Global Trendometer Essays on medium- and long-term global trends Summer 2017 GLOBAL TRENDOMETER Essays on medium- and long-term global trends Summer 2017 Study September 2017 Global Trends Unit AUTHORS Danièle Réchard, Head of Unit Eamonn Noonan Freya Windle-Wehrle Marcin Cesluk-Grajewski, Strategy and Coordination Unit Agnieszka Widuto, Structural Policies Unit Anne Altmayer, Economic Policies Unit Tara Riva (Trainee; Supervisor: Eamonn Noonan) Kaisa Alliksaar (Trainee; Supervisor: Leopold Schmertzing) ABOUT THE PUBLISHER This paper has been drawn up by the Global Trends Unit of the Directorate for Impact Assessment and European Added Value within the Directorate–General for Parliamentary Research Services (DG EPRS) of the European Parliament. To contact the Global Trends Unit please write to:
[email protected]. ADDITIONAL CONTRIBUTIONS Tatjana Evas, Roderick Harte, Patryk Pawlak, Amandine Scherrer, Rosamund Shreeves and Gaby Umbach, Policy Analysts, DG EPRS. LINGUISTIC VERSION Original: EN Manuscript completed in August 2017 Brussels, © European Union, 2017 Cover photo: Johannes Vermeer, The Astronomer, Public Domain, Wikimedia Commons. DISCLAIMER This document is prepared for, and addressed to, the Members and staff of the European Parliament as background material to assist them in their parliamentary work. The content of the document is the sole responsibility of its author(s) and any opinions expressed herein should not be taken to represent an official position of the Parliament. PE 603.253 Print: ISBN 978-92-846-1495-0 ISSN 2529-6337 DOI:10.2861/249451 QA-JA-17-001-EN-C PDF: ISBN 978-92-846-1496-7 ISSN 2529-6345 DOI:10.2861/782776 QA-JA-17-001-EN-N PE 603.253 2 Global Trendometer - Summer 2017 Table of Contents Introduction.....................................................................................................................................................5 Essays Sub-Saharan Africa: Demography is not destiny..