Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources Meteorological Authority Rainfall Seasonal Forecast

(June - September) 2020 Ministry of Irrigation and Water Resources Sudan Meteorological Authority Rainfall Seasonal Forecast (June - September) 2020

• Due to the importance of the seasonal forecasts for most vital sectors in Sudan, the General Meteorological Authority makes annual forecasts for monsoon rains annually for all the different in order to contribute effectively to strategic planning operations in general, and the management of floods or droughts in particular. • The monsoon rains forecast depends on the calculation of a probability ratio, indicating the amount of rain in a specific temporal and spatial range and then comparing it with the amount of climatic rains for the same temporal and spatial range so that the result is either higher than the climate rate (Above Normal), within the limits of the climate rate (Normal) or less than the climate rate (Below Normal). STATE FORECAST Northern State Above normal to Normal Rainfall Seasonal Forecast (June - September) 2020 State Above normal State Above normal State Above normal to Normal Gadarif State Above normal to Normal State Above normal Elgazera State Above normal Sinnar State Above normal state Above normal State Above normal to Normal Norther Kordofan State Above normal State Above normal to Normal Above Normal at Northern part of the State state, Above normal to Normal at central and southern parts East State Above normal to Normal State Above normal State Above normal to Normal Above Normal at Northern part of the State state, Above normal to Normal at central and southern parts State Above normal to Normal STATE FORECAST Northern State Normal to Below Normal Red Sea State Normal to Below Normal Rainfall Seasonal Forecast June 2020 Above normal to Normal at southern River Nile State state, climatology at rest Kassala State Below Normal Above normal to Normal, Below Gadarif State Normal at south eastern parts Khartoum State Above normal to Normal Elgazera State Above normal to Normal Above normal to Normal, Below Sinnar State Normal at south eastern parts White Nile state Above normal to normal Normal to below normal, Below Blue Nile State Normal at south eastern parts Northern Kordofan State Above normal to normal South Kordofan State Above normal to Normal West Kordofan State Above Normal to Normal State Above normal to Normal Normal to Below normal at the northern and central, Above normal North Darfur State to normal at south of the central and south parts. West Darfur State Above normal to Normal Normal all the state, Below normal at Central Darfur State far south eastern parts. Normal to Below Normal at north South Darfur State and east parts, Below normal at south and west parts. STATE FORECAST Northern State Above normal to Normal Rainfall Seasonal Forecast July 2020 Red Sea State Above normal to Normal River Nile State Above normal to Normal Kassala State Above normal to Normal Gadarif State Above normal to Normal Khartoum State Above normal to Normal Elgazera State Above normal to Normal Sinnar State Above normal to Normal White Nile state Above normal to Normal Blue Nile State Above normal to Normal Norther Kordofan State Above normal to Normal South Kordofan State Above normal to Normal West Kordofan State Above normal to Normal East Darfur State Above normal to Normal North Darfur State Above normal to Normal West Darfur State Above normal to Normal Central Darfur State Above normal to Normal South Darfur State Above normal to Normal STATE FORECAST Northern State Above normal to Normal Rainfall Seasonal Forecast August 2020 Red Sea State Above normal to Normal River Nile State Above normal to Normal Kassala State Above normal to Normal Gadarif State Above normal to Normal Khartoum State Above normal to Normal Elgazera State Above normal to Normal Sinnar State Above normal to Normal White Nile state Above normal to Normal Blue Nile State Above normal to Normal Norther Kordofan State Above normal to Normal South Kordofan State Above normal to Normal West Kordofan State Above normal to Normal East Darfur State Above normal to Normal North Darfur State Above normal to Normal West Darfur State Above normal to Normal Central Darfur State Above Normal to Normal South Darfur State Above normal to Normal STATE FORECAST Northern State Climatology Rainfall Seasonal Forecast September 2020 Red Sea State Above normal to Normal River Nile State Normal Kassala State Climatology Gadarif State Above normal to Normal Khartoum State Normal Normal all the State, Below normal Elgazera State at the southern parts Sinnar State Above normal to Normal White Nile state Normal Blue Nile State Above normal to Normal Normal all the state, Below Normal Norther Kordofan State at the Northern parts South Kordofan State Above normal to Normal West Kordofan State Above Normal at Normal East Darfur State Normal North Darfur State Normal West Darfur State Above normal to Normal Central Darfur State Above Normal to Normal South Darfur State Normal