rail sector’s supply industry in recent years? • What are the key drivers for UK railway investment? VISIT: • What are Network Rail’s expenditure plans for Control Period Five? store.mintel.com • What is the projected future demand for rolling stock in Great Britain? CALL: EMEA +44 (0) 20 7606 4533 Brazil 0800 095 9094 Americas +1 (312) 943 5250 China +86 (21) 6032 7300 APAC +61 (0) 2 8284 8100 EMAIL: [email protected] This report is part of a series of reports, produced to provide you with a DID YOU KNOW? more holistic view of this market reports.mintel.com © 2018 Mintel Group Ltd. All Rights Reserved. Confidential to Mintel. Railway Engineering - UK - March 2018 The above prices are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to Report Price: £995.00 | $1343.55 | €1119.77 change due to currency fluctuations. Table of Contents Executive Summary The market Government funding for railway sector falls in 2016/17, as funding for Crossrail ends Figure 1: Government railway funding, 2013-17 Network Rail overspends on renewal schemes in first three years of current control period CP5 Figure 2: Rail renewal expenditure by asset, 2016/17 Network Rail embarks on largest rail enhancement and investment programme in CP5 2014-19 But this major rail modernisation programme is posing significant challenges for Network Rail UK rolling stock fleet growing at fastest rate for decades 31 major rail projects currently in infrastructure pipeline Figure 3: Rail infrastructure pipeline, as of autumn 2017 HS2 will be by far the largest rail infrastructure project over the next two decades Market factors Network Rail’s funding and delivery outputs are agreed in five-year blocks called control periods Recommendations set out in Shaw report could result in biggest shake-up of Network Rail since privatisation Network Rail launches transformation plan in 2016, implementing many of the measures set out in Shaw report Government publishes strategic vision for rail Companies What we think Key Insights What steps has Network Rail taken towards devolution since the launch of its transformation plan in 2016? What are the key proposals contained in the government’s Strategic Vision for Rail? What are the government’s proposed changes to the franchising system set out in its Strategic Vision for Rail? How is the UK passenger rolling stock fleet expected to develop? Introduction Definitions Methodology Abbreviations Market positioning UK Economy Overview Figure 4: Forecast GDP development 2016-22 Figure 5: UK GDP quarterly development, 2004-17 Inflation Interest rates House prices VISIT: store.mintel.com BUY THIS CALL: EMEA +44 (0) 20 7606 4533 Brazil 0800 095 9094 Americas +1 (312) 943 5250 China +86 (21) 6032 7300 REPORT NOW APAC +61 (0) 2 8284 8100 EMAIL: [email protected] Railway Engineering - UK - March 2018 The above prices are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to Report Price: £995.00 | $1343.55 | €1119.77 change due to currency fluctuations. Figure 6: UK house price changes, 2006-17 Consumer spending Manufacturing Figure 7: UK manufacturing, 2014-17 Business investment Figure 8: UK GFCF, chained volume measures, seasonally adjusted, 2004-17 Imports Exports Market Factors Key points Drivers of investment in rail industry Rail network funding and regulation Sir Peter Hendy’s re-plan for Network Rail’s enhancement programme 2014-19 The Shaw report Network Rail launches transformation plan in 2016, implementing many of the measures set out in Shaw report Rail Finance Key points Overview Figure 9: Government railway funding, by type, 2013-17 Figure 10: Private investment in railways, by type, 2013-17 Infrastructure Investment Key points Introduction Figure 11: Rail infrastructure in Great Britain, 2012-17 Figure 12: Rail infrastructure in Great Britain, 2013-17 Network Rail embarks on largest rail enhancement and investment programme in CP5 2014-19 Capital expenditure Figure 13: Rail infrastructure renewals, enhancements & maintenance expenditure in Great Britain, 2012-17 Figure 14: Rail infrastructure renewals, enhancements & maintenance expenditure in Great Britain, 2012-17 Expenditure analysis Figure 15: Analysis of enhancement expenditure in Great Britain, by type, 2016-17 Figure 16: Renewal expenditure by asset, 2016 and 2017 Figure 17: Private sector investment in track and signalling, 2013-17 Figure 18: Private sector investment in stations, 2013-17 Rolling Stock Key points Overview Current trends and challenges in the rolling stock market VISIT: store.mintel.com BUY THIS CALL: EMEA +44 (0) 20 7606 4533 Brazil 0800 095 9094 Americas +1 (312) 943 5250 China +86 (21) 6032 7300 REPORT NOW APAC +61 (0) 2 8284 8100 EMAIL: [email protected] Railway Engineering - UK - March 2018 The above prices are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to Report Price: £995.00 | $1343.55 | €1119.77 change due to currency fluctuations. Passenger rolling stock parc Figure 19: Rolling stock parc, as of March 2017 UK rolling stock fleet growing at fastest rate for decades Average age of rolling stock Figure 20: Average age of rolling stock, by sector, 2013-17 Figure 21: Average age of rolling stock, by sector, 2013-17 Figure 22: Average age of rolling stock, by company, 2013-17 Use of railways Figure 23: Number of passenger journeys, by sector, 2013-17 Figure 24: Share of passenger journeys, by sector, 2016/17 Figure 25: Freight train kilometres on Network Rail infrastructure, 2013-17 Private sector rolling stock investment Figure 26: Private sector rolling stock investment in Great Britain, 2013-17 Figure 27: Private sector rolling stock investment in Great Britain, 2013-17 Supply Sources Key points Production Overview Figure 28: UK production of locomotives, rolling stock and other equipment, 2012-16 Segmentation Figure 29: Segmentation of the UK production of locomotives, rolling stock and other equipment, by type, 2012-16 Imports Overview Figure 30: UK imports of locomotives, rolling stock and other equipment, 2013-17 Segmentation Figure 31: Segmentation of UK imports of locomotives, rolling stock and other equipment, by type, 2013-17 Figure 32: UK imports of locomotives, rolling stock and other equipment, by type, 2017 Exports Overview Figure 33: UK exports of locomotives, rolling stock and other equipment, 2013-17 Segmentation Figure 34: Segmentation of UK exports of locomotives, rolling stock and other equipment, by type, 2013-17 Investment Profiles Key points Introduction Figure 35: Train operating companies, as of January 2018 DfT proposes changes to franchises in its 2017 ‘Strategic Vision for Rail’ Train operating companies Abellio Greater Anglia VISIT: store.mintel.com BUY THIS CALL: EMEA +44 (0) 20 7606 4533 Brazil 0800 095 9094 Americas +1 (312) 943 5250 China +86 (21) 6032 7300 REPORT NOW APAC +61 (0) 2 8284 8100 EMAIL: [email protected] Railway Engineering - UK - March 2018 The above prices are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to Report Price: £995.00 | $1343.55 | €1119.77 change due to currency fluctuations. Figure 36: Key statistics for Greater Anglia, 2015-17 Arriva Trains Wales Figure 37: Key statistics for Arriva Trains Wales, 2015-17 c2c Figure 38: Key statistics for c2c, 2015-17 Chiltern Railways Figure 39: Key statistics for Chiltern Railways, 2015-17 Cross Country Figure 40: Key statistics for Cross Country, 2015-17 Virgin Trains East Coast Figure 41: Key statistics for Virgin Trains East Coast, 2015-17 East Midlands Trains Figure 42: Key statistics for East Midlands Trains, 2015-17 Eurostar Thameslink, Southern, and Great Northern (TSGN) Figure 43: Key statistics for Govia Thameslink Railways, 2015-17 Great Western Railway Figure 44: Key statistics for Great Western, 2015-17 First Hull Trains Abellio ScotRail Figure 45: Key statistics for Abellio ScotRail, 2015-17 TransPennine Express Figure 46: Key statistics for TransPennine Express, 2015-17 Grand Central Heathrow Connect Heathrow Express West Midlands Figure 47: Key statistics for London Midland, 2015-17 London Overground Figure 48: Key statistics for London Overground, 2015-17 Merseyrail Figure 49: Key statistics for Merseyrail, 2015-17 Northern Rail Figure 50: Key statistics for Northern Rail, 2015-17 North Yorkshire Moors Railway Southeastern Figure 51: Key statistics for Southeastern, 2015-17 South West Trains Figure 52: Key statistics for South West Trains, 2015-17 VISIT: store.mintel.com BUY THIS CALL: EMEA +44 (0) 20 7606 4533 Brazil 0800 095 9094 Americas +1 (312) 943 5250 China +86 (21) 6032 7300 REPORT NOW APAC +61 (0) 2 8284 8100 EMAIL: [email protected] Railway Engineering - UK - March 2018 The above prices are correct at the time of publication, but are subject to Report Price: £995.00 | $1343.55 | €1119.77 change due to currency fluctuations.
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