Market watch: Weekly 9th January 2015 Focus: Week ends on a high note with election results

Research Contact Shehan Bartholomeuz Short week closed the indices on a high note with the [email protected] victory of the common candidate in the presidential +9411 7880835 Damith Wasantha election. Bourse was active in most of the days while [email protected] indices closed in green throughout the week. Friday +9411 7880837

recorded the highest gains with interest being witnessed Market Indicators across the board. This Week Last Week % Change YTD Change ASPI 7,605.79 7,348.39 3.50% 27.44% Twenty six crossings were recorded during the week S&P SL 20 4,272.50 4,110.30 3.95% 30.05% while DIAL and SEYB accounted for most of them. Turnover (LKR Mn) 6,367 2,399 165.41% 341,898 Volume (Mn) 294 132 121.92% 16,809 Bank, Finance and Insurance sector contributed mostly to For. Pur(LKR Mn) 1,139 561 103.06% 273 the market turnover while Manufacturing sector was the highest gainer for the week (+ 6.92%). For.Sales(LKR Mn) 1,155 335 244.39% 616 PE 13.99 13.50 3.60% 1.08% COMB, DIST and HHL lifted up the ASPI by 56 points PBV 2.01 1.95 3.51% -6.50% while JKH dragged down the index by around 14 points. Mkt Cap.(LKR Mn) 3,238,898 3,125,904 3.61% 41.67% ASPI up by 257 points and S&P SL20 up by162 points. YTD Foreign inflow/(outflow) - LKR Bn -0.37

Rupee depreciated slightly to close at LKR 131.52 per Top 5 Gainers USD. T-bill rate was flat during the week as 1 year T-bill Company This Week Last Week % Volume rate closed at LKR 6.08. Gold prices appreciated slightly PARA.N 733.50 550.80 33.17% 12 and closed at 1,214$/Oz while oil prices dropped further GLAS.N 5.90 5.00 18.00% 34,217,659 to close at 48.56$/Barrel. LMF.N 139.90 120.40 16.20% 80,469 CARE.N 43.10 37.10 16.17% 73,212 ETWO.N 79.00 68.10 16.01% 3,300

Top 5 Losers Company This Week Last Week % Volume ASCO.N 62.60 98.00 -36.12% 2,915 KZOO.N 950.10 1,133.20 -16.16% 3 SHOT.N 32.00 35.30 -9.35% 1,002 TANG.N 76.10 83.80 -9.19% 18 JFIN.N 336.00 358.90 -6.38% 2,501

Top 5 Sector Gainers Sector This Week Last Week Gain % MANUFACTURING 4,451.69 4,171.20 6.72% IT 83.25 78.23 6.42% FOOTWEAR TEXTILE 1,072.57 1,012.35 5.95% BANK FINANCE INS 19,253.56 18,272.43 5.37% CHEMICALS PHARMS 7,684.63 7,338.12 4.72%

LOLC Securities Limited. Level 18, West Tower, World Trade Center, 01, Sri Lanka Southern Expressway Sri Lanka Tel: +94 11 7880880 Fax: +94 11 2434771 Website: www.lolcsecurities.com Market watch: Weekly

ASI,S&P SL 20 and Volume Turnover and Foreign Trading

8,500 1.2 4,000 3,500 7,500 1

Millions 3,000 6,500 0.8 2,500

5,500 0.6 2,000 1,500 4,500 0.4 1,000 3,500 0.2 500 0 2,500 0 1/5/2015 1/6/2015 1/7/2015 1/8/2015 1/9/2015 1/8/2014 4/8/2014 7/8/2014 10/8/2014 1/8/2015

Foreign Purchase Foreign Sales Turnover VOLUME ASPI S&P SL 20

ASI contributors for the week T-bill Rate and Exchange Rate LKR//US $ Points % 30 131.6 7.5 COMB.N 131.5 25 6.5 131.4 131.3 5.5 20 DIST.N HEMS.N 131.2 15 SPEN.N 4.5 SLTL.N 131.1 3.5 10 131 130.9 2.5 5 130.8 1.5 0 130.7 0.5 130.6 -5 LION.N ASCO.N JFIN.N CINS.N 130.5 -0.5 -10 10-Nov-14 24-Nov-14 08-Dec-14 22-Dec-14 05-Jan-15 -15 JKH.N -20 Exchange Rate T Bill Rate- 12 months

World Market % weekly WTI Crude Oil (USD/barrel) 48.56 -7.74% Gold (USD/Ounce) 1213.99 2.14% S & P 500 2062.14 0.19% MSCI AC Index 136.44 -1.13%

LOLC Securities Limited. Level 18, West Tower, World Trade Center, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka Tel: +94 11 7880880 Fax: +94 11 2434771 Website: www.lolcsecurities.com Market watch: Weekly

Corporate Announcements

avings giant NSB yesterday set the record straight in relation to certain recent news items regarding its successful $ 750 million international bond issue. Following is the full text of NSB’s statement: NSB wishes to clarify its position on certain news items and on statements made at various forums on the international bond issue. In 2013 National Savings Bank entered into the international market to raise funds by issuing a USD bond under the ruling RegS/144A. A RegS/144A means that it complies with US regulations and that of the Asian and European regulations. - Daily Ft

Economic News

Sri Lanka’s elections commissioner Mahinda Deshapriya on Friday officially announced that has been elected as the new . Maithripala Sirisena has obtained 6,217,162 votes or 51.28 percent of the total votes while his main opponent has bagged 5,768,090 votes or 47.58 percent of the total valid votes.- LBO

Sri Lanka’s Central Bank Governor Ajith Nivard Cabraal has informed His Excellency the President that he wishes to resign from the post of Governor with immediate effect, in order that the new President may appoint a new Governor.-LBO

The crisis engulfing Sri Lanka's tea exports to key markets - Russia, Iran and Syria - is very likely to boil further this month with prices expected to dip by a further 10-15% when the markets open on January 12. "This is a very serious situation where the Russian market prices have already dipped 10% in December, and we expect the market to dip another 10-15% when the market opens there on January 12 after the Christmas and New Year vacation," Chairman of the Tea Exporters Association (TEA) Rohan Fernando told Ceylon FT yesterday. –Ceylon Today

Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) kept the benchmark one year maturing Treasury (T) bill weighted average yield (WAY) unchanged at the six per cent level at the weekly T bill auction, with its WAY marginally down by one basis point (bp) to six per cent at yesterday's auction, data revealed. – Ceylon Today.

The exchange rate (ER) continued to weaken due to import pressure, falling by a further 20 to 30 cents in 'spot next' trading over its previous day's close, to finish Monday at Rs 132.40/60 in interbank trading, market sources told Ceylon FT. Year on year (YoY) the ER has weakened by between Rs 1.70 to Rs 1.85 (1.3%-1.4%) to the dollar, having closed at Rs 130.70/75 to the dollar in 'spot' trading on 6 January, 2014. –Ceylon Today

British High Commissioner in Sri Lanka, John Rankin, has assured Economic Development Minister Basil Rajapaksa yesterday that the UK would support Sri Lanka in having the European Union’s ban on fish exports from the country lifted according to a statement issued by the Ministry.The ban came into effect this month following the Fisheries Ministry’s failure to implement recommendations made by the EU Commission in 2012 for establishing a sustainable fisheries industry in the island. - Daily Ft

Global Buzz

Asian stocks rose a second day, led by commodity and energy producers, as U.S. crude oil headed for its longest streak of gains since August. The dollar weakened from a 10-year high after a second Federal Reserve official cautioned against raising interest rates this year.- Bloomberg

Chinese President Xi Jinping on Thursday pledged $ 250 billion in investment in Latin America over the next 10 years, as part of a drive to boost Beijing’s influence in a region long dominated by the United States. Leaders of the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States, or CELAC – a bloc of 33 countries in the region that excludes the United States and Canada – gathered in Beijing for the first time for a two-day forum on Thursday. - Daily Ft

LOLC Securities Limited. Level 18, West Tower, World Trade Center, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka Tel: +94 11 7880880 Fax: +94 11 2434771 Website: www.lolcsecurities.com Market watch: Weekly

Head Office Branches

LOLC Securities Limited Kurunegala Branch Galle Branch Matara Branch Level 18, West Tower, No 06, 1st Floor, No 18, 1st floor, World Trade Center Union Assurance Building, Sri Dewamitta Mawatha, E.H. Cooray Towers, Colombo 01, Sri Lanka Rajapilla Mawatha Galle, Sri Lanka No 24, Tel: +94 11 7880880 Kurunegala, Sri Lanka Tel : +94 091 7200852 Anagarika Dharmapala Mw. Fax: +94 11 2434771 Tel: +94 377 201221 Matara, Sri Lanka Fax: +94 372 225511 Tel: +94 414 936079

Contact Us Sriyan Gurusinghe CEO/Managing Director 011 7880888 / 077 7891871 [email protected] Sales Head Office Maniesh Rodrigo Assistant General Manager 011 7880805 / 077 7896064 [email protected] Samadhi Jayasinghe Manager Institutional Sales 011 7880806 / 077 3954993 [email protected] Dinusha Gomez Assistant Manager-International 011 7880812 / 077 1562193 [email protected] Imesh Fernando Senior Investment Advisor 011 7880814 / 077 3954992 [email protected] Balendran Janegan Senior Investment Advisor 011 7880811 / 077 5619827 [email protected] Naleen Sadeesh Investment Advisor 011 7880839 / 077 2383209 [email protected] Damith Chaminda Investment Advisor 011 7880819 / 077 3367313 [email protected] Dushan Rajaguru Investment Advisor 011 7880834 / 077 9090511 [email protected] Dinuka Niwantha Investment Advisor 011 7880838 / 077 3947928 [email protected] Niraj Jayamanne Investment Advisor 011 7880813 / 077 5965645 [email protected] Kurunegala Branch Rohana Chandrasiri Assistant General Manager 037 7201221 / 077 3623001 [email protected] Anurudda Rajakaruna Investment Advisor 037 7201221 / 077 3409464 [email protected] Nuwan Fernando Investment Advisor 037 7201221 / 077 8365921 [email protected]

Galle Branch Bimal Malinda Branch Head 091 7200852/ 077 3409243 [email protected]

Matara Branch Lalinda Liyanapathirana Investment Advisor 041 4936079/ 077 3692257 [email protected] Ahamed Aadil Investment Advisor 041 4936079/ 077 7538986 [email protected]

RESEARCH Shehan Bartholomeuz Head of Research 011 7880835 / 077 7699148 [email protected] Damith Wasantha Senior Research Analyst 011 7880837 / 077 7519416 [email protected] Hiruni Perera Associate Research Analyst 011 7880809 / 077 0652797 [email protected]

Rehan Ariyaratne Business Dev. Associate 011 7880831 / 076 5446255 [email protected]

LOLC Securities Limited, a trading member of the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE), is engaged in facilitating stock trading transactions at Colombo Stock Exchange, providing investment research on Sri Lankan equity, providing investment planning advices with services such as portfolio construction & formulation of IPS (Investment Policy Statement) and facilitating other investment opportunities in the country including private equity.

Disclaimer: This report is based on information from sources that LOLC Securities Limited believes to be reliable. Whilst reasonable care has been taken to ensure accuracy of the information presented in the report, LOLC Securities Limited does not give a guarantee on the accuracy of the information presented in the paper nor will take the responsibility on investment decisions taken based on the information provided by the report and hence LOLC Securities Limited nor its employees accepts any liability whatsoever for any loss arising from investments decisions taken using the information provided in this paper. The reader also should note this paper does not give recommendations to any particular category of investors and investor should consult investment advisors for further clarifications regarding risks involved in investing in equity market. LOLC Securities Limited or its employees may or may not hold positions in the securities discussed in the report and the information provided in the report should not be construed as a buy or sell instruction for any securities mentioned in the report.

LOLC SEC Research Reports are also available at Bloomberg LOLC