Annual Report 2012 Annual Report 2012

Total Page:16

File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb

Annual Report 2012 Annual Report 2012 Annual Report 2012 Annual Report 2012 Warsaw 2013 Compiled on basis of NBP materials Photo of the President of NBP Agnieszka Deluga-Góra Printing Printshop NBP Published by Narodowy Bank Polski Education and Publishing Department 00–919 Warszawa ul. Świętokrzyska 11/21 phone 48 22 185 23 35 www.nbp.pl ISSN 1427–0277 © Copyright Narodowy Bank Polski, 2013 2 Narodowy Bank Polski Contents Contents List of the most important abbreviations 7 Foreword by the President of Narodowy Bank Polski 8 Monetary Policy Council 12 Management Board of Narodowy Bank Polski 13 Organisation chart of Narodowy Bank Polski 14 Summary 15 Chapter 1. Governing bodies of NBP 23 1.1. President of Narodowy Bank Polski 24 1.2. Monetary Policy Council 25 1.3. Management Board of Narodowy Bank Polski 27 1.4. Narodowy Bank Polski Plan of Activity 28 Chapter 2. Monetary policy 31 2.1. Monetary policy strategy in 2012 32 2.2. Monetary policy and macroeconomic developments in 2012 36 2.3. Monetary policy instruments in 2012 47 Chapter 3. Financial system 55 3.1. Cooperation with financial safety net institutions 56 3.2. Activities of the Systemic Risk Committee 57 3.3. Analyses and research for the needs of the financial system 57 3.4. International cooperation for financial stability 58 3.5. Participation of Narodowy Bank Polski in bank resolution programmes 59 Chapter 4. The issue of currency 61 4.1. Currency in circulation 62 4.2. Issue of collector coins 62 4.3. Withdrawal of notes and coins from circulation due to wear and tear or damage 64 4.4. Counterfeit Polish currency 64 4.5. Supply of notes and coins to banks 64 Annual Report 2012 3 Contents Chapter 5. Foreign exchange reserves management 67 5.1. Level of the official reserve assets 68 5.2. Foreign currency reserves management strategy 69 5.3. Financial risk management in the foreign exchange reserves management process 70 5.4. Market environment in 2012 71 5.5. Return on foreign currency reserves 74 5.6. Investment income 76 Chapter 6. Foreign exchange activity 77 6.1. Register of bureaux de change 78 6.2. Foreign exchange related decisions 78 6.3. Foreign exchange control 78 Chapter 7. Payment system oriented activities 81 7.1. Performance of operational tasks 82 7.2. Policy measures and development of the payment system 86 7.3. Oversight of payment systems, authorisation and clearing systems and securities settlement systems 89 Chapter 8. Services to the State Treasury 91 8.1. Bank accounts operated by NBP 92 8.2. Handling international liabilities and claims of the State Budget 93 8.3. Organisation of trade in Treasury securities 93 8.4. Public debt management 94 Chapter 9. Research activity 97 9.1. Analytical and conceptual framework for the economic processes unfolding in the euro area 98 9.2. Studies of monetary policy, inflation processes and expectations 99 9.3. Enterprise and household surveys 100 9.4. Other macroeconomic research 101 9.5. Forecasting and research work 102 9.6. Activity of NBP’s Economic Research Committee 103 9.7. Conferences and seminars organised by NBP 103 4 Narodowy Bank Polski Contents Chapter 10. Statistics 105 10.1. Core tasks performed by NBP with respect to statistics 106 10.2. Statistical tasks deriving from NBP participation in the ESCB and in other international institutions 107 Chapter 11. Education and information 111 11.1. Education 112 11.2. Information and promotion 113 11.3. Publishing 115 11.4. Petitions, complaints, requests and letters 115 11.5. NBP Central Library 116 Chapter 12. Legislative activity 117 12.1. Legislation by NBP governing bodies 118 12.2. NBP contribution to legislative activity by state authorities with respect to normative and non-normative acts 118 12.3. Draft legislation related to the operation of the banking system 121 12.4. Consulting Community laws and draft national legislation of the EU Member States by NBP 121 12.5. Work related to the adoption of the euro by Poland 122 Chapter 13. International activity 125 13.1. Duties resulting from Poland’s membership in the European Union 126 13.2. Collaboration with international economic and financial institutions 127 13.3. Technical and training assistance 130 Chapter 14. Internal development of NBP 133 14.1. Human resources management 134 14.2. Operational and compliance risk management 135 14.3. Investment and renovation 135 14.4. IT support for the banking system and NBP 136 14.5. Internal audit 137 14.6. Safety and security 137 14.7. Services 138 Annual Report 2012 5 Contents Chapter 15. Condensed financial statements of Narodowy Bank Polski as at 31 December and registered auditor’s opinion 139 Balance sheet of Narodowy Bank Polski as at 31 December 2012 140 Profit and loss account of NBP for the year ended on 31 December 2012 142 Notes – general information 143 1. Introduction 143 2. Description of significant accounting principles 146 3. Changes in accounting principles 154 4. Values based on professional judgement and estimates 154 5. General overview of changes and structure of the NBP balance sheet and financial result 155 6. Explanatory notes to the balance sheet 160 7. Explanatory notes to off-balance sheet positions 172 8. Explanatory notes to profit and loss account 174 9. Other explanatory notes 182 10. Financial and operational risk 183 Registered auditor’s opinion 189 Appendix 1. GDP and aggregate demand 191 Appendix 2. Prices of consumer goods and services 195 Appendix 3. Balance of payments 201 Appendix 4. Money and credit 207 Appendix 5. List of open-to-public academic seminars and selected publications of NBP 211 Appendix 6. Voting records of MPC members on motions and resolutions in 2012 219 Statistical annex 225 Methodological notes 248 6 Narodowy Bank Polski List of the most important abbreviationsContents List of the most important abbreviations BFG Bank Guarantee Fund (Bankowy Fundusz Gwarancyjny) BIS Bank for International Settlements CPI Consumer Price Index EBA European Banking Authority EBRD European Bank for Reconstruction and Development ECB European Central Bank ERM II Exchange Rate Mechanism II ESCB European System of Central Banks ESRB European Systemic Risk Board EU European Union GDP Gross Domestic Product GUS Central Statistical Office (Główny Urząd Statystyczny) IMF International Monetary Fund KDPW SA National Depository for Securities (Krajowy Depozyt Papierów Wartościowych ) KIR SA National Clearing House (Krajowa Izba Rozliczeniowa) MF Ministry of Finance MPC Monetary Policy Council NBP Narodowy Bank Polski (National Bank of Poland) SDR Special Drawing Rights SEPA Single Euro Payments Area SIS reporting system SORBNET Real-Time Gross Settlement System [RTGS] at the NBP Head Office TARGET, TARGET2 Trans-European Automated Real-Time Gross Settlement Express Transfer System UKNF KNF Office WB World Bank Annual Report 2012 7 Contents Marek Belka President of Narodowy Bank Polski 8 Narodowy Bank Polski Foreword by the President of Narodowy BankContents Polski Dear Readers The Annual Report which I am pleased to present, describes the most important activities of Narodowy Bank Polski in 2012. I hope you will find it a valuable source of information about the Bank and its operations, offering an insight into the background to our activities and hence an opportunity to assess their impact more accurately. The main objectives of the central bank are set out in the Constitution of the Republic of Poland and in the Act on the National Bank of Poland (Narodowy Bank Polski). Under article 227 section 1 of the Constitution, Narodowy Bank Polski “shall be responsible for the value of the Polish currency”. The Act on the National Bank of Poland (Narodowy Bank Polski) gives the following precise definition of the objective of NBP “the basic objective of the activity of the NBP shall be to maintain price stability, while supporting the economic policy of the Government, insofar as this does not constrain the pursuit of the basic objective of the NBP”. Monetary policy is conducted by the Monetary Policy Council under the direct inflation targeting strategy. Since 2004 the inflation target has been set at 2.5% with a symmetric range of deviations of +/- 1 percentage point. In 2012, the average annual inflation rate went down to 3.7% (as compared to 4.3% in 2011). In 2012 inflation was largely determined by relatively high growth of food prices and administered prices, including those of energy. Both resulted from factors beyond the direct impact of NBP’s policy. In 2012 the Monetary Policy Council conducted monetary policy amidst volatility observed in the international financial markets and unstable conditions in the global economy, in particular, in the euro area. Persisting recession in the region, excessive debt in particular euro area countries and growing unemployment raised concerns as to whether the euro area will re-embark on a path of economic growth. As a result of the above factors combined with the tightening of domestic fiscal policy, economic growth in Poland slowed down from 4.5% in 2011 to 1.9% in 2012. In performance of their tasks in 2012, the Monetary Policy Council was faced with many challenges. On the one hand, monetary policy was supposed to curb inflation, which ran above the inflation target throughout most of the year, and, on the other hand, take into consideration the situation in the euro area and declining economic growth in Poland. In the first months of 2012, the Monetary Policy Council kept the NBP interest rates unchanged. Following a protracted period of inflation hovering above 3.5%, which posed a risk of heightened inflation expectations becoming persistent, in May 2012, the Council raised the NBP interest rates by 0.25 percentage point, including the reference rate from 4.50% to 4.75%.
Recommended publications
  • How Poland's EU Membership Helped Transform Its Economy Occasional
    How Poland’s EU Membership Helped Transform its Economy Marek Belka Occasional Paper 88 Group of Thirty, Washington, D.C. About the Author Marek Belka is the President of the National Bank of Poland. After completing economic studies at the University of Łódź in 1972, Professor Belka worked in the university’s Institute of Economics. He earned a PhD in 1978 and a postdoctoral degree in economics in 1986. Since 1986, he has been associated with the Polish Academy of Sciences. During 1978–79 and 1985–86, he was a research fellow at Columbia University and the University of Chicago, respectively, and in 1990, at the London School of Economics. He received the title of Professor of Economics in 1994. Since the 1990s, Professor Belka has held important public positions both in Poland and abroad. In 1990, he became consultant and adviser at Poland’s Ministry of Finance, then at the Ministry of Ownership Transformations and the Central Planning Office. In 1996, he became consultant to the World Bank. During 1994–96, he was Vice-Chairman of the Council of Socio-Economic Strategy at Poland’s Council of Ministers, and later economic adviser to the President of the Republic of Poland. Professor Belka served as Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Finance on two occasions—in 1997, in the government of Włodzimierz Cimoszewicz, and during 2001–02, in the government of Leszek Miller. During 2004–05, he was Prime Minister of Poland. Since 2006, Professor Belka has been Executive Secretary of the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, and since January 2009, he has been Director of the European Department at the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
    [Show full text]
  • Forward Guidance and the Private Forecast Disagreement – Case of Poland
    Munich Personal RePEc Archive Forward Guidance and the private forecast disagreement – case of Poland Rybacki, Jakub SGH Warsaw School of Economics - Collegium of Economic Analysis 13 June 2019 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/94465/ MPRA Paper No. 94465, posted 15 Jun 2019 08:14 UTC Jakub Rybacki1 Forward Guidance and the private forecast disagreement – case of Poland Abstract During the period of policy easing in 2013 and prospective tightening in 2017-2019 the National Bank of Poland (NBP) applied the forward guidance to manage expectations of market participants. The goal of such a policy was to lower the uncertainty related to the future decisions of the Monetary Policy Council. We attempt to verify whether the central bank’s communication indeed reduced disagreement, based on the results of the professional forecasters’ survey. We found that the forward guidance policy introduced in 2013 lowered the perceived interest rate risk in both one-year and two-year horizons. On the other hand, abandoning the policy in 2014 increased the disagreement in the disproportionately large manner. The more pronounced forward guidance reintroduced in 2017 again allowed to reduce short-term uncertainty. However, it took over a year to strengthen the impact reducing the disagreement especially in case of two-year forecasts. The forward guidance most likely prevented increase of disagreement during the so called NBP image crisis in the late 2018 and in the first quarter of 2019. Overall our research highlights that it is relatively easy to lose confidence with ill-considered communication, but building credibility requires systematic long work.
    [Show full text]
  • The Case of Poland
    The views and opinions expressed here reflect the authors' point of view and not necessarily those of CASE. This report was prepared as part of the Global Development Network project "Un- derstanding Reform". The publication of the report was financed by the GDN. Keywords: Poland, reform, transition. © CASE – Center for Social and Economic Research, Warsaw 2005 Graphic Design: Agnieszka Natalia Bury DTP: CeDeWu Sp. z o.o. ISBN: 83-7178-376-0 Publisher: CASE – Center for Social and Economic Research 12 Sienkiewicza, 00-010 Warsaw, Poland tel.: (48 22) 622 66 27, 828 61 33, fax: (48 22) 828 60 69 e-mail: [email protected] http://www.case.com.pl/ 2 CASE Reports No. 59 Contents Preface . 6 1. An overview of the Polish reform process, 1989-2001. 7 1.1. The Political Context . 7 1.2. The Reform Process . 10 1.3. Reform stagnation. 11 2. Research questions, methodology, and hypotheses . 14 3. Reforms of the state machinery. 22 3.1 Civil service . 22 3.2. Administration of Justice. 29 4. Stabilization and liberalization reforms . 38 4.1. The actors in the design and implementation of the reform package . 39 4.2. The technical nature of the liberalization and stabilization reform . 44 4.3. Initial results of the Balcerowicz reform package . 46 4.4. Later developments . 48 4.5. Assessment . 55 5. Enterprise reform (privatization and restructuring) . 57 5.1. Privatization . 57 5.2. Enterprise restructuring . 66 5.3. Building corporate governance mechanisms. 70 5.4. Effects of enterprise sector reform . 73 5.5. Assessment . 79 6.
    [Show full text]
  • Central Bank As
    ISSN 2299-632X Exhibition: The history of central banking – Poland and the USA history banking – Poland Exhibition: The of central Bankoteka Special Issue Exhibition The history of central banking – Poland and the USA 185th anniversary of Polish central banking and 100th anniversary of the Fed Exhibition Dear Readers! We are pleased to present to you a special issue of „Bankoteka” designed to accompany the exhibition “History of central banking – Poland and the USA”. The exhibition has been organised to mark two anniversaries: Polish central banking celebrates its 185th anniversary, whereas in the United States of America, the Federal Reserve System (Fed) celebrates the centenary of its incorporation. Narodowy Bank Polski has organised the exhibition to make you more familiar with central bank functions and tasks, but also to tell you the interesting story of the central bank creation. To both Poland and the United States, the central bank is a cornerstone of their statehood, achieved after a long quest for independence. Since their establishment, both institutions have been in charge of most important and difficult tasks: to safeguard stability and financial safety of the country, as well as to improve the economic wellbeing of its citizens. The exhibition will give you the opportunity to learn even more about the role of Narodowy Bank Polski and the Federal Reserve System. The exposition was prepared by a group of experts. The texts were contributed by prominent experts: Prof. Wojciech Morawski, Warsaw School of Economics (the history of the Fed), and Dr Cecylia Leszczyńska, University of Warsaw (the history of Polish central banking).
    [Show full text]
  • Department of Applied Econometrics Working Papers Series Working Paper No. 1-05 Reaction Functions of the Polish Central Bankers
    Warsaw School of Economics Institute of Econometrics Department of Applied Econometrics Department of Applied Econometrics Working Papers Series Warsaw School of Economics Al. Niepodleglosci 164, 02-554 Warszawa, Poland Working Paper No. 1-05 Reaction functions of the Polish central bankers. A logit approach Jacek Kotlowski Warsaw School of Economics This paper is available at the Warsaw School of Economics Department of Applied Econometrics website at: http://www.sgh.waw.pl/instytuty/zes/wp/ Reaction functions of the Polish central bankers. A logit approach Jacek Kotlowski Warsaw School of Economics [email protected] Abstract Paper presents the analysis of individual reactions functions of Polish Monetary Policy Council (MPC) members in the years 2004–2005. In the period under study the Polish central bank (National Bank of Poland) used the bias in the monetary policy as an indicator of future interest rate movements and a change of bias without a change in the short-term interest rate resulted in shifts of the yield curve comparable to those which accompanied changes in the short-term interest rate. For that reason as a monetary policy instrument in the reaction functions we use a qualitative variable, which expresses the direction of change in the restrictiveness of the monetary policy proposed by the given member of the MPC (the change of bias and/or change of central bank short-term interest rate). Taking into account the qualitative nature of the dependent variable, we employ the ordered logit model, where several variants of the reaction functions are tested. The results of the research indicate that the majority of the Polish MPC members acted forward looking rather then backward looking.
    [Show full text]
  • Economic Growth 7 Inflation 7 Exchange Rates 7 External Sector 8 Forecast Summary
    _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Country Report Poland November 2012 Economist Intelligence Unit 26 Red Lion Square London WC1R 4HQ United Kingdom _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ The Economist Intelligence Unit The Economist Intelligence Unit is a specialist publisher serving companies establishing and managing operations across national borders. For 60 years it has been a source of information on business developments, economic and political trends, government regulations and corporate practice worldwide. The Economist Intelligence Unit delivers its information in four ways: through its digital portfolio, where the latest analysis is updated daily; through printed subscription products ranging from newsletters to annual reference works; through research reports; and by organising seminars and presentations. The firm is a member of The Economist Group. London New York Economist Intelligence Unit Economist Intelligence Unit 26 Red Lion Square The Economist Group London 750 Third Avenue WC1R 4HQ 5th Floor United Kingdom New York, NY 10017, US Tel: (44.20) 7576 8000 Tel: (1.212) 554 0600 Fax: (44.20) 7576 8500 Fax: (1.212) 586 0248 E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected] Hong Kong Geneva Economist Intelligence Unit Economist Intelligence Unit 60/F, Central Plaza Boulevard des Tranchées 16 18 Harbour Road 1206 Geneva Wanchai Switzerland Hong Kong Tel: (852) 2585 3888 Tel: (41) 22 566 2470 Fax: (852) 2802 7638 Fax: (41) 22 346 93 47 E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected] This report can be accessed electronically as soon as it is published by visiting store.eiu.com or by contacting a local sales representative. The whole report may be viewed in PDF format, or can be navigated section-by-section by using the HTML links.
    [Show full text]
  • Matryca CNS&A Cover.Psd
    A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Woźniak, Przemysław Research Report Economic and political challenges af acceding to the euro zone area: The case of Poland CASE Network Studies & Analyses, No. 404 Provided in Cooperation with: Center for Social and Economic Research (CASE), Warsaw Suggested Citation: Woźniak, Przemysław (2010) : Economic and political challenges af acceding to the euro zone area: The case of Poland, CASE Network Studies & Analyses, No. 404, Center for Social and Economic Research (CASE), Warsaw This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/128209 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu CASE Network Studies & Analyses No. 404 Economic and Political Challenges of Acceding… Materials published here have a working paper character.
    [Show full text]
  • Annual Report 2005-Czia
    Annual Report 2005 Warsaw, 2006 Leszek Balcerowicz President of the National Bank of Poland The mission of the National Bank of Poland is to oversee the value of the Polish currency, provide for a stable and safe banking system and manage the Polish official foreign exchange reserves. Its mission also includes scientific research and the economic education of the general public. The NBP carries out the tasks entailed by its membership in the European System of Central Banks and takes steps aimed at Poland’s adoption of the single European currency. In accomplishing these tasks in 2005, the NBP acted on the basis of the Monetary Policy Strategy beyond 2003, Monetary Policy Guidelines for the Year 2005 and the Plan of Activity for 2004–2006. In 2005, the Monetary Policy Council continued its measures to anchor inflation and inflation expectations at a low level, thus creating the conditions necessary for fast and sustainable economic growth and for Poland’s accession to the euro area.. In 2005, the reference interest rate of the central bank was reduced from 6.5% to 4.5%. At the end of 2005, inflation dropped below 1%, diverging from the inflation target which, since January 2004, has been 2.5%, with a fluctuation band of ±1 percentage point, and is of a continuous character. To a significant degree, this divergence was the result of one-off factors, primarily of a drop in fuel and food prices. Inflation throughout the year was restrained by the strong nominal exchange rate of the zloty. The banking sector is a main part of the Polish financial system and a stable and thriving financial system enhances the development of the economy and enables the income of the public to increase on a sustainable basis.
    [Show full text]
  • Essays on the Political Economy of Monetary Policy: New Empirical Approaches and Evidence
    Essays on the Political Economy of Monetary Policy: New Empirical Approaches and Evidence By Nicholas Walter Vivyan A thesis submitted to the Department of Government of the London School of Economics and Political Science for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy. London, September 2010 l UMI Number: U615B30 All rights reserved INFORMATION TO ALL USERS The quality of this reproduction is dependent upon the quality of the copy submitted. In the unlikely event that the author did not send a complete manuscript and there are missing pages, these will be noted. Also, if material had to be removed, a note will indicate the deletion. Dissertation Publishing UMI U615BB0 Published by ProQuest LLC 2014. Copyright in the Dissertation held by the Author. Microform Edition © ProQuest LLC. All rights reserved. This work is protected against unauthorized copying under Title 17, United States Code. ProQuest LLC 789 East Eisenhower Parkway P.O. Box 1346 Ann Arbor, Ml 48106-1346 TK6SC3 Library British Library of Political and Economic Science I UWz Declaration I certify that the thesis I have presented for examination for the MPhil/PhD degree of the London School of Economics and Political Science is solely my own work other than Chapter 3. Chapter 3 is based on a paper that was written jointly with Simon Hix and Bjom Hoyland and I certify that I was responsible for forty per cent of the data collection, data analysis, and writing up for this paper. The copyright of this thesis rests with the author. Quotation from it is permitted, provided that full acknowledgement is made.
    [Show full text]