Q BBYO and Youth Groups
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1 The 2018 Jewish Federation of Metropolitan Detroit Population Study: A Portrait of the Detroit Community Youth Groups Ira M. Sheskin, Ph.D. Director of the Jewish Demography Project of the Sue and Leonard Miller Center for Contemporary Judaic Studies and Professor Department of Geography University of Miami 2 Topics Covered in the Study 1. Survey Methodology 2. Jewish Population Size 3. Geographic Profile 4. Demographic Profile 5. Religious Profile 6. Types of Marriage 7. Membership Profile 8. Jewish Education: Adults 9. Jewish Education: Children 10. Jewish Agencies 11. Social Service Needs 12. Israel 13. Anti‐Semitism 14. The Media 15. Philanthropic Profile 16. Political Profile 3 Survey Methodology 4 Survey Methodology **Random Digit Dialing (RDD) methodology provides scientific validity, allowing us to interview households not on any lists and who do not have DJNs (248) 357 ‐ _ _ _ _ Population estimate Produces the “purest” random sample **1,200 completed interviews **340,607 phone calls were placed to 211,002 telephone numbers to complete the 1,200 interviews **RDD Telephone Survey (Landline (N=123) and Cell (N=164)) **List Telephone Survey (Landline (N=430) and Cell (N=420)) **DJN Telephone Survey (Landline (N=58)) ** Cell Phone Households with non‐local area codes with DJNs based on billing zip codes ** Total Landline (N =611); Total Cell (N=591) **Weighting factors are used to combine the samples **Response Rate (AAPOR RR3) is 26% **Cooperation Rate is 84% **Average length: 22.0 minutes **Surveying done January 17, 2018 to March 27, 2018 5 Resources Available to the Community 1. Main Report (1,200+ pages) 2. Summary Report (180 pages) 3. Slides (1,000+) 4. Posted at www.jewishdetroit.org and www.jewishdatabank.org 6 Sample Comparison Bar Chart Westport 2000 31% Indianapolis 2017 28% St. Paul 2004 27% Bergen 2001 27% Portland ME 2007 26% 1. Compare Detroit with up to about 45 other Jewish Minneapolis 2004 26% Detroit 2005 25% communities with RDD studies since 2000 Tidewater 2001 25% Detroit 1989 25% 2. Red is Detroit 2018 Baltimore 2010 24% Atlanta 2006 24% 3. Blue is Detroit 2005 Boston 2005 24% Seattle 2000 24% 4. Green is Detroit 1989 Washington 2003 23% New York 2011 23% 5. Particularly Instructive Comparisons: Baltimore, Cleveland 2011 22% Cleveland, and St. Louis Denver 2007 22% Hartford 2000 22% 6. ACS is the American Community Survey done by Columbus 2013 21% Chicago 2010 21% the US Census every year San Antonio 2007 21% Jacksonville 2002 21% Pittsburgh 2002 21% Omaha 2017 20% New Haven 2010 20% Cincinnati 2008 20% San Diego 2003 20% Dates Number of Studies Phoenix 2002 20% Rhode Island 2002 20% 2001‐2004 17 Miami 2014 19% St. Louis 2014 19% 2005‐2009 13 Philadelphia 2009 19% 2010‐2014 10 San Francisco 2004 19% Detroit 2018 18% 2015‐present 5 Howard County 2010 18% Middlesex 2008 18% Total 45 Lehigh Valley 2007 18% Broward 2016 16% Houston 2016 16% Dates of studies are not repeated on all slides Atlantic County 2004 16% Tucson 2002 16% Las Vegas 2005 13% Sarasota 2001 10% South Palm Beach 2005 9% West Palm Beach 2005 9% St. Petersburg 2017 8% ACS US 2016 23% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 7 Jewish Population Size and Geography 8 The Jewish Community of Detroit 83,800 persons live in 31,500 Jewish households, of whom 70,800 persons are Jewish Non‐Jews 13,000 15% 85% Plus 950 Jews in Institutions: Jews 71,750 Jews 70,800 9 Changes in the Size of the Jewish Community of Detroit ‐ 1989‐2018 1989 2005 2018 Increase Number of Estimate Estimate Estimate 2005‐2018 Households 42,500 30,000 31,500 1,500 Persons in Jewish 105,000 78,000 83,800 5,800 Households Jews 96,000 71,500 70,800 ‐700 Oakland Macomb Northern Oakland County Macomb County Geographic Subareas West Bloomfield Bloomfield of Metropolitan Detroit Eastern Oakland County Western Oakland County Farmington Southfield Oak Core Park City of Detroit Lake St. Clair Wayne County Macomb County Northern Oakland County City of Detroit Western Oakland County Eastern Oakland County Wayne County West Bloomfield Bloomfield-Birmingham-Franklin Farmington Southfield Oak Park-Huntington Woods Wayne Lapeer St. Clair Genesee ! ! ! Macomb Oakland ! ! ! ! Northern Oakland County ! ! ! Macomb County ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Distribution of ! ! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! Livingston ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !B! l!o!om!field ! ! West !Bloomfield!! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Jewish Households ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!! !!! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! !! !! ! !!!! ! !!!! !! ! !! ! ! !! !!!!!! !!!! ! !!!! ! ! ! Easter!n ! !! !!!!!!! ! ! !!!! !!! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! !! !!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! !!!! !! ! ! Detroit 2018 ! !!!!!!! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!!!!! ! !!! !!!! !!! ! ! !! !!! ! !Oakland ! !!!!!! ! ! !! !! !! !! ! !!! ! ! ! !! !!! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!!!!!!!!!!! ! !!! !! !! !!!!! ! ! !! ! !! !!!!! !! !!! ! ! !!!! !! !! !! !!! ! ! !!! ! !! !!! ! ! !!! !!! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!! !!!!! !!!!!!!!!!! !!!! ! ! ! ! ! County ! ! !!! ! !!! !!! !!!!!! !!! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !!!!!!!! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !!!!! ! ! ! ! !!!!!!! !!!!!!!!! !!!! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !!! ! ! ! ! ! !!!!!!!!!! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !!! !!!! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! !! ! !!!! !!! !!!!! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! !!!! !! !! !! ! ! !!! ! !!!!! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! !! !!! ! !! ! ! ! ! !!!! !! ! ! !! !! !!!! ! !! !! ! !! ! !! ! !! !! !!! !! ! !! !! ! !!! !!!! !!!!! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! !!! !! !! !!! ! !!! ! ! ! !!! ! ! ! ! !!!! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! !!!!!!! ! ! ! ! ! !!!! ! !! !!!!!!!!!! !!!!! !!!!!!!!! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!!!!! !! !! ! ! ! !!! !!!!!!!!!!! ! Western Oakland County! ! ! !! ! !!! !! !!!!!! Oa!k ! ! ! !! !!!!!!!!! ! 1 Dot = 20 Households !! !!!! !!!!!!!!! ! ! !! ! ! !! ! !!!! !! ! !! !! ! !! !! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !!!! !! !!! Park ! ! ! ! Farmington Southfield ! !!! !!! ! !!!! ! ! ! !! ! !!!!! !! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! !! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Core ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Lake ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! St. Clair ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! City of Detroit ! ! ! Wayne County Washtenaw ! ! ! ! ! Wayne Monroe 12 Households in Top Three Zip Code Areas (Jewish Households) Westport 66% Middlesex 66% Howard County 57% Jewish community generally West Palm Beach 57% has one major cluster Atlantic County 55% of Jewish population South Palm Beach 54% St. Paul 52% Baltimore 51% Lehigh Valley 50% Indianapolis 46% Miami 42% Cleveland 41% 48237 (Oak Park) Detroit 1989 41% Rhode Island 39% 48076 (Southfield) Pittsburgh 39% 48334 (Farmington) Jacksonville 37% Hartford 37% San Antonio 36% Detroit 2005 36% 48322 (West Bloomfield) Sarasota 35% 48331 (Farmington) Minneapolis 35% Bergen 34% 48237 (Oak Park) Tucson 33% Cincinnati 33% Portland (ME) 33% Tidewater 33% Omaha 32% Columbus 30% St. Louis 29% Detroit 2018 28%48322 (West Bloomfield) New Haven 25% Houston 24% 48237 (Oak Park) Broward 21% 48323 (West Bloomfield) St. Petersburg 20% Las Vegas 19% Seattle 18% Phoenix 18% Atlanta 17% San Diego 16% Jewish community generally Chicago 15% has no major clusters San Francisco 14% or several major clusters East Bay 14% of Jewish population Washington 13% Philadelphia 12% Denver 10% New York 9% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 13 Locally Born (Adults in Jewish Households) Detroit 2018 62% Cleveland 57% Detroit 2005 57% Chicago 57% Philadelphia 56% St. Louis 55% New York 54% Baltimore 52% Pittsburgh 49% Minneapolis 46% Cincinnati 45% Rhode Island 43% Omaha 43% Hartford 40% St. Paul 39% Tidewater 34% New Haven 33% Indianapolis 30% Columbus 29% Houston 25% Lehigh Valley 24% San Antonio 21% Denver 20% Portland (ME) 18% Jacksonville 18% Miami 18% Middlesex 16% Atlanta 16% Washington 15% Bergen 14% Westport 12% Atlantic County 11% San Diego 11% Broward 9% Tucson 8% St. Petersburg 7% Howard County 7% Phoenix 6% West Palm Beach 2% Las Vegas 1% Sarasota 1% South Palm Beach 0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 14 An Adult in the Household is LGBTQ (Jewish Households) Broward 11% Houston 10% San Francisco 8% Indianapolis 7% Attempt in Indy to measure for teens failed St. Petersburg 7% Columbus 6% Detroit 5% New York 5% Philadelphia 5% St. Louis 4% Chicago 3% Cleveland 3% Denver 3% Omaha 2% Miami 2% Baltimore 2% Howard County 2% Cincinnati 2% San Diego 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 15 Length of Residence in Detroit (Respondents) 93% of the households About 220 households interviewed lived in 10‐19 Years 5‐9 Years move in each year Detroit in 2005 8% 2% 0‐4 Years during our last 4% survey 20+ Years 87% 16 Probability of Moving Within the Next Three Years (Jewish Households) Probably Probably Not 13% 42% Definitely 6% Don't Know 4% Definitely Not 35% 17 Expected Destination for Households Who Are Moving Within the Next Three Years (Jewish Households) Not Moving 81% 1.0% definitely moving out of local area 5.1% probably moving out of local area Elsewhere in the U.S. 6% Don't Know Where 2% Within Detroit 11% 1818 Migration of Jewish Households Average Annual In‐Migration **220 households moved in each year during the past five years Projected Average Annual Out‐Migration ** 100 households definitely moving out of Detroit each year during the next three years **535 households probably moving out of Detroit each year